(H)

Port Vale FC
John Holden

Cardiff City FC
Graham Wilkes
League Round 11
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S PORT VALE FC CARDIFF CITY FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Hyun Tae-yong 15 1 16 Gk Ronaldo Marquinhos 8 2 10 Sw Fokke Taylor 15 1 16 Sw David Lemaigre 14 2 16 Df Carsten Kragelund 14 0 14 Df Gregory Robinson 13 2 15 Df Philipp Vogel 12 2 14 Df Eric Campbell 16 2 18 Df Sven Thoren 8 2 10 Mf Jeong Yong 12 2 14 Mf Santiago Villa 13 0 13 Mf Hywel James 10 2 12 Mf Hélder Carvalho 13 0 13 Fw Héctor Vasquez 13 2 15 Fw Adam Vasilev 14 2 16 Fw Gaëtan Chair 13 2 15 Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi 17 0 17 Fw Jair Sanchez 11 2 13 Fw Peter Goossens 13 1 14 Fw Fabrice Ndi 8 2 10 Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti 12 1 13 Fw Leonardo Alonso 8 2 10 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 16 16 38 26 60 ROSTER TOTALS 10 16 33 26 63 1 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 17 16 38 26 69 T O T A L S 13 16 33 26 63 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* PORT VALE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 1 Gk Hyun Tae-yong: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 56.14 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 80.24 (no red card) Sw Fokke Taylor: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 36.69 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 55.3 (no red card) Df Carsten Kragelund: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 87.17 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 39.79 (no red card) Df Philipp Vogel: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 99.48 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 29.89 (no red card) Df Sven Thoren: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 4.35 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.8 (no second yellow) Mf Santiago Villa: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 48.7 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 95.86 (no red card) Mf Hélder Carvalho: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 87.32 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 63.35 (no red card) Fw Adam Vasilev: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 81.66 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 52.24 (no red card) Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 87.56 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 73.46 (no red card) Fw Peter Goossens: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 60.3 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.87 (no red card) Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 90.19 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 79.33 (no red card) ******* CARDIFF CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Ronaldo Marquinhos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.9 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 55.69 (no red card) Sw David Lemaigre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.27 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.79 (no red card) Df Gregory Robinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.76 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.13 (no red card) Df Eric Campbell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.66 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.95 (no red card) Mf Jeong Yong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.21 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.67 (no red card) Mf Hywel James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.34 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.89 (no red card) Fw Héctor Vasquez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.52 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.34 (no red card) Fw Gaëtan Chair: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.95 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.13 (no red card) Fw Jair Sanchez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.05 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.07 (no second yellow) Fw Fabrice Ndi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.81 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.55 (no red card) Fw Leonardo Alonso: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.28 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.42 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* PORT VALE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 1 - Cardiff City FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75% - Gk chance of injury = 1.37% Gk Hyun Tae-yong: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 35.3 (no injury) Sw Fokke Taylor: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 66.35 (no injury) Df Carsten Kragelund: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 15.83 (no injury) Df Philipp Vogel: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 21.66 (no injury) Df Sven Thoren: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 57.43 (no injury) Mf Santiago Villa: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 2.78 (no injury) Mf Hélder Carvalho: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 87.33 (no injury) Fw Adam Vasilev: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 72.06 (no injury) Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 41.88 (no injury) Fw Peter Goossens: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 12.92 (no injury) Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 30.49 (no injury) ******* CARDIFF CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Cardiff City FC Team Hardness = 0 - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25% - Gk chance of injury = 1.62% Gk Ronaldo Marquinhos: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 13.07 (no injury) Sw David Lemaigre: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 10.65 (no injury) Df Gregory Robinson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 89.05 (no injury) Df Eric Campbell: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 44.36 (no injury) Mf Jeong Yong: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 99.43 (no injury) Mf Hywel James: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 33.74 (no injury) Fw Héctor Vasquez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 59.76 (no injury) Fw Gaëtan Chair: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 90.86 (no injury) Fw Jair Sanchez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 77.2 (no injury) Fw Fabrice Ndi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 93.09 (no injury) Fw Leonardo Alonso: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 87.95 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* CARDIFF CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Abdeljalil El Ahmadi SL 17 - Defending Gk: Ronaldo Marquinhos SL 8 intRndPk = 16 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 16 (no penalty kick) ******* PORT VALE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Eric Campbell SL 16 - Defending Gk: Hyun Tae-yong SL 15 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 83 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* PORT VALE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Port Vale FC 17 16 38 26 69 Cardiff City FC 13 16 33 26 63 Port Vale FC Fw Attacks = 36 (69 - 33); result rounded up Port Vale FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 26) / 2; rounded up) Port Vale FC Df Attacks = 0 ((38 - 63) / 3; rounded up) Port Vale FC Total Attacks = 36 1: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 19.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 16.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 53.82 (Shot Saved by Gk) 6: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 81.56 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 8: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 13: Attack for Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 33.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 14: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 17: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 82.18 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 18: Attack for Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 19: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 20: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 21: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 22: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 23: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 24: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 25: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 45.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 26: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 15.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 27: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 28: Attack for Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 29: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 30: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 31: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 32: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 33: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 34: Attack for Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 35: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 36: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) ******* CARDIFF CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Cardiff City FC 13 16 33 26 63 Port Vale FC 17 16 38 26 69 Cardiff City FC Fw Attacks = 25 (63 - 38); result rounded up Cardiff City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 26) / 2; rounded up) Cardiff City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 69) / 3; rounded up) Cardiff City FC Total Attacks = 25 1: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 2: Attack for Fw Gaëtan Chair Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Fw Gaëtan Chair Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 5: Attack for Fw Jair Sanchez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Fw Héctor Vasquez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 7: Attack for Fw Héctor Vasquez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Héctor Vasquez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Héctor Vasquez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Héctor Vasquez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 12: Attack for Fw Gaëtan Chair Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Leonardo Alonso Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Jair Sanchez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 88.62 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 15: Attack for Fw Héctor Vasquez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Fw Jair Sanchez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 17: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 18: Attack for Fw Gaëtan Chair Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 4.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 19: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 20: Attack for Fw Héctor Vasquez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 21: Attack for Fw Gaëtan Chair Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 19.35 (Shot Saved by Gk) 22: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 23: Attack for Fw Jair Sanchez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 24: Attack for Fw Fabrice Ndi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 25: Attack for Fw Gaëtan Chair Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E PORT VALE FC 2 - CARDIFF CITY FC 1
Match Notes

I’ll think I’ll skip this game not hopeful at all lol
Graham (Cardiff City FC) 06/28 - 7:36 PM