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Sunday, March 15th, 2026 - 04:41:53 AM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 51 // Landing
 
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(H)
Tranmere Rovers
Alon Atie
 
Bristol City FC
Jason Halpin
 
 
League Round 8
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

TRANMERE ROVERS                            BRISTOL CITY FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Alexander Bach         16    2   18     Gk Eugene Vasilev         12    2   14
Sw Blerim Omlin           13    2   15     Sw Atsushi Oshima         15    1   16
Df Martin Morales         13    2   15     Df Willy Cerfbeer         13    1   14
Df Canzio Materazzi        9    2   11     Df Martin Rodríguez       10    1   11
Mf José Salvio            10    2   12     Df Patrick LecLercq        7    2    9
Mf Ahmed El Ahmadi         7    1    8     Df Jeppe Bach              3    2    5
Fw Chibuikem Thomas       14    2   16     Mf Valentin Gavranovic     7    2    9
Fw Robbie Murphy          13    2   15     Mf Samim Skov              3    2    5
Fw Valentyn Shulga        16    2   18     Fw Gavin Wright           14    0   14
Fw Kwadwo Djiku           11    1   12     Fw Mislav Caleta-Car       7    2    9
Fw Yun-u Seung-woo         7    2    9     Fw Jacob Jones             7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 15 26 20 70        ROSTER TOTALS      14 16 39 14 32    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  5  4       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  6  1  0    
=======================================================================
      19 15 26 25 74         T O T A L S       14 16 45 15 32    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Alexander Bach: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 37.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 58.99 (no red card)

Sw Blerim Omlin: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 36.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 53.41 (no red card)

Df Martin Morales: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 38.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 79.03 (no red card)

Df Canzio Materazzi: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 28.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 75.25 (no red card)

Mf José Salvio: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 55.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 36.4 (no red card)

Mf Ahmed El Ahmadi: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.07 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 85.59 (no second yellow)

Fw Chibuikem Thomas: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 71.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 2.96 (no red card)

Fw Robbie Murphy: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 16.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 69.86 (no red card)

Fw Valentyn Shulga: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 77.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 21.56 (no red card)

Fw Kwadwo Djiku: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 88.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 40.55 (no red card)

Fw Yun-u Seung-woo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 17.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 56.15 (no red card)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Eugene Vasilev: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 8.25 (no red card)

Sw Atsushi Oshima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.95 (no red card)

Df Willy Cerfbeer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.67 (no red card)

Df Martin Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.32 (no red card)

Df Patrick LecLercq: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.53 (no red card)

Df Jeppe Bach: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.68 (no red card)

Mf Valentin Gavranovic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.5 (no red card)

Mf Samim Skov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.27 (no red card)

Fw Gavin Wright: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.48 (no red card)

Fw Mislav Caleta-Car: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.04 (no red card)

Fw Jacob Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.19 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 1
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Alexander Bach: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 92.27 (no injury) 
Sw Blerim Omlin: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 61.58 (no injury) 
Df Martin Morales: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 13.73 (no injury) 
Df Canzio Materazzi: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 46.57 (no injury) 
Mf José Salvio: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 75.34 (no injury) 
Mf Ahmed El Ahmadi: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 1.67 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 5
      Ahmed El Ahmadi is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Ahmed El Ahmadi new match skill level =  4
      Ahmed El Ahmadi new match total level =  5
Fw Chibuikem Thomas: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 17.89 (no injury) 
Fw Robbie Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 78.82 (no injury) 
Fw Valentyn Shulga: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 26.71 (no injury) 
Fw Kwadwo Djiku: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 65.42 (no injury) 
Fw Yun-u Seung-woo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 40.58 (no injury) 

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Eugene Vasilev: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 41.17 (no injury) 
Sw Atsushi Oshima: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 58.02 (no injury) 
Df Willy Cerfbeer: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 49.15 (no injury) 
Df Martin Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 51.26 (no injury) 
Df Patrick LecLercq: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 17.98 (no injury) 
Df Jeppe Bach: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 80.49 (no injury) 
Mf Valentin Gavranovic: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 65.43 (no injury) 
Mf Samim Skov: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 64.57 (no injury) 
Fw Gavin Wright: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 54.08 (no injury) 
Fw Mislav Caleta-Car: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 63.97 (no injury) 
Fw Jacob Jones: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 52.64 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Valentyn Shulga SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Eugene Vasilev SL 12

     intRndPk = 24
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 24 (no penalty kick)

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Gavin Wright SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Alexander Bach SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 46 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tranmere Rovers          19  15  26  22  74
  Bristol City FC          14  16  45  15  32

Tranmere Rovers Fw Attacks = 29 (74 - 45); result rounded up
Tranmere Rovers Mf Attacks = 4 ((22 - 15) / 2) ; result rounded up
Tranmere Rovers Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 32) / 3;  rounded up)
Tranmere Rovers Total Attacks = 33

1: Attack for Mf Ahmed El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf José Salvio
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Ahmed El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf José Salvio
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Kwadwo Djiku
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Kwadwo Djiku
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 68.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Valentyn Shulga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Valentyn Shulga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 37.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Chibuikem Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 42.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Kwadwo Djiku
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Valentyn Shulga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Valentyn Shulga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Kwadwo Djiku
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 80.64 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw Robbie Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Chibuikem Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Valentyn Shulga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Valentyn Shulga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Kwadwo Djiku
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Chibuikem Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Chibuikem Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 99.78 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
21: Attack for Fw Chibuikem Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 43.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
22: Attack for Fw Robbie Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Yun-u Seung-woo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Yun-u Seung-woo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 0.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
25: Attack for Fw Kwadwo Djiku
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 84.72 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
26: Attack for Fw Yun-u Seung-woo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 57.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
27: Attack for Fw Kwadwo Djiku
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Valentyn Shulga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
29: Attack for Fw Kwadwo Djiku
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
30: Attack for Fw Yun-u Seung-woo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
31: Attack for Fw Kwadwo Djiku
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Valentyn Shulga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
33: Attack for Fw Robbie Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bristol City FC          14  16  45  15  32
  Tranmere Rovers          19  15  26  22  74

Bristol City FC is Playing For A Draw!
Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 3 (32 - 26) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((15 - 22) / 2;  rounded up)
Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((45 - 74) / 3;  rounded up)
Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Fw Mislav Caleta-Car
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Mislav Caleta-Car
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Gavin Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
TRANMERE ROVERS 3  -  BRISTOL CITY FC 0
 
Match Notes
Going to scratch and claw for a point in this one.
Jason (Bristol City FC) 02/07 - 1:39 AM  
One of 2 vital wins for Alon!! Impressive!!
Abe (Leeds United) 02/10 - 4:51 PM  
 
 
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