(H)
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
League Round 10
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION NOTTINGHAM FOREST
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Jonas Lien 16 2 18 Gk Kurt Östman 15 2 17
Sw Théo Billard 16 2 18 Sw Édouard Gning 15 2 17
Df Michael Addo 12 2 14 Df Laurence Clarke 13 -2 11
Df Eric Aidoo 11 2 13 Df Moez Mhedhebi 12 1 13
Df Óscar Cespedes 11 2 13 Df Nour Zaroury 11 2 13
Mf William Gomez 12 2 14 Mf Freddie Cockham 13 1 14
Mf Ibrahim Yusuf 12 2 14 Mf Johnny Rieder 9 2 11
Mf Raouf Salem 11 2 13 Fw Kian Clarke 13 1 14
Fw Elliot Wilkins 19 2 21 Fw Paul Dumont 12 2 14
Fw Hideaki Endo 12 2 14 Fw Josh Watson 13 1 14
Fw Khalilou Konaté 12 1 13 Fw Atef Omar 8 2 10
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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18 18 40 41 48 ROSTER TOTALS 17 17 37 25 52
0 0 0 0 1 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
18 18 40 41 58 T O T A L S 17 17 37 25 52
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Jonas Lien: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.59 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 35.18 (no red card)
Sw Théo Billard: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 25.56 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 51.11 (no red card)
Df Michael Addo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 86.49 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 22.0 (no red card)
Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 65.13 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 23.8 (no red card)
Df Óscar Cespedes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 14.25 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 59.09 (no red card)
Mf William Gomez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 62.5 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 38.16 (no red card)
Mf Ibrahim Yusuf: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 9.39 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 17.07 (no red card)
Mf Raouf Salem: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 56.72 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 29.35 (no red card)
Fw Elliot Wilkins: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 18.35 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 52.37 (no red card)
Fw Hideaki Endo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 0.41 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 82.5 (no second yellow)
Fw Khalilou Konaté: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.53 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 62.65 (no red card)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.1 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 47.83 (no red card)
Sw Édouard Gning: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.82 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.1 (no red card)
Df Laurence Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.36 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.79 (no red card)
Df Moez Mhedhebi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.03 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.63 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
Moez Mhedhebi new match skill level = 6
Moez Mhedhebi new match total level = 7
Df Nour Zaroury: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.6 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.71 (no red card)
Mf Freddie Cockham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.65 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.39 (no red card)
Mf Johnny Rieder: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.17 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.93 (no red card)
Fw Kian Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.95 (no red card)
Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.64 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.85 (no red card)
Fw Josh Watson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.94 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.85 (no second yellow)
Fw Atef Omar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.23 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.44 (no red card)
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Jonas Lien: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 53.14 (no injury)
Sw Théo Billard: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 19.28 (no injury)
Df Michael Addo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 29.46 (no injury)
Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 16.44 (no injury)
Df Óscar Cespedes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 79.07 (no injury)
Mf William Gomez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 77.04 (no injury)
Mf Ibrahim Yusuf: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 62.97 (no injury)
Mf Raouf Salem: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 82.12 (no injury)
Fw Elliot Wilkins: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 85.28 (no injury)
Fw Hideaki Endo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 19.03 (no injury)
Fw Khalilou Konaté: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 93.03 (no injury)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 66.36 (no injury)
Sw Édouard Gning: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 18.08 (no injury)
Df Laurence Clarke: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 6.62 (no injury)
Df Moez Mhedhebi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 97.76 (no injury)
Df Nour Zaroury: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 92.99 (no injury)
Mf Freddie Cockham: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 17.98 (no injury)
Mf Johnny Rieder: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 81.35 (no injury)
Fw Kian Clarke: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 55.61 (no injury)
Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 56.63 (no injury)
Fw Josh Watson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 53.85 (no injury)
Fw Atef Omar: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 0.14 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 0
Atef Omar is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Elliot Wilkins SL 19
- Defending Gk: Kurt Östman SL 15
intRndPk = 93
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 93 (no penalty kick)
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Laurence Clarke SL 13
- Defending Gk: Jonas Lien SL 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 53 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Brighton & Hove Albion 18 18 40 41 58
Nottingham Forest 17 17 31 25 52
Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 27 (58 - 31); result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 8 ((41 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((40 - 52) / 3; rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 35
1: Attack for Mf Raouf Salem
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Raouf Salem
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf William Gomez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf Raouf Salem
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Mf William Gomez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Mf William Gomez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 88.96 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
7: Attack for Mf Raouf Salem
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Mf Ibrahim Yusuf
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 98.91 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
19: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target)
20: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 65.45 (Shot Saved by Gk)
21: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
24: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 9.16 (Shot Saved by Gk)
25: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 4.04 (Shot Saved by Gk)
26: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target)
27: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target)
28: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
29: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 84.4 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
30: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
31: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
32: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 65.62 (Shot Saved by Gk)
33: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
34: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
35: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Nottingham Forest 17 17 31 25 52
Brighton & Hove Albion 18 18 40 41 58
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 12 (52 - 40); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 41) / 2; rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 58) / 3; rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 12
1: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 47.35 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 80.07 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 66 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 64.21 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 40.24 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Fw Paul Dumont
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target)
12: Attack for Fw Josh Watson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 22.54 (Shot Saved by Gk)
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F I N A L S C O R E
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 3 - NOTTINGHAM FOREST 0
Match Notes
It's a decent win, but we are stagnant in the table thus far.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 06/22 - 6:11 PM