(H)
Watford
James Tucker
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
League Round 8
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
WATFORD NOTTINGHAM FOREST
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Mads Frost 16 2 18 Gk Noah Okafor 7 2 9
Sw Nico Lehmann 10 2 12 Sw Thiago Boniek 12 -2 10
Df Keita Hattori 13 2 15 Df Svend Kragh 13 0 13
Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk 17 2 19 Df Mbaye Dieng 16 0 16
Df José Mendes 7 2 9 Df Victor Rui 10 2 12
Mf Dmitry Soroka 14 2 16 Mf Pieter Willems 5 2 7
Mf Octavio Barbosa 7 2 9 Mf Paul Simons 7 2 9
Fw Djonno De boer 15 2 17 Mf Roberto Garrido 3 2 5
Fw Vitalik Semenyuk 11 2 13 Fw Ghaith Abid 7 2 9
Fw Yassine Aloui 7 2 9 Fw Mohcine Youssef 3 2 5
Fw Trefor Lloyd 7 2 9 Fw Owen Chamberlain 3 2 5
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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18 12 43 25 48 ROSTER TOTALS 9 10 41 21 19
0 0 0 0 1 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 3 4 0 0
=======================================================================
18 12 43 25 58 T O T A L S 9 13 45 21 19
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Mads Frost: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.14 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 99.82 (no red card)
Sw Nico Lehmann: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 73.89 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 38.23 (no red card)
Df Keita Hattori: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 55.42 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 31.67 (no red card)
Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 30.11 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 13.55 (no red card)
Df José Mendes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 55.09 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.98 (no red card)
Mf Dmitry Soroka: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 73.67 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 79.33 (no red card)
Mf Octavio Barbosa: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 64.59 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 61.02 (no red card)
Fw Djonno De boer: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 8.65 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 15.69 (no red card)
Fw Vitalik Semenyuk: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 81.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 96.89 (no red card)
Fw Yassine Aloui: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 92.54 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 10.04 (no red card)
Fw Trefor Lloyd: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 4.03 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 98.09 (no second yellow)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Noah Okafor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.46 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 77.96 (no red card)
Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.79 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.9 (no red card)
Df Svend Kragh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.85 (no red card)
Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.63 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.31 (no red card)
Df Victor Rui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.4 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.24 (no red card)
Mf Pieter Willems: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.89 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.63 (no red card)
Mf Paul Simons: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.07 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.9 (no red card)
Mf Roberto Garrido: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.26 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.84 (no red card)
Fw Ghaith Abid: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.61 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.89 (no red card)
Fw Mohcine Youssef: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.32 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.19 (no red card)
Fw Owen Chamberlain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.57 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.79 (no red card)
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============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Watford Team Hardness = 1
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Mads Frost: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 77.7 (no injury)
Sw Nico Lehmann: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 58.58 (no injury)
Df Keita Hattori: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 43.98 (no injury)
Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 91.51 (no injury)
Df José Mendes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 34.83 (no injury)
Mf Dmitry Soroka: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 51.65 (no injury)
Mf Octavio Barbosa: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 43.54 (no injury)
Fw Djonno De boer: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 5.47 (no injury)
Fw Vitalik Semenyuk: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 87.49 (no injury)
Fw Yassine Aloui: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 24.57 (no injury)
Fw Trefor Lloyd: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 65.46 (no injury)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
- Watford Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Noah Okafor: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 26.28 (no injury)
Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 65.74 (no injury)
Df Svend Kragh: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 10.98 (no injury)
Df Mbaye Dieng: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 55.63 (no injury)
Df Victor Rui: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 44.73 (no injury)
Mf Pieter Willems: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 15.37 (no injury)
Mf Paul Simons: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 99.74 (no injury)
Mf Roberto Garrido: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 72.73 (no injury)
Fw Ghaith Abid: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 94.79 (no injury)
Fw Mohcine Youssef: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 97.88 (no injury)
Fw Owen Chamberlain: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 6.76 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Mykhailo Pavlyuk SL 17
- Defending Gk: Noah Okafor SL 7
intRndPk = 22
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 22 (no penalty kick)
******* WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Mbaye Dieng SL 16
- Defending Gk: Mads Frost SL 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 84 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Watford 18 12 43 25 58
Nottingham Forest 9 13 45 21 19
Watford Fw Attacks = 13 (58 - 45); result rounded up
Watford Mf Attacks = 2 ((25 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
Watford Df Attacks = 8 ((43 - 19) / 3); result rounded up
Watford Total Attacks = 23
1: Attack for Df Keita Hattori
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Df José Mendes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Df José Mendes
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 41.04 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Df Mykhailo Pavlyuk
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Mf Dmitry Soroka
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Mf Dmitry Soroka
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Trefor Lloyd
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 35.87 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 83.26 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
13: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target)
14: Attack for Fw Vitalik Semenyuk
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 21.74 (Shot Saved by Gk)
15: Attack for Fw Trefor Lloyd
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Djonno De boer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target)
18: Attack for Fw Vitalik Semenyuk
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target)
19: Attack for Fw Vitalik Semenyuk
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target)
20: Attack for Fw Trefor Lloyd
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Yassine Aloui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw Vitalik Semenyuk
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 92.77 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
23: Attack for Fw Vitalik Semenyuk
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 91.86 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Nottingham Forest 9 13 45 21 19
Watford 18 12 43 25 58
Nottingham Forest is Playing For A Draw!
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 0 (19 - 43)
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 25) / 2; rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((45 - 58) / 3; rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 0
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
WATFORD 3 - NOTTINGHAM FOREST 0
Match Notes
JT versus Olmec Steve. Could be four up front, could be a back nine — genuinely nobody knows. Forest will at least arrive with a plan, which is already an advantage.
Olmec Head Marcus (Coventry City) 05/30 - 6:31 PM
Three nil at home. JT's schoolboys gave Olmec Steve a geography lesson — Ilkeston is a long way from a clean sheet.
Olmec Head Marcus (Coventry City) 06/06 - 6:30 PM ❤1
Very funny, Marcus.
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 06/06 - 6:59 PM