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Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
 
Watford
James Tucker
 
 
League Round 10
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION                     WATFORD

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Jonas Lien             12    2   14     Gk Riccardo Di matteo     16    2   18
Sw Théo Billard           12    2   14     Df Walter McGree          10    2   12
Df Jaap De wit            13    2   15     Df Waldemar Skoras        10    2   12
Df Eric Aidoo             13    2   15     Df Victor Bach             8    2   10
Df Óscar Cespedes         12    2   14     Df Alain Fauché            7    2    9
Mf Yuriy Taran            13    2   15     Mf Federico Machado       10    1   11
Mf William Gomez          11    2   13     Mf Seth Sibley             7    2    9
Fw Takao Soma             13    2   15     Fw Julien De Boeck        13    1   14
Fw Marcus Cole            10    2   12     Fw Hakim Aboukhlal        10    2   12
Fw Khalilou Konaté         9    2   11     Fw Valerio Paredes        10    2   12
Fw Hideaki Endo            9    2   11     Fw Matty Begum             9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 14 44 28 49        ROSTER TOTALS      18  0 43 20 49    
       0  1  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14 15 44 28 58         T O T A L S       21  0 43 20 49    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jonas Lien: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 91.17 (no red card)

Sw Théo Billard: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 60.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 27.3 (no red card)

Df Jaap De wit: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 24.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 80.87 (no red card)

Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.15 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 44.71 (no second yellow)

Df Óscar Cespedes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 10.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 48.18 (no red card)

Mf Yuriy Taran: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 44.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 37.62 (no red card)

Mf William Gomez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 15.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 2.14 (no red card)

Fw Takao Soma: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 27.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 93.57 (no red card)

Fw Marcus Cole: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 39.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 52.99 (no red card)

Fw Khalilou Konaté: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 13.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 59.23 (no red card)

Fw Hideaki Endo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 2.69 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 70.49 (no second yellow)

*******  WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 60.54 (no red card)

Df Walter McGree: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.88 (no red card)

Df Waldemar Skoras: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.76 (no red card)

Df Victor Bach: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.27 (no red card)

Df Alain Fauché: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.72 (no red card)

Mf Federico Machado: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.49 (no red card)

Mf Seth Sibley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.73 (no red card)

Fw Julien De Boeck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.72 (no red card)

Fw Hakim Aboukhlal: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.42 (no red card)

Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.86 (no red card)

Fw Matty Begum: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.64 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
   - Watford Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Jonas Lien: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 69.86 (no injury) 
Sw Théo Billard: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 86.66 (no injury) 
Df Jaap De wit: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 74.82 (no injury) 
Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 21.97 (no injury) 
Df Óscar Cespedes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 25.35 (no injury) 
Mf Yuriy Taran: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 22.35 (no injury) 
Mf William Gomez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 90.23 (no injury) 
Fw Takao Soma: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 21.35 (no injury) 
Fw Marcus Cole: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 95.78 (no injury) 
Fw Khalilou Konaté: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 83.39 (no injury) 
Fw Hideaki Endo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 69.37 (no injury) 

*******  WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Watford Team Hardness = 0
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 24.4 (no injury) 
Df Walter McGree: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 17.23 (no injury) 
Df Waldemar Skoras: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 26.39 (no injury) 
Df Victor Bach: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 15.8 (no injury) 
Df Alain Fauché: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 71.83 (no injury) 
Mf Federico Machado: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 54.5 (no injury) 
Mf Seth Sibley: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 99.87 (no injury) 
Fw Julien De Boeck: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 72.85 (no injury) 
Fw Hakim Aboukhlal: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 68.95 (no injury) 
Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 83.7 (no injury) 
Fw Matty Begum: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 86.55 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jaap De wit SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Riccardo Di matteo SL 16

     intRndPk = 44
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 44 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Julien De Boeck SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Jonas Lien SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 55 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brighton & Hove Albion   14  15  44  28  58
  Watford                  21   0  43  20  49

Watford is using Offside Trap!
Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 8 (58 - 43) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 8 ((28 - 20) / 2)  * 2.0 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((44 - 49) / 3;  rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 16

1: Attack for Mf William Gomez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 98.85 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Mf Yuriy Taran
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Yuriy Taran
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Yuriy Taran
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 54.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf William Gomez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Yuriy Taran
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 90.53 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Mf William Gomez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 48.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Yuriy Taran
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 38 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 63.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Marcus Cole
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 77.22 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 41.24 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Takao Soma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 13.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Watford                  21   0  43  20  49
  Brighton & Hove Albion   14  15  44  28  58

Watford Fw Attacks = 5 (49 - 44); result rounded up
Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 28) / 2;  rounded up)
Watford Df Attacks = 0 ((43 - 58) / 5;  rounded up)
Watford Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 52.58 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Matty Begum
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 2.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 2  -  WATFORD 0
 
Match Notes
Oh my goodness, we need a some W's right quick.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 02/02 - 7:53 PM
Not the one win we wanted this session.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 02/09 - 8:26 PM
 
 
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