Match Report

TEAM MATCHUP

Conference League Round 4

Why Do I Care?

Mat-Su Moose

Bryce Kalmbach

(H)
at Carlsbad

Carlsbad Chameleons

Phil McIntosh

Mat-Su leads series 19-16

Match Comments

Match Preview

Matchup and Prediction

Mat-Su			Carlsbad
T7-Ovr	T7-Gr	Position		T7-Gr	T7-Ovr
90.0	A	Libero		D+	59.0
91.0	A	Middle Blockers		A	91.0
85.0	B+	Outside Hitters		A+	96.5
87.0	A-	Right Side		A-	88.0
70.0	C+	Setter		B+	82.0
85.6 B+		Skills Prediction		86.3 A-

	35 MATCHES
19	WINS	16
14	HOME	13
3	AWAY	2
2	NEUTRAL	1

Mat-Su		Carlsbad
#24	ELO Rank	#16
1,461.69	ELO Rating	1,488.41 (+145)
27.2%	ELO Winning Chance	72.8%
	ELO Prediction

	TEAM STATS
.342 12th	ATTACK PCT	.325 16th
12.57 14th	KILLS PER SET	11.84 27th
.859 16th	SERVE PCT	.863 12th
1.31 26th	ACES PER SET	1.53 17th
.559 10th	ASSIST PCT	.521 16th
12.24 14th	ASSISTS PER SET	11.45 26th
4.2 16th	BLOCKS PER SET	3.81 27th
6.23 32nd	DIGS PER SET	7.01 13th
.920 13th	RECEIVE PCT	.902 27th
2.190 5th	PASSER RATING	2.086 28th

	TOP TWO
Brewer (RS) 135 Townsend (MB) 111	KILLS	Quinn (OH) 190 Riggs (OH) 181
Townsend (MB) .616 Bartoli (MB) .544	ATTACK PCT	Gogolak (MB) .646 Riggs (OH) .525
Neale (S) 524 Fugler (S) 265	ASSISTS	Bormann (S) 553 Polanco (S) 220
Noble (OH) 20 Lokensgard (L) 11	ACES	Gogolak (MB) 21 Riggs (OH) 16
Townsend (MB) 39 Noble (OH) 39	BLOCKS	Landauer (MB) 40 Gogolak (MB) 39
Lokensgard (L) 98 Thorne (L) 71	DIGS	Cortez (L) 78 Riggs (OH) 73
Noble (OH) 2.54 Lokensgard (L) 2.30	PASSER RTG	Riggs (OH) 2.44 May (L) 2.15

#		TOP SETTERS	Rtg
9.		Ray Neale Junior C- 13.10 Assists Per Set 1.53 Service Pts Per Set	7.98

#		TOP RIGHT SIDES	Rtg
9.		Dave Brewer Senior B 3.38 Kills Per Set 0.70 Blocks Per Set	7.37

#		TOP MIDDLE BLOCKERS	Rtg
12.		Marc Townsend Junior A- 0.98 Blocks Per Set 2.78 Kills Per Set	7.63

Head to head results

S	M	DATE			HOME	1	2	3	4	5	COMPETITION		-
5	14	May 07, 2022	0	-	3	17-25	9-25	21-25			Pac 8	1	-	0
5	44	Jun 25, 2022	2	-	3	25-17	18-25	25-22	22-25	11-15	Pac 8	1	-	1
6	7	Aug 13, 2022	0	-	3	13-25	20-25	20-25			Pac 8	1	-	2
6	23	Sep 10, 2022	1	-	3	26-28	18-25	25-20	18-25		Pac 8 Tournament6-23Semifinals Pac 8 Tournament	1	-	3
6	29	Sep 24, 2022	0	-	3	16-25	12-25	28-30			Pac 8	2	-	3
7	7	Dec 03, 2022	2	-	3	23-25	25-23	21-25	25-14	11-15	Pac 8	3	-	3
7	23	Dec 31, 2022	0	-	3	25-27	17-25	19-25			Pac 8 Tournament7-23Semifinals Pac 8 Tournament	4	-	3
7	29	Jan 14, 2023	1	-	3	21-25	28-26	25-27	19-25		Pac 8	4	-	4
8	8	Mar 05, 2023	0	-	3	16-25	20-25	18-25			Pac 8	4	-	5
8	34	Apr 23, 2023	2	-	3	25-22	25-19	21-25	24-26	14-16	Pac 8	5	-	5
9	4	Jun 04, 2023	0	-	3	23-25	24-26	18-25			Pac 8	6	-	5
9	13	Jun 25, 2023	0	-	3	11-25	15-25	17-25			Pac 8	6	-	6
9	23	Jul 09, 2023	1	-	3	25-20	21-25	16-25	23-25		Pac 8 Tournament9-23Semifinals Pac 8 Tournament	7	-	6
10	4	Sep 17, 2023	0	-	3	9-25	18-25	19-25			Pac 8	8	-	6
10	13	Oct 08, 2023	3	-	2	22-25	22-25	25-15	25-12	15-6	Pac 8	9	-	6
10	46	Nov 26, 2023	3	- (n)	1	19-25	25-16	25-21	25-23		TMVL Shield	9	-	7
11	7	Dec 31, 2023	0	-	3	9-25	11-25	13-25			Pac 8	10	-	7
11	29	Feb 11, 2024	3	-	0	25-22	25-19	25-16			Pac 8	11	-	7
12	2	Apr 28, 2024	0	-	3	14-25	18-25	21-25			Pac 8	11	-	8
12	11	May 20, 2024	0	-	3	15-25	18-25	12-25			Pac 8	12	-	8
13	14	Oct 13, 2024	0	-	3	22-25	19-25	23-25			Pac 8	13	-	8
13	19	Oct 20, 2024	0	-	3	22-25	26-28	22-25			Pac 8 Tournament13-19Quarterfinals Pac 8 Tournament	14	-	8
13	44	Dec 01, 2024	0	-	3	21-25	15-25	20-25			Pac 8	14	-	9
14	1	Dec 15, 2024	3	-	0	25-23	25-21	25-18			Pac 8	14	-	10
14	10	Jan 05, 2025	0	-	3	15-25	13-25	16-25			Pac 8	14	-	11
14	27	Feb 02, 2025	0	-	3	12-25	21-25	26-28			Pac 8 Tournament14-27CHAMPIONSHIP PAC 8 TOURNAMENT	14	-	12
15	7	Jun 22, 2025	2	-	3	23-25	23-25	25-23	25-23	10-15	Pac 8	14	-	13
15	23	Jul 20, 2025	3	-	0	25-22	29-27	25-21			Pac 8 Tournament15-23Semifinals Pac 8 Tournament	15	-	13
15	29	Aug 03, 2025	3	-	0	25-18	25-20	25-11			Pac 8	15	-	14
16	7	Sep 28, 2025	1	-	3	20-25	25-21	21-25	22-25		Pac 8	16	-	14
16	29	Nov 09, 2025	0	-	3	15-25	21-25	23-25			Pac 8	16	-	15
16	36	Nov 16, 2025	0	- (n)	3	15-25	17-25	21-25			TMVL Shield	17	-	15
17	4	Feb 15, 2026	0	-	3	17-25	15-25	9-25			Pac 8	17	-	16
17	13	Mar 08, 2026	1	-	3	15-25	25-18	22-25	20-25		Pac 8	18	-	16
17	36	Apr 12, 2026	3	- (n)	0	25-23	25-23	25-18			TMVL Shield	19	-	16
18	5	Aug 09, 2026	1	-	3	10-25	25-19	8-25	12-25		Pac 8	19	-	17
18	39	Oct 11, 2026									Pac 8

Notes
This shows a preview based on your Top 7 players. Your top 7 players (and your opponents) may not be playing. The effective overall and effective grades INCLUDE BOTH FIT and HOME COURT additions.

This is a basic prediction and does not mean you will win if you get the prediction checkmark. In fact, you will likely lose. This is a simple totaling of the checkmarks where we double the count for OH and MB since you have two of those on the floor versus the other positions.

We are interested in adding to this concept though like using a Top-14 where we double the weight for the starter but add the numbers for the backups as they will play in a session too. Thoughts or ideas?

ELO
For ELO, 145 Rating points are added to the home team's ELO rating to determine the chance of winning.