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Sunday, March 15th, 2026 - 04:41:53 AM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 51 // Landing
 
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Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
 
Chesterfield FC
Phil McIntosh
 
 
League Round 8
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

PRESTON NORTH END FC                       CHESTERFIELD FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Valentin Lugn          16    2   18     Gk Héctor Medrano         16    2   18
Sw Walter Olivera         16    2   18     Sw Ricardo Gomes           7    2    9
Df Joel Calvo             11    2   13     Df Yuriy Polishchuk       14    0   14
Df Harry Martyn           10    2   12     Df Kevin Flachat           7   -2    5
Df Joan Hierro             7    2    9     Df Bozidar Rakitic         3    2    5
Mf Tobias Graf            11    2   13     Mf Dani Paqueta           16    0   16
Mf Kazuo Kawashima         7    2    9     Mf Alfie Campbell          7    2    9
Fw Victor Pino            10    2   12     Mf Fabián Araujo           3    2    5
Fw Atsushi Morioka        10    2   12     Fw Marcos Talavera         7    2    9
Fw Ju-Won Sang-chul        7    2    9     Fw Minsung Woo-young       3    2    5
Fw Felix Jimenez           3    2    5     Fw Masaki Nagatomo         3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 18 34 22 38        ROSTER TOTALS      18  9 24 30 19    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 18 34 22 47         T O T A L S       18  9 24 30 19    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 47.01 (no red card)

Sw Walter Olivera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.53 (no red card)

Df Joel Calvo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.91 (no red card)

Df Harry Martyn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.31 (no red card)

Df Joan Hierro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.74 (no red card)

Mf Tobias Graf: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.42 (no red card)

Mf Kazuo Kawashima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.58 (no red card)

Fw Victor Pino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.92 (no red card)

Fw Atsushi Morioka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.77 (no red card)

Fw Ju-Won Sang-chul: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.67 (no red card)

Fw Felix Jimenez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.17 (no red card)

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Héctor Medrano: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 1.4 (no red card)

Sw Ricardo Gomes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.01 (no red card)

Df Yuriy Polishchuk: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.02 (no red card)

Df Kevin Flachat: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.48 (no red card)

Df Bozidar Rakitic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.41 (no red card)

Mf Dani Paqueta: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.29 (no red card)

Mf Alfie Campbell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.21 (no red card)

Mf Fabián Araujo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.83 (no red card)

Fw Marcos Talavera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.63 (no red card)

Fw Minsung Woo-young: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.57 (no red card)

Fw Masaki Nagatomo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.98 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Valentin Lugn: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 64.47 (no injury) 
Sw Walter Olivera: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.49 (no injury) 
Df Joel Calvo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.06 (no injury) 
Df Harry Martyn: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.15 (no injury) 
Df Joan Hierro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.91 (no injury) 
Mf Tobias Graf: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.87 (no injury) 
Mf Kazuo Kawashima: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.98 (no injury) 
Fw Victor Pino: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.89 (no injury) 
Fw Atsushi Morioka: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.04 (no injury) 
Fw Ju-Won Sang-chul: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.65 (no injury) 
Fw Felix Jimenez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.54 (no injury) 

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Héctor Medrano: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 75.14 (no injury) 
Sw Ricardo Gomes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.24 (no injury) 
Df Yuriy Polishchuk: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.62 (no injury) 
Df Kevin Flachat: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.69 (no injury) 
Df Bozidar Rakitic: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.4 (no injury) 
Mf Dani Paqueta: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.94 (no injury) 
Mf Alfie Campbell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.96 (no injury) 
Mf Fabián Araujo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.45 (no injury) 
Fw Marcos Talavera: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.89 (no injury) 
Fw Minsung Woo-young: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.7 (no injury) 
Fw Masaki Nagatomo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.45 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Joel Calvo SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Héctor Medrano SL 16

     intRndPk = 57
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 57 (no penalty kick)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Dani Paqueta SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Valentin Lugn SL 16

     intRndPk = 6
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 6 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Preston North End FC     18  18  34  22  47
  Chesterfield FC          18   9  24  30  19

Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 23 (47 - 24); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 30) / 2;  rounded up)
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 5 ((34 - 19) / 3); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 28

1: Attack for Df Joel Calvo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Joan Hierro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Joel Calvo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Joel Calvo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 2.48 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Df Harry Martyn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 18.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Victor Pino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 73.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Ju-Won Sang-chul
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Ju-Won Sang-chul
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 85.53 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Felix Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 35.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Felix Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Victor Pino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 25.41 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Ju-Won Sang-chul
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Ju-Won Sang-chul
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Atsushi Morioka
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Atsushi Morioka
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Felix Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 36.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Ju-Won Sang-chul
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Atsushi Morioka
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Victor Pino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 86.21 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
20: Attack for Fw Ju-Won Sang-chul
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Ju-Won Sang-chul
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Atsushi Morioka
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 98.46 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
23: Attack for Fw Atsushi Morioka
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
24: Attack for Fw Felix Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Atsushi Morioka
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Atsushi Morioka
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
27: Attack for Fw Ju-Won Sang-chul
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
28: Attack for Fw Felix Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 87.43 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chesterfield FC          18   9  24  30  19
  Preston North End FC     18  18  34  22  47

Chesterfield FC Fw Attacks = 0 (19 - 34)
Chesterfield FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((30 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
Chesterfield FC Df Attacks = 0 ((24 - 47) / 3;  rounded up)
Chesterfield FC Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Mf Alfie Campbell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Alfie Campbell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 54.27 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Alfie Campbell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 38.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Dani Paqueta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 7.8 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
PRESTON NORTH END FC 4  -  CHESTERFIELD FC 0
 
Match Notes
The I-Man has not lost a game this season. Will Phil end that?
Allan (Brentford FC) 02/07 - 2:04 AM  
 
 
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