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Lincoln City FC
Mike Cabral
 
Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
 
 
League Round 10
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LINCOLN CITY FC                            CREWE ALEXANDRA FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Mousa Boffin           15    0   15     Gk Joshua Samed           11    2   13
Sw Jakob Petersen         16    0   16     Sw Tommy McGree           13    2   15
Df Hans Murphy            13    1   14     Df Michaël Van der Heyden 14    2   16
Df Percy Triggs           12    0   12     Df Sion Davey             13    2   15
Mf Babou Kebe             12    2   14     Df Jilani Amara           11    2   13
Mf Aliou Sow              12    2   14     Mf Smahi Youssef          14    0   14
Mf Weston Williamson      10    2   12     Mf Patrice Djemba         13    2   15
Fw Vieira Mario           17    0   17     Mf Stefan Boniek          13    2   15
Fw Sérgio da Rocha        12    2   14     Fw Joel Zamora            13    2   15
Fw Owen Jones             10    2   12     Fw Erik Strömstedt        12    2   14
Fw Marcel M'Boma           9    2   11     Fw Ryu Haraguchi          15    2   17

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15 16 26 40 54        ROSTER TOTALS      13 15 44 44 46    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15 16 35 40 54         T O T A L S       13 15 44 44 46    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Mousa Boffin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 57.11 (no red card)

Sw Jakob Petersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.98 (no red card)

Df Hans Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.59 (no red card)

Df Percy Triggs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.98 (no red card)

Mf Babou Kebe: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.95 (no red card)

Mf Aliou Sow: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.22 (no red card)

Mf Weston Williamson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.08 (no red card)

Fw Vieira Mario: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.04 (no red card)

Fw Sérgio da Rocha: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.64 (no red card)

Fw Owen Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.14 (no red card)

Fw Marcel M'Boma: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.52 (no red card)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Joshua Samed: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 28.89 (no red card)

Sw Tommy McGree: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.29 (no red card)

Df Michaël Van der Heyden: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.53 (no red card)

Df Sion Davey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.93 (no red card)

Df Jilani Amara: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.96 (no red card)

Mf Smahi Youssef: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.98 (no red card)

Mf Patrice Djemba: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.06 (no red card)

Mf Stefan Boniek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.19 (no red card)

Fw Joel Zamora: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.04 (no red card)

Fw Erik Strömstedt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.23 (no red card)

Fw Ryu Haraguchi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.2 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Mousa Boffin: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 10.42 (no injury) 
Sw Jakob Petersen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.33 (no injury) 
Df Hans Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.53 (no injury) 
Df Percy Triggs: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.52 (no injury) 
Mf Babou Kebe: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.69 (no injury) 
Mf Aliou Sow: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.19 (no injury) 
Mf Weston Williamson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.67 (no injury) 
Fw Vieira Mario: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.62 (no injury) 
Fw Sérgio da Rocha: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.12 (no injury) 
Fw Owen Jones: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.33 (no injury) 
Fw Marcel M'Boma: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.42 (no injury) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Joshua Samed: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 71.15 (no injury) 
Sw Tommy McGree: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.83 (no injury) 
Df Michaël Van der Heyden: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.09 (no injury) 
Df Sion Davey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.06 (no injury) 
Df Jilani Amara: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.58 (no injury) 
Mf Smahi Youssef: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.58 (no injury) 
Mf Patrice Djemba: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.91 (no injury) 
Mf Stefan Boniek: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.51 (no injury) 
Fw Joel Zamora: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.81 (no injury) 
Fw Erik Strömstedt: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.5 (no injury) 
Fw Ryu Haraguchi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.35 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Vieira Mario SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Joshua Samed SL 11

     intRndPk = 61
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 61 (no penalty kick)

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ryu Haraguchi SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Mousa Boffin SL 15

     intRndPk = 37
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 37 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lincoln City FC          15  16  35  40  54
  Crewe Alexandra FC       13  15  44  44  46

Lincoln City FC Fw Attacks = 10 (54 - 44); result rounded up
Lincoln City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((40 - 44) / 2;  rounded up)
Lincoln City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((35 - 46) / 3;  rounded up)
Lincoln City FC Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Fw Sérgio da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Marcel M'Boma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Marcel M'Boma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Marcel M'Boma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 45.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Sérgio da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Sérgio da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Vieira Mario
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Owen Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Marcel M'Boma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Sérgio da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       13  15  44  44  46
  Lincoln City FC          15  16  35  40  54

Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 11 (46 - 35); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((44 - 40) / 2) ; result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 0 ((44 - 54) / 3;  rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 13

1: Attack for Mf Stefan Boniek
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Stefan Boniek
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Erik Strömstedt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 27.39 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Joel Zamora
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Erik Strömstedt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 3.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Erik Strömstedt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 62.6 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Erik Strömstedt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 6.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Ryu Haraguchi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Ryu Haraguchi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Erik Strömstedt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 75.44 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Fw Erik Strömstedt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Erik Strömstedt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Ryu Haraguchi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LINCOLN CITY FC 0  -  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 1
 
Match Notes
We nicked the win there.
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 02/09 - 1:18 PM
We have to go a long way back to find this final win
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 03/09 - 1:04 PM
 
 
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