Match Report

TEAM MATCHUP

Conference League Round 4

Why Do I Care?

Mat-Su Moose

Bryce Kalmbach

(H)
at Carlsbad

Carlsbad Chameleons

Phil McIntosh

Mat-Su leads series 19-16

Match Comments

Match Preview

Matchup and Prediction

Mat-Su			Carlsbad
T7-Ovr	T7-Gr	Position		T7-Gr	T7-Ovr
88.50	A-	Libero		D+	59.50
90.38	A	Middle Blockers		B+	84.50
81.38	B	Outside Hitters		A-	86.50
87.25	A-	Right Side		B	80.50
70.75	C+	Setter		B+	82.00
		Skills Prediction

	35 MATCHES
19	WINS	16
14	HOME	13
3	AWAY	2
2	NEUTRAL	1

Mat-Su		Carlsbad
#59	ELO Rank	#55

1,444.40	ELO Rating	1,462.59 (+145)

28.1%	ELO Winning Chance	71.9%
	ELO Prediction

	TEAM STATS
.121 29th	ATTACK PCT	.240 19th
9.10 30th	KILLS PER SET	11.00 21st
.816 29th	SERVE PCT	.807 31st
1.1 27th	ACES PER SET	1.5 19th
.427 24th	ASSIST PCT	.449 18th
8.8 30th	ASSISTS PER SET	10.9 18th
4.6 14th	BLOCKS PER SET	3.7 24th
4.6 32nd	DIGS PER SET	7.2 28th
.881 30th	RECEIVE PCT	.916 13th
2.095 22nd	PASSER RATING	2.111 19th

	TOP TWO
Noble (OH) 25 Besnard (OH) 19	KILLS	Quinn (OH) 24 Riggs (OH) 16
Noble (OH) .539 Long (MB) .435	ATTACK PCT	Gogolak (MB) .647 Bormann (S) .500
Fugler (S) 59 Ward (S) 20	ASSISTS	Bormann (S) 71 Polanco (S) 30
Fugler (S) 4 Noble (OH) 2	ACES	Gogolak (MB) 4 Polanco (S) 2
Noble (OH) 10 Guajardo (MB) 8	BLOCKS	Landauer (MB) 6 Torre (RS) 5
Analu (RS) 13 Thorne (L) 13	DIGS	May (L) 12 Troy (OH) 11
Noble (OH) 2.48 Thorne (L) 2.21	PASSER RTG	Troy (OH) 2.32 May (L) 2.25

#		TOP OUTSIDE HITTERS	Rtg
10.		Simon Noble Senior B+ 3.57 Kills Per Set 2.48 Passer Rating	8.13

Head to head results

S	M	DATE			HOME	1	2	3	4	5	COMPETITION		-
5	14	May 07, 2022	0	-	3	17-25	9-25	21-25			Pac 8	1	-	0
5	44	Jun 25, 2022	2	-	3	25-17	18-25	25-22	22-25	11-15	Pac 8	1	-	1
6	7	Aug 13, 2022	0	-	3	13-25	20-25	20-25			Pac 8	1	-	2
6	23	Sep 10, 2022	1	-	3	26-28	18-25	25-20	18-25		Pac 8 Tournament6-23Semifinals Pac 8 Tournament	1	-	3
6	29	Sep 24, 2022	0	-	3	16-25	12-25	28-30			Pac 8	2	-	3
7	7	Dec 03, 2022	2	-	3	23-25	25-23	21-25	25-14	11-15	Pac 8	3	-	3
7	23	Dec 31, 2022	0	-	3	25-27	17-25	19-25			Pac 8 Tournament7-23Semifinals Pac 8 Tournament	4	-	3
7	29	Jan 14, 2023	1	-	3	21-25	28-26	25-27	19-25		Pac 8	4	-	4
8	8	Mar 05, 2023	0	-	3	16-25	20-25	18-25			Pac 8	4	-	5
8	34	Apr 23, 2023	2	-	3	25-22	25-19	21-25	24-26	14-16	Pac 8	5	-	5
9	4	Jun 04, 2023	0	-	3	23-25	24-26	18-25			Pac 8	6	-	5
9	13	Jun 25, 2023	0	-	3	11-25	15-25	17-25			Pac 8	6	-	6
9	23	Jul 09, 2023	1	-	3	25-20	21-25	16-25	23-25		Pac 8 Tournament9-23Semifinals Pac 8 Tournament	7	-	6
10	4	Sep 17, 2023	0	-	3	9-25	18-25	19-25			Pac 8	8	-	6
10	13	Oct 08, 2023	3	-	2	22-25	22-25	25-15	25-12	15-6	Pac 8	9	-	6
10	46	Nov 26, 2023	3	- (n)	1	19-25	25-16	25-21	25-23		TMVL Shield	9	-	7
11	7	Dec 31, 2023	0	-	3	9-25	11-25	13-25			Pac 8	10	-	7
11	29	Feb 11, 2024	3	-	0	25-22	25-19	25-16			Pac 8	11	-	7
12	2	Apr 28, 2024	0	-	3	14-25	18-25	21-25			Pac 8	11	-	8
12	11	May 20, 2024	0	-	3	15-25	18-25	12-25			Pac 8	12	-	8
13	14	Oct 13, 2024	0	-	3	22-25	19-25	23-25			Pac 8	13	-	8
13	19	Oct 20, 2024	0	-	3	22-25	26-28	22-25			Pac 8 Tournament13-19Quarterfinals Pac 8 Tournament	14	-	8
13	44	Dec 01, 2024	0	-	3	21-25	15-25	20-25			Pac 8	14	-	9
14	1	Dec 15, 2024	3	-	0	25-23	25-21	25-18			Pac 8	14	-	10
14	10	Jan 05, 2025	0	-	3	15-25	13-25	16-25			Pac 8	14	-	11
14	27	Feb 02, 2025	0	-	3	12-25	21-25	26-28			Pac 8 Tournament14-27CHAMPIONSHIP PAC 8 TOURNAMENT	14	-	12
15	7	Jun 22, 2025	2	-	3	23-25	23-25	25-23	25-23	10-15	Pac 8	14	-	13
15	23	Jul 20, 2025	3	-	0	25-22	29-27	25-21			Pac 8 Tournament15-23Semifinals Pac 8 Tournament	15	-	13
15	29	Aug 03, 2025	3	-	0	25-18	25-20	25-11			Pac 8	15	-	14
16	7	Sep 28, 2025	1	-	3	20-25	25-21	21-25	22-25		Pac 8	16	-	14
16	29	Nov 09, 2025	0	-	3	15-25	21-25	23-25			Pac 8	16	-	15
16	36	Nov 16, 2025	0	- (n)	3	15-25	17-25	21-25			TMVL Shield	17	-	15
17	4	Feb 15, 2026	0	-	3	17-25	15-25	9-25			Pac 8	17	-	16
17	13	Mar 08, 2026	1	-	3	15-25	25-18	22-25	20-25		Pac 8	18	-	16
17	36	Apr 12, 2026	3	- (n)	0	25-23	25-23	25-18			TMVL Shield	19	-	16
18	5	Aug 09, 2026									Pac 8
18	39	Oct 11, 2026									Pac 8

Notes
This shows a preview based on your Top 7 players. Your top 7 players (and your opponents) may not be playing. The effective overall and effective grades INCLUDE BOTH FIT and HOME COURT additions.

This is a basic prediction and does not mean you will win if you get the prediction checkmark. In fact, you will likely lose. This is a simple totaling of the checkmarks where we double the count for OH and MB since you have two of those on the floor versus the other positions.

We are interested in adding to this concept though like using a Top-14 where we double the weight for the starter but add the numbers for the backups as they will play in a session too. Thoughts or ideas?

ELO
For ELO, 145 Rating points are added to the home team's ELO rating to determine the chance of winning.