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Queens Park Rangers
James White
 
Swansea City AFC
Roy Rolsten
 
 
League Round 11
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

QUEENS PARK RANGERS                        SWANSEA CITY AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Petro Vasylenko        16    2   18     Gk Kuma Morishima          4    2    6
Sw Ji-An Sang-chul        17    2   19     Sw Yarik Sidorenko         6    2    8
Df Kostyantyn Pavlyuk     13    2   15     Df Bonturo Ferrari        11    2   13
Df Hiroki Ueda             8    2   10     Df Miguel de la Cruz      10    2   12
Mf Stjepan Grbic          12    2   14     Df Min-Seong Jung          8    2   10
Mf Ben Goodwin             8    2   10     Mf Walid Sellimi           8    2   10
Fw Shkodran Neuville      13    2   15     Mf Matthew Zalewski        6   -2    4
Fw Song Sun               13    2   15     Mf Aurelien Maitron        4    2    6
Fw Justin Sibley          13    2   15     Fw Gerry Maclaren          9    1   10
Fw Juan-Jose Cano         12    2   14     Fw Fernando Guimarães      8    2   10
Fw Stewart Scholes         8    2   10     Fw Claude Antier           4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 19 25 24 69        ROSTER TOTALS       6  8 35 20 26    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  1  2  6       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 19 26 26 75         T O T A L S        6  8 35 20 26    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Petro Vasylenko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 97.28 (no red card)

Sw Ji-An Sang-chul: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.15 (no red card)

Df Kostyantyn Pavlyuk: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.39 (no red card)

Df Hiroki Ueda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.52 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.71 (no second yellow)

Mf Stjepan Grbic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.75 (no red card)

Mf Ben Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.04 (no red card)

Fw Shkodran Neuville: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.53 (no red card)

Fw Song Sun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.07 (no red card)

Fw Justin Sibley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.28 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.72 (no second yellow)

Fw Juan-Jose Cano: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.62 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.14 (no second yellow)

Fw Stewart Scholes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.72 (no red card)

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Kuma Morishima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 74.54 (no red card)

Sw Yarik Sidorenko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.11 (no red card)

Df Bonturo Ferrari: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.88 (no red card)

Df Miguel de la Cruz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.37 (no red card)

Df Min-Seong Jung: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.78 (no red card)

Mf Walid Sellimi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.08 (no red card)

Mf Matthew Zalewski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.43 (no red card)

Mf Aurelien Maitron: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.66 (no red card)

Fw Gerry Maclaren: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.79 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.72 (no second yellow)

Fw Fernando Guimarães: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.8 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.03 (no second yellow)

Fw Claude Antier: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.23 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Queens Park Rangers Team Hardness = 0
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Petro Vasylenko: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 18.62 (no injury) 
Sw Ji-An Sang-chul: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.55 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Ji-An Sang-chul is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Kostyantyn Pavlyuk: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.19 (no injury) 
Df Hiroki Ueda: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.8 (no injury) 
Mf Stjepan Grbic: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.47 (no injury) 
Mf Ben Goodwin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.25 (no injury) 
Fw Shkodran Neuville: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.21 (no injury) 
Fw Song Sun: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.31 (no injury) 
Fw Justin Sibley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.02 (no injury) 
Fw Juan-Jose Cano: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.05 (no injury) 
Fw Stewart Scholes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.44 (no injury) 

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Queens Park Rangers Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Kuma Morishima: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 95.84 (no injury) 
Sw Yarik Sidorenko: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.35 (no injury) 
Df Bonturo Ferrari: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.09 (no injury) 
Df Miguel de la Cruz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.81 (no injury) 
Df Min-Seong Jung: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.63 (no injury) 
Mf Walid Sellimi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.76 (no injury) 
Mf Matthew Zalewski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.82 (no injury) 
Mf Aurelien Maitron: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.18 (no injury) 
Fw Gerry Maclaren: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.41 (no injury) 
Fw Fernando Guimarães: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.08 (no injury) 
Fw Claude Antier: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.61 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Kostyantyn Pavlyuk SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Kuma Morishima SL 4

     intRndPk = 39
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 39 (no penalty kick)

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Bonturo Ferrari SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Petro Vasylenko SL 16

     intRndPk = 75
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 75 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Queens Park Rangers      18  19  26  26  75
  Swansea City AFC         6   8  35  20  26

Queens Park Rangers Fw Attacks = 40 (75 - 35); result rounded up
Queens Park Rangers Mf Attacks = 3 ((26 - 20) / 2) ; result rounded up
Queens Park Rangers Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 26) / 3;  rounded up)
Queens Park Rangers Total Attacks = 43

1: Attack for Mf Stjepan Grbic
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Stjepan Grbic
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 30.11 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Ben Goodwin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 47 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Juan-Jose Cano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 47 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Song Sun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Shkodran Neuville
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Shkodran Neuville
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Shkodran Neuville
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Justin Sibley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Song Sun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Shkodran Neuville
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Song Sun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 74.31 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Fw Stewart Scholes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 65.53 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw Justin Sibley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Justin Sibley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 80.84 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
16: Attack for Fw Justin Sibley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 13.03 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Shkodran Neuville
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 72.35 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
18: Attack for Fw Juan-Jose Cano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Song Sun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Justin Sibley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Juan-Jose Cano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 48 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Song Sun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 84.89 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
23: Attack for Fw Shkodran Neuville
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Justin Sibley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Shkodran Neuville
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 50 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 30.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
26: Attack for Fw Stewart Scholes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Juan-Jose Cano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
28: Attack for Fw Justin Sibley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Juan-Jose Cano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
30: Attack for Fw Song Sun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 81.87 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
31: Attack for Fw Justin Sibley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Juan-Jose Cano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 76.22 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
33: Attack for Fw Juan-Jose Cano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
34: Attack for Fw Shkodran Neuville
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 54.3 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
35: Attack for Fw Shkodran Neuville
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
36: Attack for Fw Song Sun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
37: Attack for Fw Shkodran Neuville
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
38: Attack for Fw Stewart Scholes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 70% | Random number = 52 (Shot Off Target) 
39: Attack for Fw Shkodran Neuville
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 70% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 53.54 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
40: Attack for Fw Song Sun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
41: Attack for Fw Shkodran Neuville
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
42: Attack for Fw Justin Sibley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 75% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 33.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
43: Attack for Fw Justin Sibley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 75% | Random number = 68 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swansea City AFC         6   8  35  20  26
  Queens Park Rangers      18  19  26  26  75

Swansea City AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (26 - 26)
Swansea City AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 26) / 2;  rounded up)
Swansea City AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((35 - 75) / 3;  rounded up)
Swansea City AFC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
QUEENS PARK RANGERS 9  -  SWANSEA CITY AFC 0
 
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