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Port Vale FC
John Holden
 
Derby County
Martyn Hathaway
 
 
League Round 7
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

PORT VALE FC                               DERBY COUNTY

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Dylan De boer          15    2   17     Gk Carlos Ferreto          7    1    8
Sw Pablo Odriozola        14    2   16     Sw Sebastiano Di lorenzo  11    0   11
Df Jerome De Ketelaere    12    2   14     Df Johnny Müller          12    2   14
Df Philipp Vogel          10    1   11     Df Gregory Reilly          7    2    9
Df Meliton López           7    2    9     Df Andrew Vaughan          7    2    9
Mf Benedicto González     10    2   12     Df Jan Janssens            3    1    4
Mf Charlie Maclaren        7    2    9     Mf Martin Scholes          7    2    9
Fw Hermidio Rivera        13    0   13     Mf Logan Gates             3    2    5
Fw Adam Vasilev           15    0   15     Mf Sebastian Roos          3    2    5
Fw Ayrton Chamot           7    2    9     Fw Jose Leao               7    2    9
Fw Gorgui Sall             3    2    5     Fw Meliton Molina          3    0    3

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 16 34 21 42        ROSTER TOTALS       8 11 36 19 12    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  2  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 16 34 21 51         T O T A L S        8 11 36 21 12    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  PORT VALE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Dylan De boer: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 23.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 30.02 (no red card)

Sw Pablo Odriozola: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 17.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 16.14 (no red card)

Df Jerome De Ketelaere: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 72.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 89.7 (no red card)

Df Philipp Vogel: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 98.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 87.11 (no red card)

Df Meliton López: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 80.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 32.74 (no red card)

Mf Benedicto González: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 86.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 5.2 (no red card)

Mf Charlie Maclaren: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 81.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 40.97 (no red card)

Fw Hermidio Rivera: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 83.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.77 (no red card)

Fw Adam Vasilev: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 15.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 14.69 (no red card)

Fw Ayrton Chamot: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 22.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 2.01 (no red card)

Fw Gorgui Sall: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 10.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 63.37 (no red card)

*******  DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Carlos Ferreto: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 1.39 (no red card)

Sw Sebastiano Di lorenzo: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 17.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 42.18 (no red card)

Df Johnny Müller: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 67.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 32.19 (no red card)

Df Gregory Reilly: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 15.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 57.43 (no red card)

Df Andrew Vaughan: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 11.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 20.22 (no red card)

Df Jan Janssens: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 6.89 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 26.14 (no second yellow)

Mf Martin Scholes: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 85.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 4.44 (no red card)

Mf Logan Gates: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 40.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 59.24 (no red card)

Mf Sebastian Roos: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 99.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 88.67 (no red card)

Fw Jose Leao: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 56.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 5.56 (no red card)

Fw Meliton Molina: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 65.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 38.2 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  PORT VALE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.12%
Gk Dylan De boer: Chance of injury = 2.12% | Random number = 96.57 (no injury) 
Sw Pablo Odriozola: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 48.6 (no injury) 
Df Jerome De Ketelaere: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 55.1 (no injury) 
Df Philipp Vogel: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 17.4 (no injury) 
Df Meliton López: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 71.92 (no injury) 
Mf Benedicto González: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 22.16 (no injury) 
Mf Charlie Maclaren: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 35.43 (no injury) 
Fw Hermidio Rivera: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 78.69 (no injury) 
Fw Adam Vasilev: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 90.89 (no injury) 
Fw Ayrton Chamot: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 64.06 (no injury) 
Fw Gorgui Sall: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 12.33 (no injury) 

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 2
   - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.87%
Gk Carlos Ferreto: Chance of injury = 1.87% | Random number = 97.92 (no injury) 
Sw Sebastiano Di lorenzo: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 24.89 (no injury) 
Df Johnny Müller: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 20.15 (no injury) 
Df Gregory Reilly: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 11.02 (no injury) 
Df Andrew Vaughan: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 46.21 (no injury) 
Df Jan Janssens: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 0.48 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Jan Janssens is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Jan Janssens new match skill level =  2
      Jan Janssens new match total level =  3
Mf Martin Scholes: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 83.92 (no injury) 
Mf Logan Gates: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 82.22 (no injury) 
Mf Sebastian Roos: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 19.6 (no injury) 
Fw Jose Leao: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 75.11 (no injury) 
Fw Meliton Molina: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 41.84 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Adam Vasilev SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Carlos Ferreto SL 7

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 10 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 95% | Random number = 55 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 4 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 95% | Random number = 31 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)

*******  PORT VALE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Johnny Müller SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Dylan De boer SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 98 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  PORT VALE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Port Vale FC             18  16  34  21  51
  Derby County             8  11  35  21  12

Port Vale FC Fw Attacks = 16 (51 - 35); result rounded up
Port Vale FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 21) / 2;  rounded up)
Port Vale FC Df Attacks = 8 ((34 - 12) / 3); result rounded up
Port Vale FC Total Attacks = 24

1: Attack for Df Meliton López
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Jerome De Ketelaere
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Jerome De Ketelaere
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Jerome De Ketelaere
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 80.58 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Df Meliton López
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Jerome De Ketelaere
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Df Jerome De Ketelaere
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 41 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Df Philipp Vogel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Ayrton Chamot
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 78.0 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Hermidio Rivera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Ayrton Chamot
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Hermidio Rivera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 46 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Hermidio Rivera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Ayrton Chamot
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Adam Vasilev
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Ayrton Chamot
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Derby County             8  11  35  21  12
  Port Vale FC             18  16  34  21  51

Derby County Fw Attacks = 0 (12 - 34)
Derby County Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 21) / 2;  rounded up)
Derby County Df Attacks = 0 ((35 - 51) / 3;  rounded up)
Derby County Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
PORT VALE FC 4  -  DERBY COUNTY 0
 
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