Match Report

TEAM MATCHUP

Conference League Round 11

Why Do I Care?

Denali Angry Wolves

Andy Shaw

(H)
at Mat-Su

Mat-Su Moose

Bryce Kalmbach

Mat-Su leads series 20-17

Match Comments

Match Preview

Matchup and Prediction

Denali			Mat-Su
T7-Ovr	T7-Gr	Position		T7-Gr	T7-Ovr
78.25	B	Libero		A	90.75
80.00	B	Middle Blockers		A+	95.13
78.25	B	Outside Hitters		B+	84.88
90.50	A	Right Side		A	92.00
82.00	B+	Setter		C+	72.50
		Skills Prediction

	37 MATCHES
17	WINS	20
14	HOME	13
2	AWAY	4
1	NEUTRAL	3

Denali		Mat-Su
#31	ELO Rank	#59

1,496.42	ELO Rating	1,444.40 (+145)

0.0%	ELO Winning Chance	0.0%
	ELO Prediction

	TEAM STATS
.422 1st	ATTACK PCT	.121 29th
13.90 1st	KILLS PER SET	9.10 30th
.855 19th	SERVE PCT	.816 29th
1.5 20th	ACES PER SET	1.1 27th
.57 2nd	ASSIST PCT	.427 24th
13.8 1st	ASSISTS PER SET	8.8 30th
2.7 30th	BLOCKS PER SET	4.6 14th
7.6 23rd	DIGS PER SET	4.6 32nd
.901 23rd	RECEIVE PCT	.881 30th
2.130 14th	PASSER RATING	2.095 22nd

	TOP TWO
McFarland (OH) 27 Palma (OH) 25	KILLS	Noble (OH) 25 Besnard (OH) 19
Hayes (RS) .583 Dunne (MB) .571	ATTACK PCT	Noble (OH) .539 Long (MB) .435
van den Bergh (S) 87 Savage (S) 36	ASSISTS	Fugler (S) 59 Ward (S) 20
Hayes (RS) 3 Dunne (MB) 3	ACES	Fugler (S) 4 Noble (OH) 2
McIntosh (MB) 6 Dunne (MB) 4	BLOCKS	Noble (OH) 10 Guajardo (MB) 8
Matthews (L) 18 van den Bergh (S) 11	DIGS	Analu (RS) 13 Thorne (L) 13
Matthews (L) 2.34 McFarland (OH) 2.29	PASSER RTG	Noble (OH) 2.48 Thorne (L) 2.21

#		TOP LIBEROS	Rtg
12.		Carlos Matthews Senior B 2.34 Passer Rating 2.57 Digs Per Set	7.65

#	TOP OUTSIDE HITTERS	Rtg
3.	Donnie McFarland Soph. B- 4.50 Kills Per Set 2.29 Passer Rating	8.68
10.	Simon Noble Senior B+ 3.57 Kills Per Set 2.48 Passer Rating	8.13

Head to head results

S	M	DATE			HOME	1	2	3	4	5	COMPETITION		-
5	2	Apr 09, 2022	0	-	3	18-25	21-25	10-25			Pac 8	0	-	1
5	11	Apr 30, 2022	1	-	3	15-25	25-22	19-25	15-25		Pac 8	1	-	1
5	19	May 14, 2022	2	-	3	20-25	23-25	25-21	27-25	12-15	Pac 8 Tournament5-19Quarterfinals Pac 8 Tournament	1	-	2
6	14	Aug 27, 2022	0	-	3	23-25	13-25	20-25			Pac 8	1	-	3
6	19	Sep 03, 2022	0	-	3	21-25	23-25	13-25			Pac 8 Tournament6-19Quarterfinals Pac 8 Tournament	1	-	4
6	44	Oct 15, 2022	2	-	3	25-22	25-22	20-25	24-26	13-15	Pac 8	2	-	4
7	1	Nov 12, 2022	0	-	3	15-25	20-25	20-25			Pac 8	3	-	4
7	10	Dec 10, 2022	0	-	3	14-25	15-25	19-25			Pac 8	3	-	5
7	19	Dec 24, 2022	3	-	2	25-21	16-25	22-25	25-23	15-10	Pac 8 Tournament7-19Quarterfinals Pac 8 Tournament	3	-	6
8	14	Mar 19, 2023	1	-	3	25-14	25-27	20-25	21-25		Pac 8	4	-	6
8	44	May 05, 2023	3	-	0	25-18	25-23	31-29			Pac 8	5	-	6
9	5	Jun 04, 2023	3	-	2	15-25	25-21	25-23	21-25	16-14	Pac 8	5	-	7
9	27	Jul 16, 2023	3	-	1	25-17	19-25	25-22	28-26		Pac 8 Tournament9-27CHAMPIONSHIP PAC 8 TOURNAMENT	5	-	8
9	39	Aug 06, 2023	2	-	3	27-29	20-25	25-22	25-20	10-15	Pac 8	5	-	9
10	5	Sep 17, 2023	1	-	3	25-22	17-25	22-25	14-25		Pac 8	6	-	9
10	39	Nov 19, 2023	0	-	3	20-25	15-25	20-25			Pac 8	6	-	10
11	4	Dec 24, 2023	0	-	3	19-25	20-25	16-25			Pac 8	6	-	11
11	13	Jan 14, 2024	0	-	3	23-25	22-25	21-25			Pac 8	7	-	11
12	4	May 06, 2024	0	-	3	13-25	23-25	20-25			Pac 8	8	-	11
12	13	May 27, 2024	0	-	3	21-25	14-25	23-25			Pac 8	8	-	12
13	8	Sep 29, 2024	1	-	3	26-24	16-25	21-25	19-25		Pac 8	8	-	13
13	34	Nov 17, 2024	1	-	3	25-27	25-23	23-25	27-29		Pac 8	9	-	13
13	37	Nov 17, 2024	1	- (n)	3	19-25	20-25	25-16	16-25		National Championship13-37Quarterfinals National Championship	9	-	14
14	14	Jan 12, 2025	0	-	3	12-25	19-25	13-25			Pac 8	9	-	15
14	40	Mar 02, 2025	3	- (n)	1	28-26	25-27	25-19	25-22		TMVL Cup	9	-	16
14	44	Mar 09, 2025	0	-	3	15-25	13-25	17-25			Pac 8	10	-	16
15	1	Jun 08, 2025	3	-	0	25-22	25-16	25-20			Pac 8	11	-	16
15	10	Jun 29, 2025	0	-	3	15-25	22-25	21-25			Pac 8	12	-	16
15	27	Jul 27, 2025	3	-	1	18-25	25-18	25-20	27-25		Pac 8 Tournament15-27CHAMPIONSHIP PAC 8 TOURNAMENT	12	-	17
15	42	Aug 17, 2025	3	- (n)	2	23-25	25-19	29-27	23-25	15-13	National Championship15-42SEMIFINALS National Championship	12	-	18
16	4	Sep 21, 2025	0	-	3	16-25	15-25	10-25			Pac 8	12	-	19
16	13	Oct 12, 2025	0	-	3	15-25	12-25	15-25			Pac 8	13	-	19
16	19	Oct 19, 2025	1	-	3	23-25	25-23	19-25	20-25		Pac 8 Tournament16-19Quarterfinals Pac 8 Tournament	14	-	19
17	7	Feb 22, 2026	0	-	3	11-25	18-25	19-25			Pac 8	14	-	20
17	23	Mar 22, 2026	0	-	3	23-25	20-25	18-25			Pac 8 Tournament17-23Semifinals Pac 8 Tournament	15	-	20
17	29	Apr 05, 2026	0	-	3	14-25	15-25	18-25			Pac 8	16	-	20
17	37	Apr 12, 2026	0	- (n)	3	23-25	19-25	16-25			National Championship17-37Quarterfinals National Championship	17	-	20
18	7	Aug 16, 2026									Pac 8
18	29	Sep 27, 2026									Pac 8

Notes
This shows a preview based on your Top 7 players. Your top 7 players (and your opponents) may not be playing. The effective overall and effective grades INCLUDE BOTH FIT and HOME COURT additions.

This is a basic prediction and does not mean you will win if you get the prediction checkmark. In fact, you will likely lose. This is a simple totaling of the checkmarks where we double the count for OH and MB since you have two of those on the floor versus the other positions.

We are interested in adding to this concept though like using a Top-14 where we double the weight for the starter but add the numbers for the backups as they will play in a session too. Thoughts or ideas?

ELO
For ELO, 145 Rating points are added to the home team's ELO rating to determine the chance of winning.