(H)
Derby County
Martyn Hathaway
Brentford FC
Allan Sellers
League Round 8
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
DERBY COUNTY BRENTFORD FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Carlos Ferreto 7 1 8 Gk Francis Dijkstra 2 2 4
Sw Sebastiano Di lorenzo 11 0 11 Sw Maciek Szymanski 7 0 7
Df Gregory Reilly 7 2 9 Df Mats Krafth 7 2 9
Df Andrew Vaughan 7 2 9 Df Gildardo Aguilar 7 2 9
Fw Muziano Doni 14 0 14 Df Igor Bremer 3 2 5
Mf Enoch Gyan 12 1 13 Mf Luke Phillips 7 2 9
Mf Martin Scholes 7 2 9 Mf Elfaroui El mostafa 3 2 5
Fw Roque Ramos 13 0 13 Fw Ye-jun Ji 10 2 12
Fw Donal O'Moore 12 0 12 Fw Ben Hamadou 7 2 9
Fw Sadou Moussa 11 0 11 Fw John Gyasi 3 2 5
Fw Jose Leao 7 2 9 Fw Eun-u Tae-yong 3 2 5
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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8 11 18 22 59 ROSTER TOTALS 4 7 23 14 31
0 0 2 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 2 0 7 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 3 4 0 0
=======================================================================
8 11 22 22 66 T O T A L S 4 10 27 14 31
============================================================================
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 2
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Carlos Ferreto: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.37 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 36.11 (no red card)
Sw Sebastiano Di lorenzo: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 16.89 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 22.19 (no red card)
Df Gregory Reilly: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 17.87 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 93.23 (no red card)
Df Andrew Vaughan: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 76.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 22.84 (no red card)
Fw Muziano Doni: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 92.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 68.88 (no red card)
Mf Enoch Gyan: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 73.86 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 44.76 (no red card)
Mf Martin Scholes: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 81.21 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 45.46 (no red card)
Fw Roque Ramos: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 76.7 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 14.5 (no red card)
Fw Donal O'Moore: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 2.28 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 98.3 (no second yellow)
Fw Sadou Moussa: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 99.2 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 73.28 (no red card)
Fw Jose Leao: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 85.42 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 98.23 (no red card)
******* BRENTFORD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Francis Dijkstra: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.52 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 4.04 (no red card)
Sw Maciek Szymanski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.62 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.73 (no red card)
Df Mats Krafth: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.34 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.52 (no red card)
Df Gildardo Aguilar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.43 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.36 (no red card)
Df Igor Bremer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.96 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.17 (no second yellow)
Mf Luke Phillips: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.89 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.96 (no red card)
Mf Elfaroui El mostafa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.67 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.6 (no red card)
Fw Ye-jun Ji: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.56 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.82 (no red card)
Fw Ben Hamadou: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.3 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.65 (no red card)
Fw John Gyasi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.22 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.47 (no red card)
Fw Eun-u Tae-yong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.83 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.28 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Derby County Team Hardness = 2
- Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Carlos Ferreto: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 91.05 (no injury)
Sw Sebastiano Di lorenzo: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 38.2 (no injury)
Df Gregory Reilly: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 16.0 (no injury)
Df Andrew Vaughan: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 11.11 (no injury)
Fw Muziano Doni: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 24.1 (no injury)
Mf Enoch Gyan: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 25.83 (no injury)
Mf Martin Scholes: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 73.22 (no injury)
Fw Roque Ramos: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 77.35 (no injury)
Fw Donal O'Moore: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 18.02 (no injury)
Fw Sadou Moussa: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 10.05 (no injury)
Fw Jose Leao: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 93.65 (no injury)
******* BRENTFORD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
- Derby County Team Hardness = 2
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Francis Dijkstra: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 39.34 (no injury)
Sw Maciek Szymanski: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 22.41 (no injury)
Df Mats Krafth: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 52.86 (no injury)
Df Gildardo Aguilar: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 17.21 (no injury)
Df Igor Bremer: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 3.69 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 1
Igor Bremer is being assisted by the Physio. He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
Igor Bremer new match skill level = 2
Igor Bremer new match total level = 4
Mf Luke Phillips: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 28.12 (no injury)
Mf Elfaroui El mostafa: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 79.67 (no injury)
Fw Ye-jun Ji: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 11.3 (no injury)
Fw Ben Hamadou: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 76.21 (no injury)
Fw John Gyasi: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 88.49 (no injury)
Fw Eun-u Tae-yong: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 33.61 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* BRENTFORD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Muziano Doni SL 14
- Defending Gk: Francis Dijkstra SL 2
intRndPk = 89
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 89 (no penalty kick)
******* DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Ye-jun Ji SL 10
- Defending Gk: Carlos Ferreto SL 7
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 71 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 70 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Derby County 8 11 22 22 66
Brentford FC 4 10 26 14 31
Derby County Fw Attacks = 40 (66 - 26); result rounded up
Derby County Mf Attacks = 4 ((22 - 14) / 2) ; result rounded up
Derby County Df Attacks = 0 ((22 - 31) / 3; rounded up)
Derby County Total Attacks = 44
1: Attack for Mf Enoch Gyan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Enoch Gyan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 50.51 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
3: Attack for Mf Enoch Gyan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf Enoch Gyan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Muziano Doni
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Muziano Doni
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 72.36 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
7: Attack for Fw Jose Leao
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Sadou Moussa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Muziano Doni
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 84.98 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
10: Attack for Fw Roque Ramos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Muziano Doni
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Donal O'Moore
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Roque Ramos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Sadou Moussa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target)
15: Attack for Fw Donal O'Moore
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Muziano Doni
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Donal O'Moore
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target)
18: Attack for Fw Muziano Doni
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw Donal O'Moore
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 45.45 (Shot Saved by Gk)
20: Attack for Fw Donal O'Moore
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 27.86 (Shot Saved by Gk)
21: Attack for Fw Muziano Doni
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target)
22: Attack for Fw Roque Ramos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 75.34 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
23: Attack for Fw Donal O'Moore
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
24: Attack for Fw Jose Leao
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack)
25: Attack for Fw Sadou Moussa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 91.72 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
26: Attack for Fw Muziano Doni
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack)
27: Attack for Fw Jose Leao
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 54 (Shot Off Target)
28: Attack for Fw Muziano Doni
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
29: Attack for Fw Donal O'Moore
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
30: Attack for Fw Donal O'Moore
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack)
31: Attack for Fw Jose Leao
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
32: Attack for Fw Roque Ramos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target)
33: Attack for Fw Muziano Doni
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target)
34: Attack for Fw Sadou Moussa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 29.09 (Shot Saved by Gk)
35: Attack for Fw Donal O'Moore
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack)
36: Attack for Fw Donal O'Moore
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack)
37: Attack for Fw Roque Ramos
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target)
38: Attack for Fw Muziano Doni
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack)
39: Attack for Fw Muziano Doni
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 48 (Shot Off Target)
40: Attack for Fw Muziano Doni
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target)
41: Attack for Fw Donal O'Moore
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 71.05 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
42: Attack for Fw Jose Leao
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
43: Attack for Fw Muziano Doni
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack)
44: Attack for Fw Sadou Moussa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
******* BRENTFORD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Brentford FC 4 10 26 14 31
Derby County 8 11 22 22 66
Brentford FC is Playing For A Draw!
Brentford FC Fw Attacks = 5 (31 - 22) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Brentford FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((14 - 22) / 2; rounded up)
Brentford FC Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 66) / 3; rounded up)
Brentford FC Total Attacks = 5
1: Attack for Fw Ye-jun Ji
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Fw Ben Hamadou
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw John Gyasi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Ye-jun Ji
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 97.92 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
5: Attack for Fw Ye-jun Ji
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
DERBY COUNTY 6 - BRENTFORD FC 1
Match Notes
Allan Sellers flying in from St. Louis to manage a Brentford side at Derby. Admirable commitment to the commute. Whether the tactics travelled as well remains to be seen.
Olmec Head Marcus (Coventry City) 06/03 - 6:30 PM
Probably a blessing this beating wasn't worse. Well played Martyn!
Allan (Brentford FC) 06/06 - 6:42 PM