(H)
Southend United
Colin Scott
Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
League Round 10
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
SOUTHEND UNITED PRESTON NORTH END FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Yassine Amara 16 2 18 Gk Onel Rönnlund 16 1 17
Sw Gilbert Tchato 16 2 18 Sw Ludwig Süle 15 2 17
Df Eric Kompany 13 2 15 Df Ibrahim Aggrey 15 2 17
Df Johan Teulet 12 2 14 Df Walter Hamisu 15 2 17
Df Lars Koster 12 2 14 Df Joan Hierro 10 2 12
Mf Ludwig Troell 13 2 15 Mf Kazuo Kawashima 10 2 12
Mf Shinya Hoshizawa 10 2 12 Mf Carlos Nuñez 8 2 10
Fw Marek Grabara 14 2 16 Fw Martyn Palmer 12 2 14
Fw Percy Maguire 16 2 18 Fw Ju-Won Sang-chul 10 2 12
Fw Franco Almada 11 2 13 Fw Gustavo da Rocha 10 2 12
Fw Marco Trapp 10 2 12 Fw Felix Jimenez 8 2 10
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
18 18 43 27 59 ROSTER TOTALS 17 17 46 22 48
1 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
19 18 43 27 68 T O T A L S 17 17 46 22 48
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Yassine Amara: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 87.89 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 72.44 (no red card)
Sw Gilbert Tchato: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 78.51 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 50.37 (no red card)
Df Eric Kompany: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 14.48 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 8.08 (no red card)
Df Johan Teulet: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 34.7 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 4.57 (no red card)
Df Lars Koster: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 95.3 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 91.37 (no red card)
Mf Ludwig Troell: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 96.53 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 58.21 (no red card)
Mf Shinya Hoshizawa: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 48.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 41.04 (no red card)
Fw Marek Grabara: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.39 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 61.3 (no red card)
Fw Percy Maguire: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 78.69 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 89.73 (no red card)
Fw Franco Almada: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 54.74 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 83.55 (no red card)
Fw Marco Trapp: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 41.92 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 37.24 (no red card)
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Onel Rönnlund: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.58 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 18.15 (no red card)
Sw Ludwig Süle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.48 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.94 (no red card)
Df Ibrahim Aggrey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.36 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.07 (no red card)
Df Walter Hamisu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.11 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.51 (no red card)
Df Joan Hierro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.21 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.91 (no red card)
Mf Kazuo Kawashima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.5 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.45 (no red card)
Mf Carlos Nuñez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.68 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.53 (no second yellow)
Fw Martyn Palmer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.51 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.24 (no red card)
Fw Ju-Won Sang-chul: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.5 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.39 (no red card)
Fw Gustavo da Rocha: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.42 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.78 (no red card)
Fw Felix Jimenez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.89 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.07 (no second yellow)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Southend United Team Hardness = 1
- Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Yassine Amara: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 69.3 (no injury)
Sw Gilbert Tchato: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 1.4 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 3
Gilbert Tchato is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Gilbert Tchato new match skill level = 8
Gilbert Tchato new match total level = 10
Df Eric Kompany: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 84.56 (no injury)
Df Johan Teulet: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 99.67 (no injury)
Df Lars Koster: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 57.19 (no injury)
Mf Ludwig Troell: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 68.96 (no injury)
Mf Shinya Hoshizawa: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 56.28 (no injury)
Fw Marek Grabara: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 92.31 (no injury)
Fw Percy Maguire: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 0.66 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 0
Percy Maguire is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Franco Almada: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 75.78 (no injury)
Fw Marco Trapp: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 27.49 (no injury)
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
- Southend United Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Onel Rönnlund: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 87.15 (no injury)
Sw Ludwig Süle: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 53.89 (no injury)
Df Ibrahim Aggrey: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 1.65 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 6
Ibrahim Aggrey is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Ibrahim Aggrey new match skill level = 8
Ibrahim Aggrey new match total level = 10
Df Walter Hamisu: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 31.63 (no injury)
Df Joan Hierro: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 95.71 (no injury)
Mf Kazuo Kawashima: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 5.91 (no injury)
Mf Carlos Nuñez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 33.5 (no injury)
Fw Martyn Palmer: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 27.55 (no injury)
Fw Ju-Won Sang-chul: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 36.87 (no injury)
Fw Gustavo da Rocha: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 28.7 (no injury)
Fw Felix Jimenez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 35.04 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Percy Maguire SL 16
- Defending Gk: Onel Rönnlund SL 16
intRndPk = 84
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 84 (no penalty kick)
******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Walter Hamisu SL 15
- Defending Gk: Yassine Amara SL 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 40 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Southend United 19 10 43 27 68
Preston North End FC 17 17 39 22 48
Southend United Fw Attacks = 29 (68 - 39); result rounded up
Southend United Mf Attacks = 3 ((27 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
Southend United Df Attacks = 0 ((43 - 48) / 3; rounded up)
Southend United Total Attacks = 32
1: Attack for Mf Ludwig Troell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 24.83 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Mf Ludwig Troell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Ludwig Troell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 89.19 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
7: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Fw Franco Almada
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Marco Trapp
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 5.63 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Marco Trapp
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target)
16: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Franco Almada
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Marco Trapp
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 78.15 (Shot Saved by Gk)
19: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 47.35 (Shot Saved by Gk)
20: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw Franco Almada
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Marco Trapp
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack)
24: Attack for Fw Franco Almada
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack)
25: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
26: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack)
27: Attack for Fw Franco Almada
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 80.26 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
28: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
29: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
30: Attack for Fw Percy Maguire
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 70.99 (Shot Saved by Gk)
31: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
32: Attack for Fw Marek Grabara
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Preston North End FC 17 17 39 22 48
Southend United 19 10 43 27 68
Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 5 (48 - 43); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 27) / 2; rounded up)
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 0 ((39 - 68) / 3; rounded up)
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 5
1: Attack for Fw Gustavo da Rocha
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Gustavo da Rocha
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Felix Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 74.07 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Fw Martyn Palmer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Felix Jimenez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
SOUTHEND UNITED 2 - PRESTON NORTH END FC 0
Match Notes
I-Man rolling into Southend thinking the Evil Empire travels well. Colin Scott's had longer commutes from Lesmahagow — he'll be ready.
Olmec Head Marcus (Coventry City) 06/06 - 6:30 PM
I-Man's Evil Empire looking rather less evil today. Colin Scott reads that game well, and Preston offered very little in response.
Olmec Head Marcus (Coventry City) 06/13 - 6:30 PM