Match Report

TEAM MATCHUP

Conference League Round 11

Why Do I Care?

Mat-Su Moose

Bryce Kalmbach

(H)
at Denali

Denali Angry Wolves

Andy Shaw

Mat-Su leads series 20-15

Match Comments

Both teams chasing down the Shrimps.

Andy (Denali) Mar 30 - 10:48 PM

Match Preview

Matchup and Prediction

Mat-Su			Denali
T7-Ovr	T7-Gr	Position		T7-Gr	T7-Ovr
88.00	A-	Libero		B+	85.50
86.25	A-	Middle Blockers		A+	96.38
82.75	B+	Outside Hitters		A-	89.63
86.50	A-	Right Side		A-	89.25
94.00	A+	Setter		A-	88.75
		Skills Prediction

	35 MATCHES
20	WINS	15
13	HOME	13
4	AWAY	2
3	NEUTRAL	0

Mat-Su		Denali
#20	ELO Rank	#14

1,457.85	ELO Rating	1,541.83 (+145)

21.1%	ELO Winning Chance	78.9%
	ELO Prediction

	TEAM STATS
.319 22nd	ATTACK PCT	.422 4th
12.35 21st	KILLS PER SET	13.49 4th
.851 24th	SERVE PCT	.868 6th
1.34 28th	ACES PER SET	1.48 19th
.528 19th	ASSIST PCT	.577 10th
12.06 18th	ASSISTS PER SET	13.02 6th
3.68 25th	BLOCKS PER SET	4.56 6th
6.78 11th	DIGS PER SET	7.29 3rd
.916 15th	RECEIVE PCT	.913 26th
2.183 7th	PASSER RATING	2.127 26th

	TOP TWO
Brewer (RS) 204 Noble (OH) 143	KILLS	Suarez (OH) 188 Palma (OH) 183
Brewer (RS) .519 Noble (OH) .514	ATTACK PCT	Suarez (OH) .636 Mesquita (MB) .561
Brandenburg (S) 607 Neale (S) 223	ASSISTS	Savage (S) 567 van den Bergh (S) 513
Noble (OH) 15 Brandenburg (S) 15	ACES	Suarez (OH) 22 Palma (OH) 14
Townsend (MB) 48 Bartoli (MB) 41	BLOCKS	Dunne (MB) 53 Mesquita (MB) 46
Lokensgard (L) 123 Brewer (RS) 60	DIGS	Matthews (L) 93 Biggs (OH) 78
Noble (OH) 2.41 Wilkins (OH) 2.34	PASSER RTG	Suarez (OH) 2.34 Matthews (L) 2.27

#	TOP LIBEROS	Rtg
6.	Dylan Lokensgard Junior B+ 2.26 Passer Rating 2.56 Digs Per Set	7.25
13.	Carlos Matthews Junior B- 2.27 Passer Rating 2.02 Digs Per Set	6.58

#		TOP OUTSIDE HITTERS	Rtg
6.		Amir Suarez Senior A 3.69 Kills Per Set 2.34 Passer Rating	7.80

#		TOP RIGHT SIDES	Rtg
4.		Dave Brewer Junior B 4.25 Kills Per Set 0.71 Blocks Per Set	8.09

#		TOP MIDDLE BLOCKERS	Rtg
9.		Erik Powell Senior A 0.88 Blocks Per Set 2.86 Kills Per Set	7.59

Head to head results

S	M	DATE			HOME	1	2	3	4	5	COMPETITION		-
5	2	Apr 09, 2022	0	-	3	18-25	21-25	10-25			Pac 8	1	-	0
5	11	Apr 30, 2022	1	-	3	15-25	25-22	19-25	15-25		Pac 8	1	-	1
5	19	May 14, 2022	2	-	3	20-25	23-25	25-21	27-25	12-15	Pac 8 Tournament5-19Quarterfinals Pac 8 Tournament	2	-	1
6	14	Aug 27, 2022	0	-	3	23-25	13-25	20-25			Pac 8	3	-	1
6	19	Sep 03, 2022	0	-	3	21-25	23-25	13-25			Pac 8 Tournament6-19Quarterfinals Pac 8 Tournament	4	-	1
6	44	Oct 15, 2022	2	-	3	25-22	25-22	20-25	24-26	13-15	Pac 8	4	-	2
7	1	Nov 12, 2022	0	-	3	15-25	20-25	20-25			Pac 8	4	-	3
7	10	Dec 10, 2022	0	-	3	14-25	15-25	19-25			Pac 8	5	-	3
7	19	Dec 24, 2022	3	-	2	25-21	16-25	22-25	25-23	15-10	Pac 8 Tournament7-19Quarterfinals Pac 8 Tournament	6	-	3
8	14	Mar 19, 2023	1	-	3	25-14	25-27	20-25	21-25		Pac 8	6	-	4
8	44	May 05, 2023	3	-	0	25-18	25-23	31-29			Pac 8	6	-	5
9	5	Jun 04, 2023	3	-	2	15-25	25-21	25-23	21-25	16-14	Pac 8	7	-	5
9	27	Jul 16, 2023	3	-	1	25-17	19-25	25-22	28-26		Pac 8 Tournament9-27CHAMPIONSHIP PAC 8 TOURNAMENT	8	-	5
9	39	Aug 06, 2023	2	-	3	27-29	20-25	25-22	25-20	10-15	Pac 8	9	-	5
10	5	Sep 17, 2023	1	-	3	25-22	17-25	22-25	14-25		Pac 8	9	-	6
10	39	Nov 19, 2023	0	-	3	20-25	15-25	20-25			Pac 8	10	-	6
11	4	Dec 24, 2023	0	-	3	19-25	20-25	16-25			Pac 8	11	-	6
11	13	Jan 14, 2024	0	-	3	23-25	22-25	21-25			Pac 8	11	-	7
12	4	May 06, 2024	0	-	3	13-25	23-25	20-25			Pac 8	11	-	8
12	13	May 27, 2024	0	-	3	21-25	14-25	23-25			Pac 8	12	-	8
13	8	Sep 29, 2024	1	-	3	26-24	16-25	21-25	19-25		Pac 8	13	-	8
13	34	Nov 17, 2024	1	-	3	25-27	25-23	23-25	27-29		Pac 8	13	-	9
13	37	Nov 17, 2024	1	- (n)	3	19-25	20-25	25-16	16-25		National Championship13-37Quarterfinals National Championship	14	-	9
14	14	Jan 12, 2025	0	-	3	12-25	19-25	13-25			Pac 8	15	-	9
14	40	Mar 02, 2025	3	- (n)	1	28-26	25-27	25-19	25-22		TMVL Cup	16	-	9
14	44	Mar 09, 2025	0	-	3	15-25	13-25	17-25			Pac 8	16	-	10
15	1	Jun 08, 2025	3	-	0	25-22	25-16	25-20			Pac 8	16	-	11
15	10	Jun 29, 2025	0	-	3	15-25	22-25	21-25			Pac 8	16	-	12
15	27	Jul 27, 2025	3	-	1	18-25	25-18	25-20	27-25		Pac 8 Tournament15-27CHAMPIONSHIP PAC 8 TOURNAMENT	17	-	12
15	42	Aug 17, 2025	3	- (n)	2	23-25	25-19	29-27	23-25	15-13	National Championship15-42SEMIFINALS National Championship	18	-	12
16	4	Sep 21, 2025	0	-	3	16-25	15-25	10-25			Pac 8	19	-	12
16	13	Oct 12, 2025	0	-	3	15-25	12-25	15-25			Pac 8	19	-	13
16	19	Oct 19, 2025	1	-	3	23-25	25-23	19-25	20-25		Pac 8 Tournament16-19Quarterfinals Pac 8 Tournament	19	-	14
17	7	Feb 22, 2026	0	-	3	11-25	18-25	19-25			Pac 8	20	-	14
17	23	Mar 22, 2026	0	-	3	23-25	20-25	18-25			Pac 8 Tournament17-23Semifinals Pac 8 Tournament	20	-	15
17	29	Apr 05, 2026									Pac 8

Notes
This shows a preview based on your Top 7 players. Your top 7 players (and your opponents) may not be playing. The effective overall and effective grades INCLUDE BOTH FIT and HOME COURT additions.

This is a basic prediction and does not mean you will win if you get the prediction checkmark. In fact, you will likely lose. This is a simple totaling of the checkmarks where we double the count for OH and MB since you have two of those on the floor versus the other positions.

We are interested in adding to this concept though like using a Top-14 where we double the weight for the starter but add the numbers for the backups as they will play in a session too. Thoughts or ideas?

ELO
For ELO, 145 Rating points are added to the home team's ELO rating to determine the chance of winning.