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Swindon Town FC
Matt White
 
Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
 
 
League Round 10
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SWINDON TOWN FC                            CREWE ALEXANDRA FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Lewis Lorimar          10    1   11     Gk Joshua Samed           13    2   15
Df Martin Toivonen        13    0   13     Sw John Taylor             7    2    9
Df Enrique Gimenez        14    0   14     Df Sion Davey             12    2   14
Df Abdel Bejaoui           8    1    9     Df Emir Sellimi           10    2   12
Mf Etienne Willems        13    0   13     Df David O'Reilly         10    2   12
Mf Brecht De wit          12    0   12     Mf Ian Tejeda             13    2   15
Mf Mark Davies            11    1   12     Mf Thomas Robinson        10    2   12
Mf Artem Fedorov           6    2    8     Mf Jaromir Tokar           9    2   11
Fw António Guerreiro      12    0   12     Fw Ryu Haraguchi          13    2   15
Fw Bartosz Frankowski     11    0   11     Fw Damien Sanchez         14    2   16
Fw Alexander Ross          8    1    9     Fw Luigi Suarez           10    1   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      11  0 36 45 32        ROSTER TOTALS      15  9 38 38 42    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      11  0 36 45 41         T O T A L S       15  9 38 38 42    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Lewis Lorimar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 85.73 (no red card)

Df Martin Toivonen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.39 (no red card)

Df Enrique Gimenez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.54 (no red card)

Df Abdel Bejaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.18 (no red card)

Mf Etienne Willems: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.09 (no red card)

Mf Brecht De wit: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.18 (no red card)

Mf Mark Davies: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.33 (no red card)

Mf Artem Fedorov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.44 (no red card)

Fw António Guerreiro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.51 (no red card)

Fw Bartosz Frankowski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.43 (no red card)

Fw Alexander Ross: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.45 (no red card)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Joshua Samed: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 5.54 (no red card)

Sw John Taylor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.22 (no red card)

Df Sion Davey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.65 (no red card)

Df Emir Sellimi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.87 (no red card)

Df David O'Reilly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.08 (no red card)

Mf Ian Tejeda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.59 (no red card)

Mf Thomas Robinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.25 (no red card)

Mf Jaromir Tokar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.11 (no red card)

Fw Ryu Haraguchi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.57 (no red card)

Fw Damien Sanchez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.89 (no red card)

Fw Luigi Suarez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.53 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Lewis Lorimar: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 0.78 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Lewis Lorimar loses 0 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Lewis Lorimar new match skill level =  5
      Lewis Lorimar new match total level =  6
Df Martin Toivonen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.75 (no injury) 
Df Enrique Gimenez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.32 (no injury) 
Df Abdel Bejaoui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.4 (no injury) 
Mf Etienne Willems: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.89 (no injury) 
Mf Brecht De wit: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.02 (no injury) 
Mf Mark Davies: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.14 (no injury) 
Mf Artem Fedorov: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.19 (no injury) 
Fw António Guerreiro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.08 (no injury) 
Fw Bartosz Frankowski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.24 (no injury) 
Fw Alexander Ross: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.16 (no injury) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Joshua Samed: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 85.97 (no injury) 
Sw John Taylor: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.11 (no injury) 
Df Sion Davey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.22 (no injury) 
Df Emir Sellimi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.53 (no injury) 
Df David O'Reilly: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.27 (no injury) 
Mf Ian Tejeda: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.2 (no injury) 
Mf Thomas Robinson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.29 (no injury) 
Mf Jaromir Tokar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.53 (no injury) 
Fw Ryu Haraguchi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.88 (no injury) 
Fw Damien Sanchez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.18 (no injury) 
Fw Luigi Suarez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.98 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Enrique Gimenez SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Joshua Samed SL 13

     intRndPk = 87
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 87 (no penalty kick)

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Damien Sanchez SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Lewis Lorimar SL 5

     intRndPk = 14
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 14 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Town FC          6   0  36  45  41
  Crewe Alexandra FC       15   9  38  38  42

Swindon Town FC Fw Attacks = 3 (41 - 38); result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((45 - 38) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((36 - 42) / 5;  rounded up)
Swindon Town FC Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Mf Etienne Willems
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Mark Davies
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 38.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Etienne Willems
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Mark Davies
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 94.78 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Alexander Ross
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 8.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Bartosz Frankowski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Bartosz Frankowski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       15   9  38  38  42
  Swindon Town FC          6   0  36  45  41

Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 6 (42 - 36); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((38 - 45) / 2;  rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 0 ((38 - 41) / 3;  rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Fw Luigi Suarez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 23.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Luigi Suarez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 35.27 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Ryu Haraguchi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 15.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Damien Sanchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 88.52 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Luigi Suarez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 97.08 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Luigi Suarez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 25.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SWINDON TOWN FC 1  -  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 2
 
Match Notes
Who said draw
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 06/16 - 8:13 AM
Crewe’s sweeper had a great game
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 06/23 - 6:42 AM
 
 
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