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Lewes FC
Dave Dohm
 
Brentford FC
Allan Sellers
 
 
League Round 8
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LEWES FC                                   BRENTFORD FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Marcos Cruz            16    2   18     Gk Jordan Rose            13    2   15
Df Shay Given             11    1   12     Sw Ricardo Xavier         14    2   16
Df Marco Sibaja            7    2    9     Df Theo Abrahamsson        9    2   11
Df Cássio Alisson          3    2    5     Df Rasmus Antonsen         7    2    9
Mf Veselin Dudnyk         12    1   13     Df Maciek Szymanski        3    2    5
Mf Henrik Kristensen      10    2   12     Mf Cédric Kamga           13    2   15
Mf Luis Jarquin            7    2    9     Mf Geert De Ketelaere     10    2   12
Fw Ichiro Sakai           11    2   13     Mf Balla Diouf             3    2    5
Fw Taylor Stevenson       14    1   15     Fw Lilian Cazenave        13    2   15
Fw Jean Diouf              7    2    9     Fw Michael Lagerbäck      13    1   14
Fw Roberto Bonano          3    2    5     Fw Jack Williams          12    2   14

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18  0 26 34 42        ROSTER TOTALS      15 16 25 32 43    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      19  0 26 34 51         T O T A L S       15 16 25 32 43    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LEWES FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Marcos Cruz: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 22.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 21.89 (no red card)

Df Shay Given: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 61.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 3.16 (no red card)

Df Marco Sibaja: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 85.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 19.28 (no red card)

Df Cássio Alisson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 18.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 17.25 (no red card)

Mf Veselin Dudnyk: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 75.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 98.56 (no red card)

Mf Henrik Kristensen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 25.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 93.6 (no red card)

Mf Luis Jarquin: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 59.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 80.13 (no red card)

Fw Ichiro Sakai: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.17 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 29.31 (no second yellow)

Fw Taylor Stevenson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 22.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 3.08 (no red card)

Fw Jean Diouf: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 94.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 91.97 (no red card)

Fw Roberto Bonano: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 7.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 18.82 (no red card)

*******  BRENTFORD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jordan Rose: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 33.38 (no red card)

Sw Ricardo Xavier: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.7 (no red card)

Df Theo Abrahamsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.54 (no red card)

Df Rasmus Antonsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.44 (no red card)

Df Maciek Szymanski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.85 (no red card)

Mf Cédric Kamga: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.83 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.72 (no second yellow)

Mf Geert De Ketelaere: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.69 (no red card)

Mf Balla Diouf: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.58 (no red card)

Fw Lilian Cazenave: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.01 (no red card)

Fw Michael Lagerbäck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.01 (no red card)

Fw Jack Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.8 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LEWES FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Marcos Cruz: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 51.28 (no injury) 
Df Shay Given: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 3.04 (no injury) 
Df Marco Sibaja: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 66.1 (no injury) 
Df Cássio Alisson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 79.6 (no injury) 
Mf Veselin Dudnyk: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 52.77 (no injury) 
Mf Henrik Kristensen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 85.25 (no injury) 
Mf Luis Jarquin: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 56.5 (no injury) 
Fw Ichiro Sakai: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 24.54 (no injury) 
Fw Taylor Stevenson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 92.86 (no injury) 
Fw Jean Diouf: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 19.37 (no injury) 
Fw Roberto Bonano: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 48.76 (no injury) 

*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Jordan Rose: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 36.58 (no injury) 
Sw Ricardo Xavier: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 9.32 (no injury) 
Df Theo Abrahamsson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 76.02 (no injury) 
Df Rasmus Antonsen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 20.61 (no injury) 
Df Maciek Szymanski: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 43.61 (no injury) 
Mf Cédric Kamga: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 70.67 (no injury) 
Mf Geert De Ketelaere: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 44.71 (no injury) 
Mf Balla Diouf: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 36.04 (no injury) 
Fw Lilian Cazenave: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 97.57 (no injury) 
Fw Michael Lagerbäck: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 75.08 (no injury) 
Fw Jack Williams: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 0.92 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Jack Williams is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Taylor Stevenson SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Jordan Rose SL 13

     intRndPk = 67
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 67 (no penalty kick)

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Cédric Kamga SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Marcos Cruz SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 80 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LEWES FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lewes FC                 19   0  26  34  51
  Brentford FC             15  16  25  32  43

Lewes FC Fw Attacks = 26 (51 - 25); result rounded up
Lewes FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((34 - 32) / 2) ; result rounded up
Lewes FC Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 43) / 5;  rounded up)
Lewes FC Total Attacks = 27

1: Attack for Mf Veselin Dudnyk
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Ichiro Sakai
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Ichiro Sakai
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Ichiro Sakai
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Roberto Bonano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Ichiro Sakai
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 64.34 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Ichiro Sakai
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 35.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Roberto Bonano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 49.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 58.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Ichiro Sakai
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 87.29 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
20: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Ichiro Sakai
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Ichiro Sakai
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Ichiro Sakai
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
24: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Jean Diouf
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  BRENTFORD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brentford FC             15  16  25  32  43
  Lewes FC                 19   0  26  34  51

Lewes FC is using Offside Trap!
Brentford FC Fw Attacks = 9 (43 - 26) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Brentford FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((32 - 34) / 2;  rounded up)
Brentford FC Df Attacks = 0 ((25 - 51) / 3;  rounded up)
Brentford FC Total Attacks = 9

1: Attack for Fw Lilian Cazenave
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 25.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Jack Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 57.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Lilian Cazenave
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Michael Lagerbäck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 32.74 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Jack Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Michael Lagerbäck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Michael Lagerbäck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 27.71 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Lilian Cazenave
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Lilian Cazenave
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LEWES FC 1  -  BRENTFORD FC 0
 
Match Notes
The Bees will be out for revenge here
Dave (Lewes FC) 06/15 - 1:02 PM
Congratulations Dave. Next time maybe play a few more youth players.
Allan (Brentford FC) 06/15 - 8:08 PM
Yes…the two SBYs got it done (barely) as Ricardo Xavier did his best to stand on his head and thwart the Lewes attack
Dave (Lewes FC) 06/15 - 8:13 PM
 
 
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