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Lincoln City FC
Mike Cabral
 
Dorchester Town
Andy Shaw
 
 
League Round 11
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LINCOLN CITY FC                            DORCHESTER TOWN

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Mousa Boffin           15    0   15     Gk Logan McKennie         13    2   15
Sw Jakob Petersen         16    0   16     Sw Esteban Martin         13    2   15
Df Hans Murphy            13    1   14     Df Andre Ngwa             12    2   14
Df Percy Triggs           12    1   13     Df Hugo Quintero          12    2   14
Df Mohammed Fosu           8    2   10     Df Jonathan Acosta        12    2   14
Mf Babou Kebe             13    2   15     Df Grégory Lloris         11    2   13
Mf Aliou Sow              12    2   14     Mf Bertus De leeuw        13    2   15
Mf Weston Williamson      10    2   12     Mf Ivan Vida              11    2   13
Fw Vieira Mario           18    1   19     Fw Aaron Jones            14    2   16
Fw Sérgio da Rocha        12    2   14     Fw Torben Thygesen        13    2   15
Fw Owen Jones             10    2   12     Fw Teun Van der berg       8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15 16 37 41 45        ROSTER TOTALS      15 15 55 28 41    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          2  2  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15 16 37 41 54         T O T A L S       17 17 55 28 41    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Mousa Boffin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 52.45 (no red card)

Sw Jakob Petersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 100.0 (no red card)

Df Hans Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.48 (no red card)

Df Percy Triggs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.88 (no red card)

Df Mohammed Fosu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.09 (no red card)

Mf Babou Kebe: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.17 (no red card)

Mf Aliou Sow: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.82 (no red card)

Mf Weston Williamson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.69 (no red card)

Fw Vieira Mario: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.09 (no red card)

Fw Sérgio da Rocha: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.95 (no red card)

Fw Owen Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.27 (no red card)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 4
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Logan McKennie: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 16.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 52.89 (no red card)

Sw Esteban Martin: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 42.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 48.45 (no red card)

Df Andre Ngwa: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 43.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 70.15 (no red card)

Df Hugo Quintero: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 22.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 20.61 (no red card)

Df Jonathan Acosta: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 1.55 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 97.66 (no second yellow)

Df Grégory Lloris: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 53.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 64.25 (no red card)

Mf Bertus De leeuw: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 5.41 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 22.41 (no second yellow)

Mf Ivan Vida: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 84.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 4.8 (no red card)

Fw Aaron Jones: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 27.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 53.08 (no red card)

Fw Torben Thygesen: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 79.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 66.74 (no red card)

Fw Teun Van der berg: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 69.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 41.66 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 4
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.75%
Gk Mousa Boffin: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 40.51 (no injury) 
Sw Jakob Petersen: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 58.85 (no injury) 
Df Hans Murphy: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 40.58 (no injury) 
Df Percy Triggs: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 7.73 (no injury) 
Df Mohammed Fosu: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 71.45 (no injury) 
Mf Babou Kebe: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 33.95 (no injury) 
Mf Aliou Sow: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 63.07 (no injury) 
Mf Weston Williamson: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 76.27 (no injury) 
Fw Vieira Mario: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 74.29 (no injury) 
Fw Sérgio da Rocha: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 82.83 (no injury) 
Fw Owen Jones: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 49.52 (no injury) 

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 4
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Logan McKennie: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 78.48 (no injury) 
Sw Esteban Martin: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 3.22 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Esteban Martin is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Esteban Martin new match skill level =  7
      Esteban Martin new match total level =  9
Df Andre Ngwa: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 37.99 (no injury) 
Df Hugo Quintero: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 79.84 (no injury) 
Df Jonathan Acosta: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 59.75 (no injury) 
Df Grégory Lloris: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 74.12 (no injury) 
Mf Bertus De leeuw: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 0.52 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      Bertus De leeuw is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Bertus De leeuw new match skill level =  7
      Bertus De leeuw new match total level =  9
Mf Ivan Vida: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 31.43 (no injury) 
Fw Aaron Jones: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 36.92 (no injury) 
Fw Torben Thygesen: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 99.94 (no injury) 
Fw Teun Van der berg: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 77.17 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 4; (4 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Vieira Mario SL 18
   - Defending Gk: Logan McKennie SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 41 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 26 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 61 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 96 (no penalty kick)

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Aaron Jones SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Mousa Boffin SL 15

     intRndPk = 58
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 58 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lincoln City FC          15  16  37  41  54
  Dorchester Town          17  11  55  22  41

Lincoln City FC Fw Attacks = 0 (54 - 55)
Lincoln City FC Mf Attacks = 10 ((41 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
Lincoln City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 41) / 3;  rounded up)
Lincoln City FC Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Mf Babou Kebe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 96.87 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Mf Babou Kebe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 48.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Babou Kebe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Weston Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Aliou Sow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Aliou Sow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf Aliou Sow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Mf Weston Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 53.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Weston Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Babou Kebe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 50.24 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dorchester Town          17  11  55  22  41
  Lincoln City FC          15  16  37  41  54

Dorchester Town Fw Attacks = 4 (41 - 37); result rounded up
Dorchester Town Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 41) / 2;  rounded up)
Dorchester Town Df Attacks = 1 ((55 - 54) / 3); result rounded up
Dorchester Town Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Df Hugo Quintero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 68.48 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Aaron Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Aaron Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Aaron Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Teun Van der berg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LINCOLN CITY FC 1  -  DORCHESTER TOWN 0
 
Match Notes
Our first relegation six pointer this weekend.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 02/10 - 5:46 PM
A late goal conceded to lose but probably didn’t deserve anything.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 02/18 - 10:52 PM
 
 
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