Match Report

TEAM MATCHUP

Conference League Round 5

Why Do I Care?

Portland Lumberjacks

Antoine Thevenon

(H)
at St. Charles

St. Charles Scarecrows

Max Sellers

St. Charles leads series 19-13

Match Comments

We’ve won our last five matches, but this one could be a very different story.

Antoine (Portland) Feb 22 - 10:32 AM

Match Preview

Matchup and Prediction

Portland			St. Charles
T7-Ovr	T7-Gr	Position		T7-Gr	T7-Ovr
83.50	B+	Libero		A	90.75
95.63	A+	Middle Blockers		A-	86.13
81.50	B	Outside Hitters		A	91.50
93.25	A	Right Side		A+	98.75
90.00	A	Setter		B+	85.00
		Skills Prediction

	32 MATCHES
13	WINS	19
8	HOME	10
4	AWAY	4
1	NEUTRAL	5

Portland		St. Charles
#10	ELO Rank	#23

1,552.59	ELO Rating	1,442.78 (+145)

46.9%	ELO Winning Chance	53.1%
	ELO Prediction

	TEAM STATS
.409 6th	ATTACK PCT	.372 13th
13.46 5th	KILLS PER SET	13.32 8th
.859 16th	SERVE PCT	.862 15th
1.8 6th	ACES PER SET	1.56 15th
.597 4th	ASSIST PCT	.55 14th
13.16 4th	ASSISTS PER SET	12.87 8th
4.54 7th	BLOCKS PER SET	4.6 5th
6.22 31st	DIGS PER SET	6.24 30th
.915 20th	RECEIVE PCT	.920 10th
2.153 19th	PASSER RATING	2.170 11th

	TOP TWO
Marshall (RS) 239 Giannelli (MB) 180	KILLS	Pearce (OH) 208 Rowan (RS) 196
Giannelli (MB) .657 Marshall (RS) .537	ATTACK PCT	Pearce (OH) .508 Allen (OH) .476
Noble (S) 781 Harvey (S) 256	ASSISTS	Law (S) 491 Santos (S) 441
Giannelli (MB) 33 Marshall (RS) 23	ACES	Pearce (OH) 22 Rowan (RS) 20
Giannelli (MB) 59 Grossi (MB) 56	BLOCKS	Takada (MB) 66 Rowan (RS) 50
Margutti (L) 96 Noble (S) 74	DIGS	Owens (L) 108 Rowan (RS) 64
Giardino (OH) 2.27 Margutti (L) 2.25	PASSER RTG	Dorian (OH) 2.40 Allen (OH) 2.29

#		TOP SETTERS	Rtg
3.		Darrell Noble Soph. B+ 12.80 Assists Per Set 1.90 Service Pts Per Set	8.32

#	TOP RIGHT SIDES	Rtg
8.	Kyle Rowan Senior A- 3.38 Kills Per Set 0.86 Blocks Per Set	7.50
9.	Brendan Marshall Junior A- 3.92 Kills Per Set 0.69 Blocks Per Set	7.48

#	TOP MIDDLE BLOCKERS	Rtg
7.	Lorenzo Giannelli Senior A 0.97 Blocks Per Set 2.95 Kills Per Set	7.73
11.	Toshimi Takada Senior B 1.25 Blocks Per Set 2.43 Kills Per Set	7.48

Head to head results

S	M	DATE			HOME	1	2	3	4	5	COMPETITION		-
5	5	Apr 16, 2022	0	-	3	11-25	22-25	18-25			Big 8	0	-	1
5	39	Jun 18, 2022	3	-	2	23-25	26-24	23-25	25-20	15-10	Big 8	0	-	2
5	41	Jun 18, 2022	0	- (n)	3	16-25	18-25	23-25			TMVL Shield	0	-	3
6	12	Aug 20, 2022	1	-	3	25-13	19-25	19-25	21-25		William G. Morgan Cup6-12Round of 32 William G. Morgan Cup	0	-	4
6	14	Aug 27, 2022	1	-	3	21-25	20-25	25-20	23-25		Big 8	1	-	4
6	31	Sep 24, 2022	3	- (n)	2	25-22	18-25	19-25	25-21	15-10	TMVL Shield6-31Sweet 16 TMVL Shield	1	-	5
6	44	Oct 15, 2022	0	-	3	18-25	22-25	18-25			Big 8	1	-	6
7	5	Nov 19, 2022	2	-	3	25-22	20-25	16-25	25-23	11-15	Big 8	1	-	7
7	19	Dec 24, 2022	0	-	3	12-25	11-25	18-25			Big 8 Tournament7-19Quarterfinals Big 8 Tournament	1	-	8
7	39	Jan 28, 2023	3	-	0	25-23	25-20	25-16			Big 8	1	-	9
8	1	Feb 19, 2023	3	-	0	25-22	25-23	25-22			Big 8	1	-	10
8	10	Mar 12, 2023	0	-	3	15-25	11-25	19-25			Big 8	1	-	11
9	8	Jun 11, 2023	1	-	3	17-25	15-25	25-23	16-25		Big 8	1	-	12
9	32	Jul 23, 2023	3	- (n)	0	25-17	25-20	25-15			National Championship9-32Sweet 16 National Championship	1	-	13
9	34	Jul 30, 2023	3	-	0	25-20	31-29	25-18			Big 8	1	-	14
10	2	Sep 10, 2023	3	-	0	25-15	25-20	25-19			Big 8	2	-	14
10	11	Oct 01, 2023	0	-	3	21-25	25-27	22-25			Big 8	3	-	14
10	33	Nov 05, 2023	3	- (n)	2	28-26	21-25	20-25	25-18	16-14	Holyoke Invitational10-33Sweet 16 Holyoke Invitational	3	-	15
10	45	Nov 26, 2023	3	- (n)	2	25-20	16-25	25-16	23-25	15-8	TMVL Cup	3	-	16
11	14	Jan 14, 2024	3	-	2	25-22	20-25	25-17	18-25	15-9	Big 8	4	-	16
11	44	Mar 03, 2024	2	-	3	25-21	25-14	16-25	23-25	13-15	Big 8	5	-	16
12	1	Apr 28, 2024	1	-	3	19-25	25-22	16-25	12-25		Big 8	6	-	16
12	10	May 20, 2024	0	-	3	11-25	15-25	20-25			Big 8	6	-	17
13	1	Sep 15, 2024	1	-	3	18-25	25-27	25-20	22-25		Big 8	7	-	17
13	10	Oct 06, 2024	1	-	3	27-25	16-25	15-25	18-25		Big 8	7	-	18
14	2	Dec 15, 2024	1	-	3	25-23	20-25	8-25	14-25		Big 8	8	-	18
14	11	Jan 05, 2025	0	-	3	24-26	19-25	23-25			Big 8	8	-	19
15	2	Jun 08, 2025	3	-	0	25-16	29-27	25-19			Big 8	9	-	19
15	11	Jun 29, 2025	0	-	3	25-27	13-25	25-27			Big 8	10	-	19
16	8	Sep 28, 2025	0	-	3	14-25	16-25	16-25			Big 8	11	-	19
16	34	Nov 16, 2025	3	-	1	25-20	19-25	25-21	25-22		Big 8	12	-	19
16	42	Nov 23, 2025	1	- (n)	3	22-25	20-25	28-26	21-25		National Championship16-42SEMIFINALS National Championship	13	-	19
17	7	Feb 22, 2026	2	-	3	18-25	20-25	25-23	25-19	16-18	Big 8	13	-	20
17	19	Mar 15, 2026	0	-	3	24-26	18-25	23-25			Big 8 Tournament17-19Quarterfinals Big 8 Tournament	14	-	20
17	29	Apr 05, 2026									Big 8

Notes
This shows a preview based on your Top 7 players. Your top 7 players (and your opponents) may not be playing. The effective overall and effective grades INCLUDE BOTH FIT and HOME COURT additions.

This is a basic prediction and does not mean you will win if you get the prediction checkmark. In fact, you will likely lose. This is a simple totaling of the checkmarks where we double the count for OH and MB since you have two of those on the floor versus the other positions.

We are interested in adding to this concept though like using a Top-14 where we double the weight for the starter but add the numbers for the backups as they will play in a session too. Thoughts or ideas?

ELO
For ELO, 145 Rating points are added to the home team's ELO rating to determine the chance of winning.