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Lincoln City FC
Mike Cabral
 
Oldham Athletic AFC
Pierre van Rossum
 
 
League Round 9
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LINCOLN CITY FC                            OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Mousa Boffin           15    1   16     Gk Thomas Anderson        12    2   14
Sw Bryan Wilkins           7    2    9     Df Ichiro Oh              10    1   11
Df Hans Murphy            12    2   14     Df Mamoru Morishima       10    1   11
Df William Baker          12    2   14     Df Mohammed Cherkaoui     10    1   11
Df Mohammed Fosu          11    2   13     Df Gabriel Correia         9    2   11
Mf Weston Williamson      13    2   15     Mf Ndiaga Mané            11    1   12
Mf Aliou Sow              11    2   13     Mf Božo Rebic              8   -1    7
Mf Seo Tae-uk             10    2   12     Fw Heorhiy Kozlov         13    2   15
Fw Vieira Mario           13    1   14     Fw Marouane Peeters       12    2   14
Fw Sérgio da Rocha        13    1   14     Fw Wladimir Groen          7    2    9
Fw Marcel M'Boma          12    1   13     Fw Jakub Fabianski         7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16  9 41 40 41        ROSTER TOTALS      14  0 44 19 47    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16  9 41 40 50         T O T A L S       14  0 44 19 47    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Mousa Boffin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.67 (no red card)

Sw Bryan Wilkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.48 (no red card)

Df Hans Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.26 (no red card)

Df William Baker: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.05 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.74 (no second yellow)

Df Mohammed Fosu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.22 (no red card)

Mf Weston Williamson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.34 (no red card)

Mf Aliou Sow: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.01 (no red card)

Mf Seo Tae-uk: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.25 (no red card)

Fw Vieira Mario: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.69 (no red card)

Fw Sérgio da Rocha: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.02 (no red card)

Fw Marcel M'Boma: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.27 (no red card)

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Thomas Anderson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 78.76 (no red card)

Df Ichiro Oh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.41 (no red card)

Df Mamoru Morishima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.58 (no red card)

Df Mohammed Cherkaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.73 (no red card)

Df Gabriel Correia: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.35 (no red card)

Mf Ndiaga Mané: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.69 (no red card)

Mf Božo Rebic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.17 (no red card)

Fw Heorhiy Kozlov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.7 (no red card)

Fw Marouane Peeters: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.57 (no red card)

Fw Wladimir Groen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.65 (no red card)

Fw Jakub Fabianski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.49 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Mousa Boffin: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 48.61 (no injury) 
Sw Bryan Wilkins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.17 (no injury) 
Df Hans Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.6 (no injury) 
Df William Baker: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.41 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      William Baker is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      William Baker new match skill level =  6
      William Baker new match total level =  8
Df Mohammed Fosu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.8 (no injury) 
Mf Weston Williamson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.9 (no injury) 
Mf Aliou Sow: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.15 (no injury) 
Mf Seo Tae-uk: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.37 (no injury) 
Fw Vieira Mario: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.95 (no injury) 
Fw Sérgio da Rocha: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.61 (no injury) 
Fw Marcel M'Boma: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.09 (no injury) 

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Thomas Anderson: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 39.18 (no injury) 
Df Ichiro Oh: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.53 (no injury) 
Df Mamoru Morishima: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.36 (no injury) 
Df Mohammed Cherkaoui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.68 (no injury) 
Df Gabriel Correia: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.42 (no injury) 
Mf Ndiaga Mané: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.17 (no injury) 
Mf Božo Rebic: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.02 (no injury) 
Fw Heorhiy Kozlov: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.83 (no injury) 
Fw Marouane Peeters: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.01 (no injury) 
Fw Wladimir Groen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.78 (no injury) 
Fw Jakub Fabianski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.47 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Weston Williamson SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Thomas Anderson SL 12

     intRndPk = 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 15 (no penalty kick)

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Heorhiy Kozlov SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Mousa Boffin SL 15

     intRndPk = 77
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 77 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lincoln City FC          16   9  35  40  50
  Oldham Athletic AFC      14   0  44  19  47

Lincoln City FC Fw Attacks = 6 (50 - 44); result rounded up
Lincoln City FC Mf Attacks = 11 ((40 - 19) / 2) ; result rounded up
Lincoln City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((35 - 47) / 3;  rounded up)
Lincoln City FC Total Attacks = 17

1: Attack for Mf Weston Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 67.32 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Aliou Sow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Aliou Sow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 91.08 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Mf Seo Tae-uk
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Weston Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 22.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Weston Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 12.03 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Aliou Sow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Mf Weston Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf Weston Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 36.76 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Mf Weston Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Mf Weston Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 53.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Vieira Mario
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 89.6 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Fw Vieira Mario
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 88.66 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw Marcel M'Boma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Sérgio da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 38 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Sérgio da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 46.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Vieira Mario
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Oldham Athletic AFC      14   0  44  19  47
  Lincoln City FC          16   9  35  40  50

Oldham Athletic AFC Fw Attacks = 12 (47 - 35); result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 40) / 2;  rounded up)
Oldham Athletic AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((44 - 50) / 5;  rounded up)
Oldham Athletic AFC Total Attacks = 12

1: Attack for Fw Marouane Peeters
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Heorhiy Kozlov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 31.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Heorhiy Kozlov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 90.7 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Marouane Peeters
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 81.32 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 80.39 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LINCOLN CITY FC 3  -  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC 3
 
Match Notes
Overall W´s is 20-4 for Lincoln and they play at home, so we don't expect much.
Pierre (Oldham Athletic AFC) 06/20 - 2:46 PM
 
 
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