Match Report

TEAM MATCHUP

Conference League Round 8

Why Do I Care?

Denali Angry Wolves

Andy Shaw

(H)
at Tucson

Tucson Spikin Saguaros

Amy Sellers

Denali leads series 23-13

Match Comments

This could be the worst home match of the season.

Amy (Tucson) Aug 16

Denali is always tough!

Amy (Tucson) Aug 16

Decisions to make, what lineup to play. You may get your revenge here Amy.

Andy (Denali) Aug 17

Match Preview

Matchup and Prediction

Denali			Tucson
T7-Ovr	T7-Gr	Position		T7-Gr	T7-Ovr
83.0	B+	Libero		A-	89.0
86.0	A-	Middle Blockers		B+	83.0
85.0	B+	Outside Hitters		A-	87.0
92.0	A	Right Side		B-	74.0
87.0	A-	Setter		A	90.0
86.3 A-		Skills Prediction		84.7 B+

	36 MATCHES
23	WINS	13
14	HOME	11
7	AWAY	2
2	NEUTRAL	0

Denali		Tucson
#1	ELO Rank	#28
1,649.78	ELO Rating	1,444.29 (+145)
47.3%	ELO Winning Chance	52.7%
	ELO Prediction

	TEAM STATS
.382 7th	ATTACK PCT	.317 21st
13.29 3rd	KILLS PER SET	11.86 25th
.872 3rd	SERVE PCT	.848 27th
1.8 7th	ACES PER SET	1.03 31st
.57 4th	ASSIST PCT	.508 22nd
12.93 2nd	ASSISTS PER SET	11.39 28th
4.41 11th	BLOCKS PER SET	4.28 14th
7.8 3rd	DIGS PER SET	6.54 27th
.923 11th	RECEIVE PCT	.918 18th
2.178 10th	PASSER RATING	2.158 19th

	TOP TWO
England (RS) 121 McFarland (OH) 119	KILLS	Jordan (OH) 168 Cocoamobile (OH) 147
McFarland (OH) .573 Dunne (MB) .561	ATTACK PCT	Jordan (OH) .508 Farrell (MB) .500
van den Bergh (S) 521 Barton (S) 221	ASSISTS	Conganugget (S) 472 Arroyo (S) 167
McFarland (OH) 26 van den Bergh (S) 18	ACES	Farrell (MB) 11 Cocoamobile (OH) 10
Mesquita (MB) 40 Taggert (MB) 37	BLOCKS	Farrell (MB) 58 MacKay (RS) 47
Matthews (L) 63 McFarland (OH) 55	DIGS	Vega (L) 116 MacKay (RS) 65
Matthews (L) 2.37 Biggs (OH) 2.36	PASSER RTG	Vega (L) 2.38 Jordan (OH) 2.27

#		TOP LIBEROS	Rtg
7.		Alfonso Vega Soph. B 2.38 Passer Rating 2.47 Digs Per Set	7.33

#		TOP OUTSIDE HITTERS	Rtg
2.		Derrick Jordan Senior B+ 4.80 Kills Per Set 2.27 Passer Rating	8.08

Head to head results

S	M	DATE			HOME	1	2	3	4	5	COMPETITION		-
5	5	Apr 16, 2022	0	-	3	11-25	22-25	22-25			Pac 8	1	-	0
5	12	Apr 30, 2022	3	-	0	25-20	25-19	25-22			William G. Morgan Cup5-12Round of 32 William G. Morgan Cup	2	-	0
5	39	Jun 18, 2022	0	-	3	21-25	18-25	21-25			Pac 8	2	-	1
6	4	Aug 06, 2022	0	-	3	13-25	21-25	20-25			Pac 8	2	-	2
6	13	Aug 27, 2022	1	-	3	15-25	25-22	18-25	14-25		Pac 8	3	-	2
7	5	Nov 19, 2022	1	-	3	21-25	25-22	20-25	25-27		Pac 8	4	-	2
7	39	Jan 28, 2023	0	-	3	23-25	27-29	21-25			Pac 8	4	-	3
8	2	Feb 19, 2023	1	-	3	21-25	25-18	15-25	19-25		Pac 8	4	-	4
8	11	Mar 12, 2023	1	-	3	24-26	18-25	25-19	18-25		Pac 8	5	-	4
8	27	Apr 09, 2023	1	-	3	20-25	15-25	25-22	22-25		Pac 8 Tournament8-27CHAMPIONSHIP PAC 8 TOURNAMENT	6	-	4
9	4	Jun 04, 2023	0	-	3	16-25	13-25	20-25			Pac 8	6	-	5
9	13	Jun 25, 2023	0	-	3	18-25	22-25	19-25			Pac 8	7	-	5
9	31	Jul 23, 2023	0	- (n)	3	23-25	21-25	20-25			TMVL Shield9-31Sweet 16 TMVL Shield	8	-	5
10	2	Sep 10, 2023	0	-	3	11-25	15-25	17-25			Pac 8	9	-	5
10	11	Oct 01, 2023	0	-	3	18-25	19-25	15-25			Pac 8	9	-	6
10	27	Oct 29, 2023	0	-	3	21-25	24-26	18-25			Pac 8 Tournament10-27CHAMPIONSHIP PAC 8 TOURNAMENT	9	-	7
11	8	Dec 31, 2023	0	-	3	15-25	23-25	16-25			Pac 8	10	-	7
11	34	Feb 18, 2024	3	-	2	18-25	34-32	25-23	23-25	15-10	Pac 8	11	-	7
12	14	May 27, 2024	3	-	1	25-21	18-25	25-23	25-16		Pac 8	11	-	8
12	23	Jun 09, 2024	3	-	2	25-21	23-25	25-27	25-15	15-13	Pac 8 Tournament12-23Semifinals Pac 8 Tournament	12	-	8
12	44	Jul 14, 2024	3	-	1	22-25	25-20	29-27	25-17		Pac 8	13	-	8
13	7	Sep 29, 2024	0	-	3	20-25	18-25	19-25			Pac 8	14	-	8
13	12	Oct 06, 2024	3	-	1	25-16	25-21	27-29	25-19		William G. Morgan Cup13-12Round of 32 William G. Morgan Cup	15	-	8
13	27	Nov 03, 2024	1	-	3	24-26	25-18	20-25	22-25		Pac 8 Tournament13-27CHAMPIONSHIP PAC 8 TOURNAMENT	16	-	8
13	29	Nov 10, 2024	0	-	3	16-25	14-25	18-25			Pac 8	16	-	9
14	1	Dec 15, 2024	3	-	2	25-21	21-25	25-20	18-25	15-5	Pac 8	16	-	10
14	10	Jan 05, 2025	2	-	3	25-19	22-25	23-25	25-23	9-15	Pac 8	16	-	11
14	35	Feb 23, 2025	1	- (n)	3	23-25	25-19	18-25	17-25		TMVL Cup	17	-	11
15	2	Jun 08, 2025	0	-	3	17-25	20-25	16-25			Pac 8	18	-	11
15	11	Jun 29, 2025	1	-	3	31-29	23-25	15-25	20-25		Pac 8	18	-	12
15	24	Jul 20, 2025	1	-	3	33-35	25-20	33-35	17-25		William G. Morgan Cup15-24SEMIFINALS William G. Morgan Cup	18	-	13
16	5	Sep 21, 2025	0	-	3	34-36	13-25	25-27			Pac 8	19	-	13
16	39	Nov 23, 2025	3	-	2	13-25	20-25	25-23	31-29	20-18	Pac 8	20	-	13
17	8	Feb 22, 2026	0	-	3	11-25	14-25	15-25			Pac 8	21	-	13
17	34	Apr 12, 2026	3	-	1	25-22	25-18	24-26	25-23		Pac 8	22	-	13
18	2	Aug 02, 2026	0	-	3	21-25	12-25	16-25			Pac 8	23	-	13
18	11	Aug 23, 2026	3	-	1	25-21	22-25	25-15	25-21		Pac 8	24	-	13
18	23	Sep 13, 2026	0	-	3	10-25	17-25	20-25			Pac 8 Tournament18-23Semifinals Pac 8 Tournament	25	-	13

Notes
This shows a preview based on your Top 7 players. Your top 7 players (and your opponents) may not be playing. The effective overall and effective grades INCLUDE BOTH FIT and HOME COURT additions.

This is a basic prediction and does not mean you will win if you get the prediction checkmark. In fact, you will likely lose. This is a simple totaling of the checkmarks where we double the count for OH and MB since you have two of those on the floor versus the other positions.

We are interested in adding to this concept though like using a Top-14 where we double the weight for the starter but add the numbers for the backups as they will play in a session too. Thoughts or ideas?

ELO
For ELO, 145 Rating points are added to the home team's ELO rating to determine the chance of winning.