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Leicester City FC
Hazel Hawker
 
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
 
 
League Round 9
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LEICESTER CITY FC                          CARLISLE UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Wilfried Kenne         15    1   16     Gk Gregory Reyna          13    2   15
Sw Garga Oumar            13    1   14     Sw Philippe Manago        13    2   15
Df Fernando Xavier        12    1   13     Df Marco Sa               13    0   13
Df Michael Frost          10    1   11     Df Eirwyn Davey           13    2   15
Mf Youssouf Konaté        13    0   13     Df Nicola Panucci          7    2    9
Mf Shiro Makino           11    1   12     Mf Marco D'amato          13    2   15
Mf Ivan Rowles            10    1   11     Mf Minato Morishima        7    2    9
Fw Curro Raya             12    0   12     Fw Jordan Pérez           13    2   15
Fw Pablo Ochoa            11    0   11     Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek     15    2   17
Fw Ahmed Ibrahim           8    2   10     Fw Javier Gimenez         11    0   11
Fw Mustapha El Ahmadi      6    2    8     Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue     7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 14 24 36 41        ROSTER TOTALS      15 15 37 24 52    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16 14 24 36 50         T O T A L S       15 15 37 24 52    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LEICESTER CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Wilfried Kenne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 89.27 (no red card)

Sw Garga Oumar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.57 (no red card)

Df Fernando Xavier: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.69 (no red card)

Df Michael Frost: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.36 (no red card)

Mf Youssouf Konaté: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.62 (no red card)

Mf Shiro Makino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.04 (no red card)

Mf Ivan Rowles: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.37 (no red card)

Fw Curro Raya: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.23 (no red card)

Fw Pablo Ochoa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.26 (no red card)

Fw Ahmed Ibrahim: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.37 (no red card)

Fw Mustapha El Ahmadi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.36 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.8 (no second yellow)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Gregory Reyna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 50.59 (no red card)

Sw Philippe Manago: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.63 (no red card)

Df Marco Sa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.39 (no red card)

Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.84 (no red card)

Df Nicola Panucci: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.73 (no red card)

Mf Marco D'amato: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.63 (no red card)

Mf Minato Morishima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.54 (no red card)

Fw Jordan Pérez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.12 (no red card)

Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.0 (no red card)

Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.26 (no red card)

Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.94 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LEICESTER CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Leicester City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Wilfried Kenne: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 27.68 (no injury) 
Sw Garga Oumar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.45 (no injury) 
Df Fernando Xavier: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.71 (no injury) 
Df Michael Frost: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.87 (no injury) 
Mf Youssouf Konaté: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.01 (no injury) 
Mf Shiro Makino: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.92 (no injury) 
Mf Ivan Rowles: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.12 (no injury) 
Fw Curro Raya: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.37 (no injury) 
Fw Pablo Ochoa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.34 (no injury) 
Fw Ahmed Ibrahim: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.68 (no injury) 
Fw Mustapha El Ahmadi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.17 (no injury) 

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - Leicester City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Gregory Reyna: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 87.25 (no injury) 
Sw Philippe Manago: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.97 (no injury) 
Df Marco Sa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.42 (no injury) 
Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.79 (no injury) 
Df Nicola Panucci: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.21 (no injury) 
Mf Marco D'amato: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.4 (no injury) 
Mf Minato Morishima: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.72 (no injury) 
Fw Jordan Pérez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.46 (no injury) 
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.69 (no injury) 
Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.2 (no injury) 
Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.6 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Youssouf Konaté SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Gregory Reyna SL 13

     intRndPk = 90
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 90 (no penalty kick)

*******  LEICESTER CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Emmanuel Krzynówek SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Wilfried Kenne SL 15

     intRndPk = 66
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 66 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LEICESTER CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Leicester City FC        16  14  24  36  50
  Carlisle United          15  15  37  24  52

Leicester City FC Fw Attacks = 13 (50 - 37); result rounded up
Leicester City FC Mf Attacks = 6 ((36 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Leicester City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((24 - 52) / 3;  rounded up)
Leicester City FC Total Attacks = 19

1: Attack for Mf Youssouf Konaté
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 15.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Youssouf Konaté
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Youssouf Konaté
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Ivan Rowles
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 39.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Youssouf Konaté
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Ivan Rowles
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Curro Raya
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Ahmed Ibrahim
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Ahmed Ibrahim
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Mustapha El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Curro Raya
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 78.43 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Fw Mustapha El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 26.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Pablo Ochoa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 53.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Ahmed Ibrahim
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Ahmed Ibrahim
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 38.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Mustapha El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 19.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Curro Raya
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Pablo Ochoa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 55.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Ahmed Ibrahim
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlisle United          15  15  37  24  52
  Leicester City FC        16  14  24  36  50

Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 28 (52 - 24); result rounded up
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 36) / 2;  rounded up)
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 50) / 3;  rounded up)
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 28

1: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 90.76 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 71.58 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 64.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 12.43 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 6.22 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 80.51 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
22: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 36 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target) 
25: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 50.58 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
26: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LEICESTER CITY FC 1  -  CARLISLE UNITED 2
 
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