Match Report

TEAM MATCHUP

Conference League Round 14

Why Do I Care?

Mat-Su Moose

Bryce Kalmbach

(H)
at Tucson

Tucson Spikin Saguaros

Amy Sellers

Tucson leads series 20-15

Match Comments

Match Preview

Matchup and Prediction

Mat-Su			Tucson
T7-Ovr	T7-Gr	Position		T7-Gr	T7-Ovr
88.50	A-	Libero		B+	82.75
90.38	A	Middle Blockers		B+	83.75
81.38	B	Outside Hitters		A-	86.88
87.25	A-	Right Side		C+	70.00
70.75	C+	Setter		A	90.75
		Skills Prediction

	35 MATCHES
15	WINS	20
13	HOME	15
1	AWAY	2
1	NEUTRAL	3

Mat-Su		Tucson
#59	ELO Rank	#51

1,444.40	ELO Rating	1,468.65 (+145)

0.0%	ELO Winning Chance	0.0%
	ELO Prediction

	TEAM STATS
.121 29th	ATTACK PCT	.333 6th
9.10 30th	KILLS PER SET	12.00 11th
.816 29th	SERVE PCT	.862 12th
1.1 27th	ACES PER SET	.4 32nd
.427 24th	ASSIST PCT	.5 9th
8.8 30th	ASSISTS PER SET	11.4 13th
4.6 14th	BLOCKS PER SET	6 7th
4.6 32nd	DIGS PER SET	9.4 8th
.881 30th	RECEIVE PCT	.906 21st
2.095 22nd	PASSER RATING	2.111 18th

	TOP TWO
Noble (OH) 25 Besnard (OH) 19	KILLS	Jordan (OH) 36 Cocoamobile (OH) 21
Noble (OH) .539 Long (MB) .435	ATTACK PCT	Padilla (MB) .833 Farrell (MB) .579
Fugler (S) 59 Ward (S) 20	ASSISTS	Conganugget (S) 75 Arroyo (S) 31
Fugler (S) 4 Noble (OH) 2	ACES	Farrell (MB) 2 Conganugget (S) 1
Noble (OH) 10 Guajardo (MB) 8	BLOCKS	Farrell (MB) 13 Cocoamobile (OH) 11
Analu (RS) 13 Thorne (L) 13	DIGS	Vega (L) 35 Jordan (OH) 16
Noble (OH) 2.48 Thorne (L) 2.21	PASSER RTG	Vega (L) 2.54 Cocoamobile (OH) 2.18

#		TOP LIBEROS	Rtg
1.		Alfonso Vega Soph. B- 2.54 Passer Rating 5.00 Digs Per Set	10.00

#		TOP SETTERS	Rtg
6.		Taco Conganugget Senior A- 10.71 Assists Per Set 1.57 Service Pts Per Set	7.68

#	TOP OUTSIDE HITTERS	Rtg
2.	Derrick Jordan Senior B+ 6.00 Kills Per Set 2.11 Passer Rating	8.80
10.	Simon Noble Senior B+ 3.57 Kills Per Set 2.48 Passer Rating	8.13

#		TOP MIDDLE BLOCKERS	Rtg
5.		Frank Farrell Junior B 1.86 Blocks Per Set 2.00 Kills Per Set	8.62

Head to head results

S	M	DATE			HOME	1	2	3	4	5	COMPETITION		-
5	1	Apr 09, 2022	1	-	3	20-25	25-19	23-25	20-25		Pac 8	0	-	1
5	10	Apr 30, 2022	0	-	3	6-25	14-25	20-25			Pac 8	1	-	1
5	27	May 28, 2022	3	-	0	25-23	29-27	25-21			Pac 8 Tournament5-27CHAMPIONSHIP PAC 8 TOURNAMENT	1	-	2
5	32	Jun 04, 2022	2	- (n)	3	25-23	23-25	25-27	29-27	9-15	National Championship5-32Sweet 16 National Championship	1	-	3
6	1	Jul 31, 2022	0	-	3	19-25	16-25	21-25			Pac 8	1	-	4
6	10	Aug 20, 2022	0	-	3	18-25	21-25	9-25			Pac 8	2	-	4
6	45	Oct 15, 2022	1	- (n)	3	15-25	19-25	25-18	25-27		TMVL Cup	2	-	5
7	2	Nov 12, 2022	0	-	3	23-25	18-25	22-25			Pac 8	3	-	5
7	11	Dec 10, 2022	0	-	3	14-25	24-26	16-25			Pac 8	3	-	6
7	27	Jan 07, 2023	1	-	3	25-23	19-25	23-25	22-25		Pac 8 Tournament7-27CHAMPIONSHIP PAC 8 TOURNAMENT	3	-	7
8	7	Mar 05, 2023	0	-	3	8-25	12-25	8-25			Pac 8	4	-	7
8	29	Apr 16, 2023	1	-	3	20-25	25-20	25-27	17-25		Pac 8	4	-	8
9	8	Jun 11, 2023	0	-	3	22-25	22-25	22-25			Pac 8	5	-	8
9	19	Jul 02, 2023	1	-	3	11-25	25-20	24-26	21-25		Pac 8 Tournament9-19Quarterfinals Pac 8 Tournament	6	-	8
9	34	Jul 30, 2023	0	-	3	15-25	17-25	14-25			Pac 8	6	-	9
10	1	Sep 10, 2023	0	-	3	20-25	18-25	16-25			Pac 8	6	-	10
10	10	Oct 01, 2023	3	-	2	21-25	19-25	29-27	25-23	15-12	Pac 8	6	-	11
11	5	Dec 24, 2023	0	-	3	12-25	7-25	17-25			Pac 8	6	-	12
11	39	Feb 25, 2024	2	-	3	27-25	22-25	25-23	28-30	16-18	Pac 8	7	-	12
11	45	Mar 03, 2024	3	- (n)	1	21-25	26-24	25-21	25-20		TMVL Cup	8	-	12
12	1	Apr 28, 2024	0	-	3	14-25	14-25	15-25			Pac 8	9	-	12
12	10	May 20, 2024	0	-	3	20-25	18-25	14-25			Pac 8	9	-	13
13	1	Sep 15, 2024	0	-	3	12-25	17-25	7-25			Pac 8	9	-	14
13	10	Oct 06, 2024	0	-	3	27-29	16-25	15-25			Pac 8	10	-	14
13	23	Oct 27, 2024	0	-	3	25-27	21-25	27-29			Pac 8 Tournament13-23Semifinals Pac 8 Tournament	10	-	15
13	36	Nov 17, 2024	3	- (n)	1	25-16	25-27	25-21	25-18		TMVL Shield	10	-	16
14	4	Dec 22, 2024	0	-	3	14-25	16-25	9-25			Pac 8	11	-	16
14	13	Jan 12, 2025	2	-	3	19-25	27-29	30-28	25-23	13-15	Pac 8	11	-	17
14	19	Jan 21, 2025	3	-	1	21-25	25-23	25-19	25-23		Pac 8 Tournament14-19Quarterfinals Pac 8 Tournament	12	-	17
15	5	Jun 15, 2025	0	-	3	12-25	11-25	14-25			Pac 8	13	-	17
15	39	Aug 17, 2025	0	-	3	12-25	21-25	21-25			Pac 8	13	-	18
16	8	Sep 28, 2025	1	-	3	20-25	25-23	13-25	20-25		Pac 8	13	-	19
16	34	Nov 16, 2025	2	-	3	24-26	25-23	23-25	25-23	11-15	Pac 8	14	-	19
17	1	Feb 08, 2026	0	-	3	23-25	19-25	15-25			Pac 8	15	-	19
17	10	Mar 01, 2026	0	-	3	19-25	17-25	18-25			Pac 8	15	-	20
18	14	Aug 30, 2026									Pac 8
18	44	Oct 18, 2026									Pac 8

Notes
This shows a preview based on your Top 7 players. Your top 7 players (and your opponents) may not be playing. The effective overall and effective grades INCLUDE BOTH FIT and HOME COURT additions.

This is a basic prediction and does not mean you will win if you get the prediction checkmark. In fact, you will likely lose. This is a simple totaling of the checkmarks where we double the count for OH and MB since you have two of those on the floor versus the other positions.

We are interested in adding to this concept though like using a Top-14 where we double the weight for the starter but add the numbers for the backups as they will play in a session too. Thoughts or ideas?

ELO
For ELO, 145 Rating points are added to the home team's ELO rating to determine the chance of winning.