(H)

Port Vale FC
John Holden

Swansea City AFC
Roy Rolsten
League Round 8
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S PORT VALE FC SWANSEA CITY AFC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Dylan De boer 7 2 9 Gk Pathé Ndong 13 2 15 Sw Fokke Taylor 14 0 14 Df Miguel de la Cruz 13 2 15 Df Carsten Kragelund 14 0 14 Df Jordan Cummings 12 1 13 Df Sven Thoren 7 2 9 Df Enrique Masis 10 1 11 Mf Hélder Carvalho 13 0 13 Df Munir Hamdallah 6 2 8 Mf Alan Herdman 7 2 9 Mf Walid Sellimi 12 2 14 Mf Benedicto González 3 2 5 Mf Mikkel Hedegaard 11 2 13 Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi 17 0 17 Mf Gonçalo da Rocha 5 2 7 Fw Peter Goossens 13 0 13 Fw Renato Cabanas 13 2 15 Fw Adam Vasilev 12 2 14 Fw Gerry Maclaren 16 2 18 Fw Hermidio Rivera 7 2 9 Fw Dario Vasilj 7 2 9 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 9 14 23 27 53 ROSTER TOTALS 15 0 47 34 42 1 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 10 14 23 27 62 T O T A L S 15 0 47 34 42 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* PORT VALE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 1 Gk Dylan De boer: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 32.09 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 21.71 (no red card) Sw Fokke Taylor: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 67.71 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 2.72 (no red card) Df Carsten Kragelund: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 94.03 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 20.64 (no red card) Df Sven Thoren: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 78.42 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 91.08 (no red card) Mf Hélder Carvalho: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 77.01 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 48.38 (no red card) Mf Alan Herdman: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 4.14 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 32.36 (no second yellow) Mf Benedicto González: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 60.2 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 2.15 (no red card) Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 46.8 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 63.97 (no red card) Fw Peter Goossens: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 50.86 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 93.43 (no red card) Fw Adam Vasilev: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 48.7 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 91.73 (no red card) Fw Hermidio Rivera: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 83.43 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 44.32 (no red card) ******* SWANSEA CITY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Pathé Ndong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.16 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 40.2 (no red card) Df Miguel de la Cruz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.32 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.43 (no red card) Df Jordan Cummings: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.37 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.6 (no red card) Df Enrique Masis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.81 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.28 (no red card) Df Munir Hamdallah: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.37 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.27 (no red card) Mf Walid Sellimi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.11 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.48 (no red card) Mf Mikkel Hedegaard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.27 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.19 (no red card) Mf Gonçalo da Rocha: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.53 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.02 (no red card) Fw Renato Cabanas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.48 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.98 (no red card) Fw Gerry Maclaren: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.4 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.87 (no red card) Fw Dario Vasilj: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.43 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.95 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* PORT VALE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 1 - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75% - Gk chance of injury = 1.37% Gk Dylan De boer: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 44.99 (no injury) Sw Fokke Taylor: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 30.44 (no injury) Df Carsten Kragelund: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 12.56 (no injury) Df Sven Thoren: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 55.51 (no injury) Mf Hélder Carvalho: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 65.65 (no injury) Mf Alan Herdman: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 45.34 (no injury) Mf Benedicto González: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 59.11 (no injury) Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 43.88 (no injury) Fw Peter Goossens: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 9.05 (no injury) Fw Adam Vasilev: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 27.05 (no injury) Fw Hermidio Rivera: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 5.34 (no injury) ******* SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0 - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25% - Gk chance of injury = 1.62% Gk Pathé Ndong: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 64.65 (no injury) Df Miguel de la Cruz: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 66.4 (no injury) Df Jordan Cummings: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 2.55 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 1 Jordan Cummings is being assisted by the Physio. He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off. Jordan Cummings new match skill level = 6 Jordan Cummings new match total level = 7 Df Enrique Masis: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 33.42 (no injury) Df Munir Hamdallah: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 97.3 (no injury) Mf Walid Sellimi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 10.27 (no injury) Mf Mikkel Hedegaard: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 91.36 (no injury) Mf Gonçalo da Rocha: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 20.79 (no injury) Fw Renato Cabanas: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 93.1 (no injury) Fw Gerry Maclaren: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 35.99 (no injury) Fw Dario Vasilj: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 32.31 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Abdeljalil El Ahmadi SL 17 - Defending Gk: Pathé Ndong SL 13 intRndPk = 65 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 65 (no penalty kick) ******* PORT VALE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Gerry Maclaren SL 16 - Defending Gk: Dylan De boer SL 7 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 42 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* PORT VALE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Port Vale FC 10 14 23 27 62 Swansea City AFC 15 0 41 34 42 Port Vale FC Fw Attacks = 21 (62 - 41); result rounded up Port Vale FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 34) / 2; rounded up) Port Vale FC Df Attacks = 0 ((23 - 42) / 3; rounded up) Port Vale FC Total Attacks = 21 1: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 55.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 55.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 7.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 4: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 5: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 6: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 91.28 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 7: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 8: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 53.75 (Shot Saved by Gk) 9: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 19.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 10: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 79.53 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 11: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 11.1 (Shot Saved by Gk) 12: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 13: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 79.18 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 14: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target) 15: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 0.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) 16: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 17: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 18: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 34.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 19: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 46.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 20: Attack for Fw Hermidio Rivera Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 21: Attack for Fw Peter Goossens Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 78.04 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) ******* SWANSEA CITY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Swansea City AFC 15 0 41 34 42 Port Vale FC 10 14 23 27 62 Swansea City AFC Fw Attacks = 19 (42 - 23); result rounded up Swansea City AFC Mf Attacks = 4 ((34 - 27) / 2) ; result rounded up Swansea City AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((41 - 62) / 5; rounded up) Swansea City AFC Total Attacks = 23 1: Attack for Mf Walid Sellimi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 55.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Mf Mikkel Hedegaard Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 3: Attack for Mf Walid Sellimi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Mf Mikkel Hedegaard Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 8.84 (Shot Saved by Gk) 8: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 9: Attack for Fw Dario Vasilj Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 32.39 (Shot Saved by Gk) 10: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 14.97 (Shot Saved by Gk) 12: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Dario Vasilj Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 79.44 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 16: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 17: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 18: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 18.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 19: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 20: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 21: Attack for Fw Renato Cabanas Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 22: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 23: Attack for Fw Gerry Maclaren Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E PORT VALE FC 4 - SWANSEA CITY AFC 1