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Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
 
Leeds United
Abe Hamdali
 
 
League Round 7
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CARLISLE UNITED                            LEEDS UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Gregory Reyna          14    2   16     Gk Gianni Tabarez         13    2   15
Sw Ramires Jesus          13    2   15     Df Servando Verón         12    0   12
Df Jacob Beynon           13    2   15     Df Pedro Canobbio         11    1   12
Df Eirwyn Davey           12    2   14     Df Daniel Felipe Campbell  8    2   10
Df Lloyd Cole             11    0   11     Df Federico Zanetti        7    2    9
Mf Aliyu Edet             12    2   14     Mf Leif Abrahamsen         8    1    9
Mf Marcus Teulet          12    2   14     Mf Lucien Alderweireld     7    1    8
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek     13    2   15     Fw Hwangbo Min-sung       14    0   14
Fw Javier Gimenez         14    2   16     Fw Kevin De Smet          13    0   13
Fw Ki Seon-min            12    1   13     Fw Cesare Nesta            7    2    9
Fw John Skoras            11    1   12     Fw Iain Pratt              7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 15 40 28 56        ROSTER TOTALS      15  0 43 17 45    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  2  7       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  3  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16 15 40 30 63         T O T A L S       15  0 43 20 45    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Gregory Reyna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 88.96 (no red card)

Sw Ramires Jesus: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.51 (no red card)

Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.94 (no red card)

Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.39 (no red card)

Df Lloyd Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.35 (no red card)

Mf Aliyu Edet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.41 (no red card)

Mf Marcus Teulet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.6 (no red card)

Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.59 (no red card)

Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.6 (no red card)

Fw Ki Seon-min: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.25 (no red card)

Fw John Skoras: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.99 (no red card)

*******  LEEDS UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Gianni Tabarez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 48.3 (no red card)

Df Servando Verón: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.2 (no red card)

Df Pedro Canobbio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.58 (no red card)

Df Daniel Felipe Campbell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.48 (no red card)

Df Federico Zanetti: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.54 (no red card)

Mf Leif Abrahamsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.03 (no red card)

Mf Lucien Alderweireld: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.22 (no red card)

Fw Hwangbo Min-sung: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.03 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.66 (no second yellow)

Fw Kevin De Smet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.15 (no red card)

Fw Cesare Nesta: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.4 (no red card)

Fw Iain Pratt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.32 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.05 (no second yellow)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - Leeds United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Gregory Reyna: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 31.55 (no injury) 
Sw Ramires Jesus: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.58 (no injury) 
Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.02 (no injury) 
Df Eirwyn Davey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.28 (no injury) 
Df Lloyd Cole: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.92 (no injury) 
Mf Aliyu Edet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.01 (no injury) 
Mf Marcus Teulet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.55 (no injury) 
Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.54 (no injury) 
Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.42 (no injury) 
Fw Ki Seon-min: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.07 (no injury) 
Fw John Skoras: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.63 (no injury) 

*******  LEEDS UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Leeds United Team Hardness = 0
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Gianni Tabarez: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 6.0 (no injury) 
Df Servando Verón: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.02 (no injury) 
Df Pedro Canobbio: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.19 (no injury) 
Df Daniel Felipe Campbell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.74 (no injury) 
Df Federico Zanetti: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.36 (no injury) 
Mf Leif Abrahamsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.62 (no injury) 
Mf Lucien Alderweireld: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.59 (no injury) 
Fw Hwangbo Min-sung: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.19 (no injury) 
Fw Kevin De Smet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.5 (no injury) 
Fw Cesare Nesta: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.23 (no injury) 
Fw Iain Pratt: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.31 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LEEDS UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Javier Gimenez SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Gianni Tabarez SL 13

     intRndPk = 38
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 38 (no penalty kick)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Hwangbo Min-sung SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Gregory Reyna SL 14

     intRndPk = 66
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 66 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlisle United          16  15  40  30  63
  Leeds United             15   0  43  20  45

Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 20 (63 - 43); result rounded up
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 5 ((30 - 20) / 2) ; result rounded up
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((40 - 45) / 3;  rounded up)
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 25

1: Attack for Mf Marcus Teulet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Leeds United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 67.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Aliyu Edet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Leeds United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Aliyu Edet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Leeds United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 89.18 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Mf Aliyu Edet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Leeds United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Marcus Teulet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Leeds United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw John Skoras
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Leeds United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 31.6 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Ki Seon-min
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Leeds United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 2.01 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw John Skoras
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Leeds United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw John Skoras
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Leeds United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Leeds United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 33.32 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Leeds United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 24.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw John Skoras
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Leeds United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 62.39 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Ki Seon-min
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Leeds United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 74.04 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw Ki Seon-min
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Leeds United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 47.76 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Leeds United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw John Skoras
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Leeds United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 56.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Leeds United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Ki Seon-min
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Leeds United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 13.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Leeds United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Javier Gimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Leeds United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 36 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Emmanuel Krzynówek
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Leeds United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 87.9 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
22: Attack for Fw Ki Seon-min
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Leeds United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Ki Seon-min
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Leeds United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 67.34 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
24: Attack for Fw Ki Seon-min
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Leeds United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
25: Attack for Fw John Skoras
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Leeds United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 32.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  LEEDS UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Leeds United             15   0  43  20  45
  Carlisle United          16  15  40  30  63

Leeds United Fw Attacks = 5 (45 - 40); result rounded up
Leeds United Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 30) / 2;  rounded up)
Leeds United Df Attacks = 0 ((43 - 63) / 5;  rounded up)
Leeds United Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Fw Kevin De Smet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 13.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Kevin De Smet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Iain Pratt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Cesare Nesta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 11.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Kevin De Smet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CARLISLE UNITED 3  -  LEEDS UNITED 0
 
Match Notes
The best T-11 made the difference in this match!!
Abe (Leeds United) 06/23 - 5:11 PM
 
 
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