(H)
Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
Brentford FC
Allan Sellers
League Round 10
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
PRESTON NORTH END FC BRENTFORD FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Smahi Regragui 16 2 18 Gk Sion Watkins 13 1 14
Sw Tjoris Dumfried 15 2 17 Sw Anton Jurman 9 1 10
Df Oribe Vega 17 2 19 Df Martyn Owen 11 2 13
Df Abdul Otu 10 2 12 Df Theo Abrahamsson 9 2 11
Df Miguel Torres 8 2 10 Df Rasmus Antonsen 8 2 10
Mf Angus McKay 13 2 15 Mf Simon Shaw 10 2 12
Mf Leif Andersen 10 2 12 Mf Alvaro Rodríguez 7 2 9
Fw Sebastian Murillo 12 1 13 Mf Min Kyung Song 6 2 8
Fw Heorhiy Kozak 10 2 12 Fw Armin Seuffert 7 2 9
Fw Eduardo Luna 10 2 12 Fw Daniel Becker 5 2 7
Fw Quique Diez 10 2 12 Fw Kent Ekdal 4 2 6
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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18 17 41 27 49 ROSTER TOTALS 14 10 34 29 22
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 3 4 0 0
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18 17 41 27 58 T O T A L S 14 13 38 29 22
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Smahi Regragui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.52 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 70.28 (no red card)
Sw Tjoris Dumfried: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.77 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.46 (no red card)
Df Oribe Vega: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.75 (no red card)
Df Abdul Otu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.17 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.8 (no red card)
Df Miguel Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.61 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.89 (no red card)
Mf Angus McKay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.84 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.09 (no red card)
Mf Leif Andersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.47 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.41 (no red card)
Fw Sebastian Murillo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.84 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.19 (no red card)
Fw Heorhiy Kozak: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.83 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.37 (no red card)
Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.56 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.85 (no red card)
Fw Quique Diez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.68 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.55 (no red card)
******* BRENTFORD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Sion Watkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.08 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 83.07 (no red card)
Sw Anton Jurman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.42 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.55 (no second yellow)
Df Martyn Owen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.84 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.37 (no red card)
Df Theo Abrahamsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.07 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.29 (no red card)
Df Rasmus Antonsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.37 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.71 (no red card)
Mf Simon Shaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.83 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.59 (no red card)
Mf Alvaro Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.63 (no red card)
Mf Min Kyung Song: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.69 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.82 (no second yellow)
Fw Armin Seuffert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.96 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.07 (no red card)
Fw Daniel Becker: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.53 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.66 (no red card)
Fw Kent Ekdal: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.24 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.41 (no red card)
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============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
- Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Smahi Regragui: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 87.51 (no injury)
Sw Tjoris Dumfried: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.18 (no injury)
Df Oribe Vega: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.19 (no injury)
Df Abdul Otu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.59 (no injury)
Df Miguel Torres: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.28 (no injury)
Mf Angus McKay: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.78 (no injury)
Mf Leif Andersen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.23 (no injury)
Fw Sebastian Murillo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.69 (no injury)
Fw Heorhiy Kozak: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.89 (no injury)
Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.86 (no injury)
Fw Quique Diez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.81 (no injury)
******* BRENTFORD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
- Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Sion Watkins: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 66.88 (no injury)
Sw Anton Jurman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.78 (no injury)
Df Martyn Owen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.99 (no injury)
Df Theo Abrahamsson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.44 (no injury)
Df Rasmus Antonsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.81 (no injury)
Mf Simon Shaw: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.52 (no injury)
Mf Alvaro Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.52 (no injury)
Mf Min Kyung Song: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.31 (no injury)
Fw Armin Seuffert: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.88 (no injury)
Fw Daniel Becker: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.42 (no injury)
Fw Kent Ekdal: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.5 (no injury)
============================================================================
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* BRENTFORD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Oribe Vega SL 17
- Defending Gk: Sion Watkins SL 13
intRndPk = 77
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 77 (no penalty kick)
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Martyn Owen SL 11
- Defending Gk: Smahi Regragui SL 16
intRndPk = 4
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 4 (PENALTY KICK!)
Chance of scoring = 62% | Random number = 79 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Preston North End FC 18 17 41 27 58
Brentford FC 14 13 38 29 22
Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 20 (58 - 38); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 29) / 2; rounded up)
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 7 ((41 - 22) / 3); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 27
1: Attack for Df Oribe Vega
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 14.29 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Df Abdul Otu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 71.95 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
3: Attack for Df Oribe Vega
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Df Abdul Otu
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Df Oribe Vega
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 25.5 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Df Oribe Vega
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Df Miguel Torres
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 45.25 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Heorhiy Kozak
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Heorhiy Kozak
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 23.38 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Fw Sebastian Murillo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 3.74 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Heorhiy Kozak
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Heorhiy Kozak
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Heorhiy Kozak
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target)
18: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw Sebastian Murillo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Heorhiy Kozak
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target)
21: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target)
22: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 89.72 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
23: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 36 (Shot Off Target)
24: Attack for Fw Quique Diez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target)
25: Attack for Fw Sebastian Murillo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 41.08 (Shot Saved by Gk)
26: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 58.01 (Shot Saved by Gk)
27: Attack for Fw Quique Diez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
******* BRENTFORD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Brentford FC 14 13 38 29 22
Preston North End FC 18 17 41 27 58
Brentford FC is Playing For A Draw!
Brentford FC Fw Attacks = 0 (22 - 41)
Brentford FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((29 - 27) / 2) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Brentford FC Df Attacks = 0 ((38 - 58) / 3; rounded up)
Brentford FC Total Attacks = 1
1: Attack for Mf Simon Shaw
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
PRESTON NORTH END FC 2 - BRENTFORD FC 1
Match Notes
Congratulations I-Man.
Allan (Brentford FC) 06/22 - 10:02 PM