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Lewes FC
Dave Dohm
 
Southend United
Colin Scott
 
 
League Round 10
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LEWES FC                                   SOUTHEND UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Marcos Cruz            16    2   18     Gk Alonso Lopez           16    2   18
Sw Nazariy Kozak          12    2   14     Sw Jordan Bukari           7    2    9
Df Shay Given             11    2   13     Df Vincent Hamidou        12    2   14
Df Marco Sibaja            7    1    8     Df Kenzie Fraser          11    2   13
Mf Veselin Dudnyk         12    1   13     Df Alex Salisu            11    2   13
Mf Henrik Kristensen      10    2   12     Df Mauricio López          7    2    9
Fw Ichiro Sakai           12    2   14     Df Claes Östberg           9    2   11
Fw Benvenuto Paoloni      12    0   12     Mf Nico Schär              8    2   10
Fw Taylor Stevenson       14    1   15     Mf Troy Juric              8    2   10
Fw Jean Diouf              8    2   10     Fw Massamba Diouf          9    2   11
Fw Fredrik Engberg         6    1    7     Fw Seny Sonko              9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 14 21 25 58        ROSTER TOTALS      18  9 60 20 22    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  1  0  8       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  3  3  1  0    
=======================================================================
      19 14 22 25 66         T O T A L S       19 12 63 21 22    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LEWES FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Marcos Cruz: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 96.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 49.37 (no red card)

Sw Nazariy Kozak: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 47.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 62.91 (no red card)

Df Shay Given: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 76.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 32.62 (no red card)

Df Marco Sibaja: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 75.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 85.56 (no red card)

Mf Veselin Dudnyk: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 59.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 96.8 (no red card)

Mf Henrik Kristensen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 62.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 35.37 (no red card)

Fw Ichiro Sakai: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 48.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 1.87 (no red card)

Fw Benvenuto Paoloni: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 29.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 16.84 (no red card)

Fw Taylor Stevenson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 78.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 29.02 (no red card)

Fw Jean Diouf: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 29.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 97.97 (no red card)

Fw Fredrik Engberg: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 73.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 57.6 (no red card)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 77.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 46.84 (no red card)

Sw Jordan Bukari: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 89.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 49.21 (no red card)

Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 86.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 5.94 (no red card)

Df Kenzie Fraser: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 76.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 73.7 (no red card)

Df Alex Salisu: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 71.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 25.4 (no red card)

Df Mauricio López: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 46.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 61.14 (no red card)

Df Claes Östberg: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 68.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 83.4 (no red card)

Mf Nico Schär: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 8.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 49.9 (no red card)

Mf Troy Juric: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 66.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.5 (no red card)

Fw Massamba Diouf: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 19.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 86.27 (no red card)

Fw Seny Sonko: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 77.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 22.45 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LEWES FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Marcos Cruz: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 79.79 (no injury) 
Sw Nazariy Kozak: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 74.44 (no injury) 
Df Shay Given: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 77.69 (no injury) 
Df Marco Sibaja: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 28.79 (no injury) 
Mf Veselin Dudnyk: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 2.2 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Veselin Dudnyk is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Veselin Dudnyk new match skill level =  6
      Veselin Dudnyk new match total level =  7
Mf Henrik Kristensen: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 51.26 (no injury) 
Fw Ichiro Sakai: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 63.34 (no injury) 
Fw Benvenuto Paoloni: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 53.41 (no injury) 
Fw Taylor Stevenson: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 34.13 (no injury) 
Fw Jean Diouf: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 78.26 (no injury) 
Fw Fredrik Engberg: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 77.9 (no injury) 

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 69.79 (no injury) 
Sw Jordan Bukari: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 12.19 (no injury) 
Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 28.54 (no injury) 
Df Kenzie Fraser: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 23.75 (no injury) 
Df Alex Salisu: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 78.53 (no injury) 
Df Mauricio López: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 3.51 (no injury) 
Df Claes Östberg: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 61.18 (no injury) 
Mf Nico Schär: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 60.44 (no injury) 
Mf Troy Juric: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 94.52 (no injury) 
Fw Massamba Diouf: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 94.65 (no injury) 
Fw Seny Sonko: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 30.89 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Taylor Stevenson SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Alonso Lopez SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 25 (no penalty kick)

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Vincent Hamidou SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Marcos Cruz SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 63 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LEWES FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lewes FC                 19  14  22  19  66
  Southend United          19  12  63  21  22

Lewes FC Fw Attacks = 3 (66 - 63); result rounded up
Lewes FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 21) / 2;  rounded up)
Lewes FC Df Attacks = 0 ((22 - 22) / 3;  rounded up)
Lewes FC Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Fw Fredrik Engberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Southend United          19  12  63  21  22
  Lewes FC                 19  14  22  19  66

Southend United is Playing For A Draw!
Southend United Fw Attacks = 0 (22 - 22)
Southend United Mf Attacks = 1 ((21 - 19) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Southend United Df Attacks = 0 ((63 - 66) / 3;  rounded up)
Southend United Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Mf Troy Juric
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LEWES FC 0  -  SOUTHEND UNITED 0
 
Match Notes
Better
Colin (Southend United) 06/22 - 8:29 PM
 
 
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