(H)
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
Southend United
Colin Scott
League Round 9
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
NOTTINGHAM FOREST SOUTHEND UNITED
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Jonathan Kome 16 2 18 Gk Yassine Amara 16 2 18
Sw Ibra Gueye 11 2 13 Df Eric Kompany 13 2 15
Df Mbaye Dieng 16 1 17 Df Johan Teulet 12 2 14
Df Svend Kragh 13 0 13 Df Lars Koster 12 2 14
Df Nicomedes Martino 12 2 14 Df William Kwadwo 8 2 10
Mf Fernando Bentancur 10 2 12 Mf Ludwig Troell 13 2 15
Mf Marwan Sforza 10 2 12 Mf Shinya Hoshizawa 10 2 12
Fw Ederson Fabinho 14 2 16 Mf Leo Gaillot 8 2 10
Fw Rico Santambrogio 12 2 14 Mf Seol Sun 7 2 9
Fw Cadwallader Gwilt 12 1 13 Fw Franco Almada 11 2 13
Fw Atef Omar 9 2 11 Fw Yvan Thijs 8 2 10
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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18 13 44 24 54 ROSTER TOTALS 18 0 53 46 23
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 1 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
18 13 44 24 63 T O T A L S 19 0 53 46 23
============================================================================
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Jonathan Kome: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.84 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 70.98 (no red card)
Sw Ibra Gueye: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.15 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.39 (no red card)
Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.27 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.71 (no red card)
Df Svend Kragh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.06 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.23 (no red card)
Df Nicomedes Martino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.0 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.4 (no red card)
Mf Fernando Bentancur: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.04 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.04 (no red card)
Mf Marwan Sforza: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.68 (no red card)
Fw Ederson Fabinho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.91 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.27 (no red card)
Fw Rico Santambrogio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.06 (no red card)
Fw Cadwallader Gwilt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.81 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.95 (no red card)
Fw Atef Omar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.46 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.88 (no red card)
******* SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Yassine Amara: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 69.08 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 14.04 (no red card)
Df Eric Kompany: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 83.53 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 21.23 (no red card)
Df Johan Teulet: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 9.22 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 86.68 (no red card)
Df Lars Koster: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 93.66 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 83.84 (no red card)
Df William Kwadwo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 94.56 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.99 (no red card)
Mf Ludwig Troell: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 50.64 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 30.58 (no red card)
Mf Shinya Hoshizawa: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 51.62 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 71.74 (no red card)
Mf Leo Gaillot: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.03 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 97.47 (no red card)
Mf Seol Sun: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 70.5 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 7.91 (no red card)
Fw Franco Almada: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 8.17 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 94.76 (no red card)
Fw Yvan Thijs: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 51.92 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 85.59 (no red card)
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- Southend United Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Jonathan Kome: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 93.04 (no injury)
Sw Ibra Gueye: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 28.9 (no injury)
Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 2.78 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 1
Mbaye Dieng is being assisted by the Physio. He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
Mbaye Dieng new match skill level = 8
Mbaye Dieng new match total level = 9
Df Svend Kragh: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 63.28 (no injury)
Df Nicomedes Martino: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 19.43 (no injury)
Mf Fernando Bentancur: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 7.11 (no injury)
Mf Marwan Sforza: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 51.27 (no injury)
Fw Ederson Fabinho: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 3.53 (no injury)
Fw Rico Santambrogio: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 16.08 (no injury)
Fw Cadwallader Gwilt: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 60.55 (no injury)
Fw Atef Omar: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 94.49 (no injury)
******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Southend United Team Hardness = 1
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Yassine Amara: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 15.03 (no injury)
Df Eric Kompany: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 96.53 (no injury)
Df Johan Teulet: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 43.18 (no injury)
Df Lars Koster: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 20.41 (no injury)
Df William Kwadwo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 31.95 (no injury)
Mf Ludwig Troell: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 54.52 (no injury)
Mf Shinya Hoshizawa: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 29.61 (no injury)
Mf Leo Gaillot: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 4.29 (no injury)
Mf Seol Sun: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 18.8 (no injury)
Fw Franco Almada: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 28.91 (no injury)
Fw Yvan Thijs: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 61.55 (no injury)
============================================================================
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Ederson Fabinho SL 14
- Defending Gk: Yassine Amara SL 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 29 (no penalty kick)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Eric Kompany SL 13
- Defending Gk: Jonathan Kome SL 16
intRndPk = 67
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 67 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Nottingham Forest 18 13 36 24 63
Southend United 19 0 53 46 23
Southend United is using Offside Trap!
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 5 (63 - 53) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 46) / 2; rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 5 ((36 - 23) / 3); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 10
1: Attack for Df Svend Kragh
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 66.06 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Df Mbaye Dieng
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 73.42 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Df Nicomedes Martino
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 34.16 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Df Nicomedes Martino
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Df Nicomedes Martino
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 10.14 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Rico Santambrogio
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 36.83 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Rico Santambrogio
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Atef Omar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 26.25 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw Rico Santambrogio
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Fw Cadwallader Gwilt
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 82.96 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
******* SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Southend United 19 0 53 46 23
Nottingham Forest 18 13 36 24 63
Southend United Fw Attacks = 0 (23 - 36)
Southend United Mf Attacks = 11 ((46 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Southend United Df Attacks = 0 ((53 - 63) / 5; rounded up)
Southend United Total Attacks = 11
1: Attack for Mf Shinya Hoshizawa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Shinya Hoshizawa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Mf Shinya Hoshizawa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 98.89 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
4: Attack for Mf Shinya Hoshizawa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Mf Ludwig Troell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Mf Ludwig Troell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Mf Leo Gaillot
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Mf Ludwig Troell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Mf Ludwig Troell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Mf Seol Sun
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 55.73 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Mf Shinya Hoshizawa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 49.49 (Shot Saved by Gk)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
NOTTINGHAM FOREST 1 - SOUTHEND UNITED 1
Match Notes
Olmec Steve on his own patch today. Colin Scott won't roll over — he never does. These two go at each other like they've got something to prove every single time.
Olmec Head Ray (Blyth Spartans AFC) 06/06 - 6:30 PM
Olmec Steve drops points at home. Colin Scott won't be crying about that one. These two love a battle and today it showed.
Olmec Head Ray (Blyth Spartans AFC) 06/13 - 6:30 PM
With the injury which would you rather have? 10 attacks vs no sweeper or 11 vs SL 13 sweeper?
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 06/13 - 6:41 PM