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Swansea City AFC
Roy Rolsten
 
Watford
James Tucker
 
 
League Round 9
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SWANSEA CITY AFC                           WATFORD

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Pathé Ndong            14    2   16     Gk Riccardo Di matteo     15    2   17
Df Bonturo Ferrari        13    0   13     Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk       15    1   16
Df Miguel de la Cruz      13    2   15     Df Walter McGree          12    0   12
Df Jordan Cummings        12    2   14     Df Florian Ramelow        12    0   12
Df Enrique Masis          10    2   12     Df Keita Hattori          11    1   12
Mf Walid Sellimi          12    2   14     Df Shoichi Morita          7    2    9
Mf Mikkel Hedegaard       11    2   13     Mf Tin Perisic            15    1   16
Fw Yeltsin Venegas        14    1   15     Mf Seth Sibley            10    2   12
Fw Renato Cabanas         13    2   15     Mf Federico Machado        9    2   11
Fw Gerry Maclaren         16   -2   14     Mf Valerio Paredes        14    1   15
Fw Michaël Van der heijden 9    2   11     Fw Takao Soma             15    2   17

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16  0 54 27 55        ROSTER TOTALS      17  0 61 54 17    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  1    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16  0 63 27 55         T O T A L S       17  0 61 54 18    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Pathé Ndong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 66.13 (no red card)

Df Bonturo Ferrari: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.44 (no red card)

Df Miguel de la Cruz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.45 (no red card)

Df Jordan Cummings: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.72 (no red card)

Df Enrique Masis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.85 (no red card)

Mf Walid Sellimi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.82 (no red card)

Mf Mikkel Hedegaard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.93 (no red card)

Fw Yeltsin Venegas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.89 (no red card)

Fw Renato Cabanas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.27 (no red card)

Fw Gerry Maclaren: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.26 (no red card)

Fw Michaël Van der heijden: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.1 (no red card)

*******  WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 67.85 (no red card)

Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 64.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 0.31 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Mykhailo Pavlyuk new match skill level =  8
      Mykhailo Pavlyuk new match total level =  9

Df Walter McGree: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 64.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 32.42 (no red card)

Df Florian Ramelow: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 22.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 48.86 (no red card)

Df Keita Hattori: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 31.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 70.34 (no red card)

Df Shoichi Morita: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 21.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 40.42 (no red card)

Mf Tin Perisic: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 89.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 83.37 (no red card)

Mf Seth Sibley: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 69.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 88.1 (no red card)

Mf Federico Machado: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 66.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 14.98 (no red card)

Mf Valerio Paredes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 21.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 74.41 (no red card)

Fw Takao Soma: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 80.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 1.54 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Watford Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Pathé Ndong: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 67.45 (no injury) 
Df Bonturo Ferrari: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 39.57 (no injury) 
Df Miguel de la Cruz: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 38.47 (no injury) 
Df Jordan Cummings: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 57.04 (no injury) 
Df Enrique Masis: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 41.16 (no injury) 
Mf Walid Sellimi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 62.78 (no injury) 
Mf Mikkel Hedegaard: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 89.14 (no injury) 
Fw Yeltsin Venegas: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 2.01 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Yeltsin Venegas is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Yeltsin Venegas new match skill level =  7
      Yeltsin Venegas new match total level =  8
Fw Renato Cabanas: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 77.9 (no injury) 
Fw Gerry Maclaren: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 79.35 (no injury) 
Fw Michaël Van der heijden: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 10.79 (no injury) 

*******  WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Watford Team Hardness = 1
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 89.98 (no injury) 
Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 18.15 (no injury) 
Df Walter McGree: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 6.68 (no injury) 
Df Florian Ramelow: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 20.84 (no injury) 
Df Keita Hattori: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 71.33 (no injury) 
Df Shoichi Morita: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 75.53 (no injury) 
Mf Tin Perisic: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 11.04 (no injury) 
Mf Seth Sibley: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 54.61 (no injury) 
Mf Federico Machado: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 68.07 (no injury) 
Mf Valerio Paredes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 7.61 (no injury) 
Fw Takao Soma: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 4.21 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Gerry Maclaren SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Riccardo Di matteo SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 19 (no penalty kick)

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Tin Perisic SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Pathé Ndong SL 14

     intRndPk = 79
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 79 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swansea City AFC         16   0  63  27  48
  Watford                  17   0  54  54  18

Swansea City AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (48 - 54)
Swansea City AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 54) / 2;  rounded up)
Swansea City AFC Df Attacks = 9 ((63 - 18) / 5); result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Total Attacks = 9

1: Attack for Df Bonturo Ferrari
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 2.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Enrique Masis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Enrique Masis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 22.74 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Jordan Cummings
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 25.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Df Miguel de la Cruz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Df Enrique Masis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 76.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Df Jordan Cummings
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Df Bonturo Ferrari
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Df Enrique Masis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Watford
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Watford                  17   0  54  54  18
  Swansea City AFC         16   0  63  27  48

Watford Fw Attacks = 0 (18 - 63)
Watford Mf Attacks = 14 ((54 - 27) / 2) ; result rounded up
Watford Df Attacks = 2 ((54 - 48) / 5); result rounded up
Watford Total Attacks = 16

1: Attack for Df Keita Hattori
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Walter McGree
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 40.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Tin Perisic
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 81.61 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Mf Tin Perisic
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 9.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Seth Sibley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 37.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Federico Machado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 45.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Tin Perisic
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 91.53 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Mf Tin Perisic
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 40.76 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Tin Perisic
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 69.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Mf Seth Sibley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Mf Valerio Paredes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Mf Valerio Paredes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Mf Seth Sibley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 76.77 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Mf Federico Machado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Mf Valerio Paredes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 44 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Mf Federico Machado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SWANSEA CITY AFC 0  -  WATFORD 3
 
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