(H)
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
League Round 11
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
CARLISLE UNITED CREWE ALEXANDRA FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Dani Cassio 15 2 17 Gk Per Holmdahl 10 2 12
Sw Philippe Manago 13 0 13 Sw Piotr Sobolewski 13 2 15
Df Nicola Panucci 14 -1 13 Df Magnus Waering 14 2 16
Df Marco Sa 13 0 13 Df Festus Abubakar 13 2 15
Df Kyria Brozovic 8 2 10 Df Dominique Coltorti 8 2 10
Mf Minato Morishima 13 2 15 Mf Óscar Cota 13 2 15
Mf Ousmane Laforest 8 2 10 Mf Mario Pletikosa 9 2 11
Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue 14 2 16 Mf Clement Harouna 8 2 10
Fw Yannick Vanaken 12 1 13 Fw Olivier Havet 14 2 16
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek 11 1 12 Fw Gonzalo Lopez 14 2 16
Fw Agustin Martinez 8 2 10 Fw Kalle Ljungberg 8 2 10
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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17 13 36 25 51 ROSTER TOTALS 12 15 41 36 42
0 0 0 0 1 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 3 6 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
17 13 36 28 58 T O T A L S 12 15 41 36 42
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Dani Cassio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.17 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 77.37 (no red card)
Sw Philippe Manago: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 32.72 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 77.28 (no red card)
Df Nicola Panucci: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 25.27 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 98.93 (no red card)
Df Marco Sa: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 56.57 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 80.71 (no red card)
Df Kyria Brozovic: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 43.0 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 58.31 (no red card)
Mf Minato Morishima: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 27.82 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 62.8 (no red card)
Mf Ousmane Laforest: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 27.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.96 (no red card)
Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 21.98 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 56.25 (no red card)
Fw Yannick Vanaken: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 64.77 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 72.3 (no red card)
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 71.94 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 92.14 (no red card)
Fw Agustin Martinez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 76.59 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 91.62 (no red card)
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.38 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 8.36 (no red card)
Sw Piotr Sobolewski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.89 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.89 (no red card)
Df Magnus Waering: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.82 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.37 (no red card)
Df Festus Abubakar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.47 (no red card)
Df Dominique Coltorti: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.68 (no red card)
Mf Óscar Cota: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.53 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.06 (no red card)
Mf Mario Pletikosa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.89 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.52 (no red card)
Mf Clement Harouna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.28 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.76 (no red card)
Fw Olivier Havet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.59 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.25 (no red card)
Fw Gonzalo Lopez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.82 (no red card)
Fw Kalle Ljungberg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.1 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.11 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 1
- Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Dani Cassio: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 19.97 (no injury)
Sw Philippe Manago: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 84.63 (no injury)
Df Nicola Panucci: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 13.45 (no injury)
Df Marco Sa: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 44.34 (no injury)
Df Kyria Brozovic: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 19.34 (no injury)
Mf Minato Morishima: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 27.88 (no injury)
Mf Ousmane Laforest: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 81.81 (no injury)
Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 87.02 (no injury)
Fw Yannick Vanaken: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 5.0 (no injury)
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 4.95 (no injury)
Fw Agustin Martinez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 32.38 (no injury)
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 4.97 (no injury)
Sw Piotr Sobolewski: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 25.49 (no injury)
Df Magnus Waering: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 98.06 (no injury)
Df Festus Abubakar: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 23.5 (no injury)
Df Dominique Coltorti: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 33.52 (no injury)
Mf Óscar Cota: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 45.73 (no injury)
Mf Mario Pletikosa: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 18.26 (no injury)
Mf Clement Harouna: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 43.59 (no injury)
Fw Olivier Havet: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 74.14 (no injury)
Fw Gonzalo Lopez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 0.07 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 0
Gonzalo Lopez is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Kalle Ljungberg: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 82.03 (no injury)
============================================================================
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Nicola Panucci SL 14
- Defending Gk: Per Holmdahl SL 10
intRndPk = 14
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 14 (no penalty kick)
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Magnus Waering SL 14
- Defending Gk: Dani Cassio SL 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 43 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Carlisle United 17 13 36 28 58
Crewe Alexandra FC 12 15 41 36 42
Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 17 (58 - 41); result rounded up
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 0 ((28 - 36) / 2; rounded up)
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((36 - 42) / 3; rounded up)
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 17
1: Attack for Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Fw Yannick Vanaken
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 57.05 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Yannick Vanaken
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 69.69 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
8: Attack for Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Fw Agustin Martinez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 86.27 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
12: Attack for Fw Yannick Vanaken
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 46.57 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 1.55 (Shot Saved by Gk)
14: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 24.39 (Shot Saved by Gk)
17: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack)
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Crewe Alexandra FC 12 15 41 36 42
Carlisle United 17 13 36 28 58
Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 6 (42 - 36); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((36 - 28) / 2) ; result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 0 ((41 - 58) / 3; rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 10
1: Attack for Mf Clement Harouna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Mf Óscar Cota
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 91.47 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
3: Attack for Mf Clement Harouna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 45.32 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Mf Óscar Cota
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Lopez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 72.17 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Kalle Ljungberg
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Lopez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Lopez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Lopez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
CARLISLE UNITED 2 - CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 1
Match Notes
Mid-table reckoning
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 06/14 - 9:58 AM
Cautious Carl heading to Carlisle with his clipboard and his low-risk gameplan. Won't be pretty. Won't be a trophy either, knowing Crewe's luck.
Olmec Head Ray (Blyth Spartans AFC) 06/15 - 6:30 PM
Ouch! That draws us back into the relegation battle
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 06/21 - 6:24 AM