Match Report

TEAM MATCHUP

Conference League Round 6

Why Do I Care?

Tucson Spikin Saguaros

Amy Sellers

(H)
at Carlsbad

Carlsbad Chameleons

Phil McIntosh

Tucson leads series 20-15

Match Comments

ugh! I'm playing Phil in an away game!

Amy (Tucson) Aug 9

Happy early Christmas or your birthday, whichever is sooner.

Amy (Tucson) Aug 9

Match Preview

Matchup and Prediction

Tucson			Carlsbad
T7-Ovr	T7-Gr	Position		T7-Gr	T7-Ovr
87.0	A-	Libero		D+	59.0
79.0	B	Middle Blockers		A	91.0
83.5	B+	Outside Hitters		A+	96.5
69.0	C	Right Side		A-	88.0
89.0	A-	Setter		B+	82.0
81.4 B		Skills Prediction		86.3 A-

	35 MATCHES
20	WINS	15
14	HOME	11
3	AWAY	3
3	NEUTRAL	1

Tucson		Carlsbad
#28	ELO Rank	#16
1,444.29	ELO Rating	1,488.41 (+145)
32.9%	ELO Winning Chance	67.1%
	ELO Prediction

	TEAM STATS
.317 21st	ATTACK PCT	.325 16th
11.86 25th	KILLS PER SET	11.84 27th
.848 27th	SERVE PCT	.863 12th
1.03 31st	ACES PER SET	1.53 17th
.508 22nd	ASSIST PCT	.521 16th
11.39 28th	ASSISTS PER SET	11.45 26th
4.28 14th	BLOCKS PER SET	3.81 27th
6.54 27th	DIGS PER SET	7.01 13th
.918 18th	RECEIVE PCT	.902 27th
2.158 19th	PASSER RATING	2.086 28th

	TOP TWO
Jordan (OH) 168 Cocoamobile (OH) 147	KILLS	Quinn (OH) 190 Riggs (OH) 181
Jordan (OH) .508 Farrell (MB) .500	ATTACK PCT	Gogolak (MB) .646 Riggs (OH) .525
Conganugget (S) 472 Arroyo (S) 167	ASSISTS	Bormann (S) 553 Polanco (S) 220
Farrell (MB) 11 Cocoamobile (OH) 10	ACES	Gogolak (MB) 21 Riggs (OH) 16
Farrell (MB) 58 MacKay (RS) 47	BLOCKS	Landauer (MB) 40 Gogolak (MB) 39
Vega (L) 116 MacKay (RS) 65	DIGS	Cortez (L) 78 Riggs (OH) 73
Vega (L) 2.38 Jordan (OH) 2.27	PASSER RTG	Riggs (OH) 2.44 May (L) 2.15

#		TOP LIBEROS	Rtg
7.		Alfonso Vega Soph. B 2.38 Passer Rating 2.47 Digs Per Set	7.33

#		TOP OUTSIDE HITTERS	Rtg
2.		Derrick Jordan Senior B+ 4.80 Kills Per Set 2.27 Passer Rating	8.08

Head to head results

S	M	DATE			HOME	1	2	3	4	5	COMPETITION		-
5	4	Apr 16, 2022	0	-	3	12-25	21-25	18-25			Pac 8	1	-	0
5	13	May 07, 2022	0	-	3	14-25	20-25	16-25			Pac 8	1	-	1
6	8	Aug 13, 2022	0	-	3	15-25	12-25	19-25			Pac 8	2	-	1
6	34	Oct 01, 2022	0	-	3	16-25	15-25	16-25			Pac 8	2	-	2
7	4	Nov 19, 2022	2	-	3	20-25	25-20	21-25	25-22	13-15	Pac 8	3	-	2
7	13	Dec 17, 2022	3	-	0	25-23	31-29	28-26			Pac 8	4	-	2
7	22	Dec 31, 2022	1	- (n)	3	20-25	22-25	31-29	21-25		TMVL Cup7-22Round of 32 TMVL Cup	5	-	2
8	1	Feb 19, 2023	1	-	3	11-25	13-25	25-18	15-25		Pac 8	5	-	3
8	10	Mar 12, 2023	0	-	3	18-25	17-25	18-25			Pac 8	6	-	3
8	23	Apr 02, 2023	0	-	3	20-25	21-25	22-25			Pac 8 Tournament8-23Semifinals Pac 8 Tournament	7	-	3
9	2	May 29, 2023	0	-	3	14-25	14-25	16-25			Pac 8	8	-	3
9	11	Jun 18, 2023	1	-	3	25-21	15-25	14-25	16-25		Pac 8	8	-	4
10	14	Oct 08, 2023	0	-	3	19-25	16-25	9-25			Pac 8	9	-	4
10	44	Nov 26, 2023	0	-	3	22-25	26-28	22-25			Pac 8	9	-	5
11	4	Dec 24, 2023	0	-	3	14-25	23-25	26-28			Pac 8	9	-	6
11	13	Jan 14, 2024	1	-	3	16-25	22-25	30-28	22-25		Pac 8	10	-	6
11	19	Jan 22, 2024	1	-	3	12-25	22-25	25-23	25-27		Pac 8 Tournament11-19Quarterfinals Pac 8 Tournament	11	-	6
12	5	May 06, 2024	0	-	3	10-25	21-25	11-25			Pac 8	12	-	6
12	19	Jun 03, 2024	1	-	3	11-25	22-25	25-23	21-25		Pac 8 Tournament12-19Quarterfinals Pac 8 Tournament	13	-	6
12	39	Jul 07, 2024	1	-	3	25-21	23-25	20-25	21-25		Pac 8	13	-	7
13	4	Sep 22, 2024	0	-	3	25-27	20-25	20-25			Pac 8	14	-	7
13	13	Oct 13, 2024	3	-	2	21-25	17-25	25-16	25-19	15-12	Pac 8	15	-	7
13	46	Dec 01, 2024	3	- (n)	0	25-22	25-20	25-15			TMVL Shield	16	-	7
14	14	Jan 12, 2025	1	-	3	23-25	18-25	25-22	21-25		Pac 8	16	-	8
14	44	Mar 09, 2025	3	-	2	25-22	24-26	26-28	25-21	15-10	Pac 8	16	-	9
15	4	Jun 15, 2025	0	-	3	17-25	23-25	16-25			Pac 8	17	-	9
15	13	Jul 06, 2025	0	-	3	24-26	11-25	19-25			Pac 8	17	-	10
15	32	Aug 03, 2025	3	- (n)	0	25-22	25-17	25-15			National Championship15-32Sweet 16 National Championship	17	-	11
15	35	Aug 10, 2025	0	- (n)	3	19-25	9-25	19-25			TMVL Cup	18	-	11
16	1	Sep 14, 2025	0	-	3	15-25	23-25	11-25			Pac 8	18	-	12
16	10	Oct 05, 2025	2	-	3	25-20	21-25	25-23	22-25	13-15	Pac 8	19	-	12
16	23	Oct 26, 2025	3	-	1	25-23	20-25	35-33	25-19		Pac 8 Tournament16-23Semifinals Pac 8 Tournament	20	-	12
17	14	Mar 08, 2026	2	-	3	25-20	25-16	23-25	21-25	7-15	Pac 8	20	-	13
17	19	Mar 15, 2026	3	-	2	25-16	25-21	18-25	20-25	15-11	Pac 8 Tournament17-19Quarterfinals Pac 8 Tournament	20	-	14
17	44	Apr 26, 2026	3	-	0	25-13	25-21	25-20			Pac 8	20	-	15
18	8	Aug 16, 2026	0	-	3	11-25	13-25	11-25			Pac 8	20	-	16
18	34	Oct 04, 2026									Pac 8

Notes
This shows a preview based on your Top 7 players. Your top 7 players (and your opponents) may not be playing. The effective overall and effective grades INCLUDE BOTH FIT and HOME COURT additions.

This is a basic prediction and does not mean you will win if you get the prediction checkmark. In fact, you will likely lose. This is a simple totaling of the checkmarks where we double the count for OH and MB since you have two of those on the floor versus the other positions.

We are interested in adding to this concept though like using a Top-14 where we double the weight for the starter but add the numbers for the backups as they will play in a session too. Thoughts or ideas?

ELO
For ELO, 145 Rating points are added to the home team's ELO rating to determine the chance of winning.