(H)
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
Port Vale FC
John Holden
League Round 10
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
CARLISLE UNITED PORT VALE FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Xavier Lambert 14 2 16 Gk Hyun Tae-yong 16 2 18
Sw Cristhian Dybala 13 1 14 Df Sion Bowen 14 0 14
Df Toshihiro Nakamura 13 2 15 Df Boško Shpak 13 2 15
Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck 13 1 14 Df Zak Smalls 12 1 13
Df Damir Vasilj 12 2 14 Df Alessio Rinaldi 7 2 9
Mf Jacek Frankowski 13 1 14 Mf Albert Ohrel 13 1 14
Mf Peter Bengtsson 13 2 15 Mf Hélder Carvalho 12 2 14
Fw Takeshi Fukunishi 13 2 15 Mf Danny Cole 10 2 12
Fw Salem Bejaoui 14 2 16 Mf Alain Rieder 7 2 9
Fw Noah Zimmermann 11 0 11 Fw Ricardo Jashari 14 1 15
Fw Jorge Diaz 11 1 12 Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi 13 2 15
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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16 14 43 29 54 ROSTER TOTALS 18 0 51 49 30
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 1 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 3 6 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
16 14 43 32 60 T O T A L S 19 0 51 49 30
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Xavier Lambert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.05 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 76.82 (no red card)
Sw Cristhian Dybala: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.13 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.91 (no red card)
Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.67 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.31 (no red card)
Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.7 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.47 (no red card)
Df Damir Vasilj: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.52 (no red card)
Mf Jacek Frankowski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.11 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.9 (no red card)
Mf Peter Bengtsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.49 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.17 (no second yellow)
Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.31 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.85 (no red card)
Fw Salem Bejaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.09 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.8 (no red card)
Fw Noah Zimmermann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.76 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.32 (no red card)
Fw Jorge Diaz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.67 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.58 (no red card)
******* PORT VALE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Hyun Tae-yong: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 26.07 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 32.65 (no red card)
Df Sion Bowen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 60.21 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 15.34 (no red card)
Df Boško Shpak: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.66 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 84.12 (no second yellow)
Df Zak Smalls: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.17 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 97.81 (no second yellow)
Df Alessio Rinaldi: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 73.9 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 33.72 (no red card)
Mf Albert Ohrel: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 4.43 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 17.3 (no second yellow)
Mf Hélder Carvalho: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 97.96 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 91.88 (no red card)
Mf Danny Cole: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 76.57 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.62 (no red card)
Mf Alain Rieder: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 13.72 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 96.0 (no red card)
Fw Ricardo Jashari: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 10.66 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 99.64 (no red card)
Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 53.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 68.62 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Xavier Lambert: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 12.43 (no injury)
Sw Cristhian Dybala: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 36.61 (no injury)
Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 18.99 (no injury)
Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 59.73 (no injury)
Df Damir Vasilj: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 39.79 (no injury)
Mf Jacek Frankowski: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 43.21 (no injury)
Mf Peter Bengtsson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 1.14 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 4
Peter Bengtsson is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Peter Bengtsson new match skill level = 7
Peter Bengtsson new match total level = 9
Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 89.18 (no injury)
Fw Salem Bejaoui: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 33.46 (no injury)
Fw Noah Zimmermann: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 79.15 (no injury)
Fw Jorge Diaz: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 73.16 (no injury)
******* PORT VALE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 1
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Hyun Tae-yong: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 70.05 (no injury)
Df Sion Bowen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 69.63 (no injury)
Df Boško Shpak: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 47.1 (no injury)
Df Zak Smalls: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 69.79 (no injury)
Df Alessio Rinaldi: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 77.03 (no injury)
Mf Albert Ohrel: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 74.12 (no injury)
Mf Hélder Carvalho: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 41.88 (no injury)
Mf Danny Cole: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 53.61 (no injury)
Mf Alain Rieder: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 54.05 (no injury)
Fw Ricardo Jashari: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 77.17 (no injury)
Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 37.01 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* PORT VALE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Salem Bejaoui SL 14
- Defending Gk: Hyun Tae-yong SL 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 41 (no penalty kick)
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Sion Bowen SL 14
- Defending Gk: Xavier Lambert SL 14
intRndPk = 71
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 71 (no penalty kick)
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============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Carlisle United 16 14 43 26 60
Port Vale FC 19 0 51 49 30
Port Vale FC is using Offside Trap!
Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 5 (60 - 51) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 49) / 2; rounded up)
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 5 ((43 - 30) / 3); result rounded up
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 10
1: Attack for Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Port Vale FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Df Toshihiro Nakamura
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Port Vale FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 95.29 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
3: Attack for Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Port Vale FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 66.79 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Df Damir Vasilj
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Port Vale FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Df Damir Vasilj
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Port Vale FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 8.19 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Port Vale FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 78.87 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Salem Bejaoui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Port Vale FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Port Vale FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 50.17 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw Salem Bejaoui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Port Vale FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 3.33 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Fw Jorge Diaz
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Port Vale FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target)
******* PORT VALE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Port Vale FC 19 0 51 49 30
Carlisle United 16 14 43 26 60
Port Vale FC Fw Attacks = 0 (30 - 43)
Port Vale FC Mf Attacks = 12 ((49 - 26) / 2) ; result rounded up
Port Vale FC Df Attacks = 0 ((51 - 60) / 5; rounded up)
Port Vale FC Total Attacks = 12
1: Attack for Mf Danny Cole
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 54.76 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Mf Danny Cole
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Danny Cole
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 32.54 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Mf Hélder Carvalho
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Mf Hélder Carvalho
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 74.85 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Mf Danny Cole
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Mf Albert Ohrel
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Mf Albert Ohrel
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Mf Albert Ohrel
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Mf Alain Rieder
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Mf Hélder Carvalho
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Mf Hélder Carvalho
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
CARLISLE UNITED 1 - PORT VALE FC 0
Match Notes
Does OLMEC simulate travel to Carlisle?
John (Port Vale FC) 06/22 - 11:53 AM
Haha
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 06/22 - 3:07 PM
Port Vale is actually the closest EFL team to my house.
Dave (Carlisle United) 06/22 - 8:27 PM