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Swansea City AFC
Roy Rolsten
 
Cardiff City FC
Graham Wilkes
 
 
League Round 11
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SWANSEA CITY AFC                           CARDIFF CITY FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Pathé Ndong            13    2   15     Gk Justin Donfack         15    0   15
Df Miguel de la Cruz      13    2   15     Sw David Lemaigre         14    2   16
Df Enrique Masis          13    2   15     Df Eric Campbell          14    1   15
Df Gharib Alami           10    0   10     Df Gregory Robinson        8    1    9
Df Jordan Cummings         8    2   10     Mf Jeong Yong             13    2   15
Mf Walid Sellimi          14    2   16     Mf Hywel James            13    2   15
Mf Mikkel Hedegaard       10    2   12     Fw Achraf Mohamedi         8    2   10
Fw Renato Cabanas         14    2   16     Mf Artur Zalewski          8    2   10
Fw Gerry Maclaren         13    2   15     Fw Gaëtan Chair           13    2   15
Fw Michaël Van der heijden16    2   18     Fw Jair Sanchez           13    1   14
Fw Yeltsin Venegas         8    2   10     Fw Kostyantyn Semenyuk    10    2   12

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15  0 50 28 59        ROSTER TOTALS      15 16 24 40 51    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  4  5       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15  0 50 32 64         T O T A L S       15 16 24 40 51    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Pathé Ndong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 55.47 (no red card)

Df Miguel de la Cruz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.2 (no red card)

Df Enrique Masis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.52 (no red card)

Df Gharib Alami: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.87 (no red card)

Df Jordan Cummings: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.24 (no red card)

Mf Walid Sellimi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.12 (no red card)

Mf Mikkel Hedegaard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.66 (no red card)

Fw Renato Cabanas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.88 (no red card)

Fw Gerry Maclaren: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.63 (no red card)

Fw Michaël Van der heijden: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.67 (no red card)

Fw Yeltsin Venegas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.62 (no red card)

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Justin Donfack: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 64.29 (no red card)

Sw David Lemaigre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.35 (no red card)

Df Eric Campbell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.48 (no red card)

Df Gregory Robinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.04 (no red card)

Mf Jeong Yong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.91 (no red card)

Mf Hywel James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.93 (no red card)

Fw Achraf Mohamedi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.34 (no red card)

Mf Artur Zalewski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.42 (no red card)

Fw Gaëtan Chair: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.41 (no red card)

Fw Jair Sanchez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.75 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.53 (no second yellow)

Fw Kostyantyn Semenyuk: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.11 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Cardiff City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Pathé Ndong: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 16.06 (no injury) 
Df Miguel de la Cruz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.16 (no injury) 
Df Enrique Masis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.15 (no injury) 
Df Gharib Alami: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.72 (no injury) 
Df Jordan Cummings: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.11 (no injury) 
Mf Walid Sellimi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.36 (no injury) 
Mf Mikkel Hedegaard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.52 (no injury) 
Fw Renato Cabanas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.4 (no injury) 
Fw Gerry Maclaren: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.26 (no injury) 
Fw Michaël Van der heijden: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.77 (no injury) 
Fw Yeltsin Venegas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.22 (no injury) 

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Cardiff City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Justin Donfack: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 35.64 (no injury) 
Sw David Lemaigre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.01 (no injury) 
Df Eric Campbell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.89 (no injury) 
Df Gregory Robinson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.12 (no injury) 
Mf Jeong Yong: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.18 (no injury) 
Mf Hywel James: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.56 (no injury) 
Fw Achraf Mohamedi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.2 (no injury) 
Mf Artur Zalewski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.21 (no injury) 
Fw Gaëtan Chair: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.38 (no injury) 
Fw Jair Sanchez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.25 (no injury) 
Fw Kostyantyn Semenyuk: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.38 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Michaël Van der heijden SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Justin Donfack SL 15

     intRndPk = 94
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 94 (no penalty kick)

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Eric Campbell SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Pathé Ndong SL 13

     intRndPk = 60
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 60 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swansea City AFC         15   0  50  32  64
  Cardiff City FC          15  16  24  40  51

Swansea City AFC Fw Attacks = 40 (64 - 24); result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((32 - 40) / 2;  rounded up)
Swansea City AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((50 - 51) / 5;  rounded up)
Swansea City AFC Total Attacks = 40

1: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 76.96 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 77.39 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 61.7 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 11.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 92.32 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 48.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 70.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 44 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 87.74 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
20: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 3.82 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
24: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
30: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
33: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
34: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
35: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
36: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
37: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target) 
38: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
39: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
40: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Cardiff City FC          15  16  24  40  51
  Swansea City AFC         15   0  50  32  64

Cardiff City FC Fw Attacks = 1 (51 - 50); result rounded up
Cardiff City FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((40 - 32) / 2) ; result rounded up
Cardiff City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((24 - 64) / 3;  rounded up)
Cardiff City FC Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Mf Jeong Yong
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Jeong Yong
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Artur Zalewski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 70.04 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Hywel James
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 74.93 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Gaëtan Chair
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SWANSEA CITY AFC 4  -  CARDIFF CITY FC 1
 
Match Notes
South wales derby danger territory
Graham (Cardiff City FC) 02/14 - 7:25 PM
 
 
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