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Brentford FC
Allan Sellers
 
Dorchester Town
Andy Shaw
 
 
League Round 8
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRENTFORD FC                               DORCHESTER TOWN

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Jordan Rose            15    1   16     Gk Logan McKennie         11   -1   10
Sw Ricardo Xavier         13    0   13     Sw Seo-Jun Yo-han         11    2   13
Df Rasmus Antonsen        13    2   15     Df Hugo Quintero          13    2   15
Df Maciek Szymanski       12    2   14     Df Josip Sommer           12    2   14
Df Martyn Owen            14    2   16     Df Sim Young-gwon          7    2    9
Df Kazu Fukunishi          7    2    9     Df Pedro Romero            3    1    4
Mf Balla Diouf            12    1   13     Mf Nazariy Gusak          12    2   14
Mf Victor Moreira          7    2    9     Mf Dragan Shvets           7    2    9
Fw Armin Seuffert         13    1   14     Mf Anthony Brees           6    2    8
Fw Lilian Cazenave        10    2   12     Fw Aaron Jones            15    2   17
Fw Miguel Díaz             7    2    9     Fw Teun Van der berg      12    2   14

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 13 54 22 35        ROSTER TOTALS      10 13 42 31 31    
       3  3  4  0  0          HARDNESS          3  1  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      19 16 58 22 44         T O T A L S       13 14 49 31 31    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRENTFORD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 10
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk Jordan Rose: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 44.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 54.72 (no red card)

Sw Ricardo Xavier: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 80.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 61.08 (no red card)

Df Rasmus Antonsen: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 35.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 40.55 (no red card)

Df Maciek Szymanski: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 21.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 44.33 (no red card)

Df Martyn Owen: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 88.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 67.86 (no red card)

Df Kazu Fukunishi: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 70.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 5.8 (no red card)

Mf Balla Diouf: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 36.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 40.76 (no red card)

Mf Victor Moreira: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 50.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 67.36 (no red card)

Fw Armin Seuffert: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 61.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 85.56 (no red card)

Fw Lilian Cazenave: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 12.49 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 6.15 (no second yellow)

Fw Miguel Díaz: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 38.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 89.71 (no red card)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 4
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk Logan McKennie: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 49.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 30.07 (no red card)

Sw Seo-Jun Yo-han: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 24.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 60.71 (no red card)

Df Hugo Quintero: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 77.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 95.27 (no red card)

Df Josip Sommer: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 52.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 62.56 (no red card)

Df Sim Young-gwon: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 41.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 24.55 (no red card)

Df Pedro Romero: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 19.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 72.47 (no red card)

Mf Nazariy Gusak: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 66.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 8.85 (no red card)

Mf Dragan Shvets: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 53.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 9.35 (no red card)

Mf Anthony Brees: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 69.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 91.72 (no red card)

Fw Aaron Jones: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 55.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 1.95 (no red card)

Fw Teun Van der berg: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 32.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 62.15 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 10
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 4
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 8.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 4.0%
Gk Jordan Rose: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 51.83 (no injury) 
Sw Ricardo Xavier: Chance of injury = 8.0% | Random number = 99.56 (no injury) 
Df Rasmus Antonsen: Chance of injury = 8.0% | Random number = 52.46 (no injury) 
Df Maciek Szymanski: Chance of injury = 8.0% | Random number = 62.57 (no injury) 
Df Martyn Owen: Chance of injury = 8.0% | Random number = 60.2 (no injury) 
Df Kazu Fukunishi: Chance of injury = 8.0% | Random number = 81.3 (no injury) 
Mf Balla Diouf: Chance of injury = 8.0% | Random number = 22.01 (no injury) 
Mf Victor Moreira: Chance of injury = 8.0% | Random number = 19.18 (no injury) 
Fw Armin Seuffert: Chance of injury = 8.0% | Random number = 77.97 (no injury) 
Fw Lilian Cazenave: Chance of injury = 8.0% | Random number = 19.12 (no injury) 
Fw Miguel Díaz: Chance of injury = 8.0% | Random number = 45.62 (no injury) 

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 4
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 10
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 11.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 5.5%
Gk Logan McKennie: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 55.33 (no injury) 
Sw Seo-Jun Yo-han: Chance of injury = 11.0% | Random number = 40.35 (no injury) 
Df Hugo Quintero: Chance of injury = 11.0% | Random number = 92.14 (no injury) 
Df Josip Sommer: Chance of injury = 11.0% | Random number = 35.34 (no injury) 
Df Sim Young-gwon: Chance of injury = 11.0% | Random number = 86.77 (no injury) 
Df Pedro Romero: Chance of injury = 11.0% | Random number = 93.51 (no injury) 
Mf Nazariy Gusak: Chance of injury = 11.0% | Random number = 3.74 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Nazariy Gusak is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Nazariy Gusak new match skill level =  6
      Nazariy Gusak new match total level =  8
Mf Dragan Shvets: Chance of injury = 11.0% | Random number = 56.47 (no injury) 
Mf Anthony Brees: Chance of injury = 11.0% | Random number = 57.61 (no injury) 
Fw Aaron Jones: Chance of injury = 11.0% | Random number = 7.77 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 5
      Aaron Jones is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Aaron Jones new match skill level =  8
      Aaron Jones new match total level =  10
Fw Teun Van der berg: Chance of injury = 11.0% | Random number = 66.89 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 4; (4 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Martyn Owen SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Logan McKennie SL 11

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 23 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 55 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 51 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 75 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 10; (10 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Hugo Quintero SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Jordan Rose SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 74 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 49 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 87 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 84 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 1 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 72% | Random number = 29 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 39 (no penalty kick)
7: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 31 (no penalty kick)
8: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 17 (no penalty kick)
9: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 2 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 72% | Random number = 16 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
10: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 7 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 72% | Random number = 70 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRENTFORD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brentford FC             19  16  58  22  44
  Dorchester Town          13  14  49  25  24

Brentford FC Fw Attacks = 0 (44 - 49)
Brentford FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 25) / 2;  rounded up)
Brentford FC Df Attacks = 12 ((58 - 24) / 3); result rounded up
Brentford FC Total Attacks = 12

1: Attack for Df Rasmus Antonsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Maciek Szymanski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Martyn Owen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Rasmus Antonsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 23.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Df Martyn Owen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Maciek Szymanski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Df Martyn Owen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 90.2 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Df Rasmus Antonsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Df Martyn Owen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 25.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Df Rasmus Antonsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 36.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Df Maciek Szymanski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Df Maciek Szymanski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dorchester Town          13  14  49  25  24
  Brentford FC             19  16  58  22  44

Dorchester Town is Playing For A Draw!
Dorchester Town Fw Attacks = 0 (24 - 58)
Dorchester Town Mf Attacks = 1 ((25 - 22) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Dorchester Town Df Attacks = 1 ((49 - 44) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Dorchester Town Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Df Hugo Quintero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Nazariy Gusak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRENTFORD FC 1  -  DORCHESTER TOWN 3
 
Match Notes
The bottom two teams face each other. Could be a kicking match.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 06/18 - 9:29 PM
We were unable to defeat both Andy and the referees today. :-)
Allan (Brentford FC) 06/21 - 8:01 PM
Took a big chance Al and it worked out to our advantage. We wouldn’t have scored otherwise.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 06/28 - 1:36 PM
 
 
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