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Hereford United FC
Alex Tucker
 
Swindon Town FC
Matt White
 
 
League Round 8
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

HEREFORD UNITED FC                         SWINDON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Mauricio Higuain        7    2    9     Gk Lewis Lorimar          10    1   11
Df Ceri Kelly             11    1   12     Df Martin Toivonen        12    0   12
Df Tyler Long             10   -1    9     Df Enrique Gimenez        14    0   14
Df Eduardo Ortiz           9   -2    7     Df Secundino López         6    2    8
Df Hans LecLercq           8    1    9     Mf Etienne Willems        13    0   13
Df Zacharie Ousmanou       8    0    8     Mf Brecht De wit          12    0   12
Df Alan Cole               7    2    9     Mf Cameron Gates           6    2    8
Mf Nasiru Kabiru          10    1   11     Mf Fernando Militao        3    2    5
Mf Benito Apuzzo           9    1   10     Fw António Guerreiro      12    0   12
Fw Lukasz Dudka            7    2    9     Fw Yuto Kawashima          7    2    9
Fw Kaj Jensen              7    2    9     Fw Valeriy Yastenko        3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       9  0 54 21 18        ROSTER TOTALS      11  0 34 38 26    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       2  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      11  0 63 21 18         T O T A L S       11  0 34 38 26    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Mauricio Higuain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 57.35 (no red card)

Df Ceri Kelly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.77 (no red card)

Df Tyler Long: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.33 (no red card)

Df Eduardo Ortiz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.41 (no red card)

Df Hans LecLercq: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.98 (no red card)

Df Zacharie Ousmanou: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.7 (no red card)

Df Alan Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.11 (no red card)

Mf Nasiru Kabiru: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.45 (no red card)

Mf Benito Apuzzo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.86 (no red card)

Fw Lukasz Dudka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.62 (no red card)

Fw Kaj Jensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.74 (no red card)

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Lewis Lorimar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 32.21 (no red card)

Df Martin Toivonen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.57 (no red card)

Df Enrique Gimenez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.08 (no red card)

Df Secundino López: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.73 (no red card)

Mf Etienne Willems: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.17 (no red card)

Mf Brecht De wit: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.83 (no red card)

Mf Cameron Gates: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.92 (no red card)

Mf Fernando Militao: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.04 (no red card)

Fw António Guerreiro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.17 (no red card)

Fw Yuto Kawashima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.35 (no red card)

Fw Valeriy Yastenko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.52 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Mauricio Higuain: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 7.8 (no injury) 
Df Ceri Kelly: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.83 (no injury) 
Df Tyler Long: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.68 (no injury) 
Df Eduardo Ortiz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.46 (no injury) 
Df Hans LecLercq: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.63 (no injury) 
Df Zacharie Ousmanou: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.34 (no injury) 
Df Alan Cole: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.99 (no injury) 
Mf Nasiru Kabiru: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.63 (no injury) 
Mf Benito Apuzzo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.04 (no injury) 
Fw Lukasz Dudka: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.7 (no injury) 
Fw Kaj Jensen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.16 (no injury) 

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Lewis Lorimar: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 26.31 (no injury) 
Df Martin Toivonen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.8 (no injury) 
Df Enrique Gimenez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.79 (no injury) 
Df Secundino López: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.91 (no injury) 
Mf Etienne Willems: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.84 (no injury) 
Mf Brecht De wit: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.23 (no injury) 
Mf Cameron Gates: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.43 (no injury) 
Mf Fernando Militao: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.83 (no injury) 
Fw António Guerreiro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.8 (no injury) 
Fw Yuto Kawashima: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.05 (no injury) 
Fw Valeriy Yastenko: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.38 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ceri Kelly SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Lewis Lorimar SL 10

     intRndPk = 44
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 44 (no penalty kick)

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Enrique Gimenez SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Mauricio Higuain SL 7

     intRndPk = 13
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 13 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Hereford United FC       11   0  63  21  18
  Swindon Town FC          11   0  34  38  26

Hereford United FC Fw Attacks = 0 (18 - 34)
Hereford United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 38) / 2;  rounded up)
Hereford United FC Df Attacks = 8 ((63 - 26) / 5); result rounded up
Hereford United FC Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Df Tyler Long
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 37.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Zacharie Ousmanou
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 34.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Ceri Kelly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Zacharie Ousmanou
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 6.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Df Hans LecLercq
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 1.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Df Ceri Kelly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 3.01 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Df Hans LecLercq
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Df Tyler Long
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Town FC          11   0  34  38  26
  Hereford United FC       11   0  63  21  18

Hereford United FC is using Offside Trap!
Swindon Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (26 - 63)
Swindon Town FC Mf Attacks = 17 ((38 - 21) / 2)  * 2.0 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Df Attacks = 4 ((34 - 18) / 5); result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Total Attacks = 21

1: Attack for Df Secundino López
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Secundino López
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 76.08 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Df Enrique Gimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Martin Toivonen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 58.75 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Fernando Militao
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 93.91 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Mf Brecht De wit
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 39 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf Etienne Willems
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 49.58 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Cameron Gates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf Etienne Willems
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 2.41 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Mf Brecht De wit
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 41.64 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Mf Etienne Willems
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Mf Etienne Willems
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Mf Brecht De wit
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 52.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Mf Brecht De wit
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Mf Brecht De wit
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Mf Brecht De wit
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Mf Brecht De wit
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 42.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Mf Cameron Gates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 60.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Mf Etienne Willems
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 60.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Mf Brecht De wit
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 6.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Mf Fernando Militao
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Hereford United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
HEREFORD UNITED FC 0  -  SWINDON TOWN FC 2
 
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