(H)
Bristol City FC
Jason Halpin
Derby County
Martyn Hathaway
League Round 10
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
BRISTOL CITY FC DERBY COUNTY
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Eugene Vasilev 13 2 15 Gk Carlos Ferreto 8 1 9
Sw Atsushi Oshima 12 1 13 Sw Sebastiano Di lorenzo 12 0 12
Df Yahya Cheddira 13 2 15 Df Kwadwo Danlad 14 1 15
Df Patrick LecLercq 12 2 14 Df Johnny Müller 12 2 14
Mf Sebastiaan Blind 14 1 15 Df Andrew Vaughan 8 2 10
Mf Samim Skov 7 2 9 Df Gregory Reilly 7 2 9
Fw Mislav Caleta-Car 15 2 17 Mf Muziano Doni 16 0 16
Fw José Oliveira 13 2 15 Mf Enoch Gyan 12 1 13
Fw Jacob Jones 12 2 14 Mf Martin Scholes 8 2 10
Fw Jacques Eto'o 11 1 12 Fw Jose Leao 8 2 10
Fw Julius Nwosu 13 1 14 Fw Ray Kelly 3 2 5
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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15 13 29 24 72 ROSTER TOTALS 9 12 48 39 15
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 2 0
0 0 1 2 6 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
15 13 30 26 78 T O T A L S 9 12 48 41 15
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Eugene Vasilev: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.61 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 14.08 (no red card)
Sw Atsushi Oshima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.4 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.01 (no red card)
Df Yahya Cheddira: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.85 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.01 (no red card)
Df Patrick LecLercq: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.2 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.3 (no red card)
Mf Sebastiaan Blind: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.66 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.86 (no red card)
Mf Samim Skov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.92 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.82 (no red card)
Fw Mislav Caleta-Car: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.49 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.94 (no red card)
Fw José Oliveira: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.67 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.53 (no red card)
Fw Jacob Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.81 (no red card)
Fw Jacques Eto'o: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.92 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.52 (no red card)
Fw Julius Nwosu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.84 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.25 (no red card)
******* DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 2
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Carlos Ferreto: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.62 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 43.3 (no red card)
Sw Sebastiano Di lorenzo: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 99.82 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 51.37 (no red card)
Df Kwadwo Danlad: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 81.64 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 52.5 (no red card)
Df Johnny Müller: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 30.82 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 2.31 (no red card)
Df Andrew Vaughan: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 30.69 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 40.38 (no red card)
Df Gregory Reilly: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 82.54 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 31.52 (no red card)
Mf Muziano Doni: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 63.83 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 37.17 (no red card)
Mf Enoch Gyan: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 63.57 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 30.63 (no red card)
Mf Martin Scholes: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 2.24 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 71.25 (no second yellow)
Fw Jose Leao: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 75.4 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 13.98 (no red card)
Fw Ray Kelly: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 78.95 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 74.75 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
- Derby County Team Hardness = 2
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Eugene Vasilev: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 36.09 (no injury)
Sw Atsushi Oshima: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 42.64 (no injury)
Df Yahya Cheddira: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 3.84 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 5
Yahya Cheddira is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Yahya Cheddira new match skill level = 7
Yahya Cheddira new match total level = 9
Df Patrick LecLercq: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 22.12 (no injury)
Mf Sebastiaan Blind: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 59.08 (no injury)
Mf Samim Skov: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 93.85 (no injury)
Fw Mislav Caleta-Car: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 61.37 (no injury)
Fw José Oliveira: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 54.63 (no injury)
Fw Jacob Jones: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 47.62 (no injury)
Fw Jacques Eto'o: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 60.63 (no injury)
Fw Julius Nwosu: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 75.43 (no injury)
******* DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Derby County Team Hardness = 2
- Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Carlos Ferreto: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 36.15 (no injury)
Sw Sebastiano Di lorenzo: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 6.77 (no injury)
Df Kwadwo Danlad: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 86.01 (no injury)
Df Johnny Müller: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 44.78 (no injury)
Df Andrew Vaughan: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 55.28 (no injury)
Df Gregory Reilly: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 68.89 (no injury)
Mf Muziano Doni: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 6.56 (no injury)
Mf Enoch Gyan: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 12.18 (no injury)
Mf Martin Scholes: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 14.64 (no injury)
Fw Jose Leao: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 20.06 (no injury)
Fw Ray Kelly: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 86.95 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Mislav Caleta-Car SL 15
- Defending Gk: Carlos Ferreto SL 8
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 46 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 36 (no penalty kick)
******* BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Muziano Doni SL 16
- Defending Gk: Eugene Vasilev SL 13
intRndPk = 72
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 72 (no penalty kick)
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============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Bristol City FC 15 13 24 26 78
Derby County 9 12 48 41 15
Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 30 (78 - 48); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 41) / 2; rounded up)
Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 3 ((24 - 15) / 3); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 33
1: Attack for Df Patrick LecLercq
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Df Patrick LecLercq
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Df Patrick LecLercq
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Jacques Eto'o
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Mislav Caleta-Car
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 97.94 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
9: Attack for Fw Mislav Caleta-Car
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Jacques Eto'o
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 41.33 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Mislav Caleta-Car
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 11.28 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 73.35 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
14: Attack for Fw Jacob Jones
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Jacob Jones
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 4.91 (Shot Saved by Gk)
16: Attack for Fw Mislav Caleta-Car
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 33.0 (Shot Saved by Gk)
17: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 87.76 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
18: Attack for Fw Jacques Eto'o
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Mislav Caleta-Car
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target)
21: Attack for Fw Jacob Jones
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target)
22: Attack for Fw Mislav Caleta-Car
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack)
24: Attack for Fw Mislav Caleta-Car
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 88.39 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
25: Attack for Fw Mislav Caleta-Car
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 39.55 (Shot Saved by Gk)
26: Attack for Fw Mislav Caleta-Car
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack)
27: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
28: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 21.15 (Shot Saved by Gk)
29: Attack for Fw Jacques Eto'o
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
30: Attack for Fw Jacques Eto'o
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target)
31: Attack for Fw Jacob Jones
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
32: Attack for Fw José Oliveira
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack)
33: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target)
******* DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Derby County 9 12 48 41 15
Bristol City FC 15 13 24 26 78
Derby County Fw Attacks = 0 (15 - 24)
Derby County Mf Attacks = 8 ((41 - 26) / 2) ; result rounded up
Derby County Df Attacks = 0 ((48 - 78) / 3; rounded up)
Derby County Total Attacks = 8
1: Attack for Mf Muziano Doni
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Muziano Doni
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Muziano Doni
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 16.76 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Mf Martin Scholes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 69.7 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Mf Martin Scholes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 35.13 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Mf Enoch Gyan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Mf Martin Scholes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 26.31 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Mf Enoch Gyan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 45.42 (Shot Saved by Gk)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
BRISTOL CITY FC 4 - DERBY COUNTY 0
Match Notes
Halpin managing from New Jersey while his youth team gets the meaningful minutes — bold logistical choice. Derby may simply turn up and find nobody home who was expecting them.
Olmec Head Marcus (Coventry City) 06/10 - 6:30 PM
We need a win here at home.
Jason (Bristol City FC) 06/13 - 2:13 PM
That'll do
Jason (Bristol City FC) 06/13 - 6:36 PM