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Brentford FC
Allan Sellers
 
Queens Park Rangers
James White
 
 
League Round 11
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRENTFORD FC                               QUEENS PARK RANGERS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Jordan Rose            15    2   17     Gk Petro Vasylenko        16    2   18
Sw Ricardo Xavier         13    0   13     Df Roman Piatek           13    2   15
Df Christian Hennessey    14    2   16     Df Brian Finnan            8    2   10
Df Maciek Szymanski       13    2   15     Mf Ogenyi Kabiru          13    2   15
Df Martyn Owen            14    2   16     Mf Stjepan Grbic          12    2   14
Df Kazu Fukunishi          8    2   10     Mf Damien Sullivan         8    2   10
Mf Balla Diouf            13   -1   12     Fw Justin Sibley          12    2   14
Mf Geert De Ketelaere     10    2   12     Fw Song Sun               12    2   14
Fw Ye-jun Ji              13    1   14     Fw Pierre Dumont          11    2   13
Fw Lilian Cazenave        10    2   12     Fw Shkodran Neuville       8    2   10
Fw Miguel Díaz             8    2   10     Fw Sebastiaan Jansen       8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 13 57 24 36        ROSTER TOTALS      18  0 25 39 61    
       3  3  4  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      20 16 61 24 45         T O T A L S       18  0 25 39 61    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRENTFORD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 10
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk Jordan Rose: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 27.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 88.8 (no red card)

Sw Ricardo Xavier: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 57.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 45.74 (no red card)

Df Christian Hennessey: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 69.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 52.95 (no red card)

Df Maciek Szymanski: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 56.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 30.62 (no red card)

Df Martyn Owen: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 20.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 48.51 (no red card)

Df Kazu Fukunishi: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 69.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 8.75 (no red card)

Mf Balla Diouf: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 95.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 63.36 (no red card)

Mf Geert De Ketelaere: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 40.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 9.9 (no red card)

Fw Ye-jun Ji: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 75.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 87.52 (no red card)

Fw Lilian Cazenave: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 89.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 82.04 (no red card)

Fw Miguel Díaz: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 20.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 97.84 (no red card)

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Petro Vasylenko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 25.07 (no red card)

Df Roman Piatek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.79 (no red card)

Df Brian Finnan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.36 (no red card)

Mf Ogenyi Kabiru: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.55 (no red card)

Mf Stjepan Grbic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.75 (no red card)

Mf Damien Sullivan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.51 (no red card)

Fw Justin Sibley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.04 (no red card)

Fw Song Sun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.77 (no red card)

Fw Pierre Dumont: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.3 (no red card)

Fw Shkodran Neuville: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.76 (no red card)

Fw Sebastiaan Jansen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.29 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 10
   - Queens Park Rangers Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.5%
Gk Jordan Rose: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.82 (no injury) 
Sw Ricardo Xavier: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 19.62 (no injury) 
Df Christian Hennessey: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 28.72 (no injury) 
Df Maciek Szymanski: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 94.22 (no injury) 
Df Martyn Owen: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 9.84 (no injury) 
Df Kazu Fukunishi: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 38.19 (no injury) 
Mf Balla Diouf: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 16.01 (no injury) 
Mf Geert De Ketelaere: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 38.61 (no injury) 
Fw Ye-jun Ji: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 94.64 (no injury) 
Fw Lilian Cazenave: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 3.25 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Lilian Cazenave is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Lilian Cazenave new match skill level =  5
      Lilian Cazenave new match total level =  7
Fw Miguel Díaz: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 83.12 (no injury) 

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Queens Park Rangers Team Hardness = 0
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 10
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 10.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 5.0%
Gk Petro Vasylenko: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 32.91 (no injury) 
Df Roman Piatek: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 17.95 (no injury) 
Df Brian Finnan: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 39.0 (no injury) 
Mf Ogenyi Kabiru: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 26.6 (no injury) 
Mf Stjepan Grbic: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 9.2 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Stjepan Grbic is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Stjepan Grbic new match skill level =  6
      Stjepan Grbic new match total level =  8
Mf Damien Sullivan: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 70.76 (no injury) 
Fw Justin Sibley: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 9.53 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 5
      Justin Sibley is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Justin Sibley new match skill level =  6
      Justin Sibley new match total level =  8
Fw Song Sun: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 82.93 (no injury) 
Fw Pierre Dumont: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 90.17 (no injury) 
Fw Shkodran Neuville: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 72.6 (no injury) 
Fw Sebastiaan Jansen: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 83.95 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Christian Hennessey SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Petro Vasylenko SL 16

     intRndPk = 59
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 59 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 10; (10 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Roman Piatek SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Jordan Rose SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 23 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 38 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 80 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 75 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 42 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 42 (no penalty kick)
7: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 7 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 72% | Random number = 55 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
8: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 77 (no penalty kick)
9: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 77 (no penalty kick)
10: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 64 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRENTFORD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brentford FC             20  16  61  24  40
  Queens Park Rangers      18   0  25  33  55

Queens Park Rangers is using Offside Trap!
Brentford FC Fw Attacks = 8 (40 - 25) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Brentford FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 33) / 2;  rounded up)
Brentford FC Df Attacks = 2 ((61 - 55) / 3); result rounded up
Brentford FC Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Df Maciek Szymanski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 47.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Christian Hennessey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Miguel Díaz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Lilian Cazenave
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Lilian Cazenave
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Miguel Díaz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Miguel Díaz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 0.6 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Miguel Díaz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 66.17 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Ye-jun Ji
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 6.35 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Miguel Díaz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Queens Park Rangers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Queens Park Rangers      18   0  25  33  55
  Brentford FC             20  16  61  24  40

Queens Park Rangers Fw Attacks = 0 (55 - 61)
Queens Park Rangers Mf Attacks = 5 ((33 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Queens Park Rangers Df Attacks = 0 ((25 - 40) / 5;  rounded up)
Queens Park Rangers Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Mf Damien Sullivan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Stjepan Grbic
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Ogenyi Kabiru
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Ogenyi Kabiru
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Damien Sullivan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRENTFORD FC 0  -  QUEENS PARK RANGERS 1
 
Match Notes
Typical match here against the United Maestro Dr. White. Well played James!
Allan (Brentford FC) 07/05 - 6:23 PM
Feel like Brentford were hard done by here 😉
Simon (Northampton Town FC) 07/05 - 10:01 PM
hardness risk backfires
James (Queens Park Rangers) 07/05 - 10:03 PM
 
 
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