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AFC Wimbledon
Dave Dohm
 
Burton Albion FC
James White
 
 
League Round 5
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

AFC WIMBLEDON                              BURTON ALBION FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Matty Moore            17    2   19     Gk Ryan Walsh              7    2    9
Df Matthew Kaur            9    2   11     Df Shay  Carr             10    2   12
Df Ryan Barber             6    2    8     Df Valentin Peralta        6    2    8
Df Jed Dury                3    2    5     Df Liam Byrne              6    0    6
Mf Isao Mori              15    2   17     Df Adam Clarke             3    2    5
Mf Manuel Iglesias        11    1   12     Mf Sofiane Fernandez      10    2   12
Mf Baron Fisher            6    2    8     Mf Francis Brakspear       6    2    8
Mf Nigel Howells           6    2    8     Mf Hyun Ki  Son            6    2    8
Fw Marty Allen            13    2   15     Mf Robert O'Neal           3    2    5
Fw Harry Pastor           11    2   13     Fw Erik Nygård             7    2    9
Fw Ben Butcher             6    2    8     Fw Ian Lee                 3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      19  0 24 45 36        ROSTER TOTALS       9  0 31 33 14    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      20  0 24 45 45         T O T A L S        9  0 31 33 14    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Matty Moore: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 35.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 90.82 (no red card)

Df Matthew Kaur: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 55.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 19.71 (no red card)

Df Ryan Barber: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 85.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 82.67 (no red card)

Df Jed Dury: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 87.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 8.0 (no red card)

Mf Isao Mori: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 38.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 44.24 (no red card)

Mf Manuel Iglesias: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 69.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 44.73 (no red card)

Mf Baron Fisher: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 16.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 58.25 (no red card)

Mf Nigel Howells: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 92.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 40.54 (no red card)

Fw Marty Allen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 30.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 55.51 (no red card)

Fw Harry Pastor: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 66.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 69.9 (no red card)

Fw Ben Butcher: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 39.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 11.32 (no red card)

*******  BURTON ALBION FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ryan Walsh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 41.5 (no red card)

Df Shay  Carr: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.98 (no red card)

Df Valentin Peralta: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.72 (no red card)

Df Liam Byrne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.57 (no red card)

Df Adam Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.62 (no red card)

Mf Sofiane Fernandez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.4 (no red card)

Mf Francis Brakspear: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.15 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.88 (no second yellow)

Mf Hyun Ki  Son: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.32 (no red card)

Mf Robert O'Neal: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.11 (no red card)

Fw Erik Nygård: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.53 (no red card)

Fw Ian Lee: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.08 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
   - Burton Albion FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Matty Moore: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 28.66 (no injury) 
Df Matthew Kaur: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 92.01 (no injury) 
Df Ryan Barber: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 77.27 (no injury) 
Df Jed Dury: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 48.04 (no injury) 
Mf Isao Mori: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 19.06 (no injury) 
Mf Manuel Iglesias: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 84.04 (no injury) 
Mf Baron Fisher: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 7.85 (no injury) 
Mf Nigel Howells: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 52.56 (no injury) 
Fw Marty Allen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 26.79 (no injury) 
Fw Harry Pastor: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 44.95 (no injury) 
Fw Ben Butcher: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 92.24 (no injury) 

*******  BURTON ALBION FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Burton Albion FC Team Hardness = 0
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Ryan Walsh: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 24.26 (no injury) 
Df Shay  Carr: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 72.69 (no injury) 
Df Valentin Peralta: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 84.8 (no injury) 
Df Liam Byrne: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 54.38 (no injury) 
Df Adam Clarke: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 74.73 (no injury) 
Mf Sofiane Fernandez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 36.34 (no injury) 
Mf Francis Brakspear: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 81.01 (no injury) 
Mf Hyun Ki  Son: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 88.02 (no injury) 
Mf Robert O'Neal: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 34.91 (no injury) 
Fw Erik Nygård: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 72.2 (no injury) 
Fw Ian Lee: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 19.68 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BURTON ALBION FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Isao Mori SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Ryan Walsh SL 7

     intRndPk = 68
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 68 (no penalty kick)

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Shay  Carr SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Matty Moore SL 17

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 52 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Wimbledon            20   0  24  45  45
  Burton Albion FC         9   0  31  33  14

Burton Albion FC is using Offside Trap!
AFC Wimbledon Fw Attacks = 7 (45 - 31) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Mf Attacks = 12 ((45 - 33) / 2)  * 2.0 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Df Attacks = 2 ((24 - 14) / 5); result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Total Attacks = 21

1: Attack for Df Matthew Kaur
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Burton Albion FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 32.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Matthew Kaur
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Burton Albion FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 7.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Manuel Iglesias
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Burton Albion FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 3.15 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Isao Mori
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Burton Albion FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 9.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Isao Mori
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Burton Albion FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 1.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Nigel Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Burton Albion FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 99.42 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Mf Nigel Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Burton Albion FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 65.74 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Mf Nigel Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Burton Albion FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf Manuel Iglesias
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Burton Albion FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 4.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Mf Isao Mori
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Burton Albion FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 23.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Mf Isao Mori
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Burton Albion FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 48.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Mf Manuel Iglesias
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Burton Albion FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 40 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Mf Manuel Iglesias
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Burton Albion FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Mf Nigel Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Burton Albion FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Ben Butcher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Burton Albion FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Burton Albion FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 8.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Burton Albion FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 98.37 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
18: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Burton Albion FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 37.91 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Burton Albion FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 68.11 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
20: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Burton Albion FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 48 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Burton Albion FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  BURTON ALBION FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Burton Albion FC         9   0  31  33  14
  AFC Wimbledon            20   0  24  45  45

AFC Wimbledon is using Offside Trap!
Burton Albion FC Fw Attacks = 0 (14 - 24)
Burton Albion FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((33 - 45) / 2;  rounded up)
Burton Albion FC Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 45) / 5;  rounded up)
Burton Albion FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
AFC WIMBLEDON 4  -  BURTON ALBION FC 0
 
Match Notes
Burton has owned us of late….that needs to change
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 06/14 - 1:42 AM
 
 
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