(H)

Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay

Bristol City FC
Jason Halpin
League Round 8
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S PRESTON NORTH END FC BRISTOL CITY FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Valentin Lugn 17 2 19 Gk Eugene Vasilev 3 2 5 Sw Tjoris Dumfried 14 2 16 Sw Atsushi Oshima 8 2 10 Df Hayden Goodwin 14 2 16 Df Eugene Goodwin 13 1 14 Df Joel Calvo 7 2 9 Df Mario Rojas 10 2 12 Df Harry Martyn 3 2 5 Df Marcus Bergman 7 2 9 Mf Miguel López 12 2 14 Df Yahya Cheddira 3 2 5 Mf Issa Daouda 3 2 5 Mf Efe Akpan 12 0 12 Fw Šime Sucic 10 2 12 Df Steven Simons 8 1 9 Fw Sebastian Murillo 8 2 10 Mf Rafal Karas 7 2 9 Fw Geovanny Arley 7 2 9 Fw Ulf Helander 13 2 15 Fw Pol Ruiz 7 2 9 Fw Julius Nwosu 7 2 9 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 19 16 30 19 40 ROSTER TOTALS 5 10 49 21 24 1 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 7 0 0 ======================================================================= 20 16 30 19 49 T O T A L S 5 10 56 21 24 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 1 Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 84.47 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 22.75 (no red card) Sw Tjoris Dumfried: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 38.92 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 84.75 (no red card) Df Hayden Goodwin: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 57.62 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 71.63 (no red card) Df Joel Calvo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 9.16 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 96.53 (no red card) Df Harry Martyn: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 46.15 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 77.95 (no red card) Mf Miguel López: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 32.35 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 10.25 (no red card) Mf Issa Daouda: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 32.96 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 82.9 (no red card) Fw Šime Sucic: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 85.41 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 96.81 (no red card) Fw Sebastian Murillo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 90.79 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 69.97 (no red card) Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 30.26 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 89.48 (no red card) Fw Pol Ruiz: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 4.72 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 41.49 (no second yellow) ******* BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Eugene Vasilev: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.74 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 93.84 (no red card) Sw Atsushi Oshima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.71 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.99 (no red card) Df Eugene Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.33 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.04 (no red card) Df Mario Rojas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.14 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.74 (no red card) Df Marcus Bergman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.05 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.44 (no red card) Df Yahya Cheddira: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.1 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.03 (no red card) Mf Efe Akpan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.86 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.93 (no red card) Df Steven Simons: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.75 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.24 (no red card) Mf Rafal Karas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.58 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.46 (no red card) Fw Ulf Helander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.26 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.95 (no red card) Fw Julius Nwosu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.14 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.36 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 1 - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75% - Gk chance of injury = 1.37% Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 61.66 (no injury) Sw Tjoris Dumfried: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 95.45 (no injury) Df Hayden Goodwin: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 44.43 (no injury) Df Joel Calvo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 60.0 (no injury) Df Harry Martyn: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 81.89 (no injury) Mf Miguel López: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 79.14 (no injury) Mf Issa Daouda: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 92.25 (no injury) Fw Šime Sucic: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 72.39 (no injury) Fw Sebastian Murillo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 41.81 (no injury) Fw Geovanny Arley: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 20.37 (no injury) Fw Pol Ruiz: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 48.12 (no injury) ******* BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0 - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25% - Gk chance of injury = 1.62% Gk Eugene Vasilev: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 42.57 (no injury) Sw Atsushi Oshima: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 46.58 (no injury) Df Eugene Goodwin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 66.73 (no injury) Df Mario Rojas: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 87.37 (no injury) Df Marcus Bergman: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 87.95 (no injury) Df Yahya Cheddira: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 61.49 (no injury) Mf Efe Akpan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 93.78 (no injury) Df Steven Simons: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 44.16 (no injury) Mf Rafal Karas: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 82.54 (no injury) Fw Ulf Helander: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 70.18 (no injury) Fw Julius Nwosu: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 98.92 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Hayden Goodwin SL 14 - Defending Gk: Eugene Vasilev SL 3 intRndPk = 77 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 77 (no penalty kick) ******* PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Eugene Goodwin SL 13 - Defending Gk: Valentin Lugn SL 17 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 71 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Preston North End FC 20 16 30 19 49 Bristol City FC 5 10 56 21 24 Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 0 (49 - 56) Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 21) / 2; rounded up) Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 2 ((30 - 24) / 3); result rounded up Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 2 1: Attack for Df Hayden Goodwin Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Df Hayden Goodwin Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) ******* BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Bristol City FC 5 10 56 21 24 Preston North End FC 20 16 30 19 49 Bristol City FC is Playing For A Draw! Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 0 (24 - 30) Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((21 - 19) / 2) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 2 ((56 - 49) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 3 1: Attack for Df Eugene Goodwin Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Df Mario Rojas Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Mf Rafal Karas Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E PRESTON NORTH END FC 0 - BRISTOL CITY FC 0