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Brentford FC
Allan Sellers
 
Swansea City AFC
Roy Rolsten
 
 
League Round 10
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRENTFORD FC                               SWANSEA CITY AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Jordan Rose            16    2   18     Gk Pathé Ndong            12    2   14
Sw Ricardo Xavier         15    2   17     Sw William Upamecano       6    2    8
Df Gustav Hafström         8    1    9     Df Miguel de la Cruz      13    2   15
Df Martyn Owen            13    2   15     Df Enrique Masis          13    2   15
Df Rasmus Antonsen        12    1   13     Df Gharib Alami           10    1   11
Mf Geert De Ketelaere     13    0   13     Mf Walid Sellimi          14    2   16
Mf Shoji Tanaka           11    1   12     Mf Mikkel Hedegaard       10    2   12
Fw Lilian Cazenave        13    1   14     Fw Renato Cabanas         13    2   15
Fw Michael Lagerbäck      10    2   12     Fw Gerry Maclaren         13    2   15
Fw Jack Williams           8    2   10     Fw Michaël Van der heijden16    2   18
Fw Ye-jun Ji               7    2    9     Fw Maximillian Hoffmann    8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 17 37 25 45        ROSTER TOTALS      14  8 41 28 58    
       3  3  4  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      21 20 41 25 54         T O T A L S       14  8 41 28 58    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRENTFORD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 10
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk Jordan Rose: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 61.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 9.47 (no red card)

Sw Ricardo Xavier: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 28.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 27.19 (no red card)

Df Gustav Hafström: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 47.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 99.92 (no red card)

Df Martyn Owen: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 49.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 87.26 (no red card)

Df Rasmus Antonsen: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 85.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 65.17 (no red card)

Mf Geert De Ketelaere: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 37.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 88.67 (no red card)

Mf Shoji Tanaka: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 7.91 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 58.62 (no second yellow)

Fw Lilian Cazenave: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 33.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 70.04 (no red card)

Fw Michael Lagerbäck: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 0.5 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 45.62 (no second yellow)

Fw Jack Williams: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 60.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 19.11 (no red card)

Fw Ye-jun Ji: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 81.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 8.48 (no red card)

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Pathé Ndong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 4.77 (no red card)

Sw William Upamecano: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.18 (no red card)

Df Miguel de la Cruz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.62 (no red card)

Df Enrique Masis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.66 (no red card)

Df Gharib Alami: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.69 (no red card)

Mf Walid Sellimi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.74 (no red card)

Mf Mikkel Hedegaard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.61 (no red card)

Fw Renato Cabanas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.22 (no red card)

Fw Gerry Maclaren: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.34 (no red card)

Fw Michaël Van der heijden: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.51 (no red card)

Fw Maximillian Hoffmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.81 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 10
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.5%
Gk Jordan Rose: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.7 (no injury) 
Sw Ricardo Xavier: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 86.25 (no injury) 
Df Gustav Hafström: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 83.5 (no injury) 
Df Martyn Owen: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 25.99 (no injury) 
Df Rasmus Antonsen: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 5.73 (no injury) 
Mf Geert De Ketelaere: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 15.26 (no injury) 
Mf Shoji Tanaka: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 49.92 (no injury) 
Fw Lilian Cazenave: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 43.53 (no injury) 
Fw Michael Lagerbäck: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 77.71 (no injury) 
Fw Jack Williams: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 87.88 (no injury) 
Fw Ye-jun Ji: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 64.46 (no injury) 

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 10
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 10.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 5.0%
Gk Pathé Ndong: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 64.01 (no injury) 
Sw William Upamecano: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 55.34 (no injury) 
Df Miguel de la Cruz: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 12.57 (no injury) 
Df Enrique Masis: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 35.85 (no injury) 
Df Gharib Alami: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 86.28 (no injury) 
Mf Walid Sellimi: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 75.09 (no injury) 
Mf Mikkel Hedegaard: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 94.37 (no injury) 
Fw Renato Cabanas: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 58.21 (no injury) 
Fw Gerry Maclaren: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 24.28 (no injury) 
Fw Michaël Van der heijden: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 16.57 (no injury) 
Fw Maximillian Hoffmann: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 8.97 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 5
      Maximillian Hoffmann is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Maximillian Hoffmann new match skill level =  4
      Maximillian Hoffmann new match total level =  6
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Martyn Owen SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Pathé Ndong SL 12

     intRndPk = 58
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 58 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 10; (10 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Michaël Van der heijden SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Jordan Rose SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 58 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 27 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 47 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 50 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 1 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 82% | Random number = 7 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 30 (no penalty kick)
7: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 64 (no penalty kick)
8: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 65 (no penalty kick)
9: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 8 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 82% | Random number = 14 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
10: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 13 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRENTFORD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brentford FC             21  20  41  25  54
  Swansea City AFC         14   8  41  28  54

Brentford FC Fw Attacks = 13 (54 - 41); result rounded up
Brentford FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 28) / 2;  rounded up)
Brentford FC Df Attacks = 0 ((41 - 54) / 3;  rounded up)
Brentford FC Total Attacks = 13

1: Attack for Fw Lilian Cazenave
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Lilian Cazenave
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 22.76 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Ye-jun Ji
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 60.97 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Michael Lagerbäck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Lilian Cazenave
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Lilian Cazenave
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Jack Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Michael Lagerbäck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 9.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Jack Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 33.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Michael Lagerbäck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Jack Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 42.52 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Lilian Cazenave
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 86.51 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Fw Lilian Cazenave
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 42.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swansea City AFC         14   8  41  28  54
  Brentford FC             21  20  41  25  54

Swansea City AFC Fw Attacks = 13 (54 - 41); result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Mf Attacks = 2 ((28 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((41 - 54) / 3;  rounded up)
Swansea City AFC Total Attacks = 15

1: Attack for Mf Mikkel Hedegaard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Walid Sellimi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 93.07 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 34.6 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 75.72 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 97.88 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRENTFORD FC 1  -  SWANSEA CITY AFC 4
 
Match Notes
We hoped to be more competitive but as usual against Roy we had no chance. Nice going Roy!
Allan (Brentford FC) 02/08 - 10:28 PM
 
 
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