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Kingstonian FC
Jason Halpin
 
Swindon Supermarine FC
John Blazel
 
 
League Round 5
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

KINGSTONIAN FC                             SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Archie Brakspear       14    1   15     Gk Jay Hussain             7    2    9
Sw Inge Møller            13    1   14     Df Cliff Trickelbank      11    2   13
Df Theo Hill              13    0   13     Df Evan Burke             11    2   13
Df Michio Mori            10   -1    9     Df Daniel Baldwin          7    2    9
Df Jack Brennan            6    2    8     Mf Lewis Coppell          13    0   13
Mf Ryan Welbeck           13    1   14     Mf Lucas Phillips          7   -2    5
Mf Arturo Molina          11    2   13     Fw Jermaine Bennett       13    1   14
Fw Mehdi Le gal           13    2   15     Fw Raphaël Soulie         11    1   12
Fw Gregg Carr             12    1   13     Fw Joe Baker               7    2    9
Fw Matthew Peverell       10    0   10     Fw Aidan Anderson          7    2    9
Fw Marcelo Villalba        6    1    7     Fw Tyler MacDonald         3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15 14 30 27 45        ROSTER TOTALS       9  0 35 18 49    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          2  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15 14 30 27 54         T O T A L S       11  0 42 18 49    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Archie Brakspear: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 84.17 (no red card)

Sw Inge Møller: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.31 (no red card)

Df Theo Hill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.3 (no red card)

Df Michio Mori: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.85 (no red card)

Df Jack Brennan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.69 (no red card)

Mf Ryan Welbeck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.88 (no red card)

Mf Arturo Molina: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.6 (no red card)

Fw Mehdi Le gal: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.52 (no red card)

Fw Gregg Carr: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.08 (no red card)

Fw Matthew Peverell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.71 (no red card)

Fw Marcelo Villalba: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.83 (no red card)

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Jay Hussain: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 77.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 14.61 (no red card)

Df Cliff Trickelbank: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 74.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 19.89 (no red card)

Df Evan Burke: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 33.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 95.87 (no red card)

Df Daniel Baldwin: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 97.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 78.95 (no red card)

Mf Lewis Coppell: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 61.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 95.14 (no red card)

Mf Lucas Phillips: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 13.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 31.72 (no red card)

Fw Jermaine Bennett: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 38.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 74.86 (no red card)

Fw Raphaël Soulie: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 73.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 92.27 (no red card)

Fw Joe Baker: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 71.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 62.67 (no red card)

Fw Aidan Anderson: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 57.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 12.51 (no red card)

Fw Tyler MacDonald: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 54.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 63.48 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  KINGSTONIAN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Kingstonian FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Archie Brakspear: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 89.54 (no injury) 
Sw Inge Møller: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 36.11 (no injury) 
Df Theo Hill: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 63.93 (no injury) 
Df Michio Mori: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 71.8 (no injury) 
Df Jack Brennan: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 35.34 (no injury) 
Mf Ryan Welbeck: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 24.84 (no injury) 
Mf Arturo Molina: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 5.36 (no injury) 
Fw Mehdi Le gal: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 97.29 (no injury) 
Fw Gregg Carr: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 53.12 (no injury) 
Fw Matthew Peverell: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 56.3 (no injury) 
Fw Marcelo Villalba: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 83.78 (no injury) 

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 2
   - Kingstonian FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Jay Hussain: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 17.99 (no injury) 
Df Cliff Trickelbank: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 68.35 (no injury) 
Df Evan Burke: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 9.25 (no injury) 
Df Daniel Baldwin: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 19.88 (no injury) 
Mf Lewis Coppell: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 92.51 (no injury) 
Mf Lucas Phillips: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 40.8 (no injury) 
Fw Jermaine Bennett: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 2.91 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Jermaine Bennett is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Jermaine Bennett new match skill level =  7
      Jermaine Bennett new match total level =  8
Fw Raphaël Soulie: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 19.26 (no injury) 
Fw Joe Baker: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 4.47 (no injury) 
Fw Aidan Anderson: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 9.58 (no injury) 
Fw Tyler MacDonald: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 25.26 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Theo Hill SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Jay Hussain SL 7

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 87 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 74 (no penalty kick)

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Lewis Coppell SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Archie Brakspear SL 14

     intRndPk = 96
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 96 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Kingstonian FC           15  14  30  27  54
  Swindon Supermarine FC   11   0  42  18  43

Kingstonian FC Fw Attacks = 12 (54 - 42); result rounded up
Kingstonian FC Mf Attacks = 5 ((27 - 18) / 2) ; result rounded up
Kingstonian FC Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 43) / 3;  rounded up)
Kingstonian FC Total Attacks = 17

1: Attack for Mf Arturo Molina
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 34.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Ryan Welbeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 51.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Arturo Molina
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 50.34 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Ryan Welbeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 99.58 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Mf Ryan Welbeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 94.94 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Matthew Peverell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 32.3 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Gregg Carr
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 38 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Mehdi Le gal
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 31.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Matthew Peverell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 72.2 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Gregg Carr
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 41.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Gregg Carr
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Gregg Carr
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 36.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Marcelo Villalba
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Matthew Peverell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 27.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Marcelo Villalba
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Gregg Carr
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 75.22 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
17: Attack for Fw Matthew Peverell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Supermarine FC   11   0  42  18  43
  Kingstonian FC           15  14  30  27  54

Swindon Supermarine FC is Playing For A Draw!
Swindon Supermarine FC Fw Attacks = 7 (43 - 30) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((18 - 27) / 2;  rounded up)
Swindon Supermarine FC Df Attacks = 0 ((42 - 54) / 5;  rounded up)
Swindon Supermarine FC Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Fw Tyler MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 76.35 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Fw Aidan Anderson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Raphaël Soulie
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Joe Baker
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Raphaël Soulie
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Raphaël Soulie
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Aidan Anderson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
KINGSTONIAN FC 4  -  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC 1
 
Match Notes
A win would really help separate us from the relegation zone.
Jason (Kingstonian FC) 06/14 - 3:31 PM
 
 
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