Match Report

TEAM MATCHUP

Conference League Round 14

Why Do I Care?

Mat-Su Moose

Bryce Kalmbach

(H)
at Tucson

Tucson Spikin Saguaros

Amy Sellers

Tucson leads series 20-16

Match Comments

Match Preview

Matchup and Prediction

Mat-Su			Tucson
T7-Ovr	T7-Gr	Position		T7-Gr	T7-Ovr
90.0	A	Libero		A-	89.0
91.0	A	Middle Blockers		B+	83.0
85.0	B+	Outside Hitters		A-	87.0
87.0	A-	Right Side		B-	74.0
70.0	C+	Setter		A	90.0
85.6 B+		Skills Prediction		84.7 B+

	36 MATCHES
16	WINS	20
14	HOME	15
1	AWAY	2
1	NEUTRAL	3

Mat-Su		Tucson
#24	ELO Rank	#28
1,461.69	ELO Rating	1,444.29 (+145)
0.0%	ELO Winning Chance	0.0%
	ELO Prediction

	TEAM STATS
.342 12th	ATTACK PCT	.317 21st
12.57 14th	KILLS PER SET	11.86 25th
.859 16th	SERVE PCT	.848 27th
1.31 26th	ACES PER SET	1.03 31st
.559 10th	ASSIST PCT	.508 22nd
12.24 14th	ASSISTS PER SET	11.39 28th
4.2 16th	BLOCKS PER SET	4.28 14th
6.23 32nd	DIGS PER SET	6.54 27th
.920 13th	RECEIVE PCT	.918 18th
2.190 5th	PASSER RATING	2.158 19th

	TOP TWO
Brewer (RS) 135 Wilkins (OH) 111	KILLS	Jordan (OH) 168 Cocoamobile (OH) 147
Townsend (MB) .616 Bartoli (MB) .544	ATTACK PCT	Jordan (OH) .508 Farrell (MB) .500
Neale (S) 524 Fugler (S) 265	ASSISTS	Conganugget (S) 472 Arroyo (S) 167
Noble (OH) 20 Lokensgard (L) 11	ACES	Farrell (MB) 11 Cocoamobile (OH) 10
Townsend (MB) 39 Noble (OH) 39	BLOCKS	Farrell (MB) 58 MacKay (RS) 47
Lokensgard (L) 98 Thorne (L) 71	DIGS	Vega (L) 116 MacKay (RS) 65
Noble (OH) 2.54 Lokensgard (L) 2.30	PASSER RTG	Vega (L) 2.38 Jordan (OH) 2.27

#		TOP LIBEROS	Rtg
7.		Alfonso Vega Soph. B 2.38 Passer Rating 2.47 Digs Per Set	7.33

#		TOP SETTERS	Rtg
9.		Ray Neale Junior C- 13.10 Assists Per Set 1.53 Service Pts Per Set	7.98

#		TOP OUTSIDE HITTERS	Rtg
2.		Derrick Jordan Senior B+ 4.80 Kills Per Set 2.27 Passer Rating	8.08

#		TOP RIGHT SIDES	Rtg
9.		Dave Brewer Senior B 3.38 Kills Per Set 0.70 Blocks Per Set	7.37

#		TOP MIDDLE BLOCKERS	Rtg
12.		Marc Townsend Junior A- 0.98 Blocks Per Set 2.78 Kills Per Set	7.63

Head to head results

S	M	DATE			HOME	1	2	3	4	5	COMPETITION		-
5	1	Apr 09, 2022	1	-	3	20-25	25-19	23-25	20-25		Pac 8	0	-	1
5	10	Apr 30, 2022	0	-	3	6-25	14-25	20-25			Pac 8	1	-	1
5	27	May 28, 2022	3	-	0	25-23	29-27	25-21			Pac 8 Tournament5-27CHAMPIONSHIP PAC 8 TOURNAMENT	1	-	2
5	32	Jun 04, 2022	2	- (n)	3	25-23	23-25	25-27	29-27	9-15	National Championship5-32Sweet 16 National Championship	1	-	3
6	1	Jul 31, 2022	0	-	3	19-25	16-25	21-25			Pac 8	1	-	4
6	10	Aug 20, 2022	0	-	3	18-25	21-25	9-25			Pac 8	2	-	4
6	45	Oct 15, 2022	1	- (n)	3	15-25	19-25	25-18	25-27		TMVL Cup	2	-	5
7	2	Nov 12, 2022	0	-	3	23-25	18-25	22-25			Pac 8	3	-	5
7	11	Dec 10, 2022	0	-	3	14-25	24-26	16-25			Pac 8	3	-	6
7	27	Jan 07, 2023	1	-	3	25-23	19-25	23-25	22-25		Pac 8 Tournament7-27CHAMPIONSHIP PAC 8 TOURNAMENT	3	-	7
8	7	Mar 05, 2023	0	-	3	8-25	12-25	8-25			Pac 8	4	-	7
8	29	Apr 16, 2023	1	-	3	20-25	25-20	25-27	17-25		Pac 8	4	-	8
9	8	Jun 11, 2023	0	-	3	22-25	22-25	22-25			Pac 8	5	-	8
9	19	Jul 02, 2023	1	-	3	11-25	25-20	24-26	21-25		Pac 8 Tournament9-19Quarterfinals Pac 8 Tournament	6	-	8
9	34	Jul 30, 2023	0	-	3	15-25	17-25	14-25			Pac 8	6	-	9
10	1	Sep 10, 2023	0	-	3	20-25	18-25	16-25			Pac 8	6	-	10
10	10	Oct 01, 2023	3	-	2	21-25	19-25	29-27	25-23	15-12	Pac 8	6	-	11
11	5	Dec 24, 2023	0	-	3	12-25	7-25	17-25			Pac 8	6	-	12
11	39	Feb 25, 2024	2	-	3	27-25	22-25	25-23	28-30	16-18	Pac 8	7	-	12
11	45	Mar 03, 2024	3	- (n)	1	21-25	26-24	25-21	25-20		TMVL Cup	8	-	12
12	1	Apr 28, 2024	0	-	3	14-25	14-25	15-25			Pac 8	9	-	12
12	10	May 20, 2024	0	-	3	20-25	18-25	14-25			Pac 8	9	-	13
13	1	Sep 15, 2024	0	-	3	12-25	17-25	7-25			Pac 8	9	-	14
13	10	Oct 06, 2024	0	-	3	27-29	16-25	15-25			Pac 8	10	-	14
13	23	Oct 27, 2024	0	-	3	25-27	21-25	27-29			Pac 8 Tournament13-23Semifinals Pac 8 Tournament	10	-	15
13	36	Nov 17, 2024	3	- (n)	1	25-16	25-27	25-21	25-18		TMVL Shield	10	-	16
14	4	Dec 22, 2024	0	-	3	14-25	16-25	9-25			Pac 8	11	-	16
14	13	Jan 12, 2025	2	-	3	19-25	27-29	30-28	25-23	13-15	Pac 8	11	-	17
14	19	Jan 21, 2025	3	-	1	21-25	25-23	25-19	25-23		Pac 8 Tournament14-19Quarterfinals Pac 8 Tournament	12	-	17
15	5	Jun 15, 2025	0	-	3	12-25	11-25	14-25			Pac 8	13	-	17
15	39	Aug 17, 2025	0	-	3	12-25	21-25	21-25			Pac 8	13	-	18
16	8	Sep 28, 2025	1	-	3	20-25	25-23	13-25	20-25		Pac 8	13	-	19
16	34	Nov 16, 2025	2	-	3	24-26	25-23	23-25	25-23	11-15	Pac 8	14	-	19
17	1	Feb 08, 2026	0	-	3	23-25	19-25	15-25			Pac 8	15	-	19
17	10	Mar 01, 2026	0	-	3	19-25	17-25	18-25			Pac 8	15	-	20
18	14	Aug 30, 2026	0	-	3	15-25	12-25	19-25			Pac 8	16	-	20
18	44	Oct 18, 2026									Pac 8

Notes
This shows a preview based on your Top 7 players. Your top 7 players (and your opponents) may not be playing. The effective overall and effective grades INCLUDE BOTH FIT and HOME COURT additions.

This is a basic prediction and does not mean you will win if you get the prediction checkmark. In fact, you will likely lose. This is a simple totaling of the checkmarks where we double the count for OH and MB since you have two of those on the floor versus the other positions.

We are interested in adding to this concept though like using a Top-14 where we double the weight for the starter but add the numbers for the backups as they will play in a session too. Thoughts or ideas?

ELO
For ELO, 145 Rating points are added to the home team's ELO rating to determine the chance of winning.