(H)
Forest Green Rovers FC
Mark Creasey
FC United of Manchester
Kevin Martin
League Round 5
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Maximilian Isaksson 8 2 10 Gk Denis Martin 16 2 18
Df Ruud Voorhees 9 0 9 Sw Keith Davis 11 2 13
Df Mathias Garreau 9 0 9 Df Diego Acosta 10 2 12
Df Felipe Cardoso 8 0 8 Df Bailey Dowson 5 2 7
Df Delling Andersen 7 0 7 Df Steven Williams 3 2 5
Mf William Pedersen 13 0 13 Mf Cristobal Benitez 13 0 13
Mf Martin Kristensen 8 0 8 Mf Kian Sansom 7 2 9
Mf Conor Farrell 8 -1 7 Mf Haakon Ødegård 3 2 5
Fw Peter East 16 2 18 Fw Noah Schäfer 10 1 11
Fw Tom Stevenson 13 0 13 Fw Lawrence Clark 10 0 10
Fw Andrew Williamson 10 0 10 Fw Harley Dowson 7 2 9
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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10 0 33 28 41 ROSTER TOTALS 18 13 24 27 30
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 7 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 7 0 0
=======================================================================
10 0 33 28 48 T O T A L S 18 13 31 27 30
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Maximilian Isaksson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.4 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 29.89 (no red card)
Df Ruud Voorhees: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.28 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.64 (no red card)
Df Mathias Garreau: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.69 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.89 (no second yellow)
Df Felipe Cardoso: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.49 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.86 (no red card)
Df Delling Andersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.86 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.75 (no red card)
Mf William Pedersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.74 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.9 (no red card)
Mf Martin Kristensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.56 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.07 (no second yellow)
Mf Conor Farrell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.63 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.35 (no red card)
Fw Peter East: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.43 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.68 (no red card)
Fw Tom Stevenson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.72 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.24 (no red card)
Fw Andrew Williamson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.13 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.89 (no red card)
******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Denis Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.85 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 28.5 (no red card)
Sw Keith Davis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.86 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.98 (no red card)
Df Diego Acosta: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.95 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.27 (no red card)
Df Bailey Dowson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.9 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.76 (no red card)
Df Steven Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.66 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.32 (no red card)
Mf Cristobal Benitez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.55 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.96 (no red card)
Mf Kian Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.86 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.58 (no red card)
Mf Haakon Ødegård: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.79 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.81 (no red card)
Fw Noah Schäfer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.02 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.75 (no red card)
Fw Lawrence Clark: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.98 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.17 (no red card)
Fw Harley Dowson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.26 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.37 (no red card)
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
- FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Maximilian Isaksson: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 13.03 (no injury)
Df Ruud Voorhees: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.8 (no injury)
Df Mathias Garreau: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.17 (no injury)
Df Felipe Cardoso: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.78 (no injury)
Df Delling Andersen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.46 (no injury)
Mf William Pedersen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.19 (no injury)
Mf Martin Kristensen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.94 (no injury)
Mf Conor Farrell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.62 (no injury)
Fw Peter East: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.15 (no injury)
Fw Tom Stevenson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.57 (no injury)
Fw Andrew Williamson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.9 (no injury)
******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
- Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Denis Martin: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 96.48 (no injury)
Sw Keith Davis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.77 (no injury)
Df Diego Acosta: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.34 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 3
Diego Acosta is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Diego Acosta new match skill level = 5
Diego Acosta new match total level = 7
Df Bailey Dowson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.85 (no injury)
Df Steven Williams: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.99 (no injury)
Mf Cristobal Benitez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.35 (no injury)
Mf Kian Sansom: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.76 (no injury)
Mf Haakon Ødegård: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.2 (no injury)
Fw Noah Schäfer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.96 (no injury)
Fw Lawrence Clark: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.42 (no injury)
Fw Harley Dowson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.95 (no injury)
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Peter East SL 16
- Defending Gk: Denis Martin SL 16
intRndPk = 91
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 91 (no penalty kick)
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Cristobal Benitez SL 13
- Defending Gk: Maximilian Isaksson SL 8
intRndPk = 92
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 92 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Forest Green Rovers FC 10 0 33 28 48
FC United of Manchester 18 13 26 27 30
Forest Green Rovers FC Fw Attacks = 22 (48 - 26); result rounded up
Forest Green Rovers FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((28 - 27) / 2) ; result rounded up
Forest Green Rovers FC Df Attacks = 1 ((33 - 30) / 5); result rounded up
Forest Green Rovers FC Total Attacks = 24
1: Attack for Df Ruud Voorhees
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Martin Kristensen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Tom Stevenson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Peter East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Tom Stevenson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Andrew Williamson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Tom Stevenson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Peter East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Tom Stevenson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 22.41 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Fw Andrew Williamson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Andrew Williamson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target)
12: Attack for Fw Tom Stevenson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target)
13: Attack for Fw Andrew Williamson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Tom Stevenson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Peter East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target)
16: Attack for Fw Peter East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target)
17: Attack for Fw Tom Stevenson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 52.37 (Shot Saved by Gk)
18: Attack for Fw Tom Stevenson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 13.87 (Shot Saved by Gk)
19: Attack for Fw Tom Stevenson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 57.58 (Shot Saved by Gk)
20: Attack for Fw Andrew Williamson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 63.18 (Shot Saved by Gk)
21: Attack for Fw Peter East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw Peter East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Tom Stevenson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 63.34 (Shot Saved by Gk)
24: Attack for Fw Andrew Williamson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack)
******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
FC United of Manchester 18 13 26 27 30
Forest Green Rovers FC 10 0 33 28 48
FC United of Manchester is Playing For A Draw!
FC United of Manchester Fw Attacks = 0 (30 - 33)
FC United of Manchester Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 28) / 2; rounded up)
FC United of Manchester Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 48) / 3; rounded up)
FC United of Manchester Total Attacks = 0
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC 0 - FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER 0
Match Notes
Mark lurking outside promotion on goal differential only. We’ll prepare for the onslaught of incoming shots as they make that up against an also-ran this season
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 06/09 - 4:23 PM
Set up as 4-3-3 so lets see what happens!!
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 06/12 - 10:19 PM
Weathered the onslaught of shots better than expected! An undeserved draw… and another injury
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 06/17 - 7:19 PM
Hard to accept one without also taking the random chance on the other!
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 06/17 - 7:20 PM
a draw
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 06/21 - 6:55 PM
a draw!!
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 06/21 - 6:55 PM
yes yes
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 06/21 - 6:55 PM