(H)
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
Dorchester Town
Andy Shaw
League Round 8
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
CARLISLE UNITED DORCHESTER TOWN
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Dani Cassio 14 2 16 Gk Alex Lauritsen 7 2 9
Sw Philippe Manago 13 0 13 Sw Seo-Jun Yo-han 10 2 12
Df Nicola Panucci 13 0 13 Df Sim Young-gwon 13 2 15
Df Marco Sa 13 0 13 Df Luca Simons 12 2 14
Df Eirwyn Davey 11 1 12 Df Abdoul N'day 7 2 9
Mf Marco D'amato 13 0 13 Mf Dragan Shvets 13 2 15
Mf Minato Morishima 12 2 14 Mf Harold Thorne 13 2 15
Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue 13 1 14 Mf Jordan Fassnacht 3 2 5
Fw Jordan Pérez 15 0 15 Fw Aaron Jones 9 2 11
Fw Yannick Vanaken 12 1 13 Fw Mohamed Gharbi 9 2 11
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek 11 1 12 Fw Alexis Havet 7 2 9
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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16 13 38 27 54 ROSTER TOTALS 9 12 38 35 31
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 2 2 0 0 0
0 0 0 3 6 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 7 0 0
=======================================================================
16 13 38 30 60 T O T A L S 11 14 45 35 31
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Dani Cassio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.42 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 33.6 (no red card)
Sw Philippe Manago: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.62 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.52 (no red card)
Df Nicola Panucci: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.61 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.29 (no red card)
Df Marco Sa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.44 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.12 (SECOND YELLOW CARD - SENT OFF!!!)
Marco Sa new match skill level = 7
Marco Sa new match total level = 7
Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.87 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.56 (no red card)
Mf Marco D'amato: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.31 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.43 (no red card)
Mf Minato Morishima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.75 (no red card)
Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.82 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.6 (no red card)
Fw Jordan Pérez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.94 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.71 (no red card)
Fw Yannick Vanaken: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.05 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.9 (no red card)
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.45 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.65 (no red card)
******* DORCHESTER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 4
- Gk Hardness = 2
Gk Alex Lauritsen: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 73.21 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 0.79 (no red card)
Sw Seo-Jun Yo-han: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 66.97 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 14.74 (no red card)
Df Sim Young-gwon: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 92.69 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 20.77 (no red card)
Df Luca Simons: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 16.48 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 40.21 (no red card)
Df Abdoul N'day: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 46.42 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 54.48 (no red card)
Mf Dragan Shvets: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 39.69 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 76.22 (no red card)
Mf Harold Thorne: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 80.62 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 37.06 (no red card)
Mf Jordan Fassnacht: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 38.49 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 52.73 (no red card)
Fw Aaron Jones: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 21.47 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 4.03 (no red card)
Fw Mohamed Gharbi: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 37.1 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 84.2 (no red card)
Fw Alexis Havet: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 68.54 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 41.21 (no red card)
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 4
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.75%
Gk Dani Cassio: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 71.3 (no injury)
Sw Philippe Manago: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 18.56 (no injury)
Df Nicola Panucci: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 60.12 (no injury)
Df Marco Sa: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 7.77 (no injury)
Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 36.02 (no injury)
Mf Marco D'amato: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 13.76 (no injury)
Mf Minato Morishima: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 36.95 (no injury)
Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 28.23 (no injury)
Fw Jordan Pérez: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 20.35 (no injury)
Fw Yannick Vanaken: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 69.71 (no injury)
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 31.27 (no injury)
******* DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 4
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Alex Lauritsen: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 67.26 (no injury)
Sw Seo-Jun Yo-han: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 20.08 (no injury)
Df Sim Young-gwon: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 63.65 (no injury)
Df Luca Simons: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 92.91 (no injury)
Df Abdoul N'day: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 73.41 (no injury)
Mf Dragan Shvets: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 2.61 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 3
Dragan Shvets is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Dragan Shvets new match skill level = 7
Dragan Shvets new match total level = 9
Mf Harold Thorne: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 56.01 (no injury)
Mf Jordan Fassnacht: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 83.96 (no injury)
Fw Aaron Jones: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 11.56 (no injury)
Fw Mohamed Gharbi: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 11.2 (no injury)
Fw Alexis Havet: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 69.55 (no injury)
============================================================================
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 4; (4 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Jordan Pérez SL 15
- Defending Gk: Alex Lauritsen SL 7
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 83 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 15 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 88 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 36 (no penalty kick)
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Sim Young-gwon SL 13
- Defending Gk: Dani Cassio SL 14
intRndPk = 61
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 61 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Carlisle United 16 13 32 30 60
Dorchester Town 11 14 45 29 31
Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 15 (60 - 45); result rounded up
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 1 ((30 - 29) / 2) ; result rounded up
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 1 ((32 - 31) / 3); result rounded up
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 17
1: Attack for Df Eirwyn Davey
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Marco D'amato
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Yannick Vanaken
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 25.61 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 27.78 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Fw Yannick Vanaken
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target)
11: Attack for Fw Yannick Vanaken
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 61.44 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 2.97 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Jordan Pérez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 98.78 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
15: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Abdou Karim Mbengue
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 43.97 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* DORCHESTER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Dorchester Town 11 14 45 29 31
Carlisle United 16 13 32 30 60
Dorchester Town is Playing For A Draw!
Dorchester Town Fw Attacks = 0 (31 - 32)
Dorchester Town Mf Attacks = 0 ((29 - 30) / 2; rounded up)
Dorchester Town Df Attacks = 0 ((45 - 60) / 3; rounded up)
Dorchester Town Total Attacks = 0
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
CARLISLE UNITED 1 - DORCHESTER TOWN 0
Match Notes
We may have to play defensive and hope for a point. No change then.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 06/02 - 8:27 PM
Andy Shaw coming all the way from Middlesbrough for a one-nil and bragging rights over the Swans. Tight and organised — respect that. Carlisle won't make it easy though.
Olmec Head Ray (Blyth Spartans AFC) 06/03 - 6:30 PM
Andy Shaw parking the bus at Brunton Park, chasing that one-nil. Defensively sound in theory — Carlisle may have other thoughts.
Olmec Head Marcus (Coventry City) 06/05 - 6:30 PM
We seem to have made rather heavy weather of getting the win - sendings off never help.
Dave (Carlisle United) 06/07 - 1:27 AM
One way traffic. You did win Dave.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 06/12 - 1:32 PM