(H)
Tranmere Rovers
Alon Atie
Swansea City AFC
Roy Rolsten
League Round 11
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S TRANMERE ROVERS SWANSEA CITY AFC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Maciej Piechniczek 15 -1 14 Gk Pathé Ndong 7 2 9 Sw Santiago Ramos 15 2 17 Sw William Upamecano 3 2 5 Df Júlio Casemiro 11 2 13 Df Gharib Alami 12 1 13 Df Christian Kristensen 8 2 10 Df Lucas Stuhr 8 2 10 Mf Søren Jacobsen 10 2 12 Df Tony Ford 8 0 8 Mf Cobi Keller 8 2 10 Mf Khalid Idrissi 12 2 14 Fw Sebastian Zielinski 16 2 18 Mf Jacob King 10 2 12 Fw Granit Wicky 15 2 17 Mf Kenneth Sani 6 2 8 Fw Tim Scholz 16 2 18 Fw Gerry Maclaren 15 -1 14 Fw Michal Buncol 11 2 13 Fw Maximillian Hoffmann 12 1 13 Fw Robbie Murphy 8 2 10 Fw Renato Cabanas 8 2 10 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 14 17 23 22 76 ROSTER TOTALS 9 5 31 34 37 1 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 4 2 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 15 17 26 26 78 T O T A L S 9 5 31 34 37 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* TRANMERE ROVERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 1 Gk Maciej Piechniczek: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 84.2 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 74.84 (no red card) Sw Santiago Ramos: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 64.84 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 50.93 (no red card) Df Júlio Casemiro: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 96.31 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 99.35 (no red card) Df Christian Kristensen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 98.46 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.54 (no red card) Mf Søren Jacobsen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 46.21 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 52.74 (no red card) Mf Cobi Keller: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 75.51 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 62.14 (no red card) Fw Sebastian Zielinski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 38.22 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 20.02 (no red card) Fw Granit Wicky: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 19.43 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 31.23 (no red card) Fw Tim Scholz: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 65.9 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 99.82 (no red card) Fw Michal Buncol: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 33.6 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 5.75 (no red card) Fw Robbie Murphy: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 74.91 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 74.26 (no red card) ******* SWANSEA CITY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Pathé Ndong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.03 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 60.23 (no red card) Sw William Upamecano: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.8 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.33 (no red card) Df Gharib Alami: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.35 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.27 (no red card) Df Lucas Stuhr: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.98 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.58 (no red card) Df Tony Ford: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.98 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.4 (no red card) Mf Khalid Idrissi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.33 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.83 (no red card) Mf Jacob King: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.44 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.59 (no red card) Mf Kenneth Sani: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.17 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.79 (no red card) Fw Gerry Maclaren: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.95 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.34 (no red card) Fw Maximillian Hoffmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.79 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.39 (no red card) Fw Renato Cabanas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.54 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.4 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 1 - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75% - Gk chance of injury = 1.37% Gk Maciej Piechniczek: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 48.08 (no injury) Sw Santiago Ramos: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 95.54 (no injury) Df Júlio Casemiro: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 10.46 (no injury) Df Christian Kristensen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 8.82 (no injury) Mf Søren Jacobsen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 52.16 (no injury) Mf Cobi Keller: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 7.51 (no injury) Fw Sebastian Zielinski: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 40.2 (no injury) Fw Granit Wicky: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 2.48 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 4 Granit Wicky is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session) Granit Wicky new match skill level = 8 Granit Wicky new match total level = 10 Fw Tim Scholz: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 53.9 (no injury) Fw Michal Buncol: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 38.85 (no injury) Fw Robbie Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 6.19 (no injury) ******* SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0 - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25% - Gk chance of injury = 1.62% Gk Pathé Ndong: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 37.23 (no injury) Sw William Upamecano: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 95.55 (no injury) Df Gharib Alami: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 45.45 (no injury) Df Lucas Stuhr: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 79.13 (no injury) Df Tony Ford: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 94.24 (no injury) Mf Khalid Idrissi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 18.54 (no injury) Mf Jacob King: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 11.3 (no injury) Mf Kenneth Sani: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 84.67 (no injury) Fw Gerry Maclaren: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 50.97 (no injury) Fw Maximillian Hoffmann: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 3.74 (no injury) Fw Renato Cabanas: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 43.71 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Sebastian Zielinski SL 16 - Defending Gk: Pathé Ndong SL 7 intRndPk = 91 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 91 (no penalty kick) ******* TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Gerry Maclaren SL 15 - Defending Gk: Maciej Piechniczek SL 15 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 74 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* TRANMERE ROVERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Tranmere Rovers 15 17 26 26 71 Swansea City AFC 9 5 31 34 37 Tranmere Rovers Fw Attacks = 40 (71 - 31); result rounded up Tranmere Rovers Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 34) / 2; rounded up) Tranmere Rovers Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 37) / 3; rounded up) Tranmere Rovers Total Attacks = 40 1: Attack for Fw Tim Scholz Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 70.21 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 2: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 3: Attack for Fw Tim Scholz Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 4: Attack for Fw Tim Scholz Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 16.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 29.3 (Shot Saved by Gk) 6: Attack for Fw Robbie Murphy Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Granit Wicky Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 8: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 37.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 9: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 54.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 10: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Michal Buncol Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 95.24 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 12: Attack for Fw Granit Wicky Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Robbie Murphy Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Fw Robbie Murphy Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 17: Attack for Fw Tim Scholz Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 18: Attack for Fw Tim Scholz Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 45 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 19: Attack for Fw Granit Wicky Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 42 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 40 (Shot Off Target) 20: Attack for Fw Tim Scholz Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 21: Attack for Fw Michal Buncol Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 22: Attack for Fw Michal Buncol Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 23: Attack for Fw Granit Wicky Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 96.13 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 24: Attack for Fw Tim Scholz Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 25: Attack for Fw Tim Scholz Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 26: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 27: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 28: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 29: Attack for Fw Granit Wicky Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 29.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 30: Attack for Fw Tim Scholz Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 80.04 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 31: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 32: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 33: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 48 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 46 (Shot Off Target) 34: Attack for Fw Robbie Murphy Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 94.82 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 35: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 36: Attack for Fw Granit Wicky Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 3.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 37: Attack for Fw Granit Wicky Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 38: Attack for Fw Robbie Murphy Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 39: Attack for Fw Granit Wicky Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 22.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 40: Attack for Fw Michal Buncol Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) ******* SWANSEA CITY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Swansea City AFC 9 5 31 34 37 Tranmere Rovers 15 17 26 26 71 Swansea City AFC Fw Attacks = 11 (37 - 26); result rounded up Swansea City AFC Mf Attacks = 4 ((34 - 26) / 2) ; result rounded up Swansea City AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 71) / 3; rounded up) Swansea City AFC Total Attacks = 15 1: Attack for Mf Khalid Idrissi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 13.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Mf Jacob King Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 59.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Mf Khalid Idrissi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Mf Kenneth Sani Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Maximillian Hoffmann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Maximillian Hoffmann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Fw Maximillian Hoffmann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 57.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 14: Attack for Fw Maximillian Hoffmann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Maximillian Hoffmann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E TRANMERE ROVERS 5 - SWANSEA CITY AFC 0