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ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 48 // Landing
 
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Southend United
Colin Scott
 
Weston-super-Mare AFC
Vick Hall
 
 
League Round 9
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SOUTHEND UNITED                            WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Alonso Lopez           16    2   18     Gk Wayne Carroll          16    2   18
Sw Glen Clarke            16    2   18     Sw Toni Meyer             12    2   14
Df Vincent Hamidou        12    2   14     Df Hugo Simons            14    2   16
Df Manuel Ortiz           12    2   14     Df Radoslaw Kaminski      11    2   13
Df Alex Salisu            11    2   13     Df Martin Rodríguez        8    2   10
Mf Nico Schär              8    2   10     Mf Yahia El idrissi       11    2   13
Mf Troy Juric              8    2   10     Mf Denis Fellaini          8    2   10
Fw Rónald Aguilera        12    2   14     Fw Nii Mingle             18    2   20
Fw Kenzie McDonald        11    2   13     Fw Javier Jimenez         12    2   14
Fw Roman Radomski         10    2   12     Fw Alex Etoundi           12    2   14
Fw Seny Sonko              9    2   11     Fw Rik Schipper           11    2   13

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 18 41 20 50        ROSTER TOTALS      18 14 39 23 61    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  1  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      19 18 41 20 59         T O T A L S       19 14 39 24 61    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 51.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 71.71 (no red card)

Sw Glen Clarke: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 97.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 99.02 (no red card)

Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.29 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 47.2 (no second yellow)

Df Manuel Ortiz: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 35.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 39.09 (no red card)

Df Alex Salisu: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 75.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 94.22 (no red card)

Mf Nico Schär: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 16.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.84 (no red card)

Mf Troy Juric: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 2.68 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 94.85 (no second yellow)

Fw Rónald Aguilera: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 30.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 57.2 (no red card)

Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 4.63 (no red card)

Fw Roman Radomski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 50.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 93.08 (no red card)

Fw Seny Sonko: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 10.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 16.81 (no red card)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Wayne Carroll: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 64.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 4.94 (no red card)

Sw Toni Meyer: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 91.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 23.25 (no red card)

Df Hugo Simons: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 18.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 24.04 (no red card)

Df Radoslaw Kaminski: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 41.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 29.89 (no red card)

Df Martin Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 21.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 77.23 (no red card)

Mf Yahia El idrissi: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 83.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 33.5 (no red card)

Mf Denis Fellaini: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 90.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 86.92 (no red card)

Fw Nii Mingle: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 36.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 10.71 (no red card)

Fw Javier Jimenez: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 20.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 71.63 (no red card)

Fw Alex Etoundi: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 19.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 5.8 (no red card)

Fw Rik Schipper: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 54.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 4.21 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.12%
Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of injury = 2.12% | Random number = 91.31 (no injury) 
Sw Glen Clarke: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 37.16 (no injury) 
Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 84.09 (no injury) 
Df Manuel Ortiz: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 4.74 (no injury) 
Df Alex Salisu: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 96.27 (no injury) 
Mf Nico Schär: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 57.27 (no injury) 
Mf Troy Juric: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 90.52 (no injury) 
Fw Rónald Aguilera: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 47.15 (no injury) 
Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 37.65 (no injury) 
Fw Roman Radomski: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 71.97 (no injury) 
Fw Seny Sonko: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 99.62 (no injury) 

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 2
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.87%
Gk Wayne Carroll: Chance of injury = 1.87% | Random number = 14.85 (no injury) 
Sw Toni Meyer: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 62.21 (no injury) 
Df Hugo Simons: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 84.36 (no injury) 
Df Radoslaw Kaminski: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 93.44 (no injury) 
Df Martin Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 32.46 (no injury) 
Mf Yahia El idrissi: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 72.39 (no injury) 
Mf Denis Fellaini: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 18.21 (no injury) 
Fw Nii Mingle: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 50.99 (no injury) 
Fw Javier Jimenez: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 66.9 (no injury) 
Fw Alex Etoundi: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 98.5 (no injury) 
Fw Rik Schipper: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 69.61 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Vincent Hamidou SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Wayne Carroll SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 92 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 79 (no penalty kick)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Nii Mingle SL 18
   - Defending Gk: Alonso Lopez SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 77 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Southend United          19  18  41  20  59
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    19  14  39  24  61

Southend United Fw Attacks = 20 (59 - 39); result rounded up
Southend United Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 24) / 2;  rounded up)
Southend United Df Attacks = 0 ((41 - 61) / 3;  rounded up)
Southend United Total Attacks = 20

1: Attack for Fw Roman Radomski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Seny Sonko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Roman Radomski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Seny Sonko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 90.42 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Roman Radomski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Roman Radomski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Seny Sonko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Seny Sonko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Seny Sonko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 38.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Roman Radomski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Seny Sonko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 1.76 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Roman Radomski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Seny Sonko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    19  14  39  24  61
  Southend United          19  18  41  20  59

Weston-super-Mare AFC Fw Attacks = 20 (61 - 41); result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Mf Attacks = 2 ((24 - 20) / 2) ; result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((39 - 59) / 3;  rounded up)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Total Attacks = 22

1: Attack for Mf Denis Fellaini
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Yahia El idrissi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Javier Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Alex Etoundi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 99.95 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Alex Etoundi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Alex Etoundi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 2.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Alex Etoundi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 29.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 60.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Rik Schipper
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Javier Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 53.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Rik Schipper
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Javier Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 95.14 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
16: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Javier Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Alex Etoundi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Alex Etoundi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Rik Schipper
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SOUTHEND UNITED 1  -  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC 2
 
Match Notes
not sure we can even scrape a point today
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 06/19 - 2:54 PM
Hmmm….
I wasn’t expecting such a strong Weston lineup.
Ah, well.
Colin (Southend United) 06/22 - 8:23 PM
you were unlucky as i was at home to Swansea so took the opportunity to be a bit reckless away!
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 06/23 - 10:06 PM
 
 
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