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ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 48 // Landing
 
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Lincoln City FC
Mike Cabral
 
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
 
 
League Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LINCOLN CITY FC                            CARLISLE UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Mousa Boffin           13    1   14     Gk Xavier Lambert         11    2   13
Sw Jakob Petersen         11    1   12     Sw Cristhian Dybala       12    0   12
Df Mohammed Fosu          11    0   11     Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck   13    0   13
Df Hans Murphy            10    1   11     Df Toshihiro Nakamura     11    1   12
Df Jun-Yeong Chong-gug     9    0    9     Df Jacob Beynon            5    2    7
Df Si-Yun Jung-hwan        5    2    7     Mf Peter Bengtsson        13    0   13
Mf Aliou Sow              10    1   11     Mf Jacek Frankowski       10    1   11
Mf Babou Kebe              5    2    7     Mf Duško Kolomyets        10    1   11
Fw Sérgio da Rocha        13    0   13     Mf Marcus Teulet           5    2    7
Fw Jay Hanny              16    0   16     Fw Ellis Dury              7    1    8
Fw Marcel M'Boma          12    0   12     Fw Javier Gimenez          5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 12 38 18 41        ROSTER TOTALS      13 12 32 42 15    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14 12 38 18 50         T O T A L S       15 12 39 42 15    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Mousa Boffin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 2.58 (no red card)

Sw Jakob Petersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.68 (no red card)

Df Mohammed Fosu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.15 (no red card)

Df Hans Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.57 (no red card)

Df Jun-Yeong Chong-gug: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.52 (no red card)

Df Si-Yun Jung-hwan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.24 (no red card)

Mf Aliou Sow: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.5 (no red card)

Mf Babou Kebe: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.78 (no red card)

Fw Sérgio da Rocha: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.59 (no red card)

Fw Jay Hanny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.81 (no red card)

Fw Marcel M'Boma: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.77 (no red card)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Xavier Lambert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 74.0 (no red card)

Sw Cristhian Dybala: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.02 (no red card)

Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.1 (no red card)

Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.42 (no red card)

Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.64 (no red card)

Mf Peter Bengtsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.29 (no red card)

Mf Jacek Frankowski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.93 (no red card)

Mf Duško Kolomyets: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.57 (no red card)

Mf Marcus Teulet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.06 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.56 (no second yellow)

Fw Ellis Dury: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.6 (no red card)

Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.06 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Mousa Boffin: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 84.38 (no injury) 
Sw Jakob Petersen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.98 (no injury) 
Df Mohammed Fosu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.54 (no injury) 
Df Hans Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.41 (no injury) 
Df Jun-Yeong Chong-gug: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.41 (no injury) 
Df Si-Yun Jung-hwan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.52 (no injury) 
Mf Aliou Sow: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.04 (no injury) 
Mf Babou Kebe: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.26 (no injury) 
Fw Sérgio da Rocha: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.94 (no injury) 
Fw Jay Hanny: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.19 (no injury) 
Fw Marcel M'Boma: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.37 (no injury) 

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Xavier Lambert: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 94.48 (no injury) 
Sw Cristhian Dybala: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.23 (no injury) 
Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.1 (no injury) 
Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.08 (no injury) 
Df Jacob Beynon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.29 (no injury) 
Mf Peter Bengtsson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.46 (no injury) 
Mf Jacek Frankowski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.24 (no injury) 
Mf Duško Kolomyets: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.68 (no injury) 
Mf Marcus Teulet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.18 (no injury) 
Fw Ellis Dury: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.21 (no injury) 
Fw Javier Gimenez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.34 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jay Hanny SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Xavier Lambert SL 11

     intRndPk = 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 16 (no penalty kick)

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Kristoffer Lagerbäck SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Mousa Boffin SL 13

     intRndPk = 45
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 45 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lincoln City FC          14  12  38  18  50
  Carlisle United          15  12  39  42  15

Lincoln City FC Fw Attacks = 11 (50 - 39); result rounded up
Lincoln City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((18 - 42) / 2;  rounded up)
Lincoln City FC Df Attacks = 8 ((38 - 15) / 3); result rounded up
Lincoln City FC Total Attacks = 19

1: Attack for Df Hans Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 72.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Hans Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Jun-Yeong Chong-gug
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Mohammed Fosu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Hans Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Df Hans Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 35.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Df Jun-Yeong Chong-gug
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Df Hans Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Marcel M'Boma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 27.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Sérgio da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 90.08 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Fw Jay Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Jay Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Sérgio da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 28.72 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Jay Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Jay Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Marcel M'Boma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 0.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Jay Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Sérgio da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 29.04 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Sérgio da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 62.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlisle United          15  12  39  42  15
  Lincoln City FC          14  12  38  18  50

Carlisle United is Playing For A Draw!
Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 0 (15 - 38)
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 6 ((42 - 18) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((39 - 50) / 3;  rounded up)
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Mf Duško Kolomyets
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Peter Bengtsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Peter Bengtsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Marcus Teulet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 55.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Peter Bengtsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 27.34 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Marcus Teulet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LINCOLN CITY FC 1  -  CARLISLE UNITED 0
 
Match Notes
Big time need to get back on track here at home.
Mike (Lincoln City FC) 05/25 - 12:08 PM
Late one, whew.
Mike (Lincoln City FC) 05/25 - 6:56 PM
Blimey. Almost stole a point. Deserved win for Lincoln, though.
Dave (Carlisle United) 05/26 - 7:11 AM
 
 
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