Match Report

TEAM MATCHUP

National Championship Quarterfinals

Bracket Link | Why Do I Care?

Denali Angry Wolves

Andy Shaw

(N)
Neutral Court

Columbia Crazy Tomatoes

Steve Turner

Columbia leads series 6-2

Match Comments

Another game where we're the underdog.

Steve (Columbia) Feb 17 - 12:58 PM

ELO LOVES STEVE TURNER! Can Andy's Wolves overcome the ELO prediction today as they face off against the Crazy Tomatoes and their 3rd ranked hitting percentage?

Allan (Quincy) Feb 17 - 11:58 PM

I don’t like our win percentage chances but it should be close.

Andy (Denali) Feb 22 - 11:33 AM

The only meaningful difference is the libero rating. This should be a close one.

Jason (Spokane) Feb 22 - 5:12 PM

Match Preview

Matchup and Prediction

Denali			Columbia
T7-Ovr	T7-Gr	Position		T7-Gr	T7-Ovr
94.25	A+	Libero		D+	58.75
88.25	A-	Middle Blockers		A	91.75
95.00	A+	Outside Hitters		A-	89.50
87.00	A-	Right Side		A-	87.50
80.50	B	Setter		B	80.75
		Skills Prediction

	8 MATCHES
2	WINS	6
1	HOME	4
1	AWAY	1
0	NEUTRAL	1

Denali		Columbia
#17	ELO Rank	#1

1,515.33	ELO Rating	1,658.07

38.6%	ELO Winning Chance	61.4%
	ELO Prediction

	TEAM STATS
.360 16th	ATTACK PCT	.420 5th
13.15 11th	KILLS PER SET	13.57 3rd
.85 29th	SERVE PCT	.872 3rd
1.48 21st	ACES PER SET	1.59 14th
.559 14th	ASSIST PCT	.618 1st
12.74 11th	ASSISTS PER SET	13.35 2nd
3.83 23rd	BLOCKS PER SET	4.65 4th
6.36 24th	DIGS PER SET	6.67 10th
.929 3rd	RECEIVE PCT	.902 32nd
2.215 3rd	PASSER RATING	2.135 27th

	TOP TWO
Kemp (OH) 247 Smith (MB) 238	KILLS	Brehme (OH) 307 Fletcher (RS) 271
Kemp (OH) .564 Smith (MB) .513	ATTACK PCT	Brehme (OH) .646 Wheeler (MB) .586
Schmidgall (S) 733 Lutz (S) 483	ASSISTS	Boyle (S) 951 Rezende (S) 629
Kemp (OH) 31 Smith (MB) 25	ACES	Brehme (OH) 39 Rivera (MB) 25
Smith (MB) 73 Comerford (MB) 65	BLOCKS	Rivera (MB) 91 Wheeler (MB) 63
Reiter (L) 125 Gerard (L) 122	DIGS	Brehme (OH) 105 Stover (L) 101
Kemp (OH) 2.39 Whaley (OH) 2.35	PASSER RTG	Brehme (OH) 2.48 Baptiste (OH) 2.30

#		TOP LIBEROS	Rtg
14.		Marvin Gerard Junior A- 2.28 Passer Rating 1.94 Digs Per Set	6.33

#		TOP SETTERS	Rtg
5.		Tanner Boyle Junior B- 12.85 Assists Per Set 1.34 Service Pts Per Set	8.05

#	TOP OUTSIDE HITTERS	Rtg
1.	Sebastian Brehme Senior A+ 3.89 Kills Per Set 2.48 Passer Rating	8.01
9.	Marcus Kemp Senior A 3.74 Kills Per Set 2.39 Passer Rating	7.60

#		TOP RIGHT SIDES	Rtg
5.		Austin Fletcher Soph. B+ 3.35 Kills Per Set 0.60 Blocks Per Set	7.51

#	TOP MIDDLE BLOCKERS	Rtg
3.	Santiago Rivera Junior A 1.14 Blocks Per Set 2.73 Kills Per Set	8.12
13.	Hannibal Smith Senior A- 0.89 Blocks Per Set 2.90 Kills Per Set	7.40

Head to head results

S	M	DATE			HOME	1	2	3	4	COMPETITION		-
6	45	Oct 15, 2022	0	- (n)	3	21-25	22-25	17-25		TMVL Cup	0	-	1
9	17	Jul 02, 2023	1	-	3	21-25	25-23	10-25	19-25	Non-Conference	0	-	2
11	20	Jan 22, 2024	3	-	1	22-25	26-24	25-23	30-28	William G. Morgan Cup11-20Quarterfinals William G. Morgan Cup	0	-	3
11	25	Feb 05, 2024	3	-	0	25-18	25-20	25-19		Non-Conference	1	-	3
12	17	Jun 03, 2024	0	-	3	21-25	16-25	16-25		Non-Conference	2	-	3
12	20	Jun 03, 2024	0	-	3	23-25	23-25	19-25		William G. Morgan Cup12-20Quarterfinals William G. Morgan Cup	2	-	4
13	17	Oct 20, 2024	0	-	3	18-25	13-25	12-25		Non-Conference	2	-	5
14	25	Feb 02, 2025	0	-	3	21-25	22-25	18-25		Non-Conference	2	-	6
14	37	Feb 23, 2025	0	- (n)	3	16-25	21-25	21-25		National Championship14-37Quarterfinals National Championship	2	-	7

Notes
This shows a preview based on your Top 7 players. Your top 7 players (and your opponents) may not be playing. The effective overall and effective grades INCLUDE BOTH FIT and HOME COURT additions.

This is a basic prediction and does not mean you will win if you get the prediction checkmark. In fact, you will likely lose. This is a simple totaling of the checkmarks where we double the count for OH and MB since you have two of those on the floor versus the other positions.

We are interested in adding to this concept though like using a Top-14 where we double the weight for the starter but add the numbers for the backups as they will play in a session too. Thoughts or ideas?

ELO
For ELO, 145 Rating points are added to the home team's ELO rating to determine the chance of winning.