(H)
Oldham Athletic AFC
Antoine Thevenon
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
League Round 11
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Manuel Zakaria 12 2 14 Gk Samir Bouaziz 14 2 16
Sw Mitsuo Soma 10 2 12 Sw Bradley Perry 13 2 15
Df Herman Lambert 13 2 15 Df Jaap De wit 13 2 15
Df Zinedine Castex 12 2 14 Df Oliver Grbic 10 2 12
Df Faryd Cuadrado 12 2 14 Df Jason McDiarmid 8 2 10
Mf Vibeke Skov 12 2 14 Mf Yuriy Taran 12 2 14
Mf Manuel Alves 13 2 15 Mf Rigobert Mahamat 11 2 13
Fw Alhassan Baffoe 13 2 15 Mf Minki Sung-yeung 8 2 10
Fw Jakub Fabianski 12 2 14 Fw Ruben Gutiérrez 15 1 16
Fw Wladimir Groen 12 2 14 Fw Vukmir Kovalenko 12 2 14
Fw Marouane Peeters 10 2 12 Fw Elias Mayer 8 2 10
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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14 12 43 29 55 ROSTER TOTALS 16 15 37 37 40
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 1 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
14 12 43 29 64 T O T A L S 16 16 37 37 40
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Manuel Zakaria: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.61 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 26.2 (no red card)
Sw Mitsuo Soma: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.05 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.16 (no red card)
Df Herman Lambert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.66 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.81 (no red card)
Df Zinedine Castex: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.13 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.95 (no red card)
Df Faryd Cuadrado: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.87 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.5 (no red card)
Mf Vibeke Skov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.92 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.33 (no red card)
Mf Manuel Alves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.03 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.84 (no red card)
Fw Alhassan Baffoe: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.52 (no red card)
Fw Jakub Fabianski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.46 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.37 (no red card)
Fw Wladimir Groen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.34 (no red card)
Fw Marouane Peeters: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.49 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.54 (no red card)
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Samir Bouaziz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.46 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 78.32 (no red card)
Sw Bradley Perry: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 21.12 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 1.03 (no red card)
Df Jaap De wit: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 52.91 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 96.96 (no red card)
Df Oliver Grbic: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 56.34 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 66.26 (no red card)
Df Jason McDiarmid: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 51.87 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 13.65 (no red card)
Mf Yuriy Taran: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 66.72 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 50.57 (no red card)
Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 73.62 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 74.69 (no red card)
Mf Minki Sung-yeung: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 94.57 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 61.05 (no red card)
Fw Ruben Gutiérrez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.46 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 28.97 (no second yellow)
Fw Vukmir Kovalenko: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 40.02 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 44.0 (no red card)
Fw Elias Mayer: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 59.23 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 68.61 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0
- Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Manuel Zakaria: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 70.98 (no injury)
Sw Mitsuo Soma: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 40.75 (no injury)
Df Herman Lambert: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 48.78 (no injury)
Df Zinedine Castex: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 49.51 (no injury)
Df Faryd Cuadrado: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 84.84 (no injury)
Mf Vibeke Skov: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 50.83 (no injury)
Mf Manuel Alves: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 85.18 (no injury)
Fw Alhassan Baffoe: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 98.9 (no injury)
Fw Jakub Fabianski: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 66.53 (no injury)
Fw Wladimir Groen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 90.51 (no injury)
Fw Marouane Peeters: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 93.02 (no injury)
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
- Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Samir Bouaziz: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 94.22 (no injury)
Sw Bradley Perry: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 91.98 (no injury)
Df Jaap De wit: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 22.44 (no injury)
Df Oliver Grbic: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 20.21 (no injury)
Df Jason McDiarmid: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 54.0 (no injury)
Mf Yuriy Taran: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 25.14 (no injury)
Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 89.7 (no injury)
Mf Minki Sung-yeung: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 78.91 (no injury)
Fw Ruben Gutiérrez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 0.58 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 2
Ruben Gutiérrez is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Ruben Gutiérrez new match skill level = 8
Ruben Gutiérrez new match total level = 9
Fw Vukmir Kovalenko: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 61.95 (no injury)
Fw Elias Mayer: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 55.67 (no injury)
============================================================================
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Herman Lambert SL 13
- Defending Gk: Samir Bouaziz SL 14
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 25 (no penalty kick)
******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Jaap De wit SL 13
- Defending Gk: Manuel Zakaria SL 12
intRndPk = 58
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 58 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Oldham Athletic AFC 14 12 43 29 64
Brighton & Hove Albion 16 16 37 37 33
Oldham Athletic AFC Fw Attacks = 27 (64 - 37); result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((29 - 37) / 2; rounded up)
Oldham Athletic AFC Df Attacks = 4 ((43 - 33) / 3); result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Total Attacks = 31
1: Attack for Df Zinedine Castex
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Df Faryd Cuadrado
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Df Zinedine Castex
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Df Faryd Cuadrado
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 97.06 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
7: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Marouane Peeters
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 42.26 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Fw Marouane Peeters
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 91.14 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
11: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target)
17: Attack for Fw Marouane Peeters
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target)
18: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 85.25 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
23: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target)
24: Attack for Fw Marouane Peeters
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
25: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
26: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack)
27: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target)
28: Attack for Fw Marouane Peeters
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack)
29: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack)
30: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack)
31: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack)
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Brighton & Hove Albion 16 16 37 37 33
Oldham Athletic AFC 14 12 43 29 64
Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 0 (33 - 43)
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 4 ((37 - 29) / 2) ; result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 64) / 3; rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 4
1: Attack for Mf Minki Sung-yeung
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 3.63 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Mf Yuriy Taran
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Rigobert Mahamat
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 49.7 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Mf Yuriy Taran
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC 3 - BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 0
Match Notes
No one should ever expect us to win anything this season. Out your dollars on Oldham to get three points.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 06/30 - 2:38 PM
Good advice! I'm betting on Oldham!
Antoine (Oldham Athletic AFC) 07/03 - 4:47 PM
Ouch!!
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 07/05 - 11:04 PM