(H)
Lincoln City FC
Mike Cabral
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
League Round 11
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
LINCOLN CITY FC NOTTINGHAM FOREST
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Mousa Boffin 15 1 16 Gk Kurt Östman 15 2 17
Sw Jakob Petersen 14 2 16 Sw Édouard Gning 15 2 17
Df Hans Murphy 13 2 15 Df Thiago Boniek 6 2 8
Df Mohammed Fosu 11 2 13 Df Nour Zaroury 12 2 14
Df Si-Yun Jung-hwan 8 2 10 Mf Freddie Cockham 13 1 14
Df Percy Triggs 8 1 9 Mf Noah Martinez 8 1 9
Mf Weston Williamson 13 2 15 Fw Paul Dumont 13 2 15
Mf Babou Kebe 8 2 10 Fw Kian Clarke 13 1 14
Fw Vieira Mario 14 1 15 Fw Ilija Caleta-Car 9 2 11
Fw Jay Hanny 16 1 17 Fw Josh Watson 13 1 14
Fw Owen Jones 8 2 10 Fw Atef Omar 8 2 10
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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16 16 47 25 42 ROSTER TOTALS 17 17 22 23 64
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
16 16 47 25 51 T O T A L S 17 17 22 23 64
============================================================================
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* LINCOLN CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Mousa Boffin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.95 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 28.16 (no red card)
Sw Jakob Petersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.02 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.42 (no red card)
Df Hans Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.3 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.83 (no second yellow)
Df Mohammed Fosu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.3 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.47 (no red card)
Df Si-Yun Jung-hwan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.09 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.6 (no red card)
Df Percy Triggs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.16 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.92 (no red card)
Mf Weston Williamson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.23 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.4 (no red card)
Mf Babou Kebe: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.24 (no red card)
Fw Vieira Mario: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.56 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.05 (no red card)
Fw Jay Hanny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.31 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.39 (no red card)
Fw Owen Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.83 (no red card)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.62 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 17.8 (no red card)
Sw Édouard Gning: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.51 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.08 (no red card)
Df Thiago Boniek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.7 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.24 (no red card)
Df Nour Zaroury: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.3 (no red card)
Mf Freddie Cockham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.0 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.39 (no red card)
Mf Noah Martinez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.51 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.97 (no red card)
Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.11 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.47 (no red card)
Fw Kian Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.35 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.0 (no red card)
Fw Ilija Caleta-Car: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.13 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.76 (no red card)
Fw Josh Watson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.64 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.08 (no red card)
Fw Atef Omar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.15 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.56 (no red card)
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============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Mousa Boffin: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 11.24 (no injury)
Sw Jakob Petersen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.81 (no injury)
Df Hans Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.98 (no injury)
Df Mohammed Fosu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.66 (no injury)
Df Si-Yun Jung-hwan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.59 (no injury)
Df Percy Triggs: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.2 (no injury)
Mf Weston Williamson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.94 (no injury)
Mf Babou Kebe: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.97 (no injury)
Fw Vieira Mario: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.75 (no injury)
Fw Jay Hanny: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.38 (no injury)
Fw Owen Jones: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.0 (no injury)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 94.53 (no injury)
Sw Édouard Gning: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.91 (no injury)
Df Thiago Boniek: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.23 (no injury)
Df Nour Zaroury: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.73 (no injury)
Mf Freddie Cockham: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.82 (no injury)
Mf Noah Martinez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.85 (no injury)
Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.1 (no injury)
Fw Kian Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.68 (no injury)
Fw Ilija Caleta-Car: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.43 (no injury)
Fw Josh Watson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.07 (no injury)
Fw Atef Omar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.07 (no injury)
============================================================================
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Jay Hanny SL 16
- Defending Gk: Kurt Östman SL 15
intRndPk = 78
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 78 (no penalty kick)
******* LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Freddie Cockham SL 13
- Defending Gk: Mousa Boffin SL 15
intRndPk = 59
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 59 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* LINCOLN CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Lincoln City FC 16 16 47 25 51
Nottingham Forest 17 17 22 23 64
Lincoln City FC Fw Attacks = 29 (51 - 22); result rounded up
Lincoln City FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((25 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
Lincoln City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((47 - 64) / 3; rounded up)
Lincoln City FC Total Attacks = 30
1: Attack for Mf Babou Kebe
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 83.81 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
2: Attack for Fw Vieira Mario
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Jay Hanny
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Vieira Mario
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Owen Jones
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Fw Vieira Mario
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 66.72 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Owen Jones
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Jay Hanny
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 99.89 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
9: Attack for Fw Vieira Mario
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Vieira Mario
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Vieira Mario
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Vieira Mario
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target)
13: Attack for Fw Vieira Mario
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target)
14: Attack for Fw Jay Hanny
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Jay Hanny
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Jay Hanny
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Vieira Mario
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 11.42 (Shot Saved by Gk)
18: Attack for Fw Owen Jones
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw Owen Jones
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Vieira Mario
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target)
21: Attack for Fw Owen Jones
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw Vieira Mario
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Vieira Mario
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack)
24: Attack for Fw Owen Jones
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack)
25: Attack for Fw Jay Hanny
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 9.21 (Shot Saved by Gk)
26: Attack for Fw Jay Hanny
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack)
27: Attack for Fw Vieira Mario
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 3.38 (Shot Saved by Gk)
28: Attack for Fw Vieira Mario
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
29: Attack for Fw Jay Hanny
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack)
30: Attack for Fw Jay Hanny
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Nottingham Forest 17 17 22 23 64
Lincoln City FC 16 16 47 25 51
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 17 (64 - 47); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 25) / 2; rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((22 - 51) / 3; rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 17
1: Attack for Fw Ilija Caleta-Car
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 31.88 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target)
13: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 78.07 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
16: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Ilija Caleta-Car
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
LINCOLN CITY FC 2 - NOTTINGHAM FOREST 1
Match Notes
On the skids of late in league play, so a home win here is needed. Best of luck, Steve!
Mike (Lincoln City FC) 06/29 - 11:26 AM
We tried
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 06/29 - 6:21 PM