(H)
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
League Round 8
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CARLISLE UNITED
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Jonas Lien 16 2 18 Gk Xavier Lambert 13 2 15
Sw Bradley Perry 7 2 9 Sw Ramires Jesus 7 2 9
Df Óscar Cespedes 10 2 12 Df Toshihiro Nakamura 13 2 15
Df Niklas Köhler 9 1 10 Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck 13 1 14
Df Jaap De wit 7 2 9 Df Jacob Beynon 7 2 9
Mf Raouf Salem 10 2 12 Df Eirwyn Davey 3 2 5
Mf Rigobert Mahamat 10 2 12 Mf Peter Bengtsson 13 2 15
Mf Yuriy Taran 7 2 9 Mf Jacek Frankowski 12 1 13
Fw Khalilou Konaté 12 1 13 Mf Marcus Teulet 7 2 9
Fw Takao Soma 7 2 9 Mf Aliyu Edet 3 2 5
Fw Ian Lee 7 2 9 Fw Salem Bejaoui 14 2 16
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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18 9 31 33 31 ROSTER TOTALS 15 9 43 42 16
0 1 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 3 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 7 0 0
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18 10 31 33 40 T O T A L S 15 12 50 42 16
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Jonas Lien: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.24 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 58.69 (no red card)
Sw Bradley Perry: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 84.81 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 34.36 (no red card)
Df Óscar Cespedes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 30.46 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 80.8 (no red card)
Df Niklas Köhler: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 81.27 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.31 (no red card)
Df Jaap De wit: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 70.53 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 43.46 (no red card)
Mf Raouf Salem: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 10.2 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 33.31 (no red card)
Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 35.79 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 87.43 (no red card)
Mf Yuriy Taran: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 66.79 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 97.97 (no red card)
Fw Khalilou Konaté: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 41.28 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 27.93 (no red card)
Fw Takao Soma: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.33 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 74.15 (no red card)
Fw Ian Lee: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 63.68 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 19.33 (no red card)
******* CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Xavier Lambert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.56 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 13.64 (no red card)
Sw Ramires Jesus: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.02 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.57 (no second yellow)
Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.97 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.87 (no red card)
Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.86 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.09 (no red card)
Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.87 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.6 (no red card)
Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.59 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.21 (no red card)
Mf Peter Bengtsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.31 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.37 (no red card)
Mf Jacek Frankowski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.96 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.79 (no red card)
Mf Marcus Teulet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.15 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.05 (no red card)
Mf Aliyu Edet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.26 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.99 (no red card)
Fw Salem Bejaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.02 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.99 (no red card)
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Jonas Lien: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 63.98 (no injury)
Sw Bradley Perry: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 12.74 (no injury)
Df Óscar Cespedes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 76.62 (no injury)
Df Niklas Köhler: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 48.77 (no injury)
Df Jaap De wit: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 26.18 (no injury)
Mf Raouf Salem: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 27.46 (no injury)
Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 67.48 (no injury)
Mf Yuriy Taran: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 26.78 (no injury)
Fw Khalilou Konaté: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 1.58 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 0
Khalilou Konaté is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Takao Soma: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 41.13 (no injury)
Fw Ian Lee: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 44.37 (no injury)
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Xavier Lambert: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 82.48 (no injury)
Sw Ramires Jesus: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 1.58 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 0
Ramires Jesus is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 30.31 (no injury)
Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 28.34 (no injury)
Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 52.71 (no injury)
Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 84.84 (no injury)
Mf Peter Bengtsson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 24.01 (no injury)
Mf Jacek Frankowski: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 47.0 (no injury)
Mf Marcus Teulet: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 21.32 (no injury)
Mf Aliyu Edet: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 43.41 (no injury)
Fw Salem Bejaoui: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 35.97 (no injury)
============================================================================
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Khalilou Konaté SL 12
- Defending Gk: Xavier Lambert SL 13
intRndPk = 56
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 56 (no penalty kick)
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Salem Bejaoui SL 14
- Defending Gk: Jonas Lien SL 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 8 (PENALTY KICK!)
Chance of scoring = 74% | Random number = 42 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Brighton & Hove Albion 18 10 31 33 40
Carlisle United 15 12 50 42 16
Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 0 (40 - 50)
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 0 ((33 - 42) / 2; rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 5 ((31 - 16) / 3); result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 5
1: Attack for Df Jaap De wit
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Df Óscar Cespedes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 78.12 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
3: Attack for Df Jaap De wit
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Df Óscar Cespedes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 3.26 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Df Niklas Köhler
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 94.84 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
******* CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Carlisle United 15 12 50 42 16
Brighton & Hove Albion 18 10 31 33 40
Carlisle United is Playing For A Draw!
Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 0 (16 - 31)
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 2 ((42 - 33) / 2) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 2 ((50 - 40) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 4
1: Attack for Df Eirwyn Davey
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Df Toshihiro Nakamura
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Peter Bengtsson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf Peter Bengtsson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target)
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F I N A L S C O R E
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 2 - CARLISLE UNITED 1
Match Notes
Four match sessions are a double edged sword. Not feeling great heading into the weekend.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 06/11 - 2:59 PM
Looks like we both had the same idea. We were just on the lucky end.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 06/15 - 6:14 PM
Having a shot on target might have helped us.
Dave (Carlisle United) 06/16 - 3:18 AM