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Watford
James Tucker
 
Port Vale FC
John Holden
 
 
League Round 8
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WATFORD                                    PORT VALE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Riccardo Di matteo     16    2   18     Gk Hyun Tae-yong          16    2   18
Sw Saul Aquino            13    2   15     Df Boško Shpak            12    2   14
Df Waldemar Skoras        11    2   13     Df Zak Smalls             12    1   13
Df Alain Fauché           15    1   16     Df Carsten Kragelund       7    2    9
Df Walter McGree           7    2    9     Mf Hélder Carvalho        12    2   14
Mf Hirving Borgetti       12    0   12     Mf Danny Cole             10    2   12
Mf Federico Machado        7    2    9     Mf Alain Rieder            7    2    9
Fw Julien De Boeck        14    2   16     Fw Andres Gutierrez       14    2   16
Fw Edgar Jimenez          11    2   13     Fw Filipe Alves           16    0   16
Fw Hakim Aboukhlal         7    2    9     Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi   12    2   14
Fw Valerio Paredes         7    2    9     Fw Peter Goossens          7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 15 38 21 47        ROSTER TOTALS      18  0 36 35 55    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  1  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 15 38 21 57         T O T A L S       19  0 36 35 55    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 50.33 (no red card)

Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.22 (no red card)

Df Waldemar Skoras: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.83 (no red card)

Df Alain Fauché: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.1 (no red card)

Df Walter McGree: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.64 (no red card)

Mf Hirving Borgetti: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.96 (no red card)

Mf Federico Machado: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.59 (no red card)

Fw Julien De Boeck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.61 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.58 (no second yellow)

Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.79 (no red card)

Fw Hakim Aboukhlal: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.39 (no red card)

Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.54 (no red card)

*******  PORT VALE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Hyun Tae-yong: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 52.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 33.53 (no red card)

Df Boško Shpak: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 89.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 24.35 (no red card)

Df Zak Smalls: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 11.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 68.7 (no red card)

Df Carsten Kragelund: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 87.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 5.26 (no red card)

Mf Hélder Carvalho: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 41.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 39.5 (no red card)

Mf Danny Cole: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.91 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 70.74 (no second yellow)

Mf Alain Rieder: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 85.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 87.03 (no red card)

Fw Andres Gutierrez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 6.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 78.43 (no red card)

Fw Filipe Alves: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 66.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 58.52 (no red card)

Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 80.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 34.59 (no red card)

Fw Peter Goossens: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.85 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 44.41 (no second yellow)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Watford Team Hardness = 0
   - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 99.11 (no injury) 
Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 25.39 (no injury) 
Df Waldemar Skoras: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 88.28 (no injury) 
Df Alain Fauché: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 54.96 (no injury) 
Df Walter McGree: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 59.55 (no injury) 
Mf Hirving Borgetti: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 10.09 (no injury) 
Mf Federico Machado: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 67.02 (no injury) 
Fw Julien De Boeck: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 31.76 (no injury) 
Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 29.67 (no injury) 
Fw Hakim Aboukhlal: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 40.41 (no injury) 
Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 88.84 (no injury) 

*******  PORT VALE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Watford Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Hyun Tae-yong: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 81.32 (no injury) 
Df Boško Shpak: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 47.68 (no injury) 
Df Zak Smalls: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 22.94 (no injury) 
Df Carsten Kragelund: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 62.76 (no injury) 
Mf Hélder Carvalho: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 10.72 (no injury) 
Mf Danny Cole: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 7.57 (no injury) 
Mf Alain Rieder: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 84.95 (no injury) 
Fw Andres Gutierrez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 33.83 (no injury) 
Fw Filipe Alves: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 79.86 (no injury) 
Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 40.64 (no injury) 
Fw Peter Goossens: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 91.31 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  PORT VALE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Alain Fauché SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Hyun Tae-yong SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 27 (no penalty kick)

*******  WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Filipe Alves SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Riccardo Di matteo SL 16

     intRndPk = 96
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 96 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Watford                  18  15  38  21  57
  Port Vale FC             19   0  36  35  55

Port Vale FC is using Offside Trap!
Watford Fw Attacks = 11 (57 - 36) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 35) / 2;  rounded up)
Watford Df Attacks = 0 ((38 - 55) / 3;  rounded up)
Watford Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Port Vale FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Port Vale FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 82.11 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Port Vale FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 26.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Port Vale FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Port Vale FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 52.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Port Vale FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Port Vale FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 77.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Port Vale FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 84.01 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Port Vale FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 58.82 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Port Vale FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 45.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Port Vale FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 52.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  PORT VALE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Port Vale FC             19   0  36  35  55
  Watford                  18  15  38  21  57

Port Vale FC Fw Attacks = 17 (55 - 38); result rounded up
Port Vale FC Mf Attacks = 7 ((35 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
Port Vale FC Df Attacks = 0 ((36 - 57) / 5;  rounded up)
Port Vale FC Total Attacks = 24

1: Attack for Mf Hélder Carvalho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Hélder Carvalho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Alain Rieder
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Alain Rieder
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Alain Rieder
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Danny Cole
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Hélder Carvalho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 55.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Filipe Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 67.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Filipe Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 8.8 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Filipe Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 26.76 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Filipe Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Filipe Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 52.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Filipe Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 97.82 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
22: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 4.32 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
24: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WATFORD 1  -  PORT VALE FC 1
 
Match Notes
Wat are we getting ourselves into here
John (Port Vale FC) 06/15 - 5:43 PM
 
 
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