(H)
Swindon Town FC
Matt White
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
League Round 9
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
SWINDON TOWN FC BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Bo Norlén 5 2 7 Gk Ethan Maddison 12 0 12
Df Hajime Tanaka 13 0 13 Df Matheus Robinho 14 2 16
Df Quentin Mertens 12 0 12 Df Jason McDiarmid 13 2 15
Df Yahaya Etim 8 1 9 Df Ali Chukwu 7 2 9
Mf Gustavo Moreno 13 0 13 Mf Renato Ortega 12 1 13
Mf Toby Llewellyn 12 0 12 Mf Abdoul N'Diaye 8 2 10
Mf Kees Van dijk 9 2 11 Mf Boris Perisic 7 2 9
Fw Conway Roberts 15 0 15 Fw Elias Mayer 13 2 15
Fw Francois Abdou 10 0 10 Fw Ji-Hun Min 12 2 14
Fw Maxi Olivera 10 0 10 Fw Bastien Troussier 12 2 14
Fw Valeriy Yastenko 8 1 9 Fw Albert Blanco 11 2 13
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
7 0 34 36 44 ROSTER TOTALS 12 0 40 32 56
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 1 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
7 0 34 36 53 T O T A L S 12 0 41 32 56
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* SWINDON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Bo Norlén: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.54 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 36.78 (no red card)
Df Hajime Tanaka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.05 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.68 (no red card)
Df Quentin Mertens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.05 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.71 (no red card)
Df Yahaya Etim: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.31 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.33 (no red card)
Mf Gustavo Moreno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.16 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.82 (no red card)
Mf Toby Llewellyn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.51 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.48 (no second yellow)
Mf Kees Van dijk: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.92 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.48 (no red card)
Fw Conway Roberts: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.95 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.81 (no red card)
Fw Francois Abdou: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.59 (no red card)
Fw Maxi Olivera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.85 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.45 (no red card)
Fw Valeriy Yastenko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.58 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.93 (no red card)
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Ethan Maddison: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.0 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 63.31 (no red card)
Df Matheus Robinho: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 20.94 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 73.12 (no red card)
Df Jason McDiarmid: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 46.41 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 44.19 (no red card)
Df Ali Chukwu: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 51.83 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.86 (no red card)
Mf Renato Ortega: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 7.6 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 0.49 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
Renato Ortega new match skill level = 6
Renato Ortega new match total level = 7
Mf Abdoul N'Diaye: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 94.95 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 61.81 (no red card)
Mf Boris Perisic: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 24.83 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 49.42 (no red card)
Fw Elias Mayer: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 86.71 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 12.38 (no red card)
Fw Ji-Hun Min: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 13.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 84.33 (no red card)
Fw Bastien Troussier: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 71.13 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 49.44 (no red card)
Fw Albert Blanco: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 84.53 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 50.13 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Bo Norlén: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 6.81 (no injury)
Df Hajime Tanaka: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 83.02 (no injury)
Df Quentin Mertens: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 8.8 (no injury)
Df Yahaya Etim: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 37.0 (no injury)
Mf Gustavo Moreno: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 92.3 (no injury)
Mf Toby Llewellyn: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 41.92 (no injury)
Mf Kees Van dijk: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 61.66 (no injury)
Fw Conway Roberts: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 6.36 (no injury)
Fw Francois Abdou: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 48.52 (no injury)
Fw Maxi Olivera: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 77.38 (no injury)
Fw Valeriy Yastenko: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 61.05 (no injury)
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
- Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Ethan Maddison: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 36.23 (no injury)
Df Matheus Robinho: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 80.71 (no injury)
Df Jason McDiarmid: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 82.53 (no injury)
Df Ali Chukwu: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 48.25 (no injury)
Mf Renato Ortega: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 94.85 (no injury)
Mf Abdoul N'Diaye: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 63.83 (no injury)
Mf Boris Perisic: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 98.67 (no injury)
Fw Elias Mayer: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 42.62 (no injury)
Fw Ji-Hun Min: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 18.84 (no injury)
Fw Bastien Troussier: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 63.42 (no injury)
Fw Albert Blanco: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 81.39 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Conway Roberts SL 15
- Defending Gk: Ethan Maddison SL 12
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 14 (no penalty kick)
******* SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Matheus Robinho SL 14
- Defending Gk: Bo Norlén SL 5
intRndPk = 20
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 20 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* SWINDON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Swindon Town FC 7 0 34 36 53
Brighton & Hove Albion 12 0 41 26 56
Brighton & Hove Albion is using Offside Trap!
Swindon Town FC Fw Attacks = 6 (53 - 41) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Mf Attacks = 10 ((36 - 26) / 2) * 2.0 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((34 - 56) / 5; rounded up)
Swindon Town FC Total Attacks = 16
1: Attack for Mf Kees Van dijk
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 13.56 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Mf Toby Llewellyn
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Mf Gustavo Moreno
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 90.86 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
4: Attack for Mf Toby Llewellyn
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 2.74 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Mf Gustavo Moreno
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 7.71 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Mf Kees Van dijk
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 78.41 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
7: Attack for Mf Gustavo Moreno
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 0.23 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Mf Kees Van dijk
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 97.44 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
9: Attack for Mf Gustavo Moreno
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Mf Kees Van dijk
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target)
11: Attack for Fw Conway Roberts
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 50.74 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Francois Abdou
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target)
13: Attack for Fw Conway Roberts
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 41.4 (Shot Saved by Gk)
14: Attack for Fw Maxi Olivera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target)
15: Attack for Fw Valeriy Yastenko
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target)
16: Attack for Fw Valeriy Yastenko
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Brighton & Hove Albion
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 41 (Shot Off Target)
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Brighton & Hove Albion 12 0 41 26 56
Swindon Town FC 7 0 34 36 53
Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 22 (56 - 34); result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 36) / 2; rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((41 - 53) / 5; rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 22
1: Attack for Fw Ji-Hun Min
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 6.84 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Fw Bastien Troussier
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 54.31 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Fw Elias Mayer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 51.15 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Fw Elias Mayer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Fw Bastien Troussier
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Fw Albert Blanco
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Fw Elias Mayer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 92.84 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
8: Attack for Fw Bastien Troussier
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 36.98 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw Albert Blanco
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Fw Elias Mayer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 94.47 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
11: Attack for Fw Elias Mayer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target)
12: Attack for Fw Bastien Troussier
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 21.23 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Fw Elias Mayer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 43.83 (Shot Saved by Gk)
14: Attack for Fw Albert Blanco
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target)
15: Attack for Fw Elias Mayer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target)
16: Attack for Fw Albert Blanco
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target)
17: Attack for Fw Elias Mayer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 13.88 (Shot Saved by Gk)
18: Attack for Fw Bastien Troussier
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 79.21 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
19: Attack for Fw Ji-Hun Min
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target)
20: Attack for Fw Bastien Troussier
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target)
21: Attack for Fw Elias Mayer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target)
22: Attack for Fw Ji-Hun Min
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 50.38 (Shot Saved by Gk)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
SWINDON TOWN FC 3 - BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 3
Match Notes
We somehow have 6 points on the road vs 4 points at home. I don't think this will be as one-sided as the OLMEC predicts.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 06/08 - 12:57 PM
Beerman's lot are struggling for rhythm and Swindon smell blood. Water adapts, aye — but sometimes it just drains away.
Olmec Head Ray (Blyth Spartans AFC) 06/08 - 6:31 PM