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Bristol City FC
Jason Halpin
 
Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
 
 
League Round 10
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRISTOL CITY FC                            PRESTON NORTH END FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Alberto Flores         14    1   15     Gk Valentin Lugn          17    2   19
Sw Atsushi Oshima         14    2   16     Sw Walter Olivera         16    2   18
Df Eugene Goodwin         13    1   14     Df Hayden Goodwin         17    2   19
Df Martin Rodríguez       13    1   14     Df Eliecer Gutierrez      12    2   14
Df Cadwaladr Lewis        10    2   12     Df Abdul Otu              11    2   13
Mf Isaac Juhlin           13    2   15     Df Joel Calvo             10    1   11
Mf Efe Akpan              13    1   14     Mf Arthur Goodwin         14    2   16
Fw Julius Nwosu           14    2   16     Mf Bahaeeddine Ait        10    2   12
Fw Gavin Wright           17    1   18     Fw Pol Ruiz               10    2   12
Fw Ulf Helander           13    1   14     Fw Geovanny Arley         10    1   11
Fw Mbark Sabiri           10    2   12     Fw Victor Pino             8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15 16 40 29 60        ROSTER TOTALS      19 18 57 28 33    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15 16 40 29 69         T O T A L S       19 18 57 28 33    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Alberto Flores: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 76.64 (no red card)

Sw Atsushi Oshima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.99 (no red card)

Df Eugene Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.04 (no red card)

Df Martin Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.81 (no red card)

Df Cadwaladr Lewis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.78 (no red card)

Mf Isaac Juhlin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.54 (no red card)

Mf Efe Akpan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.72 (no red card)

Fw Julius Nwosu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.56 (no red card)

Fw Gavin Wright: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.61 (no red card)

Fw Ulf Helander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.92 (no red card)

Fw Mbark Sabiri: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.22 (no red card)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 50.13 (no red card)

Sw Walter Olivera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.41 (no red card)

Df Hayden Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.02 (no red card)

Df Eliecer Gutierrez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.26 (no red card)

Df Abdul Otu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.92 (no red card)

Df Joel Calvo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.71 (no red card)

Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.92 (no red card)

Mf Bahaeeddine Ait: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.58 (no red card)

Fw Pol Ruiz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.26 (no red card)

Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.96 (no red card)

Fw Victor Pino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.53 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.6 (no second yellow)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Alberto Flores: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 35.01 (no injury) 
Sw Atsushi Oshima: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.07 (no injury) 
Df Eugene Goodwin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.63 (no injury) 
Df Martin Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.04 (no injury) 
Df Cadwaladr Lewis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.98 (no injury) 
Mf Isaac Juhlin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.11 (no injury) 
Mf Efe Akpan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.67 (no injury) 
Fw Julius Nwosu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.96 (no injury) 
Fw Gavin Wright: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.93 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 5
      Gavin Wright is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Gavin Wright new match skill level =  9
      Gavin Wright new match total level =  10
Fw Ulf Helander: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.97 (no injury) 
Fw Mbark Sabiri: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.46 (no injury) 

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 17.21 (no injury) 
Sw Walter Olivera: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.48 (no injury) 
Df Hayden Goodwin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.78 (no injury) 
Df Eliecer Gutierrez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.18 (no injury) 
Df Abdul Otu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.64 (no injury) 
Df Joel Calvo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.2 (no injury) 
Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.06 (no injury) 
Mf Bahaeeddine Ait: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.86 (no injury) 
Fw Pol Ruiz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.62 (no injury) 
Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.04 (no injury) 
Fw Victor Pino: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.63 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Julius Nwosu SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Valentin Lugn SL 17

     intRndPk = 65
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 65 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Hayden Goodwin SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Alberto Flores SL 14

     intRndPk = 51
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 51 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bristol City FC          15  16  40  29  61
  Preston North End FC     19  18  57  28  33

Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 4 (61 - 57); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((29 - 28) / 2) ; result rounded up
Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 3 ((40 - 33) / 3); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Df Martin Rodríguez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Eugene Goodwin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 80.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Eugene Goodwin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Efe Akpan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 57.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 16.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Mbark Sabiri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Julius Nwosu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Preston North End FC     19  18  57  28  33
  Bristol City FC          15  16  40  29  61

Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 0 (33 - 40)
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((28 - 29) / 2;  rounded up)
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 0 ((57 - 61) / 3;  rounded up)
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRISTOL CITY FC 0  -  PRESTON NORTH END FC 0
 
Match Notes
Only one of these teams is in contention for the league title this year, and that is Jason's team.
Ian (Preston North End FC) 06/25 - 2:59 PM
The loser of this one is almost definitely out of the hunt.
Jason (Bristol City FC) 06/28 - 3:52 PM
 
 
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