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Brentford FC
Allan Sellers
 
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
 
 
League Round 9
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRENTFORD FC                               BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Jordan Rose            15    2   17     Gk Samir Bouaziz          14    2   16
Sw Ricardo Xavier         13    0   13     Sw Bradley Perry          13    2   15
Df Christian Hennessey    13    2   15     Df Jaap De wit            13    2   15
Df Rasmus Antonsen        13    2   15     Df Eric Aidoo             11    1   12
Df Maciek Szymanski       12    2   14     Df Jason McDiarmid         7    2    9
Df Martyn Owen            14    2   16     Mf Rigobert Mahamat       11    2   13
Mf Balla Diouf            13    1   14     Mf Jacques Mefire         10    2   12
Mf Geert De Ketelaere     10    2   12     Mf Minki Sung-yeung        7    2    9
Fw Armin Seuffert         13    1   14     Fw Ruben Gutiérrez        14    1   15
Fw Per Seuffert           12    0   12     Fw Vukmir Kovalenko       12    2   14
Fw Lilian Cazenave        10    2   12     Fw Elias Mayer             7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 13 60 26 38        ROSTER TOTALS      16 15 36 34 38    
       3  3  4  0  0          HARDNESS          0  1  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      20 16 64 26 47         T O T A L S       16 16 36 34 38    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRENTFORD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 10
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk Jordan Rose: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 14.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 39.34 (no red card)

Sw Ricardo Xavier: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 67.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 61.26 (no red card)

Df Christian Hennessey: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 30.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 93.56 (no red card)

Df Rasmus Antonsen: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 95.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 72.0 (no red card)

Df Maciek Szymanski: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 47.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 55.01 (no red card)

Df Martyn Owen: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 14.13 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 20.29 (no second yellow)

Mf Balla Diouf: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 85.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 3.81 (no red card)

Mf Geert De Ketelaere: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 96.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 35.89 (no red card)

Fw Armin Seuffert: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 64.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 54.35 (no red card)

Fw Per Seuffert: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 27.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 97.78 (no red card)

Fw Lilian Cazenave: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 14.47 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 58.04 (no second yellow)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Samir Bouaziz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 98.17 (no red card)

Sw Bradley Perry: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 95.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 11.31 (no red card)

Df Jaap De wit: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 92.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 85.05 (no red card)

Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 87.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 6.86 (no red card)

Df Jason McDiarmid: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 7.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 75.69 (no red card)

Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.77 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 93.95 (no second yellow)

Mf Jacques Mefire: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 66.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.58 (no red card)

Mf Minki Sung-yeung: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 21.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 25.54 (no red card)

Fw Ruben Gutiérrez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 55.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 39.86 (no red card)

Fw Vukmir Kovalenko: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 70.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 28.92 (no red card)

Fw Elias Mayer: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 28.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 19.2 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 10
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.87%
Gk Jordan Rose: Chance of injury = 2.87% | Random number = 75.77 (no injury) 
Sw Ricardo Xavier: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 58.34 (no injury) 
Df Christian Hennessey: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 53.62 (no injury) 
Df Rasmus Antonsen: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 34.98 (no injury) 
Df Maciek Szymanski: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 74.36 (no injury) 
Df Martyn Owen: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 72.21 (no injury) 
Mf Balla Diouf: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 3.78 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Balla Diouf is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Balla Diouf new match skill level =  7
      Balla Diouf new match total level =  8
Mf Geert De Ketelaere: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 30.55 (no injury) 
Fw Armin Seuffert: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 28.16 (no injury) 
Fw Per Seuffert: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 28.51 (no injury) 
Fw Lilian Cazenave: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 78.01 (no injury) 

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 10
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 10.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 5.12%
Gk Samir Bouaziz: Chance of injury = 5.12% | Random number = 8.59 (no injury) 
Sw Bradley Perry: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 92.51 (no injury) 
Df Jaap De wit: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 73.2 (no injury) 
Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 81.08 (no injury) 
Df Jason McDiarmid: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 30.09 (no injury) 
Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 49.62 (no injury) 
Mf Jacques Mefire: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 5.13 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Jacques Mefire is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Jacques Mefire new match skill level =  5
      Jacques Mefire new match total level =  7
Mf Minki Sung-yeung: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 2.29 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Minki Sung-yeung is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Minki Sung-yeung new match skill level =  4
      Minki Sung-yeung new match total level =  6
Fw Ruben Gutiérrez: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 92.95 (no injury) 
Fw Vukmir Kovalenko: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 79.99 (no injury) 
Fw Elias Mayer: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 15.95 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Martyn Owen SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Samir Bouaziz SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 84 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 10; (10 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Ruben Gutiérrez SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Jordan Rose SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 16 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 64 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 19 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 9 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 76% | Random number = 33 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 29 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 15 (no penalty kick)
7: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 32 (no penalty kick)
8: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 59 (no penalty kick)
9: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 56 (no penalty kick)
10: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 45 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRENTFORD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brentford FC             20  16  64  20  47
  Brighton & Hove Albion   16  16  36  26  38

Brentford FC Fw Attacks = 11 (47 - 36); result rounded up
Brentford FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 26) / 2;  rounded up)
Brentford FC Df Attacks = 9 ((64 - 38) / 3); result rounded up
Brentford FC Total Attacks = 20

1: Attack for Df Christian Hennessey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Rasmus Antonsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 95.2 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Df Rasmus Antonsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Christian Hennessey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 46.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Df Martyn Owen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Rasmus Antonsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Df Maciek Szymanski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 36.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Df Martyn Owen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Df Christian Hennessey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Lilian Cazenave
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Lilian Cazenave
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Per Seuffert
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 60.15 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Per Seuffert
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Armin Seuffert
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Lilian Cazenave
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 12.64 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Per Seuffert
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Armin Seuffert
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Per Seuffert
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 18.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Lilian Cazenave
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Lilian Cazenave
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brighton & Hove Albion   16  16  36  26  38
  Brentford FC             20  16  64  20  47

Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 0 (38 - 64)
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 3 ((26 - 20) / 2) ; result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((36 - 47) / 3;  rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Mf Jacques Mefire
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Rigobert Mahamat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 32.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Minki Sung-yeung
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRENTFORD FC 1  -  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 1
 
Match Notes
It has been 7 seasons since our poor Bees have defeated Brian...that doesn't appear to be changing here...
Allan (Brentford FC) 06/21 - 8:30 PM
But Al, you have home advantage. Surely that will be enough to get three points.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 06/23 - 1:47 PM
Thug outlaw Sellers will certainly deploy his antics against a down and out Gulls squad unnecessarily.
Dave (Lewes FC) 06/26 - 12:59 PM
It's been 15 seasons (!) since Brighton lived in D3. Despite a strong starting 11, there appears to be no way we can avoid the fall.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 06/26 - 1:00 PM
Fire up BHA...you are only 3 points out of relegation zone.......I believe it starts here with a weak Brentford squad who are surely to yield +2 PK's
Dave (Lewes FC) 06/26 - 5:46 PM
Have to agree with honest Dave here.
Ian (Preston North End FC) 06/26 - 11:48 PM
Really not liking this newfound Dave-Ian "friendship"...
Allan (Brentford FC) 06/27 - 9:58 PM
We were lucky to get a point here against the tough BHA...
Allan (Brentford FC) 06/28 - 6:30 PM
 
 
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