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Lincoln City FC
Mike Cabral
 
Derby County
Martyn Hathaway
 
 
League Round 8
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LINCOLN CITY FC                            DERBY COUNTY

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Abdallah El Ahmadi     13    2   15     Gk Muhammed Asamoah       13    0   13
Sw Woo Hyun-soo            7    2    9     Sw Artur Boniek            8    0    8
Df Hans Murphy            12    2   14     Df Mikkel Iversen         13    1   14
Df Dante Geromel          11    2   13     Df Rodrigo de Corona      11    0   11
Mf Akira Nagatomo         11    2   13     Df Kwadwo Danlad           7    2    9
Mf Aliou Sow               9    2   11     Df Federico Sorin          7    0    7
Mf Fabio Luis              7    2    9     Mf Muziano Doni            7    2    9
Fw Benedicto Ortega       13    1   14     Mf Ezequiel Araujo         7    2    9
Fw Vieira Mario           13    1   14     Mf Enoch Gyan              3    2    5
Fw Simão DaSilva          12    2   14     Fw Stefan Ake              7    2    9
Fw Seung-Hyeon Tae-yong    7    2    9     Fw Roque Ramos             7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15  9 27 33 51        ROSTER TOTALS      13  8 41 23 18    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  2  0    
       0  0  0  9  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15  9 27 42 51         T O T A L S       13  8 41 25 18    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Abdallah El Ahmadi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 43.01 (no red card)

Sw Woo Hyun-soo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.97 (no red card)

Df Hans Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.91 (no red card)

Df Dante Geromel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.74 (no red card)

Mf Akira Nagatomo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.13 (no red card)

Mf Aliou Sow: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.44 (no red card)

Mf Fabio Luis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.8 (no red card)

Fw Benedicto Ortega: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.91 (no red card)

Fw Vieira Mario: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.96 (no red card)

Fw Simão DaSilva: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.19 (no red card)

Fw Seung-Hyeon Tae-yong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.11 (no red card)

*******  DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Muhammed Asamoah: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 86.15 (no red card)

Sw Artur Boniek: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 0.06 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 8.17 (no second yellow)

Df Mikkel Iversen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 51.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 74.72 (no red card)

Df Rodrigo de Corona: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 71.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 67.14 (no red card)

Df Kwadwo Danlad: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 41.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 21.49 (no red card)

Df Federico Sorin: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 2.6 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 70.46 (no second yellow)

Mf Muziano Doni: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 45.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 83.55 (no red card)

Mf Ezequiel Araujo: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 56.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 46.3 (no red card)

Mf Enoch Gyan: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 83.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 68.78 (no red card)

Fw Stefan Ake: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 99.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 20.08 (no red card)

Fw Roque Ramos: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 11.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 85.03 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Abdallah El Ahmadi: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 28.25 (no injury) 
Sw Woo Hyun-soo: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 6.86 (no injury) 
Df Hans Murphy: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 74.9 (no injury) 
Df Dante Geromel: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 41.5 (no injury) 
Mf Akira Nagatomo: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 70.86 (no injury) 
Mf Aliou Sow: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 69.13 (no injury) 
Mf Fabio Luis: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 90.41 (no injury) 
Fw Benedicto Ortega: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 95.37 (no injury) 
Fw Vieira Mario: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 10.3 (no injury) 
Fw Simão DaSilva: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 23.99 (no injury) 
Fw Seung-Hyeon Tae-yong: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 12.74 (no injury) 

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 2
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Muhammed Asamoah: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 91.19 (no injury) 
Sw Artur Boniek: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 45.26 (no injury) 
Df Mikkel Iversen: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 36.61 (no injury) 
Df Rodrigo de Corona: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 74.99 (no injury) 
Df Kwadwo Danlad: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 29.81 (no injury) 
Df Federico Sorin: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 5.32 (no injury) 
Mf Muziano Doni: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 22.37 (no injury) 
Mf Ezequiel Araujo: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 78.25 (no injury) 
Mf Enoch Gyan: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 78.73 (no injury) 
Fw Stefan Ake: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 92.29 (no injury) 
Fw Roque Ramos: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 4.12 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Benedicto Ortega SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Muhammed Asamoah SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 69 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 100 (no penalty kick)

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Mikkel Iversen SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Abdallah El Ahmadi SL 13

     intRndPk = 26
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 26 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lincoln City FC          15   9  27  42  51
  Derby County             13   8  41  25  18

Lincoln City FC Fw Attacks = 10 (51 - 41); result rounded up
Lincoln City FC Mf Attacks = 9 ((42 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
Lincoln City FC Df Attacks = 3 ((27 - 18) / 3); result rounded up
Lincoln City FC Total Attacks = 22

1: Attack for Df Hans Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Hans Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 96.34 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Df Hans Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 90.43 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Mf Akira Nagatomo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 39.74 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Fabio Luis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Akira Nagatomo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf Akira Nagatomo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Akira Nagatomo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf Akira Nagatomo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Mf Aliou Sow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 50 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 49.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Mf Fabio Luis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Mf Aliou Sow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Seung-Hyeon Tae-yong
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 83.13 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw Benedicto Ortega
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Benedicto Ortega
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 83.87 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
16: Attack for Fw Benedicto Ortega
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 25.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Seung-Hyeon Tae-yong
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Simão DaSilva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Benedicto Ortega
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 45.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Simão DaSilva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Vieira Mario
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Simão DaSilva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Derby County             13   8  41  25  18
  Lincoln City FC          15   9  27  42  51

Derby County Fw Attacks = 0 (18 - 27)
Derby County Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 42) / 2;  rounded up)
Derby County Df Attacks = 0 ((41 - 51) / 3;  rounded up)
Derby County Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LINCOLN CITY FC 4  -  DERBY COUNTY 0
 
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