(H)

Forest Green Rovers FC
Mark Creasey

Mossley AFC
Mike Jaffe
League Round 4
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC MOSSLEY AFC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Maximilian Isaksson 12 0 12 Gk Carlton Fortune-West 3 2 5 Df Delling Andersen 9 0 9 Sw Jake James 6 2 8 Df Theo Cole 7 0 7 Df Andrea De Luca 10 0 10 Df Mateo Hernández 7 0 7 Df Louie Bentinck 8 1 9 Mf William Pedersen 9 0 9 Df Erik Meyer 3 2 5 Mf Luca Cole 8 0 8 Mf Algenon White 7 0 7 Mf Conor Farrell 7 0 7 Mf Robbie Mitchell 6 1 7 Fw Tom Stevenson 16 1 17 Mf Thomas Constant 5 2 7 Fw Andrew Williamson 11 1 12 Mf George Thomas 3 2 5 Fw Alf Abrahamsen 10 0 10 Fw Rob Ramsey 8 0 8 Fw Peter East 8 0 8 Fw Eirik Iversen 3 2 5 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 12 0 23 24 47 ROSTER TOTALS 5 8 24 26 13 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 12 0 23 24 56 T O T A L S 5 8 24 26 13 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Maximilian Isaksson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.58 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 8.11 (no red card) Df Delling Andersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.57 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.17 (no red card) Df Theo Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.46 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.42 (no red card) Df Mateo Hernández: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.84 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.76 (no red card) Mf William Pedersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.49 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.96 (no red card) Mf Luca Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.73 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.11 (no red card) Mf Conor Farrell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.68 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.43 (no red card) Fw Tom Stevenson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.63 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.36 (no red card) Fw Andrew Williamson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.42 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.6 (no red card) Fw Alf Abrahamsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.81 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.2 (no red card) Fw Peter East: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.21 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.75 (no red card) ******* MOSSLEY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Carlton Fortune-West: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.26 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 12.04 (no red card) Sw Jake James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.17 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.5 (no red card) Df Andrea De Luca: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.22 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.79 (no second yellow) Df Louie Bentinck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.13 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.63 (no red card) Df Erik Meyer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.66 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.59 (no red card) Mf Algenon White: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.61 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.04 (no red card) Mf Robbie Mitchell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.74 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.02 (no red card) Mf Thomas Constant: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.61 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.4 (no red card) Mf George Thomas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.77 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.54 (no red card) Fw Rob Ramsey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.16 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.08 (no red card) Fw Eirik Iversen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.3 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.77 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0 - Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Maximilian Isaksson: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 36.83 (no injury) Df Delling Andersen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.19 (no injury) Df Theo Cole: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.33 (no injury) Df Mateo Hernández: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.38 (no injury) Mf William Pedersen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.92 (no injury) Mf Luca Cole: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.81 (no injury) Mf Conor Farrell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.73 (no injury) Fw Tom Stevenson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.06 (no injury) Fw Andrew Williamson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.55 (no injury) Fw Alf Abrahamsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.84 (no injury) Fw Peter East: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.0 (no injury) ******* MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 0 - Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Carlton Fortune-West: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 33.99 (no injury) Sw Jake James: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.01 (no injury) Df Andrea De Luca: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.46 (no injury) Df Louie Bentinck: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.62 (no injury) Df Erik Meyer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.83 (no injury) Mf Algenon White: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.58 (no injury) Mf Robbie Mitchell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.2 (no injury) Mf Thomas Constant: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.94 (no injury) Mf George Thomas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.32 (no injury) Fw Rob Ramsey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.5 (no injury) Fw Eirik Iversen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.38 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Tom Stevenson SL 16 - Defending Gk: Carlton Fortune-West SL 3 intRndPk = 24 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 24 (no penalty kick) ******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Andrea De Luca SL 10 - Defending Gk: Maximilian Isaksson SL 12 intRndPk = 64 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 64 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Forest Green Rovers FC 12 0 23 24 56 Mossley AFC 5 8 24 26 13 Forest Green Rovers FC Fw Attacks = 32 (56 - 24); result rounded up Forest Green Rovers FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 26) / 2; rounded up) Forest Green Rovers FC Df Attacks = 2 ((23 - 13) / 5); result rounded up Forest Green Rovers FC Total Attacks = 34 1: Attack for Df Mateo Hernández Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 92.75 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 2: Attack for Df Delling Andersen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Fw Andrew Williamson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Fw Peter East Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Peter East Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Fw Tom Stevenson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 37.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 7: Attack for Fw Tom Stevenson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 93.1 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 8: Attack for Fw Andrew Williamson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Tom Stevenson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Andrew Williamson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 11: Attack for Fw Tom Stevenson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 15.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 12: Attack for Fw Peter East Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Tom Stevenson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 70.0 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 14: Attack for Fw Alf Abrahamsen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Tom Stevenson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 43 (Shot Off Target) 16: Attack for Fw Peter East Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 17: Attack for Fw Andrew Williamson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 18: Attack for Fw Tom Stevenson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 19: Attack for Fw Andrew Williamson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 20: Attack for Fw Tom Stevenson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 89.9 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 21: Attack for Fw Alf Abrahamsen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 22: Attack for Fw Alf Abrahamsen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 23: Attack for Fw Tom Stevenson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 24: Attack for Fw Andrew Williamson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 32.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 25: Attack for Fw Andrew Williamson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 26: Attack for Fw Tom Stevenson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 27: Attack for Fw Andrew Williamson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 28: Attack for Fw Peter East Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 29: Attack for Fw Andrew Williamson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 89.62 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 30: Attack for Fw Andrew Williamson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 38.27 (Shot Saved by Gk) 31: Attack for Fw Andrew Williamson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 98.2 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 32: Attack for Fw Peter East Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 33: Attack for Fw Andrew Williamson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 34: Attack for Fw Tom Stevenson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) ******* MOSSLEY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Mossley AFC 5 8 24 26 13 Forest Green Rovers FC 12 0 23 24 56 Mossley AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (13 - 23) Mossley AFC Mf Attacks = 1 ((26 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up Mossley AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((24 - 56) / 3; rounded up) Mossley AFC Total Attacks = 1 1: Attack for Mf Thomas Constant Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 88.04 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC 6 - MOSSLEY AFC 1
Match Notes

Good luck Mark (though you probably won't need much here).
Mike (Mossley AFC) 01/15 - 5:33 PM

we shall give it a good go
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 01/15 - 10:55 PM


That was brutal!
Mike (Mossley AFC) 01/24 - 11:53 PM

yes yes
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 01/25 - 5:51 PM

a win at last
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 01/25 - 5:51 PM

first win of the season
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 01/25 - 5:51 PM