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Tranmere Rovers
Alon Atie
 
Southend United
Colin Scott
 
 
League Round 8
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

TRANMERE ROVERS                            SOUTHEND UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Maciej Piechniczek     15    2   17     Gk Alonso Lopez           16    2   18
Sw Santiago Ramos         14    2   16     Sw Jordan Bukari           7    2    9
Df Júlio Casemiro         11    2   13     Df Kenzie Fraser          11    2   13
Df Gonçalo Cancelo        10    2   12     Df Alex Salisu            11    2   13
Mf Søren Jacobsen         10    2   12     Df Mauricio López          7    2    9
Mf Cobi Keller             7    2    9     Df Alain Teulet            3    2    5
Fw Sebastian Zielinski    16    2   18     Mf Nico Schär              8    2   10
Fw Granit Wicky           13    2   15     Mf Zaccaria Caligiuri      5    2    7
Fw Tim Scholz             16    2   18     Mf Ludwig Troell           3    2    5
Fw Michal Buncol          11    2   13     Fw Roman Radomski         10    2   12
Fw Valentyn Shulga        10    2   12     Fw Pedro Viera             3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 16 25 21 76        ROSTER TOTALS      18  9 40 22 17    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  1  6  2       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  3  4  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 16 26 27 78         T O T A L S       19 12 44 22 17    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Maciej Piechniczek: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 69.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 28.36 (no red card)

Sw Santiago Ramos: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 11.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 61.6 (no red card)

Df Júlio Casemiro: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 24.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 4.67 (no red card)

Df Gonçalo Cancelo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 91.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 44.66 (no red card)

Mf Søren Jacobsen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.31 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 75.29 (no second yellow)

Mf Cobi Keller: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 59.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 79.53 (no red card)

Fw Sebastian Zielinski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 88.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 7.6 (no red card)

Fw Granit Wicky: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 74.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 0.32 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Granit Wicky new match skill level =  7
      Granit Wicky new match total level =  9

Fw Tim Scholz: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 81.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 59.59 (no red card)

Fw Michal Buncol: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 26.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 66.74 (no red card)

Fw Valentyn Shulga: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 58.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 48.62 (no red card)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 43.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 6.56 (no red card)

Sw Jordan Bukari: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 46.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 69.26 (no red card)

Df Kenzie Fraser: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 39.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 32.89 (no red card)

Df Alex Salisu: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 94.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.43 (no red card)

Df Mauricio López: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 88.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 89.99 (no red card)

Df Alain Teulet: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 2.61 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.36 (no second yellow)

Mf Nico Schär: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 89.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 55.46 (no red card)

Mf Zaccaria Caligiuri: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 50.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 31.01 (no red card)

Mf Ludwig Troell: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 61.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 77.47 (no red card)

Fw Roman Radomski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 39.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 93.34 (no red card)

Fw Pedro Viera: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 18.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 42.87 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 1
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Maciej Piechniczek: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 0.43 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 6
      Maciej Piechniczek is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Maciej Piechniczek new match skill level =  8
      Maciej Piechniczek new match total level =  10
Sw Santiago Ramos: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 94.06 (no injury) 
Df Júlio Casemiro: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 76.4 (no injury) 
Df Gonçalo Cancelo: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 82.55 (no injury) 
Mf Søren Jacobsen: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 71.6 (no injury) 
Mf Cobi Keller: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 74.98 (no injury) 
Fw Sebastian Zielinski: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 3.87 (no injury) 
Fw Granit Wicky: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 92.89 (no injury) 
Fw Tim Scholz: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 68.17 (no injury) 
Fw Michal Buncol: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 77.0 (no injury) 
Fw Valentyn Shulga: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 3.45 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      Valentyn Shulga is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Valentyn Shulga new match skill level =  5
      Valentyn Shulga new match total level =  7

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 94.19 (no injury) 
Sw Jordan Bukari: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 38.7 (no injury) 
Df Kenzie Fraser: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 28.47 (no injury) 
Df Alex Salisu: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 49.14 (no injury) 
Df Mauricio López: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 62.29 (no injury) 
Df Alain Teulet: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 14.8 (no injury) 
Mf Nico Schär: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 64.66 (no injury) 
Mf Zaccaria Caligiuri: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 94.98 (no injury) 
Mf Ludwig Troell: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 98.89 (no injury) 
Fw Roman Radomski: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 66.19 (no injury) 
Fw Pedro Viera: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 71.6 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Sebastian Zielinski SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Alonso Lopez SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 99 (no penalty kick)

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Kenzie Fraser SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Maciej Piechniczek SL 8

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 92 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tranmere Rovers          11  16  26  27  67
  Southend United          19  12  44  22  17

Tranmere Rovers Fw Attacks = 23 (67 - 44); result rounded up
Tranmere Rovers Mf Attacks = 3 ((27 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
Tranmere Rovers Df Attacks = 3 ((26 - 17) / 3); result rounded up
Tranmere Rovers Total Attacks = 29

1: Attack for Df Júlio Casemiro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 83.14 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Gonçalo Cancelo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Gonçalo Cancelo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Søren Jacobsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 38.82 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Søren Jacobsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Cobi Keller
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Tim Scholz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 51.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Michal Buncol
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Tim Scholz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Tim Scholz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Michal Buncol
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Tim Scholz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Tim Scholz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Granit Wicky
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Granit Wicky
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Granit Wicky
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 93.55 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
25: Attack for Fw Tim Scholz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Granit Wicky
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Granit Wicky
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 8.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
29: Attack for Fw Sebastian Zielinski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Southend United          19  12  44  22  17
  Tranmere Rovers          11  16  26  27  67

Southend United is Playing For A Draw!
Southend United Fw Attacks = 0 (17 - 26)
Southend United Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 27) / 2;  rounded up)
Southend United Df Attacks = 0 ((44 - 67) / 3;  rounded up)
Southend United Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
TRANMERE ROVERS 2  -  SOUTHEND UNITED 0
 
Match Notes
OOPs

That GK injury could be the end of any chance for a trophy for tranmere this season
Alon (Tranmere Rovers) 06/16 - 10:35 AM
 
 
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