Match Report

TEAM MATCHUP

Conference League Round 2

Why Do I Care?

Portland Lumberjacks

Antoine Thevenon

(H)
at Columbia

Columbia Crazy Tomatoes

Steve Turner

Columbia leads series 21-9

Match Comments

Rest for FIT or CP for FIT? Win or Lose?

Steve (Columbia) Feb 01 - 9:32 AM

#mindgames

Allan (Quincy) Feb 01 - 2:13 PM

I’m used to losing against the Tomatoes, so the choice was quickly made! ;-)

Antoine (Portland) Feb 01 - 8:21 PM

Are the National Champs also playing mindgames?
#alsomindgames

Allan (Quincy) Feb 01 - 11:26 PM

Hard to not think about the end-of-season table in this opening weekend. One match made the difference last season between table-topping & also-ran

Kevin (New Orleans) Feb 02 - 3:58 PM

Granted, Portland has made real progress over the last four seasons. We no longer have to blush when facing the Tomatoes, but they’re still stronger than us when they’re in their "paradise orchard". Physically, and above all mentally. A game in Columbia i

Antoine (Portland) Feb 02 - 9:10 PM

A game at Columbia is never easy. We've only won there twice in 28 games. So yes, I'm used to heavy losses against Columbia… and I know what needs to be done. ;-)

Antoine (Portland) Feb 02 - 9:11 PM

I love the "Paradise Orchard" reference Antoine! Good one!

Allan (Quincy) Feb 02 - 9:23 PM

I think the less reference to Steve’s “Paradise Orchard” the better.

Roger (Pekin) Feb 04 - 10:12 AM

Couple of good matches for Columbia to start the season. I hope Steve's freshmen make the most of it.

Jason (Spokane) Feb 05 - 11:10 PM

his freshmen will not play in this match.

Antoine (Portland) Feb 06 - 8:28 PM

#WillStevePlayFreshmenToday?

Allan (Quincy) Feb 07 - 1:58 AM

home advantage for the win

James (Alton) Feb 07 - 6:39 PM

Match Preview

Matchup and Prediction

Portland			Columbia
T7-Ovr	T7-Gr	Position		T7-Gr	T7-Ovr
83.50	B+	Libero		A+	94.75
95.63	A+	Middle Blockers		A+	96.88
81.50	B	Outside Hitters		A+	94.00
93.25	A	Right Side		A+	97.50
90.00	A	Setter		A	91.00
		Skills Prediction

	30 MATCHES
9	WINS	21
6	HOME	12
2	AWAY	8
1	NEUTRAL	1

Portland		Columbia
#10	ELO Rank	#7

1,552.59	ELO Rating	1,583.04 (+145)

28.0%	ELO Winning Chance	72.0%
	ELO Prediction

	TEAM STATS
.409 6th	ATTACK PCT	.388 10th
13.46 5th	KILLS PER SET	12.72 14th
.859 16th	SERVE PCT	.865 9th
1.8 6th	ACES PER SET	1.6 12th
.597 4th	ASSIST PCT	.584 7th
13.16 4th	ASSISTS PER SET	12.28 15th
4.54 7th	BLOCKS PER SET	4.32 10th
6.22 31st	DIGS PER SET	5.83 32nd
.915 20th	RECEIVE PCT	.919 11th
2.153 19th	PASSER RATING	2.195 6th

	TOP TWO
Marshall (RS) 239 Giannelli (MB) 180	KILLS	Berger (RS) 212 Kelso (OH) 184
Giannelli (MB) .657 Marshall (RS) .537	ATTACK PCT	Berger (RS) .579 Mata (MB) .568
Noble (S) 781 Harvey (S) 256	ASSISTS	Rezende (S) 774 Labonte (S) 304
Giannelli (MB) 33 Marshall (RS) 23	ACES	Carballo (MB) 26 Mata (MB) 22
Giannelli (MB) 59 Grossi (MB) 56	BLOCKS	Mata (MB) 60 Cordova (MB) 50
Margutti (L) 96 Noble (S) 74	DIGS	Christiansen (L) 87 Berger (RS) 68
Giardino (OH) 2.27 Margutti (L) 2.25	PASSER RTG	Christiansen (L) 2.43 Frank (OH) 2.24

#		TOP LIBEROS	Rtg
15.		Chris Christiansen Junior A- 2.43 Passer Rating 1.58 Digs Per Set	6.53

#	TOP SETTERS	Rtg
3.	Darrell Noble Soph. B+ 12.80 Assists Per Set 1.90 Service Pts Per Set	8.32
6.	Lucas Rezende Senior B+ 12.29 Assists Per Set 1.90 Service Pts Per Set	7.98

#	TOP RIGHT SIDES	Rtg
7.	Swen Berger Junior A- 3.59 Kills Per Set 0.61 Blocks Per Set	7.60
9.	Brendan Marshall Junior A- 3.92 Kills Per Set 0.69 Blocks Per Set	7.48

#		TOP MIDDLE BLOCKERS	Rtg
7.		Lorenzo Giannelli Senior A 0.97 Blocks Per Set 2.95 Kills Per Set	7.73

Head to head results

S	M	DATE			HOME	1	2	3	4	5	COMPETITION		-
5	2	Apr 09, 2022	3	-	0	25-21	26-21	25-14			Big 8	0	-	1
5	11	Apr 30, 2022	0	-	3	23-25	8-25	23-25			Big 8	0	-	2
6	2	Jul 31, 2022	0	-	3	13-25	9-25	15-25			Big 8	0	-	3
6	11	Aug 20, 2022	3	-	0	25-12	25-18	25-16			Big 8	0	-	4
7	2	Nov 12, 2022	0	-	3	20-25	21-25	17-25			Big 8	0	-	5
7	11	Dec 10, 2022	3	-	1	23-25	25-17	25-23	25-21		Big 8	0	-	6
8	14	Mar 19, 2023	3	-	0	25-13	25-23	25-13			Big 8	0	-	7
8	44	May 05, 2023	2	-	3	25-27	25-23	25-23	23-25	9-15	Big 8	0	-	8
9	1	May 29, 2023	0	-	3	18-25	20-25	12-25			Big 8	1	-	8
9	10	Jun 18, 2023	0	-	3	21-25	19-25	10-25			Big 8	1	-	9
10	8	Sep 24, 2023	1	-	3	21-25	21-25	25-23	23-25		Big 8	1	-	10
10	34	Nov 12, 2023	3	-	2	25-15	23-25	19-25	26-24	15-13	Big 8	1	-	11
11	5	Dec 24, 2023	2	-	3	25-18	25-15	20-25	20-25	11-15	Big 8	2	-	11
11	27	Feb 05, 2024	0	-	3	21-25	19-25	20-25			Big 8 Tournament11-27CHAMPIONSHIP BIG 8 TOURNAMENT	3	-	11
11	39	Feb 25, 2024	0	-	3	17-25	20-25	23-25			Big 8	3	-	12
11	42	Feb 25, 2024	1	- (n)	3	20-25	27-29	25-22	21-25		National Championship11-42SEMIFINALS National Championship	4	-	12
12	8	May 12, 2024	3	-	0	25-22	27-25	25-22			Big 8	4	-	13
12	34	Jun 30, 2024	3	-	0	25-17	25-18	25-23			Big 8	5	-	13
13	4	Sep 22, 2024	3	-	0	25-18	25-20	27-25			Big 8	5	-	14
13	13	Oct 13, 2024	0	-	3	15-25	16-25	9-25			Big 8	5	-	15
14	8	Dec 29, 2024	0	-	3	10-25	13-25	15-25			Big 8	5	-	16
14	19	Jan 21, 2025	0	-	3	12-25	16-25	12-25			Big 8 Tournament14-19Quarterfinals Big 8 Tournament	5	-	17
14	34	Feb 23, 2025	3	-	0	25-18	25-15	25-17			Big 8	5	-	18
15	8	Jun 22, 2025	1	-	3	25-23	14-25	19-25	17-25		Big 8	6	-	18
15	19	Jul 13, 2025	1	-	3	25-21	23-25	17-25	23-25		Big 8 Tournament15-19Quarterfinals Big 8 Tournament	7	-	18
15	34	Aug 10, 2025	3	-	0	25-20	25-22	25-19			Big 8	8	-	18
15	45	Aug 24, 2025	2	- (n)	3	23-25	24-26	25-15	25-19	11-15	TMVL Cup	8	-	19
16	14	Oct 12, 2025	0	-	3	25-27	27-29	23-25			Big 8	9	-	19
16	27	Nov 02, 2025	1	-	3	25-22	23-25	23-25	17-25		Big 8 Tournament16-27CHAMPIONSHIP BIG 8 TOURNAMENT	9	-	20
16	44	Nov 30, 2025	2	-	3	22-25	20-25	25-23	25-22	11-15	Big 8	9	-	21
17	2	Feb 08, 2026	3	-	2	18-25	25-18	23-25	25-16	18-16	Big 8	10	-	21
17	11	Mar 01, 2026	0	-	3	19-25	21-25	18-25			Big 8	11	-	21

Notes
This shows a preview based on your Top 7 players. Your top 7 players (and your opponents) may not be playing. The effective overall and effective grades INCLUDE BOTH FIT and HOME COURT additions.

This is a basic prediction and does not mean you will win if you get the prediction checkmark. In fact, you will likely lose. This is a simple totaling of the checkmarks where we double the count for OH and MB since you have two of those on the floor versus the other positions.

We are interested in adding to this concept though like using a Top-14 where we double the weight for the starter but add the numbers for the backups as they will play in a session too. Thoughts or ideas?

ELO
For ELO, 145 Rating points are added to the home team's ELO rating to determine the chance of winning.