Match Report

TEAM MATCHUP

Conference League Round 9

Why Do I Care?

Carlsbad Chameleons

Phil McIntosh

(H)
at Mat-Su

Mat-Su Moose

Bryce Kalmbach

Mat-Su leads series 17-16

Match Comments

Match Preview

Matchup and Prediction

Carlsbad			Mat-Su
T7-Ovr	T7-Gr	Position		T7-Gr	T7-Ovr
57.25	D	Libero		A	90.25
86.63	A-	Middle Blockers		A	91.00
93.38	A	Outside Hitters		A-	86.25
69.50	C	Right Side		A	91.25
84.75	B+	Setter		A+	95.75
		Skills Prediction

	33 MATCHES
16	WINS	17
13	HOME	13
2	AWAY	3
1	NEUTRAL	1

Carlsbad		Mat-Su
#21	ELO Rank	#20

1,453.02	ELO Rating	1,457.85 (+145)

27.6%	ELO Winning Chance	72.4%
	ELO Prediction

	TEAM STATS
.295 26th	ATTACK PCT	.319 22nd
11.79 28th	KILLS PER SET	12.35 21st
.854 22nd	SERVE PCT	.851 24th
1.52 17th	ACES PER SET	1.34 28th
.509 25th	ASSIST PCT	.528 19th
11.48 27th	ASSISTS PER SET	12.06 18th
3.47 30th	BLOCKS PER SET	3.68 25th
6.64 15th	DIGS PER SET	6.78 11th
.911 28th	RECEIVE PCT	.916 15th
2.137 23rd	PASSER RATING	2.183 7th

	TOP TWO
Riggs (OH) 209 Barnes (OH) 188	KILLS	Brewer (RS) 204 Noble (OH) 143
Gogolak (MB) .582 Barnes (OH) .516	ATTACK PCT	Brewer (RS) .519 Noble (OH) .514
Bormann (S) 530 Polanco (S) 320	ASSISTS	Brandenburg (S) 607 Neale (S) 223
Barnes (OH) 26 Gogolak (MB) 18	ACES	Noble (OH) 15 Brandenburg (S) 15
Nishida (MB) 41 Gogolak (MB) 38	BLOCKS	Townsend (MB) 48 Bartoli (MB) 41
Barnes (OH) 75 Riggs (OH) 61	DIGS	Lokensgard (L) 123 Brewer (RS) 60
Barnes (OH) 2.32 Quinn (OH) 2.21	PASSER RTG	Noble (OH) 2.41 Wilkins (OH) 2.34

#		TOP LIBEROS	Rtg
6.		Dylan Lokensgard Junior B+ 2.26 Passer Rating 2.56 Digs Per Set	7.25

#		TOP RIGHT SIDES	Rtg
4.		Dave Brewer Junior B 4.25 Kills Per Set 0.71 Blocks Per Set	8.09

Head to head results

S	M	DATE			HOME	1	2	3	4	5	COMPETITION		-
5	14	May 07, 2022	0	-	3	17-25	9-25	21-25			Pac 8	0	-	1
5	44	Jun 25, 2022	2	-	3	25-17	18-25	25-22	22-25	11-15	Pac 8	1	-	1
6	7	Aug 13, 2022	0	-	3	13-25	20-25	20-25			Pac 8	2	-	1
6	23	Sep 10, 2022	1	-	3	26-28	18-25	25-20	18-25		Pac 8 Tournament6-23Semifinals Pac 8 Tournament	3	-	1
6	29	Sep 24, 2022	0	-	3	16-25	12-25	28-30			Pac 8	3	-	2
7	7	Dec 03, 2022	2	-	3	23-25	25-23	21-25	25-14	11-15	Pac 8	3	-	3
7	23	Dec 31, 2022	0	-	3	25-27	17-25	19-25			Pac 8 Tournament7-23Semifinals Pac 8 Tournament	3	-	4
7	29	Jan 14, 2023	1	-	3	21-25	28-26	25-27	19-25		Pac 8	4	-	4
8	8	Mar 05, 2023	0	-	3	16-25	20-25	18-25			Pac 8	5	-	4
8	34	Apr 23, 2023	2	-	3	25-22	25-19	21-25	24-26	14-16	Pac 8	5	-	5
9	4	Jun 04, 2023	0	-	3	23-25	24-26	18-25			Pac 8	5	-	6
9	13	Jun 25, 2023	0	-	3	11-25	15-25	17-25			Pac 8	6	-	6
9	23	Jul 09, 2023	1	-	3	25-20	21-25	16-25	23-25		Pac 8 Tournament9-23Semifinals Pac 8 Tournament	6	-	7
10	4	Sep 17, 2023	0	-	3	9-25	18-25	19-25			Pac 8	6	-	8
10	13	Oct 08, 2023	3	-	2	22-25	22-25	25-15	25-12	15-6	Pac 8	6	-	9
10	46	Nov 26, 2023	3	- (n)	1	19-25	25-16	25-21	25-23		TMVL Shield	7	-	9
11	7	Dec 31, 2023	0	-	3	9-25	11-25	13-25			Pac 8	7	-	10
11	29	Feb 11, 2024	3	-	0	25-22	25-19	25-16			Pac 8	7	-	11
12	2	Apr 28, 2024	0	-	3	14-25	18-25	21-25			Pac 8	8	-	11
12	11	May 20, 2024	0	-	3	15-25	18-25	12-25			Pac 8	8	-	12
13	14	Oct 13, 2024	0	-	3	22-25	19-25	23-25			Pac 8	8	-	13
13	19	Oct 20, 2024	0	-	3	22-25	26-28	22-25			Pac 8 Tournament13-19Quarterfinals Pac 8 Tournament	8	-	14
13	44	Dec 01, 2024	0	-	3	21-25	15-25	20-25			Pac 8	9	-	14
14	1	Dec 15, 2024	3	-	0	25-23	25-21	25-18			Pac 8	10	-	14
14	10	Jan 05, 2025	0	-	3	15-25	13-25	16-25			Pac 8	11	-	14
14	27	Feb 02, 2025	0	-	3	12-25	21-25	26-28			Pac 8 Tournament14-27CHAMPIONSHIP PAC 8 TOURNAMENT	12	-	14
15	7	Jun 22, 2025	2	-	3	23-25	23-25	25-23	25-23	10-15	Pac 8	13	-	14
15	23	Jul 20, 2025	3	-	0	25-22	29-27	25-21			Pac 8 Tournament15-23Semifinals Pac 8 Tournament	13	-	15
15	29	Aug 03, 2025	3	-	0	25-18	25-20	25-11			Pac 8	14	-	15
16	7	Sep 28, 2025	1	-	3	20-25	25-21	21-25	22-25		Pac 8	14	-	16
16	29	Nov 09, 2025	0	-	3	15-25	21-25	23-25			Pac 8	15	-	16
16	36	Nov 16, 2025	0	- (n)	3	15-25	17-25	21-25			TMVL Shield	15	-	17
17	4	Feb 15, 2026	0	-	3	17-25	15-25	9-25			Pac 8	16	-	17
17	13	Mar 08, 2026	1	-	3	15-25	25-18	22-25	20-25		Pac 8	16	-	18

Notes
This shows a preview based on your Top 7 players. Your top 7 players (and your opponents) may not be playing. The effective overall and effective grades INCLUDE BOTH FIT and HOME COURT additions.

This is a basic prediction and does not mean you will win if you get the prediction checkmark. In fact, you will likely lose. This is a simple totaling of the checkmarks where we double the count for OH and MB since you have two of those on the floor versus the other positions.

We are interested in adding to this concept though like using a Top-14 where we double the weight for the starter but add the numbers for the backups as they will play in a session too. Thoughts or ideas?

ELO
For ELO, 145 Rating points are added to the home team's ELO rating to determine the chance of winning.