(H)
Port Vale FC
John Holden
Plymouth Argyle FC
Rob Peterson
League Round 9
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
PORT VALE FC PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Hyun Tae-yong 15 1 16 Gk Ryan Vukovic 15 2 17
Sw Fokke Taylor 14 0 14 Sw Bryn Gough 13 2 15
Df Carsten Kragelund 14 0 14 Df Robert Bak 13 2 15
Df Philipp Vogel 12 2 14 Df Gustavo García 13 0 13
Df Boško Shpak 10 1 11 Df Pius Issa 7 2 9
Mf Santiago Villa 13 0 13 Mf Oscar Bremer 13 0 13
Mf Hélder Carvalho 13 0 13 Mf Jorge Perez 10 1 11
Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi 17 0 17 Fw Evaristo Masis 13 1 14
Fw Adam Vasilev 13 2 15 Fw Yann Basset 11 0 11
Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti 12 1 13 Fw Si-Won Min-woo 13 1 14
Fw Hermidio Rivera 7 2 9 Fw Syam Arfaoui 9 2 11
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
16 14 39 26 54 ROSTER TOTALS 17 15 37 24 50
1 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
17 14 39 26 63 T O T A L S 17 15 37 24 50
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* PORT VALE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Hyun Tae-yong: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 16.21 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 81.63 (no red card)
Sw Fokke Taylor: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 72.67 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 62.66 (no red card)
Df Carsten Kragelund: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 13.26 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 61.76 (no red card)
Df Philipp Vogel: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 69.87 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 21.36 (no red card)
Df Boško Shpak: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 8.57 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 41.0 (no red card)
Mf Santiago Villa: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 80.58 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 87.52 (no red card)
Mf Hélder Carvalho: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 30.12 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 14.23 (no red card)
Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 8.59 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 21.28 (no red card)
Fw Adam Vasilev: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 17.4 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 8.17 (no red card)
Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 53.54 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 68.01 (no red card)
Fw Hermidio Rivera: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 6.05 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 5.05 (no red card)
******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Ryan Vukovic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.95 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 79.13 (no red card)
Sw Bryn Gough: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.73 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.16 (no second yellow)
Df Robert Bak: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.85 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.61 (no red card)
Df Gustavo García: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.81 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.27 (no red card)
Df Pius Issa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.79 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.07 (no red card)
Mf Oscar Bremer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.7 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.47 (no red card)
Mf Jorge Perez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.22 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.13 (no red card)
Fw Evaristo Masis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.9 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.47 (no red card)
Fw Yann Basset: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.0 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.58 (no red card)
Fw Si-Won Min-woo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.22 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.61 (no red card)
Fw Syam Arfaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.37 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.1 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* PORT VALE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 1
- Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Hyun Tae-yong: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 28.64 (no injury)
Sw Fokke Taylor: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 23.21 (no injury)
Df Carsten Kragelund: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 61.57 (no injury)
Df Philipp Vogel: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 50.42 (no injury)
Df Boško Shpak: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 8.63 (no injury)
Mf Santiago Villa: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 11.04 (no injury)
Mf Hélder Carvalho: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 7.12 (no injury)
Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 74.42 (no injury)
Fw Adam Vasilev: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 87.58 (no injury)
Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 70.11 (no injury)
Fw Hermidio Rivera: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 36.68 (no injury)
******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
- Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Ryan Vukovic: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 8.37 (no injury)
Sw Bryn Gough: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 3.35 (no injury)
Df Robert Bak: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 34.33 (no injury)
Df Gustavo García: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 14.45 (no injury)
Df Pius Issa: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 6.42 (no injury)
Mf Oscar Bremer: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 19.16 (no injury)
Mf Jorge Perez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 59.12 (no injury)
Fw Evaristo Masis: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 38.37 (no injury)
Fw Yann Basset: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 37.93 (no injury)
Fw Si-Won Min-woo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 66.99 (no injury)
Fw Syam Arfaoui: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 71.54 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Abdeljalil El Ahmadi SL 17
- Defending Gk: Ryan Vukovic SL 15
intRndPk = 20
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 20 (no penalty kick)
******* PORT VALE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Robert Bak SL 13
- Defending Gk: Hyun Tae-yong SL 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 5 (PENALTY KICK!)
Chance of scoring = 72% | Random number = 96 (pk blocked)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* PORT VALE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Port Vale FC 17 14 39 26 63
Plymouth Argyle FC 17 15 37 24 50
Port Vale FC Fw Attacks = 26 (63 - 37); result rounded up
Port Vale FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((26 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Port Vale FC Df Attacks = 0 ((39 - 50) / 3; rounded up)
Port Vale FC Total Attacks = 27
1: Attack for Mf Hélder Carvalho
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Hermidio Rivera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 14.7 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 55.77 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 67.96 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Hermidio Rivera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 3.88 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target)
11: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target)
13: Attack for Fw Hermidio Rivera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Hermidio Rivera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Bacolo Sanguinetti
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 85.67 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
19: Attack for Fw Hermidio Rivera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 19.14 (Shot Saved by Gk)
21: Attack for Fw Hermidio Rivera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw Hermidio Rivera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack)
24: Attack for Fw Hermidio Rivera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 52.84 (Shot Saved by Gk)
25: Attack for Fw Hermidio Rivera
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack)
26: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target)
27: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 13.25 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Plymouth Argyle FC 17 15 37 24 50
Port Vale FC 17 14 39 26 63
Plymouth Argyle FC Fw Attacks = 11 (50 - 39); result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 26) / 2; rounded up)
Plymouth Argyle FC Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 63) / 3; rounded up)
Plymouth Argyle FC Total Attacks = 11
1: Attack for Fw Yann Basset
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Yann Basset
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 1.83 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 27.0 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Yann Basset
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 85.93 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
10: Attack for Fw Evaristo Masis
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 44.04 (Shot Saved by Gk)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
PORT VALE FC 1 - PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 1
Match Notes
2 v 10. This won't end well for the Pilgrims.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 06/28 - 1:50 AM
Go Plymouth (even though I didn't pick you in the PL)!
Jason (Bristol City FC) 06/28 - 3:57 PM
That's a bag of unluck
John (Port Vale FC) 06/28 - 9:35 PM
OOOH, that's a lot of prognosticators who are leaving disappointed!
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 06/29 - 3:22 AM