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Oldham Athletic AFC
Pierre van Rossum
 
Derby County
Martyn Hathaway
 
 
League Round 8
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC                        DERBY COUNTY

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Thomas Anderson        12    2   14     Gk Fernando Pellistri     14    2   16
Sw Mitsuo Soma            16    0   16     Sw Artur Boniek           14    1   15
Df Mamoru Morishima       10    1   11     Df Mikkel Iversen          7    2    9
Df Mohammed Cherkaoui     10    1   11     Df Johnny Müller           3    2    5
Df Herman Lambert          7    2    9     Df Khalid Harit            3    2    5
Mf Ndiaga Mané            11    1   12     Df Henry Rowles            5    2    7
Mf Vibeke Skov             7    2    9     Df Lukasz Bereszynski      5    2    7
Mf Mats Larsson            3    2    5     Mf Cédric Kenne            3    2    5
Fw Curtis Carr            18    2   20     Mf Krystian Sobolewski     3    2    5
Fw Heorhiy Kozlov         13    2   15     Fw Ramzi Sellimi           7    2    9
Fw Wladimir Groen          7    2    9     Fw Erik Christiansen       7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 16 31 26 44        ROSTER TOTALS      16 15 33 10 18    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  1  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  3  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14 19 31 26 53         T O T A L S       16 15 33 11 18    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Thomas Anderson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 16.75 (no red card)

Sw Mitsuo Soma: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.12 (no red card)

Df Mamoru Morishima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.35 (no red card)

Df Mohammed Cherkaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.64 (no red card)

Df Herman Lambert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.45 (no red card)

Mf Ndiaga Mané: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.56 (no red card)

Mf Vibeke Skov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.76 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.85 (no second yellow)

Mf Mats Larsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.31 (no red card)

Fw Curtis Carr: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.46 (no red card)

Fw Heorhiy Kozlov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.14 (no red card)

Fw Wladimir Groen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.22 (no red card)

*******  DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Fernando Pellistri: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 3.8 (no red card)

Sw Artur Boniek: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 80.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 66.69 (no red card)

Df Mikkel Iversen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 84.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 80.9 (no red card)

Df Johnny Müller: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 95.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 86.52 (no red card)

Df Khalid Harit: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 44.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 76.1 (no red card)

Df Henry Rowles: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 83.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 71.61 (no red card)

Df Lukasz Bereszynski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 60.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 70.94 (no red card)

Mf Cédric Kenne: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 67.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 88.38 (no red card)

Mf Krystian Sobolewski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 96.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 94.04 (no red card)

Fw Ramzi Sellimi: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 7.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 1.48 (no red card)

Fw Erik Christiansen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 70.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 21.7 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Thomas Anderson: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 65.58 (no injury) 
Sw Mitsuo Soma: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 41.2 (no injury) 
Df Mamoru Morishima: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 80.18 (no injury) 
Df Mohammed Cherkaoui: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 17.58 (no injury) 
Df Herman Lambert: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 98.13 (no injury) 
Mf Ndiaga Mané: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 19.72 (no injury) 
Mf Vibeke Skov: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 63.21 (no injury) 
Mf Mats Larsson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 29.93 (no injury) 
Fw Curtis Carr: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 96.8 (no injury) 
Fw Heorhiy Kozlov: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 12.02 (no injury) 
Fw Wladimir Groen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 78.71 (no injury) 

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 1
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Fernando Pellistri: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 3.54 (no injury) 
Sw Artur Boniek: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 76.61 (no injury) 
Df Mikkel Iversen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 69.72 (no injury) 
Df Johnny Müller: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 75.03 (no injury) 
Df Khalid Harit: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 6.74 (no injury) 
Df Henry Rowles: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 36.8 (no injury) 
Df Lukasz Bereszynski: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 10.83 (no injury) 
Mf Cédric Kenne: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 29.02 (no injury) 
Mf Krystian Sobolewski: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 87.88 (no injury) 
Fw Ramzi Sellimi: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 30.08 (no injury) 
Fw Erik Christiansen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 50.36 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Curtis Carr SL 18
   - Defending Gk: Fernando Pellistri SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 7 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 94% | Random number = 77 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Mikkel Iversen SL 7
   - Defending Gk: Thomas Anderson SL 12

     intRndPk = 39
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 39 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Oldham Athletic AFC      14  19  31  26  53
  Derby County             16  15  33  11  18

Oldham Athletic AFC Fw Attacks = 20 (53 - 33); result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Mf Attacks = 8 ((26 - 11) / 2) ; result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Df Attacks = 5 ((31 - 18) / 3); result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Total Attacks = 33

1: Attack for Df Mamoru Morishima
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Mohammed Cherkaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Mamoru Morishima
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Herman Lambert
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 88.19 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Df Mamoru Morishima
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 83.69 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Mf Ndiaga Mané
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf Ndiaga Mané
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Ndiaga Mané
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Ndiaga Mané
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Ndiaga Mané
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Ndiaga Mané
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Vibeke Skov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Mf Ndiaga Mané
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 30.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Wladimir Groen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 86.63 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
15: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 70.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 85.33 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
18: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 12.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 82.77 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
20: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 58.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 48 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Heorhiy Kozlov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Heorhiy Kozlov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target) 
25: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Heorhiy Kozlov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 54.8 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
28: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 91.9 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
30: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 54 (Shot Off Target) 
32: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
33: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Derby County             16  15  33  11  18
  Oldham Athletic AFC      14  19  31  26  53

Derby County Fw Attacks = 0 (18 - 31)
Derby County Mf Attacks = 0 ((11 - 26) / 2;  rounded up)
Derby County Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 53) / 3;  rounded up)
Derby County Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC 7  -  DERBY COUNTY 0
 
Match Notes
A home game. Hopefully the supporters will see a nice game.
Pierre (Oldham Athletic AFC) 06/14 - 3:23 PM
Wow, very impressive. Curtis Carr with 4 goals.
Pierre (Oldham Athletic AFC) 06/20 - 2:45 PM
 
 
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