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Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
 
Dorchester Town
Andy Shaw
 
 
League Round 10
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION                     DORCHESTER TOWN

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Samir Bouaziz          14    2   16     Gk Kris Vermant            8    2   10
Sw Bradley Perry          13    2   15     Sw Seo-Jun Yo-han         12    2   14
Df Jaap De wit            13    2   15     Df Josip Sommer           12    2   14
Df Eric Aidoo             11    1   12     Df Tobias Kimmich         12    2   14
Mf Rigobert Mahamat       11    2   13     Df Vieira Mendes          10    2   12
Mf Jacques Mefire         10    2   12     Df Grégory Lloris          9    2   11
Mf Raouf Salem            10    2   12     Mf Bastiaan de Jong       13    2   15
Mf William Gomez           8    2   10     Mf Nazariy Gusak          12    2   14
Fw Ruben Gutiérrez        14    1   15     Mf Anthony Brees           7    2    9
Fw Bastien Troussier      15    1   16     Fw Aaron Jones            16   -2   14
Fw Vukmir Kovalenko       12    2   14     Fw Boris Rudenko          13    2   15

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 15 27 47 45        ROSTER TOTALS      10 14 51 38 29    
       0  1  0  0  0          HARDNESS          3  1  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16 16 27 47 54         T O T A L S       13 15 58 38 29    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Samir Bouaziz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 91.44 (no red card)

Sw Bradley Perry: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.87 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 17.07 (no second yellow)

Df Jaap De wit: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 71.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 82.3 (no red card)

Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 96.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 69.95 (no red card)

Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 70.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 68.94 (no red card)

Mf Jacques Mefire: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 86.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 47.57 (no red card)

Mf Raouf Salem: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 16.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 38.11 (no red card)

Mf William Gomez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 71.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 0.36 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      William Gomez new match skill level =  4
      William Gomez new match total level =  6

Fw Ruben Gutiérrez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 63.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 61.2 (no red card)

Fw Bastien Troussier: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 5.29 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 98.84 (no second yellow)

Fw Vukmir Kovalenko: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 81.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 31.5 (no red card)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 4
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk Kris Vermant: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 34.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 80.96 (no red card)

Sw Seo-Jun Yo-han: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 77.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 85.87 (no red card)

Df Josip Sommer: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 69.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 8.31 (no red card)

Df Tobias Kimmich: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 81.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 11.87 (no red card)

Df Vieira Mendes: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 90.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 7.53 (no red card)

Df Grégory Lloris: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 30.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 64.06 (no red card)

Mf Bastiaan de Jong: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 77.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 40.83 (no red card)

Mf Nazariy Gusak: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 98.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 13.18 (no red card)

Mf Anthony Brees: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 29.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 29.57 (no red card)

Fw Aaron Jones: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 50.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 18.91 (no red card)

Fw Boris Rudenko: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 95.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 39.01 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 4
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.87%
Gk Samir Bouaziz: Chance of injury = 2.87% | Random number = 88.84 (no injury) 
Sw Bradley Perry: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 50.73 (no injury) 
Df Jaap De wit: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 54.71 (no injury) 
Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 90.04 (no injury) 
Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 63.43 (no injury) 
Mf Jacques Mefire: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 1.43 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Jacques Mefire is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Mf Raouf Salem: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 67.92 (no injury) 
Mf William Gomez: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 56.22 (no injury) 
Fw Ruben Gutiérrez: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 35.04 (no injury) 
Fw Bastien Troussier: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 28.36 (no injury) 
Fw Vukmir Kovalenko: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 42.77 (no injury) 

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 4
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.12%
Gk Kris Vermant: Chance of injury = 2.12% | Random number = 27.0 (no injury) 
Sw Seo-Jun Yo-han: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 68.29 (no injury) 
Df Josip Sommer: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 28.65 (no injury) 
Df Tobias Kimmich: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 20.13 (no injury) 
Df Vieira Mendes: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 91.36 (no injury) 
Df Grégory Lloris: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 8.18 (no injury) 
Mf Bastiaan de Jong: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 10.3 (no injury) 
Mf Nazariy Gusak: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 51.47 (no injury) 
Mf Anthony Brees: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 70.81 (no injury) 
Fw Aaron Jones: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 50.89 (no injury) 
Fw Boris Rudenko: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 19.88 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 4; (4 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Bastien Troussier SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Kris Vermant SL 8

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 36 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 86 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 19 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 49 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Aaron Jones SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Samir Bouaziz SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 68 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brighton & Hove Albion   16  16  27  43  54
  Dorchester Town          13  15  58  38  29

Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 0 (54 - 58)
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 3 ((43 - 38) / 2) ; result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((27 - 29) / 3;  rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Mf Rigobert Mahamat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Rigobert Mahamat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Raouf Salem
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dorchester Town          13  15  58  38  29
  Brighton & Hove Albion   16  16  27  43  54

Dorchester Town is Playing For A Draw!
Dorchester Town Fw Attacks = 1 (29 - 27) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Dorchester Town Mf Attacks = 0 ((38 - 43) / 2;  rounded up)
Dorchester Town Df Attacks = 1 ((58 - 54) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Dorchester Town Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Df Tobias Kimmich
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Boris Rudenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 0  -  DORCHESTER TOWN 0
 
Match Notes
Another relegation six pointer. We don’t have a great record against the seagulls.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 06/28 - 1:39 PM
Taking about cancelling each other out, a snooze fest.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 07/01 - 9:53 PM
 
 
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