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Chesterfield FC
Phil McIntosh
 
Southend United
Colin Scott
 
 
League Round 8
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CHESTERFIELD FC                            SOUTHEND UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Héctor Medrano         14    2   16     Gk Yassine Amara          14    2   16
Df William Roldan         12    0   12     Sw Bastien Rami           12    2   14
Df Jeff Stewart           10    2   12     Df Vincent Hamidou        15    2   17
Mf Edwin O'Kelly          13    0   13     Df Mauricio López         13    2   15
Mf Jonatan López          12    1   13     Df Johan Teulet            7    2    9
Mf Robin de Jong          10    2   12     Mf Ludwig Troell          11    2   13
Mf Steen Clausen           7    2    9     Mf Johan Havet            10    1   11
Fw Julio Morales          14    1   15     Mf Janek Pawlak            6    2    8
Fw Gabriel Fernandinho    13    0   13     Fw Cássio Lemos           19    2   21
Fw Alfonso Mesén          16    0   16     Fw Jamie Behich           13    2   15
Fw Mario Barrios           7    2    9     Fw Ignacio Pékerman       11    2   13

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16  0 24 47 53        ROSTER TOTALS      16 14 41 32 49    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  9  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16  0 24 56 53         T O T A L S       17 14 41 32 49    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Héctor Medrano: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 57.32 (no red card)

Df William Roldan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.4 (no red card)

Df Jeff Stewart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.59 (no red card)

Mf Edwin O'Kelly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.21 (no red card)

Mf Jonatan López: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.21 (no red card)

Mf Robin de Jong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.78 (no red card)

Mf Steen Clausen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.39 (no red card)

Fw Julio Morales: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.31 (no red card)

Fw Gabriel Fernandinho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.44 (no red card)

Fw Alfonso Mesén: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.74 (no red card)

Fw Mario Barrios: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.16 (no red card)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Yassine Amara: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 70.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 65.03 (no red card)

Sw Bastien Rami: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 83.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 12.02 (no red card)

Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 13.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 24.84 (no red card)

Df Mauricio López: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 10.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 39.44 (no red card)

Df Johan Teulet: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 77.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 72.76 (no red card)

Mf Ludwig Troell: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 32.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 13.75 (no red card)

Mf Johan Havet: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 36.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 38.79 (no red card)

Mf Janek Pawlak: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 88.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 67.76 (no red card)

Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 67.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 90.34 (no red card)

Fw Jamie Behich: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 56.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 53.03 (no red card)

Fw Ignacio Pékerman: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 47.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 73.13 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Héctor Medrano: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 41.7 (no injury) 
Df William Roldan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 49.68 (no injury) 
Df Jeff Stewart: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 28.45 (no injury) 
Mf Edwin O'Kelly: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 61.03 (no injury) 
Mf Jonatan López: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 38.97 (no injury) 
Mf Robin de Jong: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 38.01 (no injury) 
Mf Steen Clausen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 33.51 (no injury) 
Fw Julio Morales: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 11.46 (no injury) 
Fw Gabriel Fernandinho: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 39.68 (no injury) 
Fw Alfonso Mesén: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 53.31 (no injury) 
Fw Mario Barrios: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 34.58 (no injury) 

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Yassine Amara: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 45.44 (no injury) 
Sw Bastien Rami: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 82.6 (no injury) 
Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 27.24 (no injury) 
Df Mauricio López: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 34.6 (no injury) 
Df Johan Teulet: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 15.67 (no injury) 
Mf Ludwig Troell: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 50.72 (no injury) 
Mf Johan Havet: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 96.9 (no injury) 
Mf Janek Pawlak: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 31.81 (no injury) 
Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 79.11 (no injury) 
Fw Jamie Behich: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 49.67 (no injury) 
Fw Ignacio Pékerman: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 75.27 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Alfonso Mesén SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Yassine Amara SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 21 (no penalty kick)

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Cássio Lemos SL 19
   - Defending Gk: Héctor Medrano SL 14

     intRndPk = 84
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 84 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chesterfield FC          16   0  24  56  53
  Southend United          17  14  41  32  49

Chesterfield FC Fw Attacks = 12 (53 - 41); result rounded up
Chesterfield FC Mf Attacks = 12 ((56 - 32) / 2) ; result rounded up
Chesterfield FC Df Attacks = 0 ((24 - 49) / 5;  rounded up)
Chesterfield FC Total Attacks = 24

1: Attack for Mf Robin de Jong
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 95.79 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Mf Edwin O'Kelly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Robin de Jong
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Steen Clausen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Edwin O'Kelly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Robin de Jong
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Edwin O'Kelly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Mf Edwin O'Kelly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Robin de Jong
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Edwin O'Kelly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 25.41 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Mf Robin de Jong
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Robin de Jong
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Julio Morales
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Gabriel Fernandinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Gabriel Fernandinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 15.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Gabriel Fernandinho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 49.52 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 86.1 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
22: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Alfonso Mesén
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Julio Morales
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 36 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Southend United          17  14  41  32  49
  Chesterfield FC          16   0  24  56  53

Chesterfield FC is using Offside Trap!
Southend United Fw Attacks = 13 (49 - 24) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Southend United Mf Attacks = 0 ((32 - 56) / 2;  rounded up)
Southend United Df Attacks = 0 ((41 - 53) / 3;  rounded up)
Southend United Total Attacks = 13

1: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 86.1 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Ignacio Pékerman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 22.7 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 31.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Ignacio Pékerman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 50.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 3.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 26.64 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Jamie Behich
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Ignacio Pékerman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 60.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Ignacio Pékerman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 56.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CHESTERFIELD FC 2  -  SOUTHEND UNITED 1
 
Match Notes
Fair play Phil. I was hoping to sneak this one but not nearly good enough.
Colin (Southend United) 06/21 - 6:19 PM
 
 
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