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Chesterfield FC
Phil McIntosh
 
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
 
 
League Round 9
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CHESTERFIELD FC                            BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Niklas Herrmann        15    2   17     Gk Jonas Lien             16    2   18
Df Jeff Stewart           15    0   15     Df Théo Billard           14    2   16
Df Edilberto Moreno       11    0   11     Sw Bradley Perry           7    2    9
Df Robert Harrison        10    0   10     Df Michael Addo           12    2   14
Mf Jonatan López          16    0   16     Df Óscar Cespedes         11    2   13
Mf Erik Weber             11    0   11     Df Jaap De wit             7    2    9
Mf Edwin O'Kelly           8    2   10     Mf Ibrahim Yusuf          12    2   14
Fw Alfonso Mesén          16    0   16     Mf Raouf Salem            11    2   13
Fw Gabriel Bacca          17    0   17     Mf Rigobert Mahamat       10    2   12
Fw Gabriel Fernandinho    12    0   12     Fw Hideaki Endo           12    2   14
Fw Alberto Mina            8    2   10     Fw Khalilou Konaté        12    1   13

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17  0 36 37 55        ROSTER TOTALS      18  9 52 39 27    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  1  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  9  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17  0 36 46 55         T O T A L S       18 10 52 39 27    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Niklas Herrmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 2.21 (no red card)

Df Jeff Stewart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.32 (no red card)

Df Edilberto Moreno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.03 (no red card)

Df Robert Harrison: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.61 (no red card)

Mf Jonatan López: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.35 (no red card)

Mf Erik Weber: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.28 (no red card)

Mf Edwin O'Kelly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.01 (no red card)

Fw Alfonso Mesén: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.59 (no red card)

Fw Gabriel Bacca: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.23 (no red card)

Fw Gabriel Fernandinho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.25 (no red card)

Fw Alberto Mina: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.01 (no red card)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jonas Lien: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 81.92 (no red card)

Df Théo Billard: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 38.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 5.47 (no red card)

Sw Bradley Perry: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 73.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 15.95 (no red card)

Df Michael Addo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 15.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 25.52 (no red card)

Df Óscar Cespedes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 30.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 20.14 (no red card)

Df Jaap De wit: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 15.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 31.32 (no red card)

Mf Ibrahim Yusuf: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 32.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 64.06 (no red card)

Mf Raouf Salem: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 43.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 37.36 (no red card)

Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 2.81 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 19.58 (no second yellow)

Fw Hideaki Endo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 78.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 16.43 (no red card)

Fw Khalilou Konaté: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 32.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.72 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Niklas Herrmann: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 53.85 (no injury) 
Df Jeff Stewart: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 26.54 (no injury) 
Df Edilberto Moreno: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 90.57 (no injury) 
Df Robert Harrison: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 37.64 (no injury) 
Mf Jonatan López: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 21.07 (no injury) 
Mf Erik Weber: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 39.01 (no injury) 
Mf Edwin O'Kelly: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 63.65 (no injury) 
Fw Alfonso Mesén: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 53.69 (no injury) 
Fw Gabriel Bacca: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 25.93 (no injury) 
Fw Gabriel Fernandinho: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 65.5 (no injury) 
Fw Alberto Mina: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 30.54 (no injury) 

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
   - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Jonas Lien: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 60.26 (no injury) 
Df Théo Billard: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 51.95 (no injury) 
Sw Bradley Perry: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 63.84 (no injury) 
Df Michael Addo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 42.74 (no injury) 
Df Óscar Cespedes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 6.01 (no injury) 
Df Jaap De wit: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 84.76 (no injury) 
Mf Ibrahim Yusuf: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 48.15 (no injury) 
Mf Raouf Salem: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 64.3 (no injury) 
Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 30.98 (no injury) 
Fw Hideaki Endo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 58.72 (no injury) 
Fw Khalilou Konaté: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 12.47 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Gabriel Bacca SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Jonas Lien SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 66 (no penalty kick)

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Théo Billard SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Niklas Herrmann SL 15

     intRndPk = 90
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 90 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chesterfield FC          17   0  36  46  55
  Brighton & Hove Albion   18  10  52  39  27

Chesterfield FC Fw Attacks = 3 (55 - 52); result rounded up
Chesterfield FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((46 - 39) / 2) ; result rounded up
Chesterfield FC Df Attacks = 2 ((36 - 27) / 5); result rounded up
Chesterfield FC Total Attacks = 9

1: Attack for Df Jeff Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Jeff Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 45.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Jonatan López
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Edwin O'Kelly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Jonatan López
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 55.3 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Jonatan López
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Gabriel Fernandinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 13.35 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 88.18 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brighton & Hove Albion   18  10  52  39  27
  Chesterfield FC          17   0  36  46  55

Chesterfield FC is using Offside Trap!
Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 0 (27 - 36)
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 0 ((39 - 46) / 2;  rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((52 - 55) / 3;  rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CHESTERFIELD FC 1  -  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 0
 
Match Notes
Here's a close one.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 06/19 - 11:57 AM
Are the wheels starting to fall off for our Gulls?
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 06/22 - 6:07 PM
So close to the one point we needed. Lien will need to run a few extra laps this week.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 06/22 - 6:22 PM
 
 
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