Match Report

TEAM MATCHUP

Conference League Round 4

Why Do I Care?

Cincinnati Winged Hogs

James Tucker

(H)
at Burlington

Burlington Bullfrogs

Aires Martins Jr

Cincinnati leads series 18-4

Match Comments

1 vs 2!

Aires (Burlington) Sep 16 - 7:14 PM

Arguably, one of the best rivalries and easily two of the strongest teams in the Big East.

Aires (Burlington) Sep 16 - 7:16 PM

The one sad thing is that this rivalry is very lop-sided!

Aires (Burlington) Sep 16 - 7:16 PM

This looks a tough ask today.

James (Cincinnati) Sep 21 - 9:17 AM

Played a lot of close games against the Frogs

James (Cincinnati) Sep 21 - 9:18 AM

8 match win streak for Cinci. Can the Poison Frogs slow down the Winged Hogs? Is this a National Championship preview match?

Allan (Quincy) Sep 22 - 4:44 PM

Match Preview

Matchup and Prediction

Cincinnati			Burlington
T7-Ovr	T7-Gr	Position		T7-Gr	T7-Ovr
87.25	A-	Libero		A	92.00
90.50	A	Middle Blockers		A+	94.38
93.13	A	Outside Hitters		B+	83.25
69.25	C	Right Side		B	79.50
92.25	A	Setter		B	78.50
		Skills Prediction

	22 MATCHES
18	WINS	4
12	HOME	4
4	AWAY	0
2	NEUTRAL	0

Cincinnati		Burlington
#15	ELO Rank	#2

1,518.47	ELO Rating	1,610.78 (+145)

34.2%	ELO Winning Chance	65.8%
	ELO Prediction

	TEAM STATS
.409 4th	ATTACK PCT	.388 8th
13.45 5th	KILLS PER SET	13.35 7th
.878 2nd	SERVE PCT	.856 22nd
1.9 5th	ACES PER SET	1.61 16th
.575 10th	ASSIST PCT	.581 5th
12.92 7th	ASSISTS PER SET	13 6th
4.23 13th	BLOCKS PER SET	4.39 9th
6.75 14th	DIGS PER SET	6.92 10th
.915 17th	RECEIVE PCT	.925 5th
2.152 17th	PASSER RATING	2.213 2nd

	TOP TWO
Bowers (OH) 283 Donofrio (OH) 271	KILLS	Maldonado (OH) 271 Quintana (MB) 238
Bridger (MB) .582 Donofrio (OH) .560	ATTACK PCT	Quintana (MB) .564 Maldonado (OH) .541
Cordero (S) 871 Reddington (S) 483	ASSISTS	Aguillard (S) 983 Arias (S) 452
Connoly (L) 35 Nesmith (MB) 34	ACES	Baumbach (L) 34 Aguillard (S) 29
Bridger (MB) 81 Bowers (OH) 59	BLOCKS	Quintana (MB) 74 Porter (MB) 68
Connoly (L) 167 Donofrio (OH) 77	DIGS	Baumbach (L) 197 Aguillard (S) 89
Donofrio (OH) 2.45 Zuchelli (OH) 2.31	PASSER RTG	Baumbach (L) 2.40 Hoffman (L) 2.28

#		TOP LIBEROS	Rtg
1.		Austin Baumbach Senior A- 2.40 Passer Rating 2.59 Digs Per Set	7.94

#		TOP SETTERS	Rtg
3.		Weston Aguillard Junior B+ 12.29 Assists Per Set 2.03 Service Pts Per Set	8.08

#		TOP MIDDLE BLOCKERS	Rtg
3.		Ezra Bridger Junior A 1.07 Blocks Per Set 3.00 Kills Per Set	7.98

Head to head results

S	M	DATE			HOME	1	2	3	4	5	COMPETITION		-
5	7	Apr 23, 2022	1	-	3	20-25	25-27	25-21	14-25		Big East	1	-	0
5	29	Jun 04, 2022	3	-	1	25-18	25-18	23-25	25-22		Big East	2	-	0
6	2	Jul 31, 2022	0	-	3	16-25	18-25	12-25			Big East	2	-	1
6	11	Aug 20, 2022	0	-	3	23-25	22-25	19-25			Big East	3	-	1
7	8	Dec 03, 2022	1	-	3	25-21	17-25	14-25	27-29		Big East	3	-	2
7	34	Jan 21, 2023	1	-	3	21-25	25-21	17-25	25-27		Big East	4	-	2
8	2	Feb 19, 2023	0	-	3	18-25	14-25	18-25			Big East	4	-	3
8	11	Mar 12, 2023	2	-	3	22-25	17-25	25-21	25-23	9-15	Big East	5	-	3
8	27	Apr 09, 2023	2	-	3	27-25	25-22	22-25	14-25	9-15	Big East Tournament8-27CHAMPIONSHIP BIG EAST TOURNAMENT	6	-	3
8	41	Apr 30, 2023	3	- (n)	0	25-22	25-22	25-23			TMVL Shield	7	-	3
9	14	Jun 25, 2023	1	-	3	11-25	25-22	13-25	16-25		Big East	8	-	3
9	27	Jul 16, 2023	0	-	3	15-25	17-25	19-25			Big East Tournament9-27CHAMPIONSHIP BIG EAST TOURNAMENT	9	-	3
9	30	Jul 23, 2023	0	- (n)	3	17-25	19-25	15-25			TMVL Cup9-30Sweet 16 TMVL Cup	10	-	3
9	44	Aug 13, 2023	2	-	3	26-24	23-25	25-23	20-25	12-15	Big East	10	-	4
10	4	Sep 17, 2023	1	-	3	25-22	23-25	28-30	15-25		Big East	11	-	4
10	13	Oct 08, 2023	3	-	1	25-20	25-27	25-22	25-22		Big East	12	-	4
10	27	Oct 29, 2023	1	-	3	23-25	14-25	25-20	22-25		Big East Tournament10-27CHAMPIONSHIP BIG EAST TOURNAMENT	13	-	4
11	14	Jan 14, 2024	1	-	3	25-23	16-25	17-25	17-25		Big East	14	-	4
11	44	Mar 03, 2024	3	-	1	25-21	25-21	22-25	25-18		Big East	15	-	4
12	7	May 12, 2024	3	-	2	17-25	18-25	25-19	25-21	15-11	Big East	16	-	4
12	23	Jun 09, 2024	1	-	3	14-25	25-19	20-25	18-25		Big East Tournament12-23Semifinals Big East Tournament	17	-	4
12	29	Jun 23, 2024	2	-	3	25-22	26-28	27-25	18-25	12-15	Big East	18	-	4
13	5	Sep 22, 2024	1	-	3	10-25	25-23	16-25	14-25		Big East	18	-	5
13	39	Nov 24, 2024									Big East

Notes
This shows a preview based on your Top 7 players. Your top 7 players (and your opponents) may not be playing. The effective overall and effective grades INCLUDE BOTH FIT and HOME COURT additions.

This is a basic prediction and does not mean you will win if you get the prediction checkmark. In fact, you will likely lose. This is a simple totaling of the checkmarks where we double the count for OH and MB since you have two of those on the floor versus the other positions.

We are interested in adding to this concept though like using a Top-14 where we double the weight for the starter but add the numbers for the backups as they will play in a session too. Thoughts or ideas?

ELO
For ELO, 145 Rating points are added to the home team's ELO rating to determine the chance of winning.