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Derby County
Martyn Hathaway
 
Northampton Town FC
Simon Compton
 
 
League Round 9
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

DERBY COUNTY                               NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Muhammed Asamoah        8    2   10     Gk Craig Carsley          11    2   13
Sw Sebastiano Di lorenzo  12    0   12     Sw Walter Wilson          12   -1   11
Df Kwadwo Danlad          14    1   15     Df Gabriele Gentiloni     13    2   15
Df Johnny Müller          12    2   14     Df Daire Murray            9    2   11
Fw Muziano Doni           14    0   14     Df Sakariya Hedman         7    2    9
Fw Enoch Gyan             10    1   11     Mf Felipe Fernandez       13    2   15
Mf Cédric Kenne           11    2   13     Mf Wayne Brees             8    2   10
Mf Krystian Sobolewski     7    2    9     Fw Francois Abdoulaye     12    2   14
Fw Donal O'Moore          13    0   13     Fw Bedwyr Brown            8    2   10
Fw Roque Ramos            13    0   13     Fw Francisco Murillo       7    2    9
Fw Sadou Moussa           11    0   11     Fw Greg Rashford           6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      10 12 29 22 62        ROSTER TOTALS      13 11 35 25 41    
       0  0  0  2  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  2    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      10 12 29 24 71         T O T A L S       13 11 35 25 43    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Muhammed Asamoah: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 82.68 (no red card)

Sw Sebastiano Di lorenzo: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 82.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 21.77 (no red card)

Df Kwadwo Danlad: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 68.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 33.47 (no red card)

Df Johnny Müller: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 95.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 1.43 (no red card)

Fw Muziano Doni: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 53.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 33.23 (no red card)

Fw Enoch Gyan: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 86.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 69.67 (no red card)

Mf Cédric Kenne: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 74.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 13.47 (no red card)

Mf Krystian Sobolewski: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 3.48 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 66.36 (no second yellow)

Fw Donal O'Moore: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 57.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 30.29 (no red card)

Fw Roque Ramos: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 7.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 88.61 (no red card)

Fw Sadou Moussa: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 5.82 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 28.59 (no second yellow)

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Craig Carsley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 36.63 (no red card)

Sw Walter Wilson: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 1.55 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 98.67 (no second yellow)

Df Gabriele Gentiloni: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 23.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 23.12 (no red card)

Df Daire Murray: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 63.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 7.82 (no red card)

Df Sakariya Hedman: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 48.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 54.63 (no red card)

Mf Felipe Fernandez: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 26.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 28.94 (no red card)

Mf Wayne Brees: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 5.77 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 58.9 (no second yellow)

Fw Francois Abdoulaye: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 78.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 0.77 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Francois Abdoulaye new match skill level =  6
      Francois Abdoulaye new match total level =  8

Fw Bedwyr Brown: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 90.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 16.71 (no red card)

Fw Francisco Murillo: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 28.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 23.71 (no red card)

Fw Greg Rashford: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 20.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 51.72 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 2
   - Northampton Town FC Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.25%
Gk Muhammed Asamoah: Chance of injury = 2.25% | Random number = 25.75 (no injury) 
Sw Sebastiano Di lorenzo: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 58.76 (no injury) 
Df Kwadwo Danlad: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 8.88 (no injury) 
Df Johnny Müller: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 74.61 (no injury) 
Fw Muziano Doni: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 76.0 (no injury) 
Fw Enoch Gyan: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 38.77 (no injury) 
Mf Cédric Kenne: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 11.35 (no injury) 
Mf Krystian Sobolewski: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 44.31 (no injury) 
Fw Donal O'Moore: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 4.09 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Donal O'Moore is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Donal O'Moore new match skill level =  7
      Donal O'Moore new match total level =  7
Fw Roque Ramos: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 58.55 (no injury) 
Fw Sadou Moussa: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 82.06 (no injury) 

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Northampton Town FC Team Hardness = 2
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.25%
Gk Craig Carsley: Chance of injury = 2.25% | Random number = 75.5 (no injury) 
Sw Walter Wilson: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 8.97 (no injury) 
Df Gabriele Gentiloni: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 55.23 (no injury) 
Df Daire Murray: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 15.44 (no injury) 
Df Sakariya Hedman: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 77.4 (no injury) 
Mf Felipe Fernandez: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 13.02 (no injury) 
Mf Wayne Brees: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 12.03 (no injury) 
Fw Francois Abdoulaye: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 15.42 (no injury) 
Fw Bedwyr Brown: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 21.09 (no injury) 
Fw Francisco Murillo: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 79.08 (no injury) 
Fw Greg Rashford: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 60.47 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Kwadwo Danlad SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Craig Carsley SL 11

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 28 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 33 (no penalty kick)

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Gabriele Gentiloni SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Muhammed Asamoah SL 8

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 57 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 14 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Derby County             10  12  29  24  65
  Northampton Town FC      13  11  35  25  37

Derby County Fw Attacks = 30 (65 - 35); result rounded up
Derby County Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 25) / 2;  rounded up)
Derby County Df Attacks = 0 ((29 - 37) / 3;  rounded up)
Derby County Total Attacks = 30

1: Attack for Fw Sadou Moussa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Enoch Gyan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Enoch Gyan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Roque Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Enoch Gyan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 51.75 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Donal O'Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Enoch Gyan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Roque Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 33.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Enoch Gyan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 63.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Muziano Doni
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Muziano Doni
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Donal O'Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Sadou Moussa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 95.68 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw Sadou Moussa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Sadou Moussa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 14.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Enoch Gyan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 65.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Roque Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 47.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Muziano Doni
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Enoch Gyan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Roque Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 37.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Muziano Doni
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 66.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
22: Attack for Fw Muziano Doni
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Roque Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Roque Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Roque Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 84.22 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
26: Attack for Fw Roque Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Roque Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Muziano Doni
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
29: Attack for Fw Enoch Gyan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
30: Attack for Fw Roque Ramos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Northampton Town FC      13  11  35  25  37
  Derby County             10  12  29  24  65

Northampton Town FC Fw Attacks = 8 (37 - 29); result rounded up
Northampton Town FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((25 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Northampton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((35 - 65) / 3;  rounded up)
Northampton Town FC Total Attacks = 9

1: Attack for Mf Wayne Brees
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 78.45 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Fw Bedwyr Brown
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Bedwyr Brown
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 73.28 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw Francois Abdoulaye
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Bedwyr Brown
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Francois Abdoulaye
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 64.61 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Bedwyr Brown
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Greg Rashford
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Francois Abdoulaye
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 39.17 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
DERBY COUNTY 2  -  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC 3
 

Match Notes

Compo rushing in without a plan again. Derby will make him pay for that. Hope the software's kind to him today — something has to be.
~ Olmec Head Ray ~ Jun 10 (Blyth Spartans AFC)  
Wow 71 forward line
~ Simon ~ Jun 13 (Northampton Town FC)  
That’s a close call
~ Simon ~ Jun 13 (Northampton Town FC)  
 
 
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