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Dagenham & Redbridge
Jeff Hawker
 
Swindon Town FC
Matt White
 
 
League Round 8
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE                       SWINDON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Amir Hamdi             14    0   14     Gk Federico Curbelo        7    2    9
Sw Santiago Ramos         12    2   14     Df Hajime Tanaka          12    0   12
Df Papis Sall             12    0   12     Df Yahaya Etim            11    0   11
Df Sebastien Barbet       10    1   11     Df Quentin Mertens         7   -2    5
Df Ike Isah                7    1    8     Df Thiago De Paul          3    2    5
Mf Gareth Smith           10    2   12     Mf Gustavo Moreno         13    0   13
Mf Arona Baldé             7    2    9     Mf Fernando Militao       11    0   11
Fw Luiz Fabinho           14   -1   13     Mf Toby Llewellyn          7    0    7
Fw Kwame Karikari         15    0   15     Fw Conway Roberts         13    0   13
Fw Haris Streller         11    0   11     Fw Valeriy Yastenko       11    0   11
Fw Benvenuto Di martino    7    2    9     Fw Francois Abdou          6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 14 31 21 48        ROSTER TOTALS       9  0 33 31 32    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  4    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14 14 31 21 57         T O T A L S        9  0 33 31 36    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Amir Hamdi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 57.96 (no red card)

Sw Santiago Ramos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.87 (no red card)

Df Papis Sall: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.11 (no red card)

Df Sebastien Barbet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.49 (no red card)

Df Ike Isah: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.15 (no red card)

Mf Gareth Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.5 (no red card)

Mf Arona Baldé: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.68 (no red card)

Fw Luiz Fabinho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.64 (no red card)

Fw Kwame Karikari: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.91 (no red card)

Fw Haris Streller: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.07 (no red card)

Fw Benvenuto Di martino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.26 (no red card)

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Federico Curbelo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 66.54 (no red card)

Df Hajime Tanaka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.6 (no red card)

Df Yahaya Etim: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.13 (no red card)

Df Quentin Mertens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.27 (no red card)

Df Thiago De Paul: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.6 (no red card)

Mf Gustavo Moreno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.27 (no red card)

Mf Fernando Militao: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.36 (no red card)

Mf Toby Llewellyn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.4 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.22 (no second yellow)

Fw Conway Roberts: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.45 (no red card)

Fw Valeriy Yastenko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.75 (no red card)

Fw Francois Abdou: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.5 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dagenham & Redbridge Team Hardness = 0
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Amir Hamdi: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 88.25 (no injury) 
Sw Santiago Ramos: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.22 (no injury) 
Df Papis Sall: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.89 (no injury) 
Df Sebastien Barbet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.9 (no injury) 
Df Ike Isah: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.28 (no injury) 
Mf Gareth Smith: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.7 (no injury) 
Mf Arona Baldé: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.46 (no injury) 
Fw Luiz Fabinho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.87 (no injury) 
Fw Kwame Karikari: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.49 (no injury) 
Fw Haris Streller: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.49 (no injury) 
Fw Benvenuto Di martino: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.68 (no injury) 

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Dagenham & Redbridge Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Federico Curbelo: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 68.62 (no injury) 
Df Hajime Tanaka: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.88 (no injury) 
Df Yahaya Etim: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.74 (no injury) 
Df Quentin Mertens: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.97 (no injury) 
Df Thiago De Paul: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.78 (no injury) 
Mf Gustavo Moreno: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.76 (no injury) 
Mf Fernando Militao: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.94 (no injury) 
Mf Toby Llewellyn: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.94 (no injury) 
Fw Conway Roberts: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.38 (no injury) 
Fw Valeriy Yastenko: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.83 (no injury) 
Fw Francois Abdou: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.03 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Kwame Karikari SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Federico Curbelo SL 7

     intRndPk = 50
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 50 (no penalty kick)

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Gustavo Moreno SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Amir Hamdi SL 14

     intRndPk = 68
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 68 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dagenham & Redbridge     14  14  31  21  57
  Swindon Town FC          9   0  33  31  36

Dagenham & Redbridge Fw Attacks = 24 (57 - 33); result rounded up
Dagenham & Redbridge Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 31) / 2;  rounded up)
Dagenham & Redbridge Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 36) / 3;  rounded up)
Dagenham & Redbridge Total Attacks = 24

1: Attack for Fw Haris Streller
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 86.38 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Fw Kwame Karikari
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Kwame Karikari
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 68.17 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw Kwame Karikari
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Kwame Karikari
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 28.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Benvenuto Di martino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 54.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Kwame Karikari
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 63.7 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Haris Streller
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Luiz Fabinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 64.94 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Luiz Fabinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 46 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Kwame Karikari
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 50 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Kwame Karikari
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Luiz Fabinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 91.43 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw Haris Streller
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Kwame Karikari
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Benvenuto Di martino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Haris Streller
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 38.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Luiz Fabinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Kwame Karikari
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Kwame Karikari
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 29.99 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Luiz Fabinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Benvenuto Di martino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Benvenuto Di martino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 78.16 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
24: Attack for Fw Haris Streller
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 44 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Town FC          9   0  33  31  36
  Dagenham & Redbridge     14  14  31  21  57

Swindon Town FC Fw Attacks = 5 (36 - 31); result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Mf Attacks = 5 ((31 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 57) / 5;  rounded up)
Swindon Town FC Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Mf Fernando Militao
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Fernando Militao
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Toby Llewellyn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Gustavo Moreno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Gustavo Moreno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 48.7 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Conway Roberts
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Francois Abdou
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 41.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Conway Roberts
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 37.41 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Valeriy Yastenko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Conway Roberts
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE 6  -  SWINDON TOWN FC 0
 
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