(H)
Oldham Athletic AFC
Antoine Thevenon
Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
League Round 8
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CREWE ALEXANDRA FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Timothy James 13 2 15 Gk Per Holmdahl 13 2 15
Sw Ian Butler 3 2 5 Sw Piotr Sobolewski 12 -1 11
Df Ado Di matteo 13 1 14 Df Jack Nabbout 13 2 15
Df Zinedine Castex 11 2 13 Df Festus Abubakar 11 2 13
Mf Mats Larsson 10 2 12 Df Magnus Waering 7 2 9
Mf Abdel Baya 9 2 11 Mf Mario Pletikosa 12 2 14
Fw Alhassan Baffoe 12 1 13 Mf Óscar Cota 11 2 13
Fw Jakub Fabianski 14 1 15 Mf Clement Harouna 3 2 5
Fw Wladimir Groen 10 1 11 Fw Zvonimir Bradaric 15 2 17
Fw Salvatore De luca 7 2 9 Fw Slava Levchenko 10 2 12
Fw Héctor Masis 6 2 8 Fw Olivier Havet 7 2 9
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
15 5 27 23 56 ROSTER TOTALS 15 11 37 32 38
0 2 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
15 7 27 23 65 T O T A L S 15 11 37 32 38
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 2
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Timothy James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.41 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 43.81 (no red card)
Sw Ian Butler: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 53.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 64.62 (no red card)
Df Ado Di matteo: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 91.62 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 38.78 (no red card)
Df Zinedine Castex: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 33.92 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 44.8 (no red card)
Mf Mats Larsson: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 71.1 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 47.77 (no red card)
Mf Abdel Baya: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 3.01 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 69.67 (no second yellow)
Fw Alhassan Baffoe: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 4.63 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 8.42 (no second yellow)
Fw Jakub Fabianski: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 71.54 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 80.19 (no red card)
Fw Wladimir Groen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 80.67 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 79.16 (no red card)
Fw Salvatore De luca: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 55.71 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 12.84 (no red card)
Fw Héctor Masis: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 24.24 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 23.0 (no red card)
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.01 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 96.37 (no red card)
Sw Piotr Sobolewski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.58 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.99 (no red card)
Df Jack Nabbout: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.21 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.5 (no red card)
Df Festus Abubakar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.03 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.65 (no second yellow)
Df Magnus Waering: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.08 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.55 (no red card)
Mf Mario Pletikosa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.5 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.59 (no red card)
Mf Óscar Cota: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.68 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.18 (no red card)
Mf Clement Harouna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.7 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.6 (no red card)
Fw Zvonimir Bradaric: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.55 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.92 (no red card)
Fw Slava Levchenko: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.58 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.84 (no red card)
Fw Olivier Havet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.2 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.37 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 2
- Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Timothy James: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 76.9 (no injury)
Sw Ian Butler: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 82.68 (no injury)
Df Ado Di matteo: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 81.84 (no injury)
Df Zinedine Castex: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 29.31 (no injury)
Mf Mats Larsson: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 52.49 (no injury)
Mf Abdel Baya: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 41.65 (no injury)
Fw Alhassan Baffoe: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 63.83 (no injury)
Fw Jakub Fabianski: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 43.6 (no injury)
Fw Wladimir Groen: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 96.6 (no injury)
Fw Salvatore De luca: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 81.98 (no injury)
Fw Héctor Masis: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 90.22 (no injury)
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
- Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 2
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Per Holmdahl: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 97.51 (no injury)
Sw Piotr Sobolewski: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 33.09 (no injury)
Df Jack Nabbout: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 90.55 (no injury)
Df Festus Abubakar: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 99.2 (no injury)
Df Magnus Waering: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 22.85 (no injury)
Mf Mario Pletikosa: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 48.8 (no injury)
Mf Óscar Cota: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 29.12 (no injury)
Mf Clement Harouna: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 82.22 (no injury)
Fw Zvonimir Bradaric: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 82.54 (no injury)
Fw Slava Levchenko: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 27.84 (no injury)
Fw Olivier Havet: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 70.51 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Jakub Fabianski SL 14
- Defending Gk: Per Holmdahl SL 13
intRndPk = 90
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 90 (no penalty kick)
******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Zvonimir Bradaric SL 15
- Defending Gk: Timothy James SL 13
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 2 (PENALTY KICK!)
Chance of scoring = 84% | Random number = 52 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 54 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Oldham Athletic AFC 15 7 27 23 65
Crewe Alexandra FC 15 11 37 32 38
Oldham Athletic AFC Fw Attacks = 28 (65 - 37); result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 32) / 2; rounded up)
Oldham Athletic AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((27 - 38) / 3; rounded up)
Oldham Athletic AFC Total Attacks = 28
1: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 25.93 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 77.31 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
11: Attack for Fw Héctor Masis
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target)
13: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target)
15: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 82.91 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
16: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 44.28 (Shot Saved by Gk)
19: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Salvatore De luca
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
24: Attack for Fw Héctor Masis
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
25: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
26: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
27: Attack for Fw Alhassan Baffoe
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack)
28: Attack for Fw Jakub Fabianski
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 77.99 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Crewe Alexandra FC 15 11 37 32 38
Oldham Athletic AFC 15 7 27 23 65
Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 11 (38 - 27); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 5 ((32 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 65) / 3; rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 16
1: Attack for Mf Óscar Cota
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 88.16 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
2: Attack for Mf Mario Pletikosa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 40 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Mf Óscar Cota
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf Mario Pletikosa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 25.48 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Mf Mario Pletikosa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 84.84 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
6: Attack for Fw Zvonimir Bradaric
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Zvonimir Bradaric
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Zvonimir Bradaric
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Slava Levchenko
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 44 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 50 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target)
11: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target)
12: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 25.17 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 48 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 59.34 (Shot Saved by Gk)
14: Attack for Fw Olivier Havet
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Slava Levchenko
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 67.67 (Shot Saved by Gk)
16: Attack for Fw Slava Levchenko
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC 3 - CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 3
Match Notes
Hard to win away to Oldham
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 02/01 - 9:25 AM
We’re playing above our level at the moment… Crewe might be the team that brings us back down to earth
Antoine (Oldham Athletic AFC) 02/01 - 11:03 AM
The fans are criticizing the coach’s decision to start Ian Butler. The head coach and the general manager are standing by young Ian. He’s a future star. Matches like this will only make him better !
Antoine (Oldham Athletic AFC) 02/08 - 8:00 AM
Well that was a game for those in the stand
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 02/08 - 9:08 AM