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Swansea City AFC
Roy Rolsten
 
Tranmere Rovers
Alon Atie
 
 
League Round 11
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SWANSEA CITY AFC                           TRANMERE ROVERS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Pathé Ndong            14    2   16     Gk Mohammed Zakari        16    2   18
Df Bonturo Ferrari        13    0   13     Sw Santiago Ramos         16    2   18
Df Miguel de la Cruz      13    2   15     Df Martin Morales         12    2   14
Df Jordan Cummings        12    2   14     Df Zac McGree             11    2   13
Df Enrique Masis          10    2   12     Mf Hans Cornelius         10    2   12
Mf Walid Sellimi          12    2   14     Mf Ilija Pjaca            10    1   11
Mf Mikkel Hedegaard       11    2   13     Fw Robbie Murphy          16    2   18
Fw Yeltsin Venegas        15    0   15     Fw Valentyn Shulga        17    2   19
Fw Renato Cabanas         14    2   16     Fw Sebastian Zielinski    10    2   12
Fw Gerry Maclaren         16   -1   15     Fw Aidan Henderson         9    2   11
Fw Michaël Van der heijden 9    2   11     Fw Granit Wicky            9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16  0 54 27 57        ROSTER TOTALS      18 18 27 23 71    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  1  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16  0 63 27 57         T O T A L S       18 18 27 24 71    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Pathé Ndong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 59.05 (no red card)

Df Bonturo Ferrari: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.38 (no red card)

Df Miguel de la Cruz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.6 (no red card)

Df Jordan Cummings: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.6 (no red card)

Df Enrique Masis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.73 (no red card)

Mf Walid Sellimi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.62 (no red card)

Mf Mikkel Hedegaard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.79 (no red card)

Fw Yeltsin Venegas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.17 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.36 (no second yellow)

Fw Renato Cabanas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.89 (no red card)

Fw Gerry Maclaren: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.8 (no red card)

Fw Michaël Van der heijden: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.76 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.81 (no second yellow)

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Mohammed Zakari: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 51.26 (no red card)

Sw Santiago Ramos: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 16.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 98.52 (no red card)

Df Martin Morales: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 61.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 61.68 (no red card)

Df Zac McGree: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 97.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 89.15 (no red card)

Mf Hans Cornelius: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 71.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 18.45 (no red card)

Mf Ilija Pjaca: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 67.7 (no red card)

Fw Robbie Murphy: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 44.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 47.18 (no red card)

Fw Valentyn Shulga: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 97.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 94.68 (no red card)

Fw Sebastian Zielinski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 27.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.25 (no red card)

Fw Aidan Henderson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 95.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 62.7 (no red card)

Fw Granit Wicky: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 29.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 33.93 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Pathé Ndong: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 15.17 (no injury) 
Df Bonturo Ferrari: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 30.78 (no injury) 
Df Miguel de la Cruz: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 6.89 (no injury) 
Df Jordan Cummings: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 5.03 (no injury) 
Df Enrique Masis: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 74.23 (no injury) 
Mf Walid Sellimi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 81.95 (no injury) 
Mf Mikkel Hedegaard: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 13.4 (no injury) 
Fw Yeltsin Venegas: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 92.26 (no injury) 
Fw Renato Cabanas: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 70.79 (no injury) 
Fw Gerry Maclaren: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 98.18 (no injury) 
Fw Michaël Van der heijden: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 43.68 (no injury) 

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 1
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Mohammed Zakari: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 11.84 (no injury) 
Sw Santiago Ramos: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 87.16 (no injury) 
Df Martin Morales: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 8.85 (no injury) 
Df Zac McGree: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 13.01 (no injury) 
Mf Hans Cornelius: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 57.41 (no injury) 
Mf Ilija Pjaca: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 4.78 (no injury) 
Fw Robbie Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 89.09 (no injury) 
Fw Valentyn Shulga: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 86.77 (no injury) 
Fw Sebastian Zielinski: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 92.5 (no injury) 
Fw Aidan Henderson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 15.85 (no injury) 
Fw Granit Wicky: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 49.45 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Gerry Maclaren SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Mohammed Zakari SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 46 (no penalty kick)

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Valentyn Shulga SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Pathé Ndong SL 14

     intRndPk = 18
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 18 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swansea City AFC         16   0  63  27  57
  Tranmere Rovers          18  18  27  24  71

Swansea City AFC Fw Attacks = 30 (57 - 27); result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Mf Attacks = 2 ((27 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((63 - 71) / 5;  rounded up)
Swansea City AFC Total Attacks = 32

1: Attack for Mf Walid Sellimi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 2.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Mikkel Hedegaard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 66 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 88.68 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 3.76 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 60.45 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Yeltsin Venegas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
30: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 96.09 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
31: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 59.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tranmere Rovers          18  18  27  24  71
  Swansea City AFC         16   0  63  27  57

Tranmere Rovers Fw Attacks = 8 (71 - 63); result rounded up
Tranmere Rovers Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 27) / 2;  rounded up)
Tranmere Rovers Df Attacks = 0 ((27 - 57) / 3;  rounded up)
Tranmere Rovers Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Fw Valentyn Shulga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 17.97 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Robbie Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 55.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Robbie Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Robbie Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 19.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Valentyn Shulga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 35.83 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Granit Wicky
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 64.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Robbie Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 70.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Valentyn Shulga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 4.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SWANSEA CITY AFC 2  -  TRANMERE ROVERS 0
 
Match Notes
Looks like a good win for swansea here
Simon (Northampton Town FC) 07/05 - 10:00 PM
 
 
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