Match Report

TEAM MATCHUP

Conference League Round 5

Why Do I Care?

Denali Angry Wolves

Andy Shaw

(H)
at Mat-Su

Mat-Su Moose

Bryce Kalmbach

Mat-Su leads series 19-14

Match Comments

Those stats look very one sided.

Andy (Denali) Feb 21 - 11:19 AM

Why are the wolves angry?

Phil (Carlsbad) Feb 22 - 7:04 AM

maybe they are hungry for some Moose meat.....?

Vick (San Jose) Feb 22 - 2:22 PM

Match Preview

Matchup and Prediction

Denali			Mat-Su
T7-Ovr	T7-Gr	Position		T7-Gr	T7-Ovr
83.25	B+	Libero		A	90.25
91.63	A	Middle Blockers		A	91.00
86.13	A-	Outside Hitters		A-	86.25
84.50	B+	Right Side		A	91.25
87.00	A-	Setter		A+	95.75
		Skills Prediction

	33 MATCHES
14	WINS	19
12	HOME	12
2	AWAY	4
0	NEUTRAL	3

Denali		Mat-Su
#14	ELO Rank	#20

1,541.83	ELO Rating	1,457.85 (+145)

31.1%	ELO Winning Chance	68.9%
	ELO Prediction

	TEAM STATS
.422 4th	ATTACK PCT	.319 22nd
13.49 4th	KILLS PER SET	12.35 21st
.868 6th	SERVE PCT	.851 24th
1.48 19th	ACES PER SET	1.34 28th
.577 10th	ASSIST PCT	.528 19th
13.02 6th	ASSISTS PER SET	12.06 18th
4.56 6th	BLOCKS PER SET	3.68 25th
7.29 3rd	DIGS PER SET	6.78 11th
.913 26th	RECEIVE PCT	.916 15th
2.127 26th	PASSER RATING	2.183 7th

	TOP TWO
Suarez (OH) 188 Palma (OH) 183	KILLS	Brewer (RS) 204 Noble (OH) 143
Suarez (OH) .636 Mesquita (MB) .561	ATTACK PCT	Brewer (RS) .519 Noble (OH) .514
Savage (S) 567 van den Bergh (S) 513	ASSISTS	Brandenburg (S) 607 Neale (S) 223
Suarez (OH) 22 Palma (OH) 14	ACES	Noble (OH) 15 Brandenburg (S) 15
Dunne (MB) 53 Mesquita (MB) 46	BLOCKS	Townsend (MB) 48 Bartoli (MB) 41
Matthews (L) 93 Biggs (OH) 78	DIGS	Lokensgard (L) 123 Brewer (RS) 60
Suarez (OH) 2.34 Matthews (L) 2.27	PASSER RTG	Noble (OH) 2.41 Wilkins (OH) 2.34

#	TOP LIBEROS	Rtg
6.	Dylan Lokensgard Junior B+ 2.26 Passer Rating 2.56 Digs Per Set	7.25
13.	Carlos Matthews Junior B- 2.27 Passer Rating 2.02 Digs Per Set	6.58

#		TOP OUTSIDE HITTERS	Rtg
6.		Amir Suarez Senior A 3.69 Kills Per Set 2.34 Passer Rating	7.80

#		TOP RIGHT SIDES	Rtg
4.		Dave Brewer Junior B 4.25 Kills Per Set 0.71 Blocks Per Set	8.09

#		TOP MIDDLE BLOCKERS	Rtg
9.		Erik Powell Senior A 0.88 Blocks Per Set 2.86 Kills Per Set	7.59

Head to head results

S	M	DATE			HOME	1	2	3	4	5	COMPETITION		-
5	2	Apr 09, 2022	0	-	3	18-25	21-25	10-25			Pac 8	0	-	1
5	11	Apr 30, 2022	1	-	3	15-25	25-22	19-25	15-25		Pac 8	1	-	1
5	19	May 14, 2022	2	-	3	20-25	23-25	25-21	27-25	12-15	Pac 8 Tournament5-19Quarterfinals Pac 8 Tournament	1	-	2
6	14	Aug 27, 2022	0	-	3	23-25	13-25	20-25			Pac 8	1	-	3
6	19	Sep 03, 2022	0	-	3	21-25	23-25	13-25			Pac 8 Tournament6-19Quarterfinals Pac 8 Tournament	1	-	4
6	44	Oct 15, 2022	2	-	3	25-22	25-22	20-25	24-26	13-15	Pac 8	2	-	4
7	1	Nov 12, 2022	0	-	3	15-25	20-25	20-25			Pac 8	3	-	4
7	10	Dec 10, 2022	0	-	3	14-25	15-25	19-25			Pac 8	3	-	5
7	19	Dec 24, 2022	3	-	2	25-21	16-25	22-25	25-23	15-10	Pac 8 Tournament7-19Quarterfinals Pac 8 Tournament	3	-	6
8	14	Mar 19, 2023	1	-	3	25-14	25-27	20-25	21-25		Pac 8	4	-	6
8	44	May 05, 2023	3	-	0	25-18	25-23	31-29			Pac 8	5	-	6
9	5	Jun 04, 2023	3	-	2	15-25	25-21	25-23	21-25	16-14	Pac 8	5	-	7
9	27	Jul 16, 2023	3	-	1	25-17	19-25	25-22	28-26		Pac 8 Tournament9-27CHAMPIONSHIP PAC 8 TOURNAMENT	5	-	8
9	39	Aug 06, 2023	2	-	3	27-29	20-25	25-22	25-20	10-15	Pac 8	5	-	9
10	5	Sep 17, 2023	1	-	3	25-22	17-25	22-25	14-25		Pac 8	6	-	9
10	39	Nov 19, 2023	0	-	3	20-25	15-25	20-25			Pac 8	6	-	10
11	4	Dec 24, 2023	0	-	3	19-25	20-25	16-25			Pac 8	6	-	11
11	13	Jan 14, 2024	0	-	3	23-25	22-25	21-25			Pac 8	7	-	11
12	4	May 06, 2024	0	-	3	13-25	23-25	20-25			Pac 8	8	-	11
12	13	May 27, 2024	0	-	3	21-25	14-25	23-25			Pac 8	8	-	12
13	8	Sep 29, 2024	1	-	3	26-24	16-25	21-25	19-25		Pac 8	8	-	13
13	34	Nov 17, 2024	1	-	3	25-27	25-23	23-25	27-29		Pac 8	9	-	13
13	37	Nov 17, 2024	1	- (n)	3	19-25	20-25	25-16	16-25		National Championship13-37Quarterfinals National Championship	9	-	14
14	14	Jan 12, 2025	0	-	3	12-25	19-25	13-25			Pac 8	9	-	15
14	40	Mar 02, 2025	3	- (n)	1	28-26	25-27	25-19	25-22		TMVL Cup	9	-	16
14	44	Mar 09, 2025	0	-	3	15-25	13-25	17-25			Pac 8	10	-	16
15	1	Jun 08, 2025	3	-	0	25-22	25-16	25-20			Pac 8	11	-	16
15	10	Jun 29, 2025	0	-	3	15-25	22-25	21-25			Pac 8	12	-	16
15	27	Jul 27, 2025	3	-	1	18-25	25-18	25-20	27-25		Pac 8 Tournament15-27CHAMPIONSHIP PAC 8 TOURNAMENT	12	-	17
15	42	Aug 17, 2025	3	- (n)	2	23-25	25-19	29-27	23-25	15-13	National Championship15-42SEMIFINALS National Championship	12	-	18
16	4	Sep 21, 2025	0	-	3	16-25	15-25	10-25			Pac 8	12	-	19
16	13	Oct 12, 2025	0	-	3	15-25	12-25	15-25			Pac 8	13	-	19
16	19	Oct 19, 2025	1	-	3	23-25	25-23	19-25	20-25		Pac 8 Tournament16-19Quarterfinals Pac 8 Tournament	14	-	19
17	7	Feb 22, 2026	0	-	3	11-25	18-25	19-25			Pac 8	14	-	20
17	23	Mar 22, 2026	0	-	3	23-25	20-25	18-25			Pac 8 Tournament17-23Semifinals Pac 8 Tournament	15	-	20
17	29	Apr 05, 2026									Pac 8

Notes
This shows a preview based on your Top 7 players. Your top 7 players (and your opponents) may not be playing. The effective overall and effective grades INCLUDE BOTH FIT and HOME COURT additions.

This is a basic prediction and does not mean you will win if you get the prediction checkmark. In fact, you will likely lose. This is a simple totaling of the checkmarks where we double the count for OH and MB since you have two of those on the floor versus the other positions.

We are interested in adding to this concept though like using a Top-14 where we double the weight for the starter but add the numbers for the backups as they will play in a session too. Thoughts or ideas?

ELO
For ELO, 145 Rating points are added to the home team's ELO rating to determine the chance of winning.