(H)
Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
Watford
James Tucker
League Round 11
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
PRESTON NORTH END FC WATFORD
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Valentin Lugn 17 2 19 Gk Riccardo Di matteo 16 2 18
Sw Tjoris Dumfried 15 2 17 Df Saul Aquino 13 2 15
Df Hayden Goodwin 15 2 17 Df Felipe Pérez 15 2 17
Df Miguel Torres 10 2 12 Df Walter McGree 10 1 11
Mf Didier Mendy 12 0 12 Df Waldemar Skoras 10 2 12
Fw Miguel López 10 2 12 Df Victor Bach 8 2 10
Mf Arthur Goodwin 11 2 13 Mf Breno Freda 11 0 11
Fw Eduardo Luna 15 2 17 Mf Federico Machado 10 1 11
Fw Šime Sucic 10 2 12 Mf Seth Sibley 8 2 10
Fw Geovanny Arley 8 2 10 Fw Edgar Jimenez 15 2 17
Fw Sebastian Murillo 8 2 10 Fw Julien De Boeck 13 1 14
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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19 17 29 25 61 ROSTER TOTALS 18 0 65 32 31
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 1
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 7 0
=======================================================================
19 17 29 25 70 T O T A L S 18 0 65 39 32
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.75 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 20.5 (no red card)
Sw Tjoris Dumfried: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.48 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.5 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
Tjoris Dumfried new match skill level = 8
Tjoris Dumfried new match total level = 10
Df Hayden Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.86 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.31 (no red card)
Df Miguel Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.87 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.25 (no red card)
Mf Didier Mendy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.82 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.09 (no red card)
Fw Miguel López: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.74 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.01 (no red card)
Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.93 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.87 (no red card)
Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.41 (no red card)
Fw Šime Sucic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.45 (no red card)
Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.77 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.8 (no red card)
Fw Sebastian Murillo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.88 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.05 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
Sebastian Murillo new match skill level = 4
Sebastian Murillo new match total level = 6
******* WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.34 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 64.74 (no red card)
Df Saul Aquino: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 27.22 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 21.7 (no red card)
Df Felipe Pérez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 46.76 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 42.41 (no red card)
Df Walter McGree: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 84.61 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 51.86 (no red card)
Df Waldemar Skoras: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 39.66 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 95.18 (no red card)
Df Victor Bach: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 69.35 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 33.91 (no red card)
Mf Breno Freda: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 4.61 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.26 (no second yellow)
Mf Federico Machado: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 89.84 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 30.33 (no red card)
Mf Seth Sibley: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 44.26 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 57.69 (no red card)
Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 65.34 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 5.1 (no red card)
Fw Julien De Boeck: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 24.24 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 35.94 (no red card)
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
- Watford Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 96.38 (no injury)
Sw Tjoris Dumfried: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 67.97 (no injury)
Df Hayden Goodwin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 13.44 (no injury)
Df Miguel Torres: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 76.82 (no injury)
Mf Didier Mendy: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 85.95 (no injury)
Fw Miguel López: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 84.8 (no injury)
Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 31.89 (no injury)
Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 95.14 (no injury)
Fw Šime Sucic: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 77.17 (no injury)
Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 52.89 (no injury)
Fw Sebastian Murillo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 99.28 (no injury)
******* WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Watford Team Hardness = 1
- Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 84.48 (no injury)
Df Saul Aquino: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 41.05 (no injury)
Df Felipe Pérez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 44.84 (no injury)
Df Walter McGree: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 89.42 (no injury)
Df Waldemar Skoras: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 79.34 (no injury)
Df Victor Bach: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 91.9 (no injury)
Mf Breno Freda: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 79.33 (no injury)
Mf Federico Machado: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 98.86 (no injury)
Mf Seth Sibley: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 72.67 (no injury)
Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 27.54 (no injury)
Fw Julien De Boeck: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 56.35 (no injury)
============================================================================
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Hayden Goodwin SL 15
- Defending Gk: Riccardo Di matteo SL 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 37 (no penalty kick)
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Felipe Pérez SL 15
- Defending Gk: Valentin Lugn SL 17
intRndPk = 36
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 36 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Preston North End FC 19 10 29 25 66
Watford 18 0 65 39 32
Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 1 (66 - 65); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 39) / 2; rounded up)
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 0 ((29 - 32) / 3; rounded up)
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 1
1: Attack for Fw Miguel López
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target)
******* WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Watford 18 0 65 39 32
Preston North End FC 19 10 29 25 66
Watford is Playing For A Draw!
Watford Fw Attacks = 2 (32 - 29) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Watford Mf Attacks = 4 ((39 - 25) / 2) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Watford Df Attacks = 0 ((65 - 66) / 5; rounded up)
Watford Total Attacks = 6
1: Attack for Mf Federico Machado
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Breno Freda
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Breno Freda
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Mf Breno Freda
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 52.41 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 57.24 (Shot Saved by Gk)
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F I N A L S C O R E
PRESTON NORTH END FC 0 - WATFORD 0
Match Notes
The sending off definitely helped the clean sheet bid.
James (Watford) 02/17 - 10:55 AM