Match Report

TEAM MATCHUP

Non-Conference League Round 5

Why Do I Care?

Mat-Su Moose

Bryce Kalmbach

(H)
at Portland

Portland Lumberjacks

Antoine Thevenon

Mat-Su leads series 5-4

Match Comments

Another tough game we need to win.

Antoine (Portland) Mar 29 - 12:07 PM

Match Preview

Matchup and Prediction

Mat-Su			Portland
T7-Ovr	T7-Gr	Position		T7-Gr	T7-Ovr
88.00	A-	Libero		B+	85.75
86.25	A-	Middle Blockers		A+	100.38
82.75	B+	Outside Hitters		B+	85.00
86.50	A-	Right Side		A+	98.00
94.00	A+	Setter		A	91.75
		Skills Prediction

	9 MATCHES
5	WINS	4
0	HOME	0
2	AWAY	0
3	NEUTRAL	4

Mat-Su		Portland
#20	ELO Rank	#10

1,457.85	ELO Rating	1,552.59 (+145)

25.6%	ELO Winning Chance	74.4%
	ELO Prediction

	TEAM STATS
.319 22nd	ATTACK PCT	.409 6th
12.35 21st	KILLS PER SET	13.46 5th
.851 24th	SERVE PCT	.859 16th
1.34 28th	ACES PER SET	1.8 6th
.528 19th	ASSIST PCT	.597 4th
12.06 18th	ASSISTS PER SET	13.16 4th
3.68 25th	BLOCKS PER SET	4.54 7th
6.78 11th	DIGS PER SET	6.22 31st
.916 15th	RECEIVE PCT	.915 20th
2.183 7th	PASSER RATING	2.153 19th

	TOP TWO
Brewer (RS) 204 Noble (OH) 143	KILLS	Marshall (RS) 239 Giannelli (MB) 180
Brewer (RS) .519 Noble (OH) .514	ATTACK PCT	Giannelli (MB) .657 Marshall (RS) .537
Brandenburg (S) 607 Neale (S) 223	ASSISTS	Noble (S) 781 Harvey (S) 256
Noble (OH) 15 Brandenburg (S) 15	ACES	Giannelli (MB) 33 Marshall (RS) 23
Townsend (MB) 48 Bartoli (MB) 41	BLOCKS	Giannelli (MB) 59 Grossi (MB) 56
Lokensgard (L) 123 Brewer (RS) 60	DIGS	Margutti (L) 96 Noble (S) 74
Noble (OH) 2.41 Wilkins (OH) 2.34	PASSER RTG	Giardino (OH) 2.27 Margutti (L) 2.25

#		TOP LIBEROS	Rtg
6.		Dylan Lokensgard Junior B+ 2.26 Passer Rating 2.56 Digs Per Set	7.25

#		TOP SETTERS	Rtg
3.		Darrell Noble Soph. B+ 12.80 Assists Per Set 1.90 Service Pts Per Set	8.32

#	TOP RIGHT SIDES	Rtg
4.	Dave Brewer Junior B 4.25 Kills Per Set 0.71 Blocks Per Set	8.09
9.	Brendan Marshall Junior A- 3.92 Kills Per Set 0.69 Blocks Per Set	7.48

#		TOP MIDDLE BLOCKERS	Rtg
7.		Lorenzo Giannelli Senior A 0.97 Blocks Per Set 2.95 Kills Per Set	7.73

Head to head results

S	M	DATE			HOME	1	2	3	4	5	COMPETITION		-
5	3	Apr 09, 2022	0	- (n)	3	18-25	21-25	21-25			William G. Morgan Cup5-3Group Round William G. Morgan Cup	1	-	0
5	36	Jun 11, 2022	2	- (n)	3	25-22	18-25	22-25	25-19	12-15	TMVL Shield	2	-	0
7	12	Dec 10, 2022	3	-	1	25-21	25-17	25-27	25-18		William G. Morgan Cup7-12Round of 32 William G. Morgan Cup	3	-	0
8	25	Apr 09, 2023	3	-	0	25-15	25-19	25-17			Non-Conference	4	-	0
11	32	Feb 11, 2024	1	- (n)	3	15-25	25-20	17-25	20-25		National Championship11-32Sweet 16 National Championship	4	-	1
11	35	Feb 18, 2024	1	- (n)	3	25-22	18-25	21-25	18-25		TMVL Cup	4	-	2
15	9	Jun 22, 2025	3	- (n)	1	25-20	18-25	25-18	25-18		William G. Morgan Cup15-9Group Round William G. Morgan Cup	5	-	2
15	40	Aug 17, 2025	1	- (n)	3	26-28	25-22	17-25	19-25		TMVL Cup	5	-	3
17	22	Mar 22, 2026	1	- (n)	3	18-25	25-21	18-25	21-25		TMVL Cup17-22Round of 32 TMVL Cup	5	-	4
17	25	Mar 29, 2026	0	-	3	28-30	14-25	25-27			Non-Conference	5	-	5

Notes
This shows a preview based on your Top 7 players. Your top 7 players (and your opponents) may not be playing. The effective overall and effective grades INCLUDE BOTH FIT and HOME COURT additions.

This is a basic prediction and does not mean you will win if you get the prediction checkmark. In fact, you will likely lose. This is a simple totaling of the checkmarks where we double the count for OH and MB since you have two of those on the floor versus the other positions.

We are interested in adding to this concept though like using a Top-14 where we double the weight for the starter but add the numbers for the backups as they will play in a session too. Thoughts or ideas?

ELO
For ELO, 145 Rating points are added to the home team's ELO rating to determine the chance of winning.